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List of works by C Jessica E Metcalf

A Global Immunological Observatory to meet a time of pandemics

scientific article published on 08 June 2020

A cline in seed dormancy helps conserve the environment experienced during reproduction across the range of Arabidopsis thaliana

scientific article published on 7 January 2016

A competing-risks model explains hierarchical spatial coupling of measles epidemics en route to national elimination

scientific article published on 27 April 2020

A mechanistic spatio-temporal framework for modelling individual-to-individual transmission-With an application to the 2014-2015 West Africa Ebola outbreak.

scientific article published on 30 October 2017

A signature of tree health? Shifts in the microbiome and the ecological drivers of horse chestnut bleeding canker disease

scientific article published on 18 April 2017

A time to grow and a time to die: a new way to analyze the dynamics of size, light, age, and death of tropical trees

scientific article

Advancing population ecology with integral projection models: a practical guide

article

Aggregated mobility data could help fight COVID-19

scientific article published on 23 March 2020

Assessing the Effects of Measles Virus Infections on Childhood Infectious Disease Mortality in Brazil

scientific article published on 28 December 2022

Assessing the global threat from Zika virus

scientific article

Assessing the influence of climate on wintertime SARS-CoV-2 outbreaks

scientific article published on 8 February 2021

Avoiding the crowds: the evolution of plastic responses to seasonal cues in a density-dependent world

article

Balancing Evidence and Uncertainty when Considering Rubella Vaccine Introduction ⬇️

scientific article published on July 5, 2013

Bottom-up regulation of malaria population dynamics in mice co-infected with lung-migratory nematodes

scientific article published on 18 October 2015

COVID-19 Futures: A Framework for Exploring Medium and Long-Term Impacts

scientific article published on 3 September 2020

Challenges in modelling infectious disease dynamics: preface

scientific article published on 11 February 2015

Characterizing the dynamics of rubella relative to measles: the role of stochasticity.

scientific article published on 11 September 2013

Characterizing the impact of spatial clustering of susceptibility for measles elimination

scientific article published on 19 December 2018

Climatological, virological and sociological drivers of current and projected dengue fever outbreak dynamics in Sri Lanka

scientific article published on 03 June 2020

Comparative dynamics, seasonality in transmission, and predictability of childhood infections in Mexico

scientific article published on 22 November 2016

Comparing and linking machine learning and semi-mechanistic models for the predictability of endemic measles dynamics

scientific article published in September 2022

Comparing the predictive power of machine learning and semi-mechanistic models of endemic measles dynamics

scientific article published on 27 May 2022

Connecting Mobility to Infectious Diseases: The Promise and Limits of Mobile Phone Data

scientific article

Cyclic epidemics and extreme outbreaks induced by hydro-climatic variability and memory

scientific article published on 21 October 2020

Demographic buffering: titrating the effects of birth rate and imperfect immunity on epidemic dynamics

scientific article

Demographically framing trade-offs between sensitivity and specificity illuminates selection on immunity.

scientific article

Demographics, epidemiology and the impact of vaccination campaigns in a measles-free world - Can elimination be maintained?

scientific article published on 16 February 2017

Disease and healthcare burden of COVID-19 in the United States

scientific article published on 16 June 2020

Disease spread: heating and stirring the global viral soup

scientific article published on 31 May 2022

Disentangling serology to elucidate henipa- and filovirus transmission in Madagascar fruit bats

article

Disentangling the dynamical underpinnings of differences in SARS-CoV-2 pathology using within-host ecological models

scientific article published on 11 December 2020

Drivers of measles mortality: the historic fatality burden of famine in Bangladesh

scientific article published on 23 November 2017

Elucidating transmission dynamics and host-parasite-vector relationships for rodent-borne Bartonella spp. in Madagascar

scientific article published on 16 March 2017

Enterovirus D68: a test case for the use of immunological surveillance to develop tools to mitigate the pandemic potential of emerging pathogens

scientific article published in February 2022

Environmental uncertainty, autocorrelation and the evolution of survival.

scientific article published in September 2007

Epidemic dynamics of respiratory syncytial virus in current and future climates ⬇️

scientific article published on 04 December 2019

Epidemic dynamics, interactions and predictability of enteroviruses associated with hand, foot and mouth disease in Japan

scientific article published on 12 September 2018

Epidemiological and evolutionary considerations of SARS-CoV-2 vaccine dosing regimes

scientific article published on 3 February 2021

Erratum to: 'The potential impact of coinfection on antimicrobial chemotherapy and drug resistance'.

scientific article published in October 2015

Estimating SARS-CoV-2 seroprevalence and epidemiological parameters with uncertainty from serological surveys

scientific article published on 20 April 2020

Estimating drivers of autochthonous transmission of chikungunya virus in its invasion of the americas ⬇️

scientific article

Estimating sources and sinks of malaria parasites in Madagascar

scientific article published in Nature Communications

Evolution of delayed reproduction in uncertain environments: a life-history perspective

scientific article published in December 2008

Evolution of flowering decisions in a stochastic, density-dependent environment.

scholarly article

Evolutionary bet-hedging in the real world: empirical evidence and challenges revealed by plants.

scientific article published on 23 June 2010

Evolving resistance to pathogens

scientific article published on 01 March 2019

Existing human mobility data sources poorly predicted the spatial spread of SARS-CoV-2 in Madagascar

scientific article published in 2022

Five challenges in evolution and infectious diseases

scientific article published on 18 December 2014

Forecasting Epidemiological and Evolutionary Dynamics of Infectious Diseases

scientific article

Hand, Foot, and Mouth Disease in China: Critical Community Size and Spatial Vaccination Strategies

scientific article published on 29 April 2016

Hand, Foot, and Mouth Disease in China: Modeling Epidemic Dynamics of Enterovirus Serotypes and Implications for Vaccination.

scientific article published on 16 February 2016

Healthcare utilization, provisioning of post-exposure prophylaxis, and estimation of human rabies burden in Madagascar

article

Herpetofaunal assemblages on seven offshore islands of northwestern Madagascar ⬇️

scientific article published in 2007

High resolution age-structured mapping of childhood vaccination coverage in low and middle income countries.

scientific article published on 14 February 2018

High variation expected in the pace and burden of SARS-CoV-2 outbreaks across sub-Saharan Africa

scientific article published on 24 July 2020

Household COVID-19 risk and in-person schooling

scientific article

Household COVID-19 risk and in-person schooling

preprint

IPMpack: an R package for integral projection models

article

Identifying climate drivers of infectious disease dynamics: recent advances and challenges ahead

scientific article published in August 2017

Immune boosting bridges leaky and polarized vaccination models

scientific article published on 18 July 2023

Immune life history, vaccination, and the dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 over the next 5 years

scientific article published on 21 September 2020

Immuno-epidemiology and the predictability of viral evolution

scientific article published on 10 June 2022

Impact of birth rate, seasonality and transmission rate on minimum levels of coverage needed for rubella vaccination

scientific article

Impact on Epidemic Measles of Vaccination Campaigns Triggered by Disease Outbreaks or Serosurveys: A Modeling Study

scientific article

Implications of spatially heterogeneous vaccination coverage for the risk of congenital rubella syndrome in South Africa

scientific article published on January 2013

Improving measles incidence inference using age-structured serological data

scientific article published on 06 August 2018

Infectious disease in an era of global change

publication published on 13 October 2021

Introduction of rubella-containing-vaccine to Madagascar: implications for roll-out and local elimination

scientific article published on April 2016

Invasion Dynamics of Teratogenic Infections in Light of Rubella Control: Implications for Zika Virus ⬇️

scientific article

Invisible Trade-offs: Van Noordwijk and de Jong and Life-History Evolution

scientific article published on 26 February 2016

Life history in a model system: opening the black box with Arabidopsis thaliana

scientific article published on 18 May 2009

Lives saved with vaccination for 10 pathogens across 112 countries in a pre-COVID-19 world

scientific article published in 2021

Long-term benefits of nonpharmaceutical interventions for endemic infections are shaped by respiratory pathogen dynamics

scientific article published on 6 December 2022

Long-term measles antibody profiles following different vaccine schedules in China, a longitudinal study

scientific article published on 29 March 2023

Long-term measles-induced immunomodulation increases overall childhood infectious disease mortality.

scientific article

Long-term trends in seasonality of mortality in urban Madagascar: the role of the epidemiological transition

scientific article published on 01 January 2020

Mapping vaccination coverage to explore the effects of delivery mechanisms and inform vaccination strategies

scientific article published on 09 April 2019

Mathematical models to guide pandemic response

scientific article published on 01 July 2020

Measles and the canonical path to elimination

scientific article published on 01 May 2019

Measles outbreak risk in Pakistan: exploring the potential of combining vaccination coverage and incidence data with novel data-streams to strengthen control

article

Measurement of vaccine-derived immunity: how do we use all the data? ⬇️

scientific article published on July 1, 2012

Measuring the performance of vaccination programs using cross-sectional surveys: a likelihood framework and retrospective analysis

scientific article

Medium-term scenarios of COVID-19 as a function of immune uncertainties and chronic disease

scientific article published in August 2023

Modeling infectious disease dynamics in the complex landscape of global health

scientific article published on 13 March 2015

Modeling the influence of genetic and environmental variation on the expression of plant life cycles across landscapes

scientific article published on 22 December 2014

Modelling the first dose of measles vaccination: the role of maternal immunity, demographic factors, and delivery systems

scientific article published on 7 June 2010

Monitoring for outbreak associated excess mortality in an African city: Detection limits in Antananarivo, Madagascar

scientific article published on 26 November 2020

Multinational patterns of seasonal asymmetry in human movement influence infectious disease dynamics

scientific article published on 12 December 2017

Negative selection on BRCA1 susceptibility alleles sheds light on the population genetics of late-onset diseases and aging theory

scientific article

Opportunities and challenges in modeling emerging infectious diseases.

scientific article published on July 2017

Opportunities and challenges of Integral Projection Models for modelling host-parasite dynamics

scientific article published on December 2015

Opportunities and challenges of a World Serum Bank - Authors' reply

scientific article published on 20 January 2017

Optimal immune specificity at the intersection of host life history and parasite epidemiology

scientific article published on 21 December 2021

Optimal semelparity

scientific article

Optimizing reactive responses to outbreaks of immunizing infections: balancing case management and vaccination

scientific article

Partial immunity and SARS-CoV-2 mutations—Response

scientific article published on 23 April 2021

Partitioning regulatory mechanisms of within-host malaria dynamics using the effective propagation number.

scientific article published on August 2011

Perfect counterfactuals for epidemic simulations

scientific article published on 01 July 2019

Persistence in epidemic metapopulations: quantifying the rescue effects for measles, mumps, rubella and whooping cough

scientific article

Persistent Chaos of Measles Epidemics in the Prevaccination United States Caused by a Small Change in Seasonal Transmission Patterns.

scientific article published on 4 February 2016

Phylogeography of rubella virus in Asia: Vaccination and demography shape synchronous outbreaks

scientific article published on 28 May 2019

Predictability in a highly stochastic system: final size of measles epidemics in small populations

scientific article

Predicting the effects of climate change on the cross-scale epidemiological dynamics of a fungal plant pathogen

scientific article published in 2022

Predicting the evolutionary dynamics of seasonal adaptation to novel climates in Arabidopsis thaliana

scientific article

Predicting the impact of COVID-19 non-pharmaceutical intervention on short- and medium-term dynamics of enterovirus D68 in the US

scientific article published in March 2024

Predicting the impact of COVID-19 non-pharmaceutical intervention on short- and medium-term dynamics of enterovirus D68 in the US

scientific article published on 16 July 2023

Protective microbiomes can limit the evolution of host pathogen defense

scientific article published on 11 September 2019

Publisher Correction: Long-term measles antibody profiles following different vaccine schedules in China, a longitudinal study

scientific article published on 28 April 2023

Quantifying seasonal population fluxes driving rubella transmission dynamics using mobile phone data

scientific article

Reduced vaccination and the risk of measles and other childhood infections post-Ebola

scientific article

Relative role of community transmission and campus contagion in driving the spread of SARS-CoV-2: Lessons from Princeton University

scientific article published in July 2023

Response to Comment on "Long-term measles-induced immunomodulation increases overall childhood infectious disease mortality"

scientific article published on 01 July 2019

Revealing mechanisms underlying variation in malaria virulence: effective propagation and host control of uninfected red blood cell supply.

scientific article

Roles of generation-interval distributions in shaping relative epidemic strength, speed, and control of new SARS-CoV-2 variants

scientific article published on 5 May 2021

Rubella Vaccine Introduction in the South African Public Vaccination Schedule: Mathematical Modelling for Decision Making

scientific article published on 13 July 2020

Rubella metapopulation dynamics and importance of spatial coupling to the risk of congenital rubella syndrome in Peru.

scientific article

Rubella vaccination in India: identifying broad consequences of vaccine introduction and key knowledge gaps.

scientific article published on 4 December 2017

Rubella vaccination: must not be business as usual

scientific article published in The Lancet

SARS-CoV-2 Outbreak Dynamics in an Isolated US Military Recruit Training Center With Rigorous Prevention Measures

scientific article published in November 2022

Schedule and magnitude of reproductive investment under immune trade-offs explains sex differences in immunity

scientific article published in Nature Communications

Seasonal Population Movements and the Surveillance and Control of Infectious Diseases

scientific article

Seasonal gaps in measles vaccination coverage in Madagascar

article

Seasonality and comparative dynamics of six childhood infections in pre-vaccination Copenhagen.

scientific article published on 9 September 2009

Seed predators and the evolutionarily stable flowering strategy in the invasive plant, Carduus nutans

article

Senescence of reproduction may explain adaptive menopause in humans: a test of the "mother" hypothesis

scientific article

Seroepidemiologic Study Designs for Determining SARS-COV-2 Transmission and Immunity

scientific article published on 16 June 2020

Seven challenges in modeling vaccine preventable diseases.

scientific article

Six challenges in modelling for public health policy

scientific article published on 7 October 2014

Six challenges in the eradication of infectious diseases

scientific article published on 12 December 2014

Spatial and temporal dynamics of superspreading events in the 2014-2015 West Africa Ebola epidemic

scientific article published on 13 February 2017

Statistical modelling of annual variation for inference on stochastic population dynamics using Integral Projection Models

article

Structured models of infectious disease: inference with discrete data

scientific article

Study Protocol: A Cross-Sectional Examination of Socio-Demographic and Ecological Determinants of Nutrition and Disease Across Madagascar

scientific article published on 17 September 2020

Successive passaging of a plant-associated microbiome reveals robust habitat and host genotype-dependent selection

scientific article published on 05 December 2019

Survival at older ages: Are greater influenza antibody titers protective?

scientific article published in 2023

Susceptible supply limits the role of climate in the COVID-19 pandemic

scientific article published on 07 April 2020

Susceptible supply limits the role of climate in the early SARS-CoV-2 pandemic

scientific article

Tensor decomposition for infectious disease incidence data

scientific article published on 22 September 2020

The Cinderella syndrome: why do malaria-infected cells burst at midnight?

scientific article published on 17 December 2012

The Evolution of Senescence in Annual Plants: The Importance of Phenology and the Potential for Plasticity

article

The Evolution of Variance Control

scientific article published on 11 September 2019

The duration of travel impacts the spatial dynamics of infectious diseases

scientific article published on 24 August 2020

The effects of host age and spatial location on bacterial community composition in the English Oak tree (Quercus robur).

scientific article published on 27 April 2016

The epidemiology of rubella in Mexico: seasonality, stochasticity and regional variation ⬇️

scientific article published on September 15, 2010

The evolutionary dynamics of timing of maternal immunity: evaluating the role of age-specific mortality.

scientific article published on 26 February 2015

The geography of measles vaccination in the African Great Lakes region

scientific article

The impact of COVID-19 nonpharmaceutical interventions on the future dynamics of endemic infections

scientific article published on 09 November 2020

The importance of the generation interval in investigating dynamics and control of new SARS-CoV-2 variants

scientific article published in June 2022

The limits of SARS-CoV-2 predictability

scientific article published on 12 July 2021

The microbiome beyond the horizon of ecological and evolutionary theory

scientific article published on 16 October 2017

The path of least resistance: aggressive or moderate treatment?

scientific article published in November 2014

The potential impact of coinfection on antimicrobial chemotherapy and drug resistance

scientific article

The use of mobile phone data to inform analysis of COVID-19 pandemic epidemiology

scientific article published on 30 September 2020

Thirteen challenges in modelling plant diseases

scientific article published on July 2014

Towards better targeting: lessons from a posthoneymoon measles outbreak in Madagascar, 2018-2019

scientific article published on 01 October 2020

Towards the endgame and beyond: complexities and challenges for the elimination of infectious diseases

scientific article published on 24 June 2013

Trajectory of individual immunity and vaccination required for SARS-CoV-2 community immunity: a conceptual investigation

scientific article published in February 2021

Transient sensitivities of non-indigenous shrub species indicate complicated invasion dynamics

article

Transport networks and inequities in vaccination: remoteness shapes measles vaccine coverage and prospects for elimination across Africa

scientific article published on 14 August 2014

Trip duration drives shift in travel network structure with implications for the predictability of spatial disease spread

scientific article published on 10 August 2021

Understanding Herd Immunity

scientific article published on December 2015

Urbanization and humidity shape the intensity of influenza epidemics in U.S. cities

scientific article

Use of serological surveys to generate key insights into the changing global landscape of infectious disease

scientific article

Using Serology to Anticipate Measles Post-honeymoon Period Outbreaks

scientific article published on 20 April 2020

Using Serology with Models to Clarify the Trajectory of the SARS-CoV-2 Emerging Outbreak

scientific article published on 29 June 2020

Using models to shape measles control and elimination strategies in low- and middle-income countries: A review of recent applications

scientific article published on 29 November 2019

Vaccine breakthrough and the invasion dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 variants

scientific article published on 14 December 2021

Vaccine nationalism and the dynamics and control of SARS-CoV-2

scientific article published on 24 September 2021

Vaccine nationalism and the dynamics and control of SARS-CoV-2

scientific article published on 5 June 2021

Variation in SARS-CoV-2 outbreaks across sub-Saharan Africa

scientific article published in March 2021

Which interventions work best in a pandemic?

scientific article

Why Evolve Reliance on the Microbiome for Timing of Ontogeny?

scientific article published on 08 October 2019

Why are there so few (or so many) circulating coronaviruses?

scientific article published in September 2021

Why evolutionary biologists should be demographers

scientific article published on 13 December 2006

Why leveraging sex differences in immune trade-offs may illuminate the evolution of senescence

scientific article published on 07 October 2019

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