List of works - Jeffrey Shaman

Absolute Humidity and the Seasonal Onset of Influenza in the Continental US.

scientific article

Absolute humidity and pandemic versus epidemic influenza

scientific article

Absolute humidity and the seasonal onset of influenza in the continental United States

scientific article

Absolute humidity modulates influenza survival, transmission, and seasonality

scientific article

Accuracy of real-time multi-model ensemble forecasts for seasonal influenza in the U.S.

scientific article published on 22 November 2019

Achieving operational hydrologic monitoring of mosquitoborne disease

scientific article published in September 2005

Active surveillance documents rates of clinical care seeking due to respiratory illness

scientific article published on 16 May 2020

Aggregating forecasts of multiple respiratory pathogens supports more accurate forecasting of influenza-like illness

scientific article published on 22 October 2020

Amplification due to spatial clustering in an individual-based model of mosquito-avian arbovirus transmission

scientific article published on 31 January 2007

Are big basins just the sum of small catchments?

Assessing the Use of Influenza Forecasts and Epidemiological Modeling in Public Health Decision Making in the United States

scientific article published in Scientific Reports

Association of spring-summer hydrology and meteorology with human West Nile virus infection in West Texas, USA, 2002-2016.

scientific article published on 4 April 2018

Asymptomatic Shedding of Respiratory Virus among an Ambulatory Population across Seasons.

scientific article published on 11 July 2018

Asymptomatic summertime shedding of respiratory viruses

scientific article published on 2 January 2018

Characteristics of measles epidemics in China (1951-2004) and implications for elimination: A case study of three key locations

article

Collaborative efforts to forecast seasonal influenza in the United States, 2015-2016

scientific article published in Scientific Reports

Comparison of filtering methods for the modeling and retrospective forecasting of influenza epidemics

scientific article

Compound Risks of Hurricane Evacuation Amid the COVID-19 Pandemic in the United States

scientific article published on 01 December 2020

Correction for Birger et al., "Asymptomatic Shedding of Respiratory Virus among an Ambulatory Population across Seasons"

scientific article published in 2018

Correction: Absolute Humidity and the Seasonal Onset of Influenza in the Continental United States.

scientific article published on 15 March 2010

Correction: Absolute Humidity and the Seasonal Onset of Influenza in the Continental United States.

scientific article published on 18 March 2010

Correction: Geospatial characteristics of measles transmission in China during 2005-2014.

scientific article published on 14 June 2019

Counteracting structural errors in ensemble forecast of influenza outbreaks

scientific article published on 13 October 2017

Development and validation of a climate-based ensemble prediction model for West Nile Virus infection rates in Culex mosquitoes, Suffolk County, New York

scientific article

Development and validation of influenza forecasting for 64 temperate and tropical countries

article

Differential COVID-19 case positivity in New York City neighborhoods: Socioeconomic factors and mobility

scientific article published on 14 October 2020

Differential Effects of Intervention Timing on COVID-19 Spread in the United States

scientific article published on 20 May 2020

Differential effects of intervention timing on COVID-19 spread in the United States

scientific article published on 06 November 2020

Direct Measurement of Rates of Asymptomatic Infection and Clinical Care-Seeking for Seasonal Coronavirus

scientific article published on 3 February 2020

Direct observation of repeated infections with endemic coronaviruses

scientific article published on 03 May 2020

Drought-induced amplification and epidemic transmission of West Nile virus in southern Florida

scientific article

Drought-induced amplification of Saint Louis encephalitis virus, Florida

scientific article (publication date: June 2002)

Dynamics of influenza in tropical Africa: Temperature, humidity, and co-circulating (sub)types.

scientific article published on 23 March 2018

Ebola: mobility data

scientific article

Efficient collective influence maximization in cascading processes with first-order transitions ⬇️

scientific article published on 28 March 2017

Emergence, Epidemiology, and Transmission Dynamics of 2009 Pandemic A/H1N1 Influenza in Kampala, Uganda, 2009-2015.

scientific article published on 30 October 2017

Ensemble forecast of human West Nile virus cases and mosquito infection rates

scientific article published on 24 February 2017

Environmental predictors of seasonal influenza epidemics across temperate and tropical climates

scientific article

Epidemic management and control through risk-dependent individual contact interventions

scientific article published on 23 June 2022

Evaluation of individual and ensemble probabilistic forecasts of COVID-19 mortality in the United States

scientific article published in 2022

Evaluation of mechanistic and statistical methods in forecasting influenza-like illness

scientific article published on 01 July 2018

Extreme Weather and Climate: Workshop Report

Forecasting Influenza Epidemics in Hong Kong

scientific article

Forecasting Influenza Outbreaks in Boroughs and Neighborhoods of New York City

scientific article

Forecasting influenza in Europe using a metapopulation model incorporating cross-border commuting and air travel

scientific article published on 14 October 2020

Forecasting seasonal influenza in the U.S.: A collaborative multi-year, multi-model assessment of forecast performance

Forecasting seasonal outbreaks of influenza

scientific article

Forecasting the spatial transmission of influenza in the United States.

scientific article published on 26 February 2018

Fostering advances in interdisciplinary climate science

scientific article published on 25 February 2013

Geospatial characteristics of measles transmission in China during 2005-2014.

scientific article

Health symptoms in relation to temperature, humidity, and self-reported perceptions of climate in New York City residential environments

scientific article published on 20 January 2017

Heat-coping strategies and bedroom thermal satisfaction in New York City

scientific article published on 22 September 2016

Hydrologic conditions describe West Nile virus risk in Colorado

scientific article

Hydrometeorology and flood pulse dynamics drive diarrheal disease outbreaks and increase vulnerability to climate change in surface-water-dependent populations: A retrospective analysis

article

Impact of School Cycles and Environmental Forcing on the Timing of Pandemic Influenza Activity in Mexican States, May-December 2009. ⬇️

scientific article

Improved Discrimination of Influenza Forecast Accuracy Using Consecutive Predictions

scientific article published on 5 October 2015

Individual versus superensemble forecasts of seasonal influenza outbreaks in the United States

scientific article published on 6 November 2017

Inference and control of the nosocomial transmission of methicillin-resistant

article

Inference and dynamic simulation of malaria using a simple climate-driven entomological model of malaria transmission

scientific article published on 09 June 2022

Inference and forecast of H7N9 influenza in China, 2013 to 2015.

scientific article published on February 2017

Inference and forecast of the current west african ebola outbreak in Guinea, sierra leone and liberia

scientific article published on 31 October 2014

Inference of seasonal and pandemic influenza transmission dynamics.

scientific article

Influenza Virus Contamination of Common Household Surfaces during the 2009 Influenza A (H1N1) Pandemic in Bangkok, Thailand: Implications for Contact Transmission ⬇️

scientific article published on November 1, 2010

Influenza forecast optimization when using different surveillance data types and geographic scale

scientific article published on 21 August 2018

Influenza forecasting in human populations: a scoping review

scientific article

Influenza transmission during extreme indoor conditions in a low-resource tropical setting

scientific article

Initial Simulation of SARS-CoV2 Spread and Intervention Effects in the Continental US

scientific article published on 23 March 2020

Intraseasonal Variability of the West African Monsoon and Atlantic ITCZ

article

Local environmental and meteorological conditions influencing the invasive mosquito Ae. albopictus and arbovirus transmission risk in New York City ⬇️

scientific article

Mask Wearing and Control of SARS-CoV-2 Transmission in the United States

scientific article published on 28 August 2020

Meteorological and hydrological influences on the spatial and temporal prevalence of West Nile virus in Culex mosquitoes, Suffolk County, New York

scientific article published in July 2011

Meteorological variability and infectious disease in Central Africa: a review of meteorological data quality

scientific article

Modeling and Surveillance of Reporting Delays of Mosquitoes and Humans Infected With West Nile Virus and Associations With Accuracy of West Nile Virus Forecasts

Opinion: Mathematical models: a key tool for outbreak response

scientific article

Optimizing respiratory virus surveillance networks using uncertainty propagation

scientific article published on 11 January 2021

Pandemic preparedness and forecast

scientific article published in March 2018

Pathobiological features favouring the intercontinental dissemination of highly pathogenic avian influenza virus.

scientific article published on 8 May 2019

Placental antibody transfer efficiency and maternal levels: specific for measles, coxsackievirus A16, enterovirus 71, poliomyelitis I-III and HIV-1 antibodies

scientific article published on 09 December 2016

Pre-vaccination evolution of antibodies among infants 0, 3 and 6months of age: A longitudinal analysis of measles, enterovirus 71 and coxsackievirus 16.

scientific article published on 10 June 2017

Predictability in process-based ensemble forecast of influenza

scientific article published on 28 February 2019

Predicting indoor heat exposure risk during extreme heat events

scientific article

Predictors of indoor absolute humidity and estimated effects on influenza virus survival in grade schools

scientific article

Projection of COVID-19 Cases and Deaths in the US as Individual States Re-open May 4,2020

scientific article published on 08 May 2020

Real-time influenza forecasts during the 2012-2013 season

scientific article published on January 2013

Reappraising the utility of Google Flu Trends

scientific article published on 02 August 2019

Remote Forcing versus Local Feedback of East Pacific Intraseasonal Variability during Boreal Summer

article

Reply to Rice and Henderson-Sellers: Survival of the fittest is not always the best option

scientific article published in July 2013

Representation of subsurface storm flow and a more responsive water table in a TOPMODEL-based hydrology model

article

Reproductive Phase Locking of Mosquito Populations in Response to Rainfall Frequency

scientific article (publication date: 28 March 2007)

Results from the centers for disease control and prevention's predict the 2013-2014 Influenza Season Challenge

scientific article

Results from the second year of a collaborative effort to forecast influenza seasons in the United States

scientific article published on 24 February 2018

Retrospective Parameter Estimation and Forecast of Respiratory Syncytial Virus in the United States

scientific article

Rotavirus Gastroenteritis Infection Among Children Vaccinated and Unvaccinated With Rotavirus Vaccine in Southern China: A Population-Based Assessment

article

Seasonal Influenza Infections and Cardiovascular Disease Mortality

scientific article

Seasonal forecast of St. Louis encephalitis virus transmission, Florida

scientific article published in May 2004

Severe winter freezes enhance St. Louis encephalitis virus amplification and epidemic transmission in peninsular Florida

scientific article published in November 2009

Shortcomings in climate model simulations of the ENSO-Atlantic hurricane teleconnection

article

Shortcomings of vitamin D-based model simulations of seasonal influenza

scientific article (publication date: 2011)

Simulation of four respiratory viruses and inference of epidemiological parameters

scholarly article by Julia Reis & Jeffrey Shaman published 2018 in Infectious Disease Modelling

Spatial Transmission of 2009 Pandemic Influenza in the US

scientific article

St. Louis encephalitis virus in wild birds during the 1990 south Florida epidemic: the importance of drought, wetting conditions, and the emergence of Culex nigripalpus (Diptera: Culicidae) to arboviral amplification and transmission

scientific article

Strategies for controlling the epizootic amplification of arboviruses

scientific article published in November 2011

Subregional Nowcasts of Seasonal Influenza Using Search Trends.

scientific article published on 6 November 2017

Substantial undocumented infection facilitates the rapid dissemination of novel coronavirus (SARS-CoV2)

scientific article

Superensemble forecasts of dengue outbreaks

scientific article published on October 2016

The 1918 influenza pandemic in New York City: age-specific timing, mortality, and transmission dynamics.

scientific article

The Dynamics of the ENSO–Atlantic Hurricane Teleconnection: ENSO-Related Changes to the North African–Asian Jet Affect Atlantic Basin Tropical Cyclogenesis

article

The El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO)-pandemic influenza connection: coincident or causal?

scientific article

The Need for Climate and Health Education.

scientific article published on 26 October 2017

The US 2009 A(H1N1) influenza epidemic: quantifying the impact of school openings on the reproductive number.

scientific article

The spatial-temporal distribution of drought, wetting, and human cases of St. Louis encephalitis in southcentral Florida

scientific article

The use of ambient humidity conditions to improve influenza forecast

scientific article published on 16 November 2017

Transmission dynamics of influenza in two major cities of Uganda.

scientific article published on 19 March 2018

Transmission network of the 2014-2015 Ebola epidemic in Sierra Leone

scientific article

Two longterm studies of seasonal variation in depressive symptoms among community participants

scientific article published on 13 August 2013

Type- and Subtype-Specific Influenza Forecast

scientific article published on 8 February 2017

Use of temperature to improve West Nile virus forecasts

scientific article published on 9 March 2018

Using a dynamic hydrology model to predict mosquito abundances in flood and swamp water

scientific article

Using hydrologic conditions to forecast the risk of focal and epidemic arboviral transmission in peninsular Florida

scientific article published on May 2008

What factors might have led to the emergence of Ebola in West Africa?

scientific article published on 4 June 2015

List of works by Jeffrey Shaman

Absolute Humidity and the Seasonal Onset of Influenza in the Continental US.

Absolute humidity and pandemic versus epidemic influenza

Absolute humidity and the seasonal onset of influenza in the continental United States

Absolute humidity modulates influenza survival, transmission, and seasonality

Accuracy of real-time multi-model ensemble forecasts for seasonal influenza in the U.S.

Achieving operational hydrologic monitoring of mosquitoborne disease

Active surveillance documents rates of clinical care seeking due to respiratory illness

Aggregating forecasts of multiple respiratory pathogens supports more accurate forecasting of influenza-like illness

Amplification due to spatial clustering in an individual-based model of mosquito-avian arbovirus transmission

Are big basins just the sum of small catchments?

Assessing the Use of Influenza Forecasts and Epidemiological Modeling in Public Health Decision Making in the United States

Association of spring-summer hydrology and meteorology with human West Nile virus infection in West Texas, USA, 2002-2016.

Asymptomatic Shedding of Respiratory Virus among an Ambulatory Population across Seasons.

Asymptomatic summertime shedding of respiratory viruses

Characteristics of measles epidemics in China (1951-2004) and implications for elimination: A case study of three key locations

Collaborative efforts to forecast seasonal influenza in the United States, 2015-2016

Comparison of filtering methods for the modeling and retrospective forecasting of influenza epidemics

Compound Risks of Hurricane Evacuation Amid the COVID-19 Pandemic in the United States

Correction for Birger et al., "Asymptomatic Shedding of Respiratory Virus among an Ambulatory Population across Seasons"

Correction: Absolute Humidity and the Seasonal Onset of Influenza in the Continental United States.

Correction: Absolute Humidity and the Seasonal Onset of Influenza in the Continental United States.

Correction: Geospatial characteristics of measles transmission in China during 2005-2014.

Counteracting structural errors in ensemble forecast of influenza outbreaks

Development and validation of a climate-based ensemble prediction model for West Nile Virus infection rates in Culex mosquitoes, Suffolk County, New York

Development and validation of influenza forecasting for 64 temperate and tropical countries

Differential COVID-19 case positivity in New York City neighborhoods: Socioeconomic factors and mobility

Differential Effects of Intervention Timing on COVID-19 Spread in the United States

Differential effects of intervention timing on COVID-19 spread in the United States

Direct Measurement of Rates of Asymptomatic Infection and Clinical Care-Seeking for Seasonal Coronavirus

Direct observation of repeated infections with endemic coronaviruses

Drought-induced amplification and epidemic transmission of West Nile virus in southern Florida

Drought-induced amplification of Saint Louis encephalitis virus, Florida

Dynamics of influenza in tropical Africa: Temperature, humidity, and co-circulating (sub)types.

Ebola: mobility data

Efficient collective influence maximization in cascading processes with first-order transitions ⬇️

Emergence, Epidemiology, and Transmission Dynamics of 2009 Pandemic A/H1N1 Influenza in Kampala, Uganda, 2009-2015.

Ensemble forecast of human West Nile virus cases and mosquito infection rates

Environmental predictors of seasonal influenza epidemics across temperate and tropical climates

Epidemic management and control through risk-dependent individual contact interventions

Evaluation of individual and ensemble probabilistic forecasts of COVID-19 mortality in the United States

Evaluation of mechanistic and statistical methods in forecasting influenza-like illness

Extreme Weather and Climate: Workshop Report

Forecasting Influenza Epidemics in Hong Kong

Forecasting Influenza Outbreaks in Boroughs and Neighborhoods of New York City

Forecasting influenza in Europe using a metapopulation model incorporating cross-border commuting and air travel

Forecasting seasonal influenza in the U.S.: A collaborative multi-year, multi-model assessment of forecast performance

Forecasting seasonal outbreaks of influenza

Forecasting the spatial transmission of influenza in the United States.

Fostering advances in interdisciplinary climate science

Geospatial characteristics of measles transmission in China during 2005-2014.

Health symptoms in relation to temperature, humidity, and self-reported perceptions of climate in New York City residential environments

Heat-coping strategies and bedroom thermal satisfaction in New York City

Hydrologic conditions describe West Nile virus risk in Colorado

Hydrometeorology and flood pulse dynamics drive diarrheal disease outbreaks and increase vulnerability to climate change in surface-water-dependent populations: A retrospective analysis

Impact of School Cycles and Environmental Forcing on the Timing of Pandemic Influenza Activity in Mexican States, May-December 2009. ⬇️

Improved Discrimination of Influenza Forecast Accuracy Using Consecutive Predictions

Individual versus superensemble forecasts of seasonal influenza outbreaks in the United States

Inference and control of the nosocomial transmission of methicillin-resistant

Inference and dynamic simulation of malaria using a simple climate-driven entomological model of malaria transmission

Inference and forecast of H7N9 influenza in China, 2013 to 2015.

Inference and forecast of the current west african ebola outbreak in Guinea, sierra leone and liberia

Inference of seasonal and pandemic influenza transmission dynamics.

Influenza Virus Contamination of Common Household Surfaces during the 2009 Influenza A (H1N1) Pandemic in Bangkok, Thailand: Implications for Contact Transmission ⬇️

Influenza forecast optimization when using different surveillance data types and geographic scale

Influenza forecasting in human populations: a scoping review

Influenza transmission during extreme indoor conditions in a low-resource tropical setting

Initial Simulation of SARS-CoV2 Spread and Intervention Effects in the Continental US

Intraseasonal Variability of the West African Monsoon and Atlantic ITCZ

Local environmental and meteorological conditions influencing the invasive mosquito Ae. albopictus and arbovirus transmission risk in New York City ⬇️

Mask Wearing and Control of SARS-CoV-2 Transmission in the United States

Meteorological and hydrological influences on the spatial and temporal prevalence of West Nile virus in Culex mosquitoes, Suffolk County, New York

Meteorological variability and infectious disease in Central Africa: a review of meteorological data quality

Modeling and Surveillance of Reporting Delays of Mosquitoes and Humans Infected With West Nile Virus and Associations With Accuracy of West Nile Virus Forecasts

Opinion: Mathematical models: a key tool for outbreak response

Optimizing respiratory virus surveillance networks using uncertainty propagation

Pandemic preparedness and forecast

Pathobiological features favouring the intercontinental dissemination of highly pathogenic avian influenza virus.

Placental antibody transfer efficiency and maternal levels: specific for measles, coxsackievirus A16, enterovirus 71, poliomyelitis I-III and HIV-1 antibodies

Pre-vaccination evolution of antibodies among infants 0, 3 and 6months of age: A longitudinal analysis of measles, enterovirus 71 and coxsackievirus 16.