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List of works by Marco Ajelli

Age-prioritized use of antivirals during an influenza pandemic

scientific article

An individual-based model of hepatitis A transmission

article

Anatomy of the first six months of COVID-19 vaccination campaign in Italy

scientific article published on 25 May 2022

Basic mathematical models for the temporal dynamics of HAV in medium-endemicity Italian areas

scientific article

Behavioral Changes and Adaptation Induced by Epidemics

Changes in contact patterns shape the dynamics of the COVID-19 outbreak in China

scientific article published on 29 April 2020

Coinfection can trigger multiple pandemic waves.

scientific article

Comparing large-scale computational approaches to epidemic modeling: agent-based versus structured metapopulation models.

scientific article

Containing Ebola at the Source with Ring Vaccination

scientific article

Containing the accidental laboratory escape of potential pandemic influenza viruses

scientific article

Deciphering the relative weights of demographic transition and vaccination in the decrease of measles incidence in Italy.

scientific article published on 8 January 2014

Detecting a Surprisingly Low Transmission Distance in the Early Phase of the 2009 Influenza Pandemic

scientific article published on 26 September 2017

Detecting critical slowing down in high-dimensional epidemiological systems

scientific article published on 09 March 2020

Determinants of the spatiotemporal dynamics of the 2009 H1N1 pandemic in Europe: implications for real-time modelling

scientific article published on 29 September 2011

Disease burden and clinical severity of the first pandemic wave of COVID-19 in Wuhan, China

scientific article published on 27 October 2020

Effectiveness of contact investigations for tuberculosis control in Arkansas

scientific article published on 5 June 2015

Epidemiology and transmission dynamics of the 1918-19 pandemic influenza in Florence, Italy

scientific article

Estimating contact patterns relevant to the spread of infectious diseases in Russia

scientific article published on February 2017

Estimating measles transmission potential in Italy over the period 2010-2011.

scientific article published on January 2014

Estimating the establishment of local transmission and the cryptic phase of the COVID-19 pandemic in the USA

scientific article published on 07 July 2020

Evaluating vaccination strategies for reducing infant respiratory syncytial virus infection in low-income settings

scientific article

Hope-Simpson's progressive immunity hypothesis as a possible explanation for herpes zoster incidence data

scientific article

Host outdoor exposure variability affects the transmission and spread of Zika virus: Insights for epidemic control

scientific article published on 14 September 2017

Inferring high-resolution human mixing patterns for disease modeling

Inferring the structure of social contacts from demographic data in the analysis of infectious diseases spread

scientific article (publication date: 2012)

Little Italy: an agent-based approach to the estimation of contact patterns- fitting predicted matrices to serological data

scientific article

Long-term measles antibody profiles following different vaccine schedules in China, a longitudinal study

scientific article published on 29 March 2023

Measurability of the epidemic reproduction number in data-driven contact networks

scholarly article by Quan-Hui Liu et al published 11 December 2018 in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America

Mitigation measures for pandemic influenza in Italy: an individual based model considering different scenarios

scientific article

Model-Based Comprehensive Analysis of School Closure Policies for Mitigating Influenza Epidemics and Pandemics.

scientific article published on 21 January 2016

Modeling mosquito-borne diseases in complex urban environments

scientific article published on 28 August 2017

Modeling socio-demography to capture tuberculosis transmission dynamics in a low burden setting

scientific article

Modeling the impact of social distancing, testing, contact tracing and household quarantine on second-wave scenarios of the COVID-19 epidemic

scientific article published on 18 May 2020

Modelling the impact of testing, contact tracing and household quarantine on second waves of COVID-19

scientific article published on 05 August 2020

Pandemic influenza A/H1N1pdm in Italy: age, risk and population susceptibility.

scientific article

Parental vaccination to reduce measles immunity gaps in Italy

scholarly article by Valentina Marziano et al published 3 September 2019 in eLife

Perspectives on the impact of varicella immunization on herpes zoster. A model-based evaluation from three European countries

scientific article

Publisher Correction: Long-term measles antibody profiles following different vaccine schedules in China, a longitudinal study

scientific article published on 28 April 2023

Retrospective analysis of the Italian exit strategy from COVID-19 lockdown

scientific article published on 01 January 2021

Risk perception and effectiveness of uncoordinated behavioral responses in an emerging epidemic

scientific article published on 3 May 2012

School closure policies at municipality level for mitigating influenza spread: a model-based evaluation

scientific article

Spatiotemporal dynamics of the Ebola epidemic in Guinea and implications for vaccination and disease elimination: a computational modeling analysis

scientific article

Spatiotemporal dynamics of viral hepatitis A in Italy

scientific article published on 29 September 2010

Spatiotemporal spread of the 2014 outbreak of Ebola virus disease in Liberia and the effectiveness of non-pharmaceutical interventions: a computational modelling analysis

scientific article published on 7 January 2015

Spontaneous behavioural changes in response to epidemics

article

The 2014 Ebola virus disease outbreak in Pujehun, Sierra Leone: epidemiology and impact of interventions

scientific article

The COVID-19 outbreak in Sichuan, China: Epidemiology and impact of interventions

scientific article published on 28 December 2020

The RAPIDD Ebola forecasting challenge: Model description and synthetic data generation

scientific article published on 20 September 2017

The RAPIDD ebola forecasting challenge: Synthesis and lessons learnt

scientific article published on 26 August 2017

The effect of risk perception on the 2009 H1N1 pandemic influenza dynamics

scientific article

The impact of demographic changes on the epidemiology of herpes zoster: Spain as a case study

scientific article published in April 2015

The impact of the unstructured contacts component in influenza pandemic modeling

scientific article

The role of different social contexts in shaping influenza transmission during the 2009 pandemic

scientific article

The role of population heterogeneity and human mobility in the spread of pandemic influenza.

scientific article published on 28 October 2009

Transmission heterogeneities, kinetics, and controllability of SARS-CoV-2

scientific article

Transmission potential and design of adequate control measures for Marburg hemorrhagic fever

scientific article

Transmission potential of chikungunya virus and control measures: the case of Italy

scientific article

Uncoordinated Human Responses During Epidemic Outbreaks

article

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