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List of works by Piers Forster

A Climatology of the Tropical Tropopause Layer

scientific article

A Model-Derived Global Climatology of UV Irradiation at the Earth's Surface

article

A PDRMIP Multimodel Study on the Impacts of Regional Aerosol Forcings on Global and Regional Precipitation ⬇️

scientific article published on 17 May 2018

A Surface Energy Perspective on Climate Change ⬇️

scholarly article by Timothy Andrews et al published May 2009 in Journal of Climate

A balance between radiative forcing and climate feedback in the modeled 20th century temperature response ⬇️

article

A case study of the radiative forcing of persistent contrails evolving into contrail-induced cirrus ⬇️

article

A comparison of temperature and precipitation responses to different Earth radiation management geoengineering schemes ⬇️

article

A comparison of two radiation schemes for calculating ultraviolet radiation

A methodology for in-situ and remote sensing of microphysical and radiative properties of contrails as they evolve into cirrus ⬇️

scholarly article

A new framework for understanding and quantifying uncertainties in the remaining carbon budget

scientific article

A real-time Global Warming Index. ⬇️

scientific article published on 13 November 2017

A regional and global analysis of carbon dioxide physiological forcing and its impact on climate

article

A topography of climate change research

scientific article published on 27 January 2020

Accounting for Changing Temperature Patterns Increases Historical Estimates of Climate Sensitivity ⬇️

article

Adaptation planning and the use of climate change projections in local government in England and Germany ⬇️

article

Adjustments in the Forcing-Feedback Framework for Understanding Climate Change ⬇️

scholarly article by Steven C. Sherwood et al published February 2015 in Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society

Aerosol climate feedback due to decadal increases in Southern Hemisphere wind speeds ⬇️

scientific article published in January 2010

Aerosol mass spectrometer constraint on the global secondary organic aerosol budget ⬇️

scholarly article

An Empirical Study of Geographic and Seasonal Variations in Diurnal Temperature Range ⬇️

An Estimate of Equilibrium Climate Sensitivity From Interannual Variability ⬇️

article

An all-sky radiative transfer method to predict optimal tilt and azimuth angle of a solar collector ⬇️

article by Christopher J. Smith et al published January 2016 in Solar Energy

An assessment of Earth's climate sensitivity using multiple lines of evidence

scientific article published on 22 July 2020

An assessment of precipitation adjustment and feedback computation methods ⬇️

scholarly article

An energetic perspective on hydrological cycle changes in the Geoengineering Model Intercomparison Project ⬇️

article

An estimate of equilibrium climate sensitivity from interannual variability

article

An integrated approach to quantifying uncertainties in the remaining carbon budget

scientific article

An intensified hydrological cycle in the simulation of geoengineering by cirrus cloud thinning using ice crystal fall speed changes ⬇️

An observationally based energy balance for the Earth since 1950 ⬇️

scientific article

An overview of the Geoengineering Model Intercomparison Project (GeoMIP) ⬇️

article

Arctic Amplification Response to Individual Climate Drivers

scientific article published in 2019

Assessing the climate impact of trends in stratospheric water vapor

article by Piers M. de F. Forster & K. P. Shine published March 2002 in Geophysical Research Letters

Assessing the controllability of Arctic sea ice extent by sulfate aerosol geoengineering ⬇️

scholarly article

Assessing uncertainty in climate simulations

scientific article published on 11 November 2014

Atmospheric Lifetimes, Infrared Absorption Spectra, Radiative Forcings and Global Warming Potentials of NF 3 and CFC-115

article

Atmospheric lifetimes, infrared absorption spectra, radiative forcings and global warming potentials of NF3 and CF3CF2Cl (CFC-115) ⬇️

scholarly article

Author Correction: Emission budgets and pathways consistent with limiting warming to 1.5 °C ⬇️

article

Author Correction: Estimating and tracking the remaining carbon budget for stringent climate targets

scientific article published on 01 April 2020

Aviation and global climate change in the 21st century

article

Biased Estimates of Equilibrium Climate Sensitivity and Transient Climate Response Derived From Historical CMIP6 Simulations

scholarly article

Bounding Global Aerosol Radiative Forcing of Climate Change

scientific article published on 16 March 2020

Bounding the role of black carbon in the climate system: A scientific assessment ⬇️

scholarly article

Breath of fresh air

CO2forcing induces semi-direct effects with consequences for climate feedback interpretations

scholarly article

Can increasing albedo of existing ship wakes reduce climate change? ⬇️

scholarly article

Carbon Dioxide Physiological Forcing Dominates Projected Eastern Amazonian Drying ⬇️

scientific article published on 28 March 2018

Changes in IPCC scenario assessment emulators between SR1.5 and AR6 unravelled

scientific article published in 2022

Changes in global-mean precipitation in response to warming, greenhouse gas forcing and black carbon ⬇️

article

Changes in ultraviolet radiation due to stratospheric and tropospheric ozone changes since preindustrial times

article published in 1998

Characteristics of biochars from crop residues: potential for carbon sequestration and soil amendment

scientific article published on 28 August 2014

Chemistry and the Linkages between Air Quality and Climate Change ⬇️

scientific article

Climate Forcings and Climate Sensitivities Diagnosed from Coupled Climate Model Integrations

article

Climate Impacts From a Removal of Anthropogenic Aerosol Emissions ⬇️

scientific article published on 08 January 2018

Climate change impacts on future photovoltaic and concentrated solar power energy output

scholarly article by Julia A. Crook et al published 2011 in Energy and Environmental Science

Climate with care

Cloud Adjustment and its Role in CO2 Radiative Forcing and Climate Sensitivity: A Review ⬇️

article

Comment on “Climate forcing by stratospheric ozone depletion calculated from observed temperature trends” by Zhong et al

scholarly article

Comparison of surface albedo feedback in climate models and observations ⬇️

scholarly article

Contrail Microphysics ⬇️

Contributions of Different Cloud Types to Feedbacks and Rapid Adjustments in CMIP5* ⬇️

Corrigendum to “It is premature to include non-CO2 effects of aviation in emission trading schemes”

scholarly article published in Atmospheric Environment

Coupled chemistry climate model simulations of stratospheric temperatures and their trends for the recent past ⬇️

article

Current and future global climate impacts resulting from COVID-19

scholarly article by Carl-Friedrich Schleussner published in 2020

Current fossil fuel infrastructure does not yet commit us to 1.5 °C warming ⬇️

scientific article published in Nature Communications

Decline of Arctic sea ice: Evaluation and weighting of CMIP5 projections ⬇️

article published in 2014

Declining uncertainty in transient climate response as CO2 forcing dominates future climate change ⬇️

article

Decreases in stratospheric water vapor after 2001: Links to changes in the tropical tropopause and the Brewer-Dobson circulation

article

Determination of the atmospheric lifetime and global warming potential of sulfur hexafluoride using a three-dimensional model ⬇️

scholarly article

Determination of the atmospheric lifetime and global warming potential of sulphur hexafluoride using a three-dimensional model ⬇️

article

Dynamical response of Mediterranean precipitation to greenhouse gases and aerosols ⬇️

scholarly article

Effective Radiative Forcing and Adjustments in CMIP6

scientific article

Effective Radiative Forcing in a GCM With Fixed Surface Temperatures

scientific article

Effective Radiative forcing from emissions of reactive gases and aerosols – a multimodel comparison

scientific article published on 13 March 2020

Effective radiative forcing and adjustments in CMIP6 models

scientific article

Effective radiative forcing and adjustments in CMIP6 models

Effective radiative forcing in a GCM with fixed surface temperatures

scientific article

Effective radiative forcing in a GCM with fixed surface temperatures

Effects of ozone cooling in the tropical lower stratosphere and upper troposphere ⬇️

scholarly article

Efficacy of Climate Forcings in PDRMIP Models

scientific article published on 11 December 2019

Emission budgets and pathways consistent with limiting warming to 1.5 °C ⬇️

article

Energy Budget Constraints on the Time History of Aerosol Forcing and Climate Sensitivity

Energy Budget Constraints on the Time History of Aerosol Forcing and Climate Sensitivity

Energy Budget Constraints on the Time History of Aerosol Forcing and Climate Sensitivity

Energy budget constraints on climate response ⬇️

article

Equilibrium Climate Sensitivity and Transient Climate Response biased low in historical simulations of CMIP6 models

scientific article

Erratum: Publisher Correction: Current and future global climate impacts resulting from COVID-19

scientific article published on 14 August 2020

Errors in Simple Climate Model Emulations of Past and Future Global Temperature Change

scientific article published in 2022

Estimating Carbon Budgets for Ambitious Climate Targets ⬇️

article

Estimating and tracking the remaining carbon budget for stringent climate targets

scientific article published in July 2019

Estimating the climate impact of linear contrails using the UK Met Office climate model ⬇️

article

Evaluating adjusted forcing and model spread for historical and future scenarios in the CMIP5 generation of climate models ⬇️

article

Evaluation of In Situ Rainwater Harvesting as an Adaptation Strategy to Climate Change for Maize Production in Rainfed Africa ⬇️

article

Evaluation of radiation scheme performance within chemistry climate models ⬇️

article

Extending water vapor trend observations over Boulder into the tropopause region: Trend uncertainties and resulting radiative forcing ⬇️

scientific article published in October 2013

Extreme wet and dry conditions affected differently by greenhouse gases and aerosols

scientific article published on 17 July 2019

FAIR v1.1: A simple emissions-based impulse response and carbon cycle model

FAIR v1.3: a simple emissions-based impulse response and carbon cycle model ⬇️

article by Christopher J. Smith et al published 18 June 2018 in Geoscientific Model Development

Fast and slow precipitation responses to individual climate forcers: A PDRMIP multimodel study

article

Forcing, feedback and internal variability in global temperature trends ⬇️

scientific article published on January 2015

Future loss of local-scale thermal refugia in coral reef ecosystems

scientific article published on 01 February 2022

Global Carbon Budget 2020

scientific article

Global analysis of photovoltaic energy output enhanced by phase change material cooling ⬇️

Global cloud condensation nuclei influenced by carbonaceous combustion aerosol ⬇️

scholarly article

Half a degree additional warming, prognosis and projected impacts (HAPPI): background and experimental design ⬇️

article

Halfway to doubling of CO2 radiative forcing ⬇️

Homing in on a key factor of climate change ⬇️

scientific article published in January 2018

Horizontal transport affecting trace gas seasonality in the Tropical Tropopause Layer (TTL) ⬇️

scholarly article

IPCC Sixth Assessment Report ⬇️

intergovernmental report on climate change

Impact of Aviation on Climate: FAA’s Aviation Climate Change Research Initiative (ACCRI) Phase II ⬇️

scientific article (publication date: April 2016)

Impact of El Niño Southern Oscillation on the interannual variability of methane and tropospheric ozone

scientific article

Impact of El Niño–Southern Oscillation on the interannual variability of methane and tropospheric ozone

scholarly article

Impact of gas-to-particle partitioning approaches on the simulated radiative effects of biogenic secondary organic aerosol ⬇️

scholarly article

Impact of uncertainties in atmospheric mixing on simulated UTLS composition and related radiative effects ⬇️

article

Impact on short-lived climate forcers (SLCFs) from a realistic land-use change scenario via changes in biogenic emissions ⬇️

scientific article published on 6 June 2017

Impact on short-lived climate forcers increases projected warming due to deforestation. ⬇️

scientific article published on 11 January 2018

Impacts of Stratospheric Sulfate Geoengineering on Global Solar Photovoltaic and Concentrating Solar Power Resource ⬇️

Implications of possible interpretations of 'greenhouse gas balance' in the Paris Agreement ⬇️

scientific article published in May 2018

Importance of tropospheric volcanic aerosol for indirect radiative forcing of climate ⬇️

scholarly article

In Retrospect: Half a century of robust climate models

scientific article published in May 2017

Increased water vapour lifetime due to global warming

article

Indicate separate contributions of long-lived and short-lived greenhouse gases in emission targets

scientific article published on 28 January 2022

Indicators of Global Climate Change 2023: annual update of key indicators of the state of the climate system and human influence

scientific article published on 5 June 2024

Inference of Climate Sensitivity from Analysis of Earth's Energy Budget

article

Intercomparison of radiative forcing calculations of stratospheric water vapour and contrails

Intercomparison of the capabilities of simplified climate models to project the effects of aviation CO2 on climate

article published in 2013

Is 1.5 °C of global warming inevitable and if so, when?

scientific article

Is Antarctic climate most sensitive to ozone depletion in the middle or lower stratosphere? ⬇️

scholarly article

Issues and Uncertainties Affecting Metrics For Aviation Impacts on Climate ⬇️

It is premature to include non-CO2 effects of aviation in emission trading schemes

Large Variations in Volcanic Aerosol Forcing Efficiency Due to Eruption Source Parameters and Rapid Adjustments

scholarly article

Large contribution of natural aerosols to uncertainty in indirect forcing. ⬇️

scientific article published on November 2013

Large variations in volcanic aerosol forcing efficiency due to eruption source parameters and rapid adjustments

scientific article

Latest climate models confirm need for urgent mitigation

scientific article published on 2 December 2019

Local biomass burning is a dominant cause of the observed precipitation reduction in southern Africa ⬇️

scientific article published on 12 April 2016

Mediterranean Precipitation Response to Greenhouse Gases and Aerosols

Model structure in observational constraints on transient climate response ⬇️

article

Modeled rapid adjustments in diurnal temperature range response to CO2and solar forcings ⬇️

article

Modeling Ultraviolet Radiation at the Earth's Surface. Part II: Model and Instrument Comparison

article

Modelled and observed changes in aerosols and surface solar radiation over Europe between 1960 and 2009 ⬇️

scholarly article

Modelled and observed changes in aerosols and surface solar radiation over Europe between 1960 and 2009

Modifying emission scenario projections to account for the effects of COVID-19: protocol for Covid-MIP

scientific article

Modifying emissions data and projections to incorporate the effects of lockdown in climate modelling

scientific article

Modifying emissions scenario projections to account for the effects of COVID-19: protocol for CovidMIP

scientific article

Multi-model simulations of aerosol and ozone radiative forcing due to anthropogenic emission changes during the period 1990–2015 ⬇️

article

Multi-model simulations of aerosol and ozone radiative forcing for the period 1990–2015

article

Natural aerosol direct and indirect radiative effects ⬇️

scientific article published on 19 June 2013

New Generation of Climate Models Track Recent Unprecedented Changes in Earth's Radiation Budget Observed by CERES

scientific article published in 2020

New use of global warming potentials to compare cumulative and short-lived climate pollutants ⬇️

article

Observational Evidence of Increasing Global Radiative Forcing

scholarly article

Observational constraints reduce estimates of the global mean climate relevance of black carbon

scientific article

Observations of a "weekend effect" in diurnal temperature range

scientific article

On the Accuracy of Deriving Climate Feedback Parameters from Correlations between Surface Temperature and Outgoing Radiation

On the Role of Radiative Processes in Stratosphere–Troposphere Coupling ⬇️

Opportunities and challenges in using remaining carbon budgets to guide climate policy

scientific article

PDRMIP: A Precipitation Driver and Response Model Intercomparison Project—Protocol and Preliminary Results ⬇️

article

Parameterization of contrails in the UK Met Office Climate Model ⬇️

article

Past, present and future aerosol forcing derived from CMIP6

scientific article

Potential climatic effects of meteoric smoke in the Earth's paleo-atmosphere ⬇️

scholarly article

Precipitation, radiative forcing and global temperature change ⬇️

scholarly article

Quantifying components of aerosol-cloud-radiation interactions in climate models ⬇️

article

Quantifying the Importance of Rapid Adjustments for Global Precipitation Changes ⬇️

scientific article published on 30 October 2018

Radiative forcing and temperature trends from stratospheric ozone changes

scholarly article

Radiative forcing of climate change from the Copernicus reanalysis of atmospheric composition

scientific article

Radiative forcing of climate change from the Copernicus reanalysis of atmospheric composition

Preprint

Rapid Adjustments Cause Weak Surface Temperature Response to Increased Black Carbon Concentrations ⬇️

scientific article published on 10 October 2017

Realizing the impacts of a 1.5 °C warmer world ⬇️

article

Recommendations for diagnosing effective radiative forcing from climate models for CMIP6 ⬇️

Reduced migration under climate change: evidence from Malawi using an aspirations and capabilities framework

article

Reply to ‘Interpretations of the Paris climate target’ ⬇️

Resolution of the uncertainties in the radiative forcing of HFC-134a

article published in 2005

Rethinking climate engineering categorization in the context of climate change mitigation and adaptation ⬇️

scholarly article by Olivier Boucher et al published 23 October 2013 in Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: WIREs Climate Change

Satellite constraint on the tropospheric ozone radiative effect ⬇️

scholarly article

Scientific data from precipitation driver response model intercomparison project

scientific article published on 30 March 2022

Sea spray geoengineering experiments in the geoengineering model intercomparison project (GeoMIP): Experimental design and preliminary results ⬇️

article

Selective environmental stress from sulphur emitted by continental flood basalt eruptions ⬇️

scientific article published on 23 November 2015

Selective inactivation of viruses in the presence of human platelets: UV sensitization with psoralen derivatives.

scientific article

Sensible heat has significantly affected the global hydrological cycle over the historical period. ⬇️

scientific article

Sensitivity of Historical Climate Simulations to Uncertain Aerosol Forcing

scholarly article

Slow and fast responses of mean and extreme precipitation to different forcing in CMIP5 simulations ⬇️

article

Small global-mean cooling due to volcanic radiative forcing

scholarly article by J. M. Gregory et al published 12 March 2016 in Climate Dynamics

Spatial Patterns of Modeled Climate Feedback and Contributions to Temperature Response and Polar Amplification ⬇️

article

Special Report on Global Warming of 1.5ºC ⬇️

special climate change report published by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change

Stratospheric variability and trends in models used for the IPCC AR4

Stratospheric water vapour changes as a possible contributor to observed stratospheric cooling

article by Piers M. de F. Forster & Keith P. Shine published 1 November 1999 in Geophysical Research Letters

Stringent mitigation substantially reduces risk of unprecedented near-term warming rates

scholarly article

Supplementary material to "Effective Radiative forcing from emissions of reactive gases and aerosols – a multimodel comparison"

scientific article published on 13 March 2020

Supplementary material to "Effective radiative forcing and adjustments in CMIP6 models"

scientific article

Supplementary material to "Impact of El Niño Southern Oscillation on the interannual variability of methane and tropospheric ozone"

scientific article

Supplementary material to "Multi-model simulations of aerosol and ozone radiative forcing for the period 1990–2015"

scientific article published in August 2016

Suppressed Late‐20th Century Warming in CMIP6 Models Explained by Forcing and Feedbacks

scholarly article

Tailoring the visual communication of climate projections for local adaptation practitioners in Germany and the UK. ⬇️

scientific article

The Climate Response to Emissions Reductions Due to COVID‐19: Initial Results From CovidMIP

scientific article

The Climate Sensitivity and Its Components Diagnosed from Earth Radiation Budget Data

The Extratropical Tropopause Inversion Layer: Global Observations with GPS Data, and a Radiative Forcing Mechanism ⬇️

article

The Radiative Forcing Model Intercomparison Project (RFMIP): Experimental Protocol for CMIP6

The Radiative Forcing Model Intercomparison Project (RFMIP): experimental protocol for CMIP6 ⬇️

scientific article published in 2016

The Role Of Halocarbons In The Climate Change Of The Troposphere And Stratosphere

article

The annual cycle in lower stratospheric temperatures revisited ⬇️

scholarly article

The communication of physical science uncertainty in European National Adaptation Strategies ⬇️

scientific article

The direct and indirect radiative effects of biogenic secondary organic aerosol ⬇️

scholarly article

The impact of residential combustion emissions on atmospheric aerosol, human health and climate

article

The impact of residential combustion emissions on atmospheric aerosol, human health, and climate ⬇️

scholarly article

The importance of the diurnal and annual cycle of air traffic for contrail radiative forcing

scientific article

The semi-direct aerosol effect: Impact of absorbing aerosols on marine stratocumulus

The socioeconomics of food crop production and climate change vulnerability: a global scale quantitative analysis of how grain crops are sensitive to drought

article

The transient response of global-mean precipitation to increasing carbon dioxide levels ⬇️

article

Transient climate response estimated from radiative forcing and observed temperature change ⬇️

article

Tropospheric ozone radiative forcing uncertainty due to pre-industrial fire and biogenic emissions

scholarly article

Typologies of crop-drought vulnerability: an empirical analysis of the socio-economic factors that influence the sensitivity and resilience to drought of three major food crops in China (1961–2001)

article

Understanding Rapid Adjustments to Diverse Forcing Agents

scientific article published on 08 November 2018

Understanding the Rapid Precipitation Response to CO2and Aerosol Forcing on a Regional Scale* ⬇️

article

Using a migration systems approach to understand the link between climate change and urbanisation in Malawi ⬇️

scholarly article by Natalie Suckall et al published September 2015 in Applied Geography

Volcanic radiative forcing from 1979 to 2015

scientific article

Weak hydrological sensitivity to temperature change over land, independent of climate forcing ⬇️

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