List of works by Miguel Hernán

A Comparison of Agent-Based Models and the Parametric G-Formula for Causal Inference

scientific article published on July 2017

A causal framework for classical statistical estimands in failure-time settings with competing events

scientific article published on 27 January 2020

A prospective study of alcoholism and the risk of Parkinson's disease.

scientific article

A structural approach to selection bias

scientific article

A structural approach to the familial coaggregation of disorders.

scientific article published in May 2008

Activated injectable vitamin D and hemodialysis survival: a historical cohort study

scientific article

Adherence adjustment in the Coronary Drug Project: A call for better per-protocol effect estimates in randomized trials

scientific article published on 7 March 2016

Alcohol consumption and the incidence of Parkinson's disease

scientific article published on August 2003

Allergy, family history of autoimmune diseases, and the risk of multiple sclerosis

scientific article published on 28 August 2007

Allergy, histamine 1 receptor blockers, and the risk of multiple sclerosis

scientific article published in February 2006

Analyzing partially missing confounder information in comparative effectiveness and safety research of therapeutics

scientific article published on May 2012

Antibiotic use and risk of multiple sclerosis

scientific article published on 05 April 2006

Antiretroviral penetration into the CNS and incidence of AIDS-defining neurologic conditions

scientific article

Antiretrovirals and risk of COVID-19 diagnosis and hospitalization in HIV-positive persons

scientific article published on 30 July 2020

Aplicación de modelos estructurales marginales para estimar los efectos de la terapia antirretroviral en 5 cohortes de seroconvertores al virus de la inmunodeficiencia humana

scientific article published on 01 January 2007

Apparent declining efficacy in randomized trials: examples of the Thai RV144 HIV vaccine and South African CAPRISA 004 microbicide trials

scientific article published in January 2012

Armed conflict and poverty in Central America: the convergence of epidemiology and human rights advocacy

scientific article

Assessment of recording bias in pregnancy studies using health care databases: An application to neurologic conditions.

scientific article published on 22 March 2018

Association of Statin Use With Overall and Cancer Survival-Reply

scientific article published on 01 July 2018

Association of smoking with amyotrophic lateral sclerosis risk and survival in men and women: a prospective study

scientific article published on 14 January 2010

Atazanavir exposure in utero and neurodevelopment in infants: a comparative safety study

scientific article published on 10 February 2016

Author response

Benchmarking Observational Methods by Comparing Randomized Trials and Their Emulations

scientific article published on 01 September 2020

Beyond the intention-to-treat in comparative effectiveness research

scientific article published on 23 September 2011

Bias in observational studies of prevalent users: lessons for comparative effectiveness research from a meta-analysis of statins

scientific article published on 5 January 2012

Biases in Randomized Trials: A Conversation Between Trialists and Epidemiologists.

scientific article published on 28 September 2016

Boosted lopinavir- versus boosted atazanavir-containing regimens and immunologic, virologic, and clinical outcomes: a prospective study of HIV-infected individuals in high-income countries

scientific article published on 6 January 2015

Bounding the per-protocol effect in randomized trials: an application to colorectal cancer screening

scientific article

CD4+ and viral load outcomes of antiretroviral therapy switch strategies after virologic failure of combination antiretroviral therapy in perinatally HIV-infected youth in the United States

scientific article

Case-only gene-environment interaction studies: when does association imply mechanistic interaction?

scientific article

Causal Inference Under Multiple Versions of Treatment

scientific article published on May 2013

Causal Inference: What If

textbook

Causal directed acyclic graphs and the direction of unmeasured confounding bias

scientific article published in September 2008

Causal inference from longitudinal studies with baseline randomization.

scientific article published on 19 October 2008

Causal null hypotheses of sustained treatment strategies: What can be tested with an instrumental variable?

scientific article

Changes in fish consumption in midlife and the risk of coronary heart disease in men and women

scientific article published on 27 June 2013

Cigarette smoking and dementia: potential selection bias in the elderly

scientific article published on May 2008

Cigarette smoking and incidence of multiple sclerosis

scientific article

Cigarette smoking and the progression of multiple sclerosis

scientific article published on 9 March 2005

Colonoscopy and Risk of Infective Endocarditis in the Elderly

scientific article

Commentary: A structural approach to Berkson's fallacy and a guide to a history of opinions about it.

scientific article published on 28 February 2014

Commentary: how to report instrumental variable analyses (suggestions welcome).

scientific article published in May 2013

Commonly prescribed antiretroviral therapy regimens and incidence of AIDS-defining neurological conditions

scientific article published on 4 October 2017

Comparative Effectiveness Research Using Observational Data: Active Comparators to Emulate Target Trials with Inactive Comparators.

scientific article

Comparative effectiveness of dynamic treatment regimes: an application of the parametric g-formula

scientific article published on September 2011

Comparative effectiveness of immediate antiretroviral therapy versus CD4-based initiation in HIV-positive individuals in high-income countries: observational cohort study

scientific article published on 7 July 2015

Comparison of dynamic monitoring strategies based on CD4 cell counts in virally suppressed, HIV-positive individuals on combination antiretroviral therapy in high-income countries: a prospective, observational study

scientific article published on 11 April 2017

Comparison of dynamic treatment regimes via inverse probability weighting

scientific article

Compound treatments and transportability of causal inference

scientific article published on May 2011

Confounding adjustment via a semi-automated high-dimensional propensity score algorithm: an application to electronic medical records

scientific article published on 30 June 2011

Constructing inverse probability weights for marginal structural models

scientific article published on 05 August 2008

Continuation of Annual Screening Mammography and Breast Cancer Mortality in Women Older Than 70 Years

scientific article published on 25 February 2020

Continuation of Annual Screening Mammography and Breast Cancer Mortality in Women Older Than 70 Years

scientific article published on 01 August 2020

Coronary heart disease in postmenopausal recipients of estrogen plus progestin therapy: does the increased risk ever disappear? A randomized trial

scientific article

Counterpoint: epidemiology to guide decision-making: moving away from practice-free research

scientific article

Data science is science's second chance to get causal inference right: A classification of data science tasks

scholarly article

Definition and evaluation of the monotonicity condition for preference-based instruments

scientific article published on May 2015

Detection of pulmonary tuberculosis in Chiapas, Mexico

scientific article published on 01 April 2002

Determining the effect of highly active antiretroviral therapy on changes in human immunodeficiency virus type 1 RNA viral load using a marginal structural left-censored mean model

scientific article

Diet and Parkinson's disease: a potential role of dairy products in men.

scientific article

Dietary fat in relation to risk of multiple sclerosis among two large cohorts of women.

scientific article

Dietary intakes of fat and risk of Parkinson's disease

scientific article published in June 2003

Efavirenz versus boosted atazanavir-containing regimens and immunologic, virologic, and clinical outcomes: A prospective study of HIV-positive individuals

scientific article published on October 2016

Effect estimates in randomized trials and observational studies: comparing apples with apples

article

Effect modification by time-varying covariates.

scientific article published on 17 September 2007

Effect of Highly Active Antiretroviral Therapy on Time to Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome or Death using Marginal Structural Models

article

Effect of flexible sigmoidoscopy screening on colorectal cancer incidence and mortality: a randomized clinical trial

scientific article published in August 2014

Effect of immediate initiation of antiretroviral treatment in HIV-positive individuals aged 50 years or older

scientific article

Effect of immediate initiation of antiretroviral treatment on the risk of acquired HIV drug resistance

scientific article published on 10 November 2017

Effectiveness of Screening Colonoscopy to Prevent Colorectal Cancer Among Medicare Beneficiaries Aged 70 to 79 Years: A Prospective Observational Study

scientific article published on 27 September 2016

Effectiveness of Transmitted Drug Resistance Testing Before Initiation of Antiretroviral Therapy in HIV-Positive Individuals

scientific article published on 01 November 2019

Effectiveness of patient adherence groups as a model of care for stable patients on antiretroviral therapy in Khayelitsha, Cape Town, South Africa

scientific article

Electronic medical records can be used to emulate target trials of sustained treatment strategies

scientific article published in December 2017

Emulating a target trial in case-control designs: an application to statins and colorectal cancer

scientific article published on 29 September 2020

Emulating a target trial of antiretroviral therapy regimens started before conception and risk of adverse birth outcomes

scientific article published on 2 November 2017

Emulating a trial of joint dynamic strategies: An application to monitoring and treatment of HIV-positive individuals

scientific article published on 18 March 2019

Ensemble learning of inverse probability weights for marginal structural modeling in large observational datasets.

scientific article

Epidemiology, data sharing, and the challenge of scientific replication

scientific article

Estimates of Overall Survival in Patients With Cancer Receiving Different Treatment Regimens: Emulating Hypothetical Target Trials in the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER)-Medicare Linked Database

scientific article published on 02 March 2020

Estimating absolute risks in the presence of nonadherence: an application to a follow-up study with baseline randomization

scientific article published in July 2010

Estimating the Effect of Preventive Services With Databases of Administrative Claims: Reasons to Be Concerned

scientific article published on 01 October 2019

Estimating the causal effect of zidovudine on CD4 count with a marginal structural model for repeated measures

scientific article

Estimating the per-exposure effect of infectious disease interventions

scientific article published on January 2014

Evaluation of the duplication of staging CT scans for localized colon cancer in a Medicare population

scientific article

Examining Bias in Studies of Statin Treatment and Survival in Patients With Cancer

scientific article

Extending inferences from a randomized trial to a new target population

scientific article published on 06 April 2020

Extending inferences from a randomized trial to a target population

scientific article published on 19 June 2019

Fallibility in estimating direct effects

scientific article (publication date: February 2002)

Folate intake and risk of Parkinson's disease

scientific article

From causal diagrams to birth weight-specific curves of infant mortality

scientific article published on 26 January 2008

From counterfactuals to sufficient component causes and vice versa

scientific article published on 01 January 2006

Generalizing causal inferences from individuals in randomized trials to all trial-eligible individuals

scientific article published on 21 June 2019

Geographic variation of MS incidence in two prospective studies of US women

scientific article

Gout and risk of Parkinson disease: A prospective study

scientific article published on 22 October 2007

Gout and the risk of Alzheimer's disease: a population-based, BMI-matched cohort study

scientific article

Hepatitis B vaccination and multiple sclerosis: the jury is still out.

scientific article

Hepatitis B vaccination and the risk of multiple sclerosis

scientific article

Hypothetical Lifestyle Strategies in Middle-Aged Women and the Long-Term Risk of Stroke

scientific article published on 09 April 2020

Hypothetical midlife interventions in women and risk of type 2 diabetes

scientific article published in January 2013

Impact of antiretroviral therapy on tuberculosis incidence among HIV-positive patients in high-income countries

scientific article published on 28 March 2012

Improved adherence adjustment in the Coronary Drug Project.

scientific article

Incidence and Severity of COVID-19 in HIV-Positive Persons Receiving Antiretroviral Therapy: A Cohort Study

scientific article published on 26 June 2020

Incidence of adult-onset asthma after hypothetical interventions on body mass index and physical activity: an application of the parametric g-formula

scientific article published on 09 October 2013

Infection with Chlamydia pneumoniae and risk of multiple sclerosis

scientific article

Infective endocarditis and cancer in the elderly

scientific article published on 18 December 2015

Instruments for causal inference: an epidemiologist's dream?

scientific article

Intake of potassium, magnesium, calcium, and fiber and risk of stroke among US men

scientific article published on 01 September 1998

Intakes of carotenoids, vitamin C, and vitamin E and MS risk among two large cohorts of women

scientific article published in July 2001

Inverse probability weighted estimation of risk under representative interventions in observational studies

scientific article published on 10 August 2018

Invited Commentary: Causal diagrams and measurement bias

scientific article published on 15 September 2009

Invited commentary: Agent-based models for causal inference—reweighting data and theory in epidemiology

scientific article

Invited commentary: composite outcomes as an attempt to escape from selection bias and related paradoxes

scientific article

Learning how to improve healthcare delivery: the Swedish Quality Registers

scientific article published on 24 November 2014

Lockdown measures and relative changes in the age-specific incidence of SARS-CoV-2 in Spain

scientific article published on 02 July 2020

Long-Term Effectiveness of Sigmoidoscopy Screening on Colorectal Cancer Incidence and Mortality in Women and Men: A Randomized Trial

scientific article published on 24 April 2018

Long-term effectiveness of highly active antiretroviral therapy on the survival of children and adolescents with HIV infection: a 10-year follow-up study

scientific article published on 01 February 2008

Long-term effectiveness of potent antiretroviral therapy in preventing AIDS and death: a prospective cohort study

scientific article published in July 2005

Long-term effects of highly active antiretroviral therapy on CD4+ cell evolution among children and adolescents infected with HIV: 5 years and counting

scientific article

Malnutrition among children younger than 5 years-old in conflict zones of Chiapas, Mexico

scientific article published on 28 December 2006

Marginal structural models and causal inference in epidemiology

scientific article (publication date: September 2000)

Marginal structural models for estimating the effect of highly active antiretroviral therapy initiation on CD4 cell count.

scientific article published on 2 August 2005

Marginal structural models to estimate the causal effect of zidovudine on the survival of HIV-positive men.

scientific article

Matched designs and causal diagrams

scientific article published on June 2013

Methods of Public Health Research — Strengthening Causal Inference from Observational Data

scientific article published in 2021

Methods to Estimate the Comparative Effectiveness of Clinical Strategies that Administer the Same Intervention at Different Times.

scientific article

Methotrexate and mortality in patients with rheumatoid arthritis: a prospective study

scientific article published in April 2002

Nature as a Trialist?: Deconstructing the Analogy Between Mendelian Randomization and Randomized Trials

scientific article published on 05 June 2017

Near real-time surveillance of the SARS-CoV-2 epidemic with incomplete data

scientific article published on 31 March 2022

Nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs and the incidence of Parkinson disease

scientific article (publication date: 11 April 2006)

Nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs and the risk of Parkinson disease

scientific article (publication date: August 2003)

Obesity and the risk of Parkinson's disease

scientific article published in March 2004

Observation plans in longitudinal studies with time-varying treatments.

scientific article

Observational data for comparative effectiveness research: an emulation of randomised trials of statins and primary prevention of coronary heart disease

scientific article

Observational studies analyzed like randomized experiments: an application to postmenopausal hormone therapy and coronary heart disease

scientific article published in November 2008

On the Relation Between G-formula and Inverse Probability Weighting Estimators for Generalizing Trial Results

scientific article published on 01 November 2019

Oseltamivir and risk of lower respiratory tract complications in patients with flu symptoms: a meta-analysis of eleven randomized clinical trials

scientific article

Oseltamivir effect on antibiotic-treated lower respiratory tract complications in virologically positive randomized trial participants

scientific article

Parametric g-formula implementations for causal survival analyses

scientific article published on 26 June 2020

Partial Identification of the Average Treatment Effect Using Instrumental Variables: Review of Methods for Binary Instruments, Treatments, and Outcomes

scientific article published on 25 July 2018

Patients and investigators prefer measures of absolute risk in subgroups for pragmatic randomized trials

scientific article published on 30 June 2018

Physical activity and the risk of Parkinson disease

scientific article published in February 2005

Population-Based Colonoscopy Screening for Colorectal Cancer: A Randomized Clinical Trial

scientific article published on 23 May 2016

Potential Biases in Estimating Absolute and Relative Case-Fatality Risks during Outbreaks

scientific article

Pregnancy outcomes, site of delivery, and community schisms in regions affected by the armed conflict in Chiapas, Mexico

scientific article published on 24 February 2005

Primary Prevention of Cardiovascular Disease with a Mediterranean Diet Supplemented with Extra-Virgin Olive Oil or Nuts

Corrected and Republished Article

ROBINS-I: a tool for assessing risk of bias in non-randomised studies of interventions

scientific article published on 12 October 2016

Randomized trials analyzed as observational studies

scientific article published on October 2013

Rates and predictors of failure of first-line antiretroviral therapy and switch to second-line ART in South Africa

scientific article

Rationale and design of the European Polyp Surveillance (EPoS) trials

scientific article

Re: Causality and causal inference in epidemiology: the need for a pluralistic approach

scientific article published on 14 August 2016

Recent use of oral contraceptives and the risk of multiple sclerosis.

scientific article published in September 2005

Recombinant hepatitis B vaccine and the risk of multiple sclerosis: a prospective study

scientific article

Relation between three classes of structural models for the effect of a time-varying exposure on survival

scientific article published on 6 November 2009

Relation of consumption of vitamin E, vitamin C, and carotenoids to risk for stroke among men in the United States.

scientific article

Reply to ‘Declining adherence as a more likely explanation than frailty of the apparent decline in efficacy in the CAPRISA 004 trial’

Results on differential and dependent measurement error of the exposure and the outcome using signed directed acyclic graphs

scientific article

RoB 2: a revised tool for assessing risk of bias in randomised trials

scientific article published on 28 August 2019

Screening Colonoscopy to Prevent Colorectal Cancer Among Medicare Beneficiaries Aged 70 to 79 Years

scientific article published in May 2017

Selecting on treatment: a pervasive form of bias in instrumental variable analyses

scientific article

Sensitivity analyses for unmeasured confounding assuming a marginal structural model for repeated measures

scientific article published in March 2004

Should patients with chronic disease be told to gain weight? The obesity paradox and selection bias

scientific article published on 22 November 2014

Smoking and the risk of amyotrophic lateral sclerosis: a systematic review and meta-analysis

scientific article published on 16 July 2010

Smoking cessation and long-term weight gain in the Framingham Heart Study: an application of the parametric g-formula for a continuous outcome

scientific article published on 4 October 2016

Specifying a target trial prevents immortal time bias and other self-inflicted injuries in observational analyses

scientific article published on 26 May 2016

Statins and risk of diabetes: an analysis of electronic medical records to evaluate possible bias due to differential survival

scientific article published on 17 December 2012

Structural Nested Cumulative Failure Time Models to Estimate the Effects of Interventions

scientific article published on January 2012

Structural accelerated failure time models for survival analysis in studies with time-varying treatments.

scientific article published in July 2005

Study Designs for Extending Causal Inferences from a Randomized Trial to a Target Population

scientific article published on 16 December 2020

Survival of Parkinson's disease patients in a large prospective cohort of male health professionals.

scientific article published in July 2006

Systematic review and meta-analysis of methotrexate use and risk of cardiovascular disease

scientific article

Temporal trends in the incidence of multiple sclerosis: a systematic review

scientific article

Tetanus vaccination and risk of multiple sclerosis: a systematic review

scientific article published on July 2006

The Challenges of Parameterizing Direct Effects in Individual-Level Simulation Models

scientific article published on 01 January 2020

The birth weight "paradox" uncovered?

scientific article published on 24 August 2006

The challenging interpretation of instrumental variable estimates under monotonicity

scientific article published on 30 March 2017

The continuing uncertainty about cancer risk in inflammatory bowel disease

scientific article published on 23 March 2016

The effect of combined antiretroviral therapy on the overall mortality of HIV-infected individuals

scientific article

The effect of efavirenz versus nevirapine-containing regimens in the HIV-CAUSAL Collaboration: reply to Llibre and Podzamczer and additional results

scientific article published in August 2013

The effect of efavirenz versus nevirapine-containing regimens on immunologic, virologic and clinical outcomes in a prospective observational study

scientific article

The effect of prenatal treatments on offspring events in the presence of competing events: an application to a randomized trial of fertility therapies

scientific article published on 02 June 2020

The parametric g-formula to estimate the effect of highly active antiretroviral therapy on incident AIDS or death

scientific article

The per-protocol effect of immediate versus deferred antiretroviral therapy initiation

scientific article

The value of explicitly emulating a target trial when using real world evidence: an application to colorectal cancer screening

scientific article

Think globally, act globally: An epidemiologist's perspective on instrumental variable estimation ⬇️

scientific article

Toward Causally Interpretable Meta-analysis: Transporting Inferences from Multiple Randomized Trials to a New Target Population

scientific article published on 01 May 2020

Using Big Data to Emulate a Target Trial When a Randomized Trial Is Not Available

scientific article

Using Observational Data to Calibrate Simulation Models

scientific article published in November 2017

Using observational data to emulate a randomized trial of dynamic treatment-switching strategies: an application to antiretroviral therapy

scientific article published in December 2016

Vaccine testing. Ebola and beyond

scientific article

Vitamin D intake and incidence of multiple sclerosis

scientific article

Waning effectiveness of BNT162b2 and ChAdOx1 covid-19 vaccines over six months since second dose: OpenSAFELY cohort study using linked electronic health records

We Are Number One But Nobody Cares—Thatʼs Good

scientific article published in July 2012

Weight Gain After Smoking Cessation and Lifestyle Strategies to Reduce it

scientific article published on 01 January 2020

Weight Loss and Coronary Heart Disease: Sensitivity Analysis for Unmeasured Confounding by Undiagnosed Disease

scientific article published on 25 November 2015

Weight loss in Parkinson's disease

scholarly article by Honglei Chen et al published 25 April 2003 in Annals of Neurology

When to Monitor CD4 Cell Count and HIV RNA to Reduce Mortality and AIDS-Defining Illness in Virologically Suppressed HIV-Positive Persons on Antiretroviral Therapy in High-Income Countries: A Prospective Observational Study

scientific article published on 18 February 2016

When to initiate combined antiretroviral therapy to reduce mortality and AIDS-defining illness in HIV-infected persons in developed countries: an observational study

scientific article

When to start treatment? A systematic approach to the comparison of dynamic regimes using observational data

article by Lauren E Cain et al published 2010 in International Journal of Biostatistics

gfoRmula: An R Package for Estimating the Effects of Sustained Treatment Strategies via the Parametric g-formula

scientific article published on 18 May 2020

β-Blocker Use for Patients With or at Risk for Coronary Artery Disease

scientific article published in The Journal of the American Medical Association

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