List of works by Adam Kucharski

A serological framework to investigate acute primary and post-primary dengue cases reporting across the Philippines

scientific article published on 27 November 2020

Age profile of immunity to influenza: effect of original antigenic sin.

scientific article published on 22 December 2011

An online decision tree for vaccine efficacy trial design during infectious disease epidemics: The InterVax-Tool

scholarly article by Steven E Bellan et al published 18 July 2019 in Vaccine

An open source tool to infer epidemiological and immunological dynamics from serological data: Serosolver

scientific article published on 04 May 2020

Animal Ownership and Touching Enrich the Context of Social Contacts Relevant to the Spread of Human Infectious Diseases

scientific article

Assessing the performance of real-time epidemic forecasts: A case study of Ebola in the Western Area region of Sierra Leone, 2014-15

scholarly article by Sebastian Funk et al published February 2019 in PLOS Computational Biology

Assessing the performance of real-time epidemic forecasts: A case study of the 2013-16 Ebola epidemic

scientific article published on 18 August 2017

Bias correction methods for test-negative designs in the presence of misclassification

scientific article published on 08 September 2020

Calculating virus spread

scientific article published on 21 February 2020

Capturing the dynamics of pathogens with many strains.

scientific article

Case fatality rate for Ebola virus disease in west Africa

scientific article published on 23 September 2014

Characteristics of human encounters and social mixing patterns relevant to infectious diseases spread by close contact: a survey in Southwest Uganda.

scientific article published on 11 April 2018

Characterizing the transmission potential of zoonotic infections from minor outbreaks

scientific article

Comparative Analysis of Dengue and Zika Outbreaks Reveals Differences by Setting and Virus

scientific article (publication date: 7 December 2016)

Comparative analysis of dengue and Zika outbreaks reveals differences by setting and virus

article

Contacts in context: large-scale setting-specific social mixing matrices from the BBC Pandemic project

scientific article published on 19 February 2020

Containing Ebola virus infection in West Africa

scientific article published on 11 September 2014

Correction: Animal Ownership and Touching Enrich the Context of Social Contacts Relevant to the Spread of Human Infectious Diseases

scientific article published on 3 February 2016

Cross-immunity and age patterns of influenza A(H5N1) infection

scientific article

Determinants of transmission risk during the late stage of the West African Ebola epidemic

article

Distinguishing Between Reservoir Exposure and Human-to-Human Transmission for Emerging Pathogens Using Case Onset Data

scientific article

Duration of Ebola virus RNA persistence in semen of survivors: population-level estimates and projections

scientific article

Early dynamics of transmission and control of 2019-nCoV: a mathematical modelling study

scientific article published on 2 February 2020

Early dynamics of transmission and control of COVID-19: a mathematical modelling study

scientific article published on 11 March 2020

Ebola virus disease in the Democratic Republic of the Congo, 1976-2014

scientific article

Effect of internationally imported cases on internal spread of COVID-19: a mathematical modelling study

scientific article published on 07 December 2020

Effectiveness of Live Poultry Market Interventions on Human Infection with Avian Influenza A(H7N9) Virus, China

scientific article published on 17 May 2020

Effectiveness of Ring Vaccination as Control Strategy for Ebola Virus Disease

scientific article

Effectiveness of isolation, testing, contact tracing and physical distancing on reducing transmission of SARS-CoV-2 in different settings

scientific article published on 29 April 2020

Effectiveness of isolation, testing, contact tracing, and physical distancing on reducing transmission of SARS-CoV-2 in different settings: a mathematical modelling study

scientific article published on 15 June 2020

Effectiveness of traveller screening for emerging pathogens is shaped by epidemiology and natural history of infection

scientific article

Effects of non-pharmaceutical interventions on COVID-19 cases, deaths, and demand for hospital services in the UK: a modelling study

scientific article published on 02 June 2020

Epidemiological and immunological features of obesity and SARS-CoV-2

scientific article published on 13 November 2020

Estimated effectiveness of symptom and risk screening to prevent the spread of COVID-19

scientific article published on 24 February 2020

Estimated effectiveness of traveller screening to prevent international spread of 2019 novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV)

scientific article published on 30 January 2020

Estimated transmissibility and impact of SARS-CoV-2 lineage B.1.1.7 in England

scientific article published on 3 March 2021

Estimating the burden of dengue and the impact of release of wMel Wolbachia-infected mosquitoes in Indonesia: a modelling study

scientific article published on 09 September 2019

Estimating the infection and case fatality ratio for COVID-19 using age-adjusted data from the outbreak on the Diamond Princess cruise ship

scientific article (preprint)

Estimating the infection and case fatality ratio for coronavirus disease (COVID-19) using age-adjusted data from the outbreak on the Diamond Princess cruise ship, February 2020

scientific article published on 01 March 2020

Estimating the life course of influenza A(H3N2) antibody responses from cross-sectional data

scientific article

Estimating the overdispersion in COVID-19 transmission using outbreak sizes outside China

scientific article published on 03 July 2020

Estimating the probability of demonstrating vaccine efficacy in the declining Ebola epidemic: a Bayesian modelling approach.

scientific article

Estimating the time-varying reproduction number of SARS-CoV-2 using national and subnational case counts

Estimation of seasonal influenza attack rates and antibody dynamics in children using cross-sectional serological data

scientific article published on 18 June 2020

Evaluation of the benefits and risks of introducing Ebola community care centers, Sierra Leone

scientific article published in March 2015

Expected Duration of Adverse Pregnancy Outcomes after Zika Epidemic

scientific article published on 15 January 2018

Feasibility of controlling 2019-nCoV outbreaks by isolation of cases and contacts

scientific article published on 11 February 2020

Feasibility of controlling COVID-19 outbreaks by isolation of cases and contacts

scientific article published on 28 February 2020

Fine-scale family structure shapes influenza transmission risk in households: Insights from primary schools in Matsumoto city, 2014/15

scientific article published on 26 December 2019

Five challenges in modelling interacting strain dynamics

scientific article published on 7 October 2014

Guiding Vaccine Efficacy Trial Design During Public Health Emergencies: An interactive web-based decision support tool

article

High Zika Virus Seroprevalence in Salvador, Northeastern Brazil Limits the Potential for Further Outbreaks

scientific article published on 14 November 2017

How to be wrong but useful

scientific article published on 26 December 2012

Identifying human encounters that shape the transmission of Streptococcus pneumoniae and other acute respiratory infections

article

Immunity's illusion.

scientific article published on December 2014

Impact of vaccinations, boosters and lockdowns on COVID-19 waves in French Polynesia

Implication of backward contact tracing in the presence of overdispersed transmission in COVID-19 outbreak ⬇️

scholarly article published in August 2020

Implication of backward contact tracing in the presence of overdispersed transmission in COVID-19 outbreaks

scientific article published on 13 October 2020

Inferring the number of COVID-19 cases from recently reported deaths

scientific article (preprint)

Inferring the number of COVID-19 cases from recently reported deaths

scientific article published on 27 April 2020

Influenza emergence in the face of evolutionary constraints.

scientific article published on 20 July 2011

Invisible spread of SARS-CoV-2 - Authors' reply

scientific article published on 07 April 2020

Low chikungunya virus seroprevalence two years after emergence in Fiji

scientific article published on 02 November 2019

Low risk of a sexually-transmitted Zika virus outbreak

scientific article published on 19 September 2016

Measuring the impact of Ebola control measures in Sierra Leone

scientific article

Potential for large outbreaks of Ebola virus disease

scientific article

Probabilistic reconstruction of measles transmission clusters from routinely collected surveillance data

scientific article published on 16 February 2020

Probabilistic reconstruction of measles transmission clusters from routinely collected surveillance data

scientific article published on 01 July 2020

Projecting the end of the Zika virus epidemic in Latin America: a modelling analysis

article

Quantifying transmission of emerging zoonoses: Using mathematical models to maximize the value of surveillance data

scientific article published on 19 June 2019

Real-time analysis of the diphtheria outbreak in forcibly displaced Myanmar nationals in Bangladesh

scholarly article by Flavio Finger et al published 12 March 2019 in BMC Medicine

Real-time dynamic modelling for the design of a cluster-randomized phase 3 Ebola vaccine trial in Sierra Leone.

scientific article

Real-time forecasting of infectious disease dynamics with a stochastic semi-mechanistic model

scientific article published on 16 December 2016

Real-time surveillance of international SARS-CoV-2 prevalence using systematic traveller arrival screening: An observational study

scientific article published on 8 September 2023

Reconstructing the early global dynamics of under-ascertained COVID-19 cases and infections

scientific article published on 22 October 2020

Reducing uncertainty about flavivirus infections

scientific article published on January 2017

Response strategies for COVID-19 epidemics in African settings: a mathematical modelling study

scientific article published on 03 May 2020

Response strategies for COVID-19 epidemics in African settings: a mathematical modelling study

scientific article published on 14 October 2020

Resurgence of COVID-19 in Manaus, Brazil, despite high seroprevalence

scholarly article by Zulma M. Cucunubá published in 2021

Ring vaccination with rVSV-ZEBOV under expanded access in response to an outbreak of Ebola virus disease in Guinea, 2016: an operational and vaccine safety report

scientific article published on 9 October 2017

Ross River Virus Antibody Prevalence, Fiji Islands, 2013-2015

scholarly article by Maite Aubry et al published April 2019 in Emerging Infectious Diseases

School's Out: Seasonal Variation in the Movement Patterns of School Children

scientific article published on June 2015

Secondary attack rate and superspreading events for SARS-CoV-2

scientific article published on 27 February 2020

Sharing, synthesis and sustainability of data analysis for epidemic preparedness in Europe

scientific article published in 2021

Social mixing in Fiji: Who-eats-with-whom contact patterns and the implications of age and ethnic heterogeneity for disease dynamics in the Pacific Islands

scientific article published on 6 December 2017

Structure and consistency of self-reported social contact networks in British secondary schools

scientific article published on 25 July 2018

Study epidemiology of fake news

scientific article published in Nature

Sustained Low-Level Transmission of Zika and Chikungunya Viruses after Emergence in the Fiji Islands

scholarly article by Mike Kama et al published August 2019 in Emerging Infectious Diseases

Temporal Changes in Ebola Transmission in Sierra Leone and Implications for Control Requirements: a Real-time Modelling Study

scientific article

Ten simple rules for writing a popular science book.

scientific article published in February 2018

The COVID-19 response illustrates that traditional academic reward structures and metrics do not reflect crucial contributions to modern science

scientific article published on 16 October 2020

The Effect of Community-Based Prevention and Care on Ebola Transmission in Sierra Leone.

scientific article published on 18 February 2016

The Rules of Contagion

non fiction book

The Rules of Contagion: Why Things Spread—And Why They Stop

book edition

The contribution of asymptomatic SARS-CoV-2 infections to transmission - a model-based analysis of the Diamond Princess outbreak

scientific article published on 11 May 2020

The contribution of asymptomatic SARS-CoV-2 infections to transmission on the Diamond Princess cruise ship

scientific article published on 24 August 2020

The contribution of social behaviour to the transmission of influenza A in a human population.

scientific article

The effect of control strategies that reduce social mixing on outcomes of the COVID-19 epidemic in Wuhan, China

scientific article (preprint)

The effect of control strategies to reduce social mixing on outcomes of the COVID-19 epidemic in Wuhan, China: a modelling study

scientific article published on 25 March 2020

The effect of non-pharmaceutical interventions on COVID-19 cases, deaths and demand for hospital services in the UK: a modelling study

scientific article published on 06 April 2020

The impact of control strategies and behavioural changes on the elimination of Ebola from Lofa County, Liberia

scientific article (publication date: 10 April 2017)

The measles crisis in Europe-the need for a joined-up approach

scientific article published on 01 May 2019

The potential health and economic value of SARS-CoV-2 vaccination alongside physical distancing in the UK: a transmission model-based future scenario analysis and economic evaluation

scientific article published in March 2021

The role of human immunity and social behavior in shaping influenza evolution

scientific article published on 3 August 2017

The role of social contacts and original antigenic sin in shaping the age pattern of immunity to seasonal influenza

scientific article

The role of superspreading in Middle East respiratory syndrome coronavirus (MERS-CoV) transmission

scientific article published on 25 June 2015

The science of why things spread ⬇️

Wellcome Collection story

The shortlist

journal article; published in Nature on 2013-01-23

Timescales of influenza A/H3N2 antibody dynamics

article

Towards a unified generic framework to define and observe contacts between livestock and wildlife: a systematic review

scientific article published on 26 October 2020

Transmission Dynamics of Zika Virus in Island Populations: A Modelling Analysis of the 2013–14 French Polynesia Outbreak

scientific article

Transmission Potential of Influenza A(H7N9) Virus, China, 2013-2014.

scientific article published on May 2015

Transmission modelling of environmentally persistent zoonotic diseases: a systematic review

scientific article

Using a real-world network to model localized COVID-19 control strategies

scientific article published on 07 August 2020

Using paired serology and surveillance data to quantify dengue transmission and control during a large outbreak in Fiji

Using paired serology and surveillance data to quantify dengue transmission and control during a large outbreak in Fiji

Using serological data to understand unobserved SARS-CoV-2 risk in health-care settings

scientific article published on 03 August 2020

Zika seroprevalence declines and neutralizing antibodies wane in adults following outbreaks in French Polynesia and Fiji

scientific article published on 28 January 2020

Zika virus seroprevalence declines and neutralization antibodies wane in adults following outbreaks in French Polynesia and Fiji

Zika virus seroprevalence declines and neutralization antibodies wane in adults following outbreaks in French Polynesia and Fiji

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