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List of works by Myles Allen

A Multi-model Assessment of the Changing Risks of Extreme Rainfall Events in Bangladesh under 1.5 and 2.0 degrees’ warmer worlds

scientific article

A Multimodel Update on the Detection and Attribution of Global Surface Warming

article

A large set of potential past, present and future hydro-meteorological time series for the UK

A large set of potential past, present and future hydro-meteorological time series for the UK

scientific article

A modified impulse-response representation of the global near-surface air temperature and atmospheric concentration response to carbon dioxide emissions

article

A novel view of global warming

article

A solution to the misrepresentations of CO2-equivalent emissions of short-lived climate pollutants under ambitious mitigation

An analysis of ways to decarbonize conference travel after COVID-19

scientific article published on 01 July 2020

Anthropogenic greenhouse gas contribution to flood risk in England and Wales in autumn 2000.

scientific article

Anthropogenic influence on the changing likelihood of an exceptionally warm summer in Texas, 2011

scientific article

Assessing mid-latitude dynamics in extreme event attribution systems

article

Assessing the Relative Roles of Initial and Boundary Conditions in Interannual to Decadal Climate Predictability

article by Matthew Collins & Myles Allen published November 2002 in Journal of Climate

Assessing the robustness of zonal mean climate change detection

scholarly article by Peter Thorne et al published October 2002 in Geophysical Research Letters

Assigning historic responsibility for extreme weather events

scientific article published on 02 November 2017

Association of parameter, software, and hardware variation with large-scale behavior across 57,000 climate models.

scholarly article

Atmosphere. Call off the quest

scientific article published on 01 October 2007

Attributing human mortality during extreme heat waves to anthropogenic climate change

scholarly article by Daniel Mitchell et al published 1 July 2016 in Environmental Research Letters

Attribution of Weather and Climate-Related Events

Attribution of changes in precipitation patterns in African rainforests

scientific article

Attribution of extreme weather events in Africa: a preliminary exploration of the science and policy implications

article

Author Correction: Emission budgets and pathways consistent with limiting warming to 1.5 °C ⬇️

article

Broad range of 2050 warming from an observationally constrained large climate model ensemble

article

Can correcting feature location in simulated mean climate improve agreement on projected changes?

article

Causes of twentieth-century temperature change near the Earth's surface

scientific article published in Nature

Characterizing loss and damage from climate change

scholarly article by Rachel James et al published November 2014 in Nature Climate Change

Climate Change Detection and Attribution: Beyond Mean Temperature Signals

scholarly article by Gabriele C. Hegerl et al published October 2006 in Journal of Climate

Climate change, climate justice and the application of probabilistic event attribution to summer heat extremes in the California Central Valley

article

Climate e-mails: man's mark is clear in thermometer record

scientific article published in Nature

Climate forecasting: possible or probable?

scientific article published on September 2003

Comment on "The global tree restoration potential"

scientific article

Comment on “Heat capacity, time constant, and sensitivity of Earth's climate system” by S. E. Schwartz

scientific article published in 2008

Concerns over calculating injury-related deaths associated with temperature

scientific article published on 16 November 2020

Constraining Climate Sensitivity from the Seasonal Cycle in Surface Temperature

article by Reto Knutti et al published September 2006 in Journal of Climate

Constraining uncertainties in climate models using climate change detection techniques

scholarly article by Chris E. Forest et al published 15 February 2000 in Geophysical Research Letters

Constraints on future changes in climate and the hydrologic cycle

scientific article (publication date: 12 September 2002)

Correcting precipitation feature location in general circulation models

article

Cumulative carbon emissions, emissions floors and short-term rates of warming: implications for policy.

scientific article

Current fossil fuel infrastructure does not yet commit us to 1.5 °C warming ⬇️

scientific article published in Nature Communications

Demonstrating GWP*: a means of reporting warming-equivalent emissions that captures the contrasting impacts of short- and longlived climate pollutants

scientific article published on 20 January 2020

Detecting and Attributing External Influences on the Climate System: A Review of Recent Advances

article

Detection and attribution of changes in 20th century land precipitation

article by F. Hugo Lambert et al published May 2004 in Geophysical Research Letters

Differences between carbon budget estimates unravelled

article

Difficult but not impossible

Embracing an uncertain future

scientific article published in Nature

Embracing uncertainty in climate change policy

scientific article

Emission budgets and pathways consistent with limiting warming to 1.5 °C ⬇️

article

Energy budget constraints on climate response ⬇️

article

Ensuring that offsets and other internationally transferred mitigation outcomes contribute effectively to limiting global warming

scientific article published on 23 June 2021

Equivalence of greenhouse-gas emissions for peak temperature limits

Erratum: Corrigendum: The role of short-lived climate pollutants in meeting temperature goals

scholarly article published in Nature Climate Change

Estimating Carbon Budgets for Ambitious Climate Targets ⬇️

article

Europe's 'green deal' and carbon dioxide removal

scientific article published on 01 January 2021

Evaluation of a large ensemble regional climate modelling system for extreme weather events analysis over Bangladesh

scientific article

Evidence for nonlinearity in observed stratospheric circulation changes

article

Extreme heat-related mortality avoided under Paris Agreement goals

article published in 2018

FAIR v1.1: A simple emissions-based impulse response and carbon cycle model

FAIR v1.3: a simple emissions-based impulse response and carbon cycle model ⬇️

article by Christopher J. Smith et al published 18 June 2018 in Geoscientific Model Development

FaIRv2.0.0: a generalised impulse-response model for climate uncertainty and future scenario exploration

scientific article

FaIRv2.0.0: a generalized impulse response model for climate uncertainty and future scenario exploration

scientific article

Finding Ocean States That Are Consistent with Observations from a Perturbed Physics Parameter Ensemble

scientific article

Focus on cumulative emissions, global carbon budgets and the implications for climate mitigation targets

scientific article published on 07 November 2017

Forced summer stationary waves: the opposing effects of direct radiative forcing and sea surface warming

scientific article

Further improvement of warming-equivalent emissions calculation

scientific article published in 2021

GIR v1.0.0: a generalised impulse-response model for climate uncertainty and future scenario exploration

scientific article

Global implications of 1.5 °C and 2 °C warmer worlds on extreme river flows

article

Greenhouse-gas emission targets for limiting global warming to 2 degrees C.

scientific article

Half a degree additional warming, prognosis and projected impacts (HAPPI): background and experimental design ⬇️

article

Higher CO2 concentrations increase extreme event risk in a 1.5 °C world

scientific article

Human influence on climate in the 2014 southern England winter floods and their impacts

article

Impact of delay in reducing carbon dioxide emissions

scientific article

Impact of sub-seasonal atmosphere-ocean interactions on extreme event statistics

scientific article

Implications of changes in the northern hemisphere circulation for the detection of anthropogenic climate change

scholarly article by Nathan P. Gillett et al published 1 April 2000 in Geophysical Research Letters

Improved calculation of warming-equivalent emissions for short-lived climate pollutants

scientific article published on 4 September 2019

Incorporating model uncertainty into attribution of observed temperature change

article

Increased outburst flood hazard from Lake Palcacocha due to human-induced glacier retreat

scientific article published in 2021

Increasing the detectability of external influence on precipitation by correcting feature location in GCMs

article

Indicate separate contributions of long-lived and short-lived greenhouse gases in emission targets

scientific article published on 28 January 2022

Indicators of Global Climate Change 2022: Annual update of large-scale indicators of the state of the climate system and the human influence

Indicators of Global Climate Change 2022: annual update of large-scale indicators of the state of the climate system and human influence

scientific article published in 2023

Interactions between the atmosphere and oceans on time scales of weeks to years

doctoral thesis by Myles R. Allen

Is Anthropogenic Global Warming Accelerating?

scientific article published in 2022

Liability for climate change

scientific article

Mapping the climate change challenge

scholarly article by Stéphane Hallegatte et al published July 2016 in Nature Climate Change

Mechanisms Controlling Precipitation in the Northern Portion of the North American Monsoon

Methane and the Paris Agreement temperature goals

scientific article published on 6 December 2021

Method Uncertainty Is Essential for Reliable Confidence Statements of Precipitation Projections

scientific article published on 10 December 2020

Model error in weather and climate forecasting

article

Model structure in observational constraints on transient climate response ⬇️

article

Multi-thousand member ensemble atmospheric simulations with global 60km resolution using climateprediction.net

scientific article

New use of global warming potentials to compare cumulative and short-lived climate pollutants ⬇️

article

Observational Constraints on Past Attributable Warming and Predictions of Future Global Warming

article

Obtaining diverse behaviors in a climate model without the use of flux adjustments

article

Perspective has a strong effect on the calculation of historical contributions to global warming

article

Perspectives on the causes of exceptionally low 2015 snowpack in the western United States

scholarly article by Philip W. Mote et al published 28 October 2016 in Geophysical Research Letters

Planetary boundaries: Tangible targets are critical

Potential influences on the United Kingdom's floods of winter 2013/14

article

Progressive supply-side policy under the Paris Agreement to enhance geological carbon storage

scientific article published on 11 August 2020

Quantifying uncertainties in climate system properties with the use of recent climate observations

scientific article (publication date: 4 January 2002)

Quantifying uncertainty in future Southern Hemisphere circulation trends

scholarly article

Realizing the impacts of a 1.5 °C warmer world ⬇️

article

Regional climate response to solar-radiation management

article

Reply to 'Drivers of the 2013/14 winter floods in the UK'

article

Reply to ‘Interpretations of the Paris climate target’ ⬇️

Return period of extreme rainfall substantially decreases under 1.5 °C and 2.0 °C warming: a case study for Uttarakhand, India

scientific article

Risk Management and Climate Change ⬇️

scientific article published in December 2012

Risks of Pre-Monsoon Extreme Rainfall Events of Bangladesh: Is Anthropogenic Climate Change Playing a Role?

scientific article

Risks of seasonal extreme rainfall events in Bangladesh under 1.5 and 2.0 degrees’ warmer worlds – How anthropogenic aerosols change the story

scientific article

Seasonal spatial patterns of projected anthropogenic warming in complex terrain: a modeling study of the western US

scientific article

Sensitivity of Climate Change Detection and Attribution to the Characterization of Internal Climate Variability

scholarly article by Jara Imbers et al published May 2014 in Journal of Climate

Special Report on Global Warming of 1.5ºC ⬇️

special climate change report published by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change

Superensemble Regional Climate Modeling for the Western United States

scholarly article by Philip W. Mote et al published February 2016 in Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society

Supplementary material to "A large set of potential past, present and future hydro-meteorological time series for the UK"

scientific article

Supplementary material to "FaIRv2.0.0: a generalised impulse-response model for climate uncertainty and future scenario exploration"

scientific article

Supplementary material to "GIR v1.0.0: a generalised impulse-response model for climate uncertainty and future scenario exploration"

scientific article

Supplementary material to "Risks of seasonal extreme rainfall events in Bangladesh under 1.5 and 2.0 degrees’ warmer worlds – How anthropogenic aerosols change the story"

scientific article

Supplementary material to "The weather@home regional climate modelling project for Australia and New Zealand"

scientific article

Supplementary material to "weather@home 2: validation of an improved global-regional climate modelling system"

scientific article

Temperature oscillations

scientific article published in Nature

Test of a decadal climate forecast

article

The Detection and Attribution of Climate Change Using an Ensemble of Opportunity

article

The Detection and Attribution of Human Influence on Climate

The End-to-End Attribution Problem: From Emissions to Impacts

article published in 2005

The attribution question

article

The blame game

scientific article published on December 2004

The cumulative carbon budget and its implications

scientific article

The exit strategy

article

The implications of carbon dioxide and methane exchange for the heavy mitigation RCP2.6 scenario under two metrics

The link between a global 2 °C warming threshold and emissions in years 2020, 2050 and beyond

article

The many possible climates from the Paris Agreement’s aim of 1.5 °C warming

scientific article published in Nature

The meaning of net zero and how to get it right

The myriad challenges of the Paris Agreement

scientific article published in May 2018

The role of short-lived climate pollutants in meeting temperature goals

The weather@home regional climate modelling project for Australia and New Zealand

article

The weather@home regional climate modelling project for Australia and New Zealand

scientific article

Tonga eruption increases chance of temporary surface temperature anomaly above 1.5 °C

scientific article published on 12 January 2023

Towards objective probabalistic climate forecasting.

scientific article published on September 2002

Transformations to regenerative food systems—An outline of the FixOurFood project

Two Approaches to Quantifying Uncertainty in Global Temperature Changes

article published in 2006

Uncertain impacts on economic growth when stabilizing global temperatures at 1.5°C or 2°C warming.

scientific article published in May 2018

Uncertainty in continental-scale temperature predictions

scholarly article

Using a Game to Engage Stakeholders in Extreme Event Attribution Science

Warming caused by cumulative carbon emissions towards the trillionth tonne

scientific article

weather@home 2: validation of an improved global-regional climate modelling system

scientific article

weather@home 2: validation of an improved global–regional climate modelling system

scientific article published in 2017

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