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List of works by Steven Riley

A comparison of hemagglutination inhibition and neutralization assays for characterizing immunity to seasonal influenza A

scientific article published on 12 July 2016

A mechanistic spatio-temporal framework for modelling individual-to-individual transmission-With an application to the 2014-2015 West Africa Ebola outbreak.

scientific article published on 30 October 2017

A model to control the epidemic of H5N1 influenza at the source.

scientific article

A novel method for determining the difficulty of colonoscopic polypectomy.

scientific article published on June 2013

A serial cross-sectional serologic survey of 2009 Pandemic (H1N1) in Hong Kong: implications for future pandemic influenza surveillance.

scientific article

A simple approach to measure transmissibility and forecast incidence

scientific article published on 24 February 2017

A systematic review of reported reassortant viral lineages of influenza A

scientific article published in 2016

A systematic review of transmission dynamic studies of methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus in non-hospital residential facilities

scientific article published on 18 April 2018

Accurate influenza forecasts using type-specific incidence data for small geographic units

scientific article published on 29 July 2021

An infectious way to teach students about outbreaks

scientific article published on 9 December 2017

An open source tool to infer epidemiological and immunological dynamics from serological data: Serosolver

scientific article published on 04 May 2020

Characterising antibody kinetics from multiple influenza infection and vaccination events in ferrets

scientific article published on 19 August 2019

Close encounters of the infectious kind: methods to measure social mixing behaviour.

scientific article

Cohort Profile: A study of influenza immunity in the urban and rural Guangzhou region of China: the Fluscape Study.

scientific article published on 14 February 2016

Comment on "Seroevidence for H5N1 Influenza Infections in Humans: Meta-Analysis"

scientific article published in Science

Complex disease dynamics and the design of influenza vaccination programs

scientific article

Consistent pattern of epidemic slowing across many geographies led to longer, flatter initial waves of the COVID-19 pandemic

scientific article published in 2022

Coordinating the real-time use of global influenza activity data for better public health planning

scientific article published on 03 December 2019

Coping without farm location data during a foot-and-mouth outbreak

scientific article

Development and validation of a novel method for assessing competency in polypectomy: direct observation of polypectomy skills.

scientific article published in June 2011

Differential mobility and local variation in infection attack rate

article

Distinguishing Between Reservoir Exposure and Human-to-Human Transmission for Emerging Pathogens Using Case Onset Data

scientific article

Early real-time estimation of the basic reproduction number of emerging or reemerging infectious diseases in a community with heterogeneous contact pattern: Using data from Hong Kong 2009 H1N1 Pandemic Influenza as an illustrative example

scientific article (publication date: 2015)

Ebola Virus Disease among Male and Female Persons in West Africa

scientific article published on January 2016

Ebola virus disease among children in West Africa

scientific article

Ebola virus disease in West Africa--the first 9 months of the epidemic and forward projections

scientific article

Effects of influenza antivirals on individual and population immunity over many epidemic waves.

scientific article

Entry screening to delay local transmission of 2009 pandemic influenza A (H1N1).

scientific article published on 30 March 2010

Epidemiological and genetic analysis of severe acute respiratory syndrome

scientific article

Epidemiological characteristics of 2009 (H1N1) pandemic influenza based on paired sera from a longitudinal community cohort study.

scientific article

Epidemiological determinants of spread of causal agent of severe acute respiratory syndrome in Hong Kong

scientific article

Epidemiology, transmission dynamics and control of SARS: the 2002-2003 epidemic

scientific article

Epidemiology: Making high-res Zika maps.

scientific article published on 26 August 2016

Estimating and modeling the dynamics of the intensity of infection with schistosoma japonicum in villagers of leyte, Philippines. Part II: Intensity-specific transmission of S. japonicum. The schistosomiasis transmission and ecology project.

scientific article published in June 2005

Estimating the intensity of infection with Schistosoma japonicum in villagers of leyte, Philippines. Part I: a Bayesian cumulative logit model. The schistosomiasis transmission and ecology project (STEP).

scientific article published in June 2005

Estimating the life course of influenza A(H3N2) antibody responses from cross-sectional data

scientific article

Estimation of the Basic Reproductive Number and Mean Serial Interval of a Novel Pathogen in a Small, Well-Observed Discrete Population

scientific article published on 05 February 2016

Estimation of the reproductive number and the serial interval in early phase of the 2009 influenza A/H1N1 pandemic in the USA.

scientific article

Estimation of the serial interval of influenza

scientific article

Evaluation of individual and ensemble probabilistic forecasts of COVID-19 mortality in the United States

scientific article published in 2022

Evidence for antigenic seniority in influenza A (H3N2) antibody responses in southern China

scientific article

Evolutionary dynamics and emergence of panzootic H5N1 influenza viruses.

scientific article

Exposure Patterns Driving Ebola Transmission in West Africa: A Retrospective Observational Study

scientific article

Factors that make an infectious disease outbreak controllable

scientific article published on 20 April 2004

Five challenges for spatial epidemic models

scientific article

Five challenges for stochastic epidemic models involving global transmission

scientific article

Forecasting national and regional influenza-like illness for the USA.

scientific article

Gastric Cancers Missed During Endoscopy in England.

scientific article

Global circulation patterns of seasonal influenza viruses vary with antigenic drift

scientific article published on 8 June 2015

Hedging against antiviral resistance during the next influenza pandemic using small stockpiles of an alternative chemotherapy

scientific article (publication date: 19 May 2009)

Heterogeneities in the case fatality ratio in the West African Ebola outbreak 2013–2016

scientific article (publication date: 10 April 2017)

High turnover drives prolonged persistence of influenza in managed pig herds

scientific article published on June 2016

Improving pandemic influenza risk assessment

scientific article

Incidence of influenza A(H3N2) virus infections in Hong Kong in a longitudinal sero-epidemiological study, 2009-2015.

scientific article

Inferring infection hazard in wildlife populations by linking data across individual and population scales

scientific article

Inferring influenza dynamics and control in households.

scientific article published on 6 July 2015

Inferring patterns of influenza transmission in swine from multiple streams of surveillance data

scientific article

Influenza serological studies to inform public health action: best practices to optimise timing, quality and reporting.

scientific article

Key data for outbreak evaluation: building on the Ebola experience

scientific article

Large-scale spatial-transmission models of infectious disease.

scientific article

Life course exposures continually shape antibody profiles and risk of seroconversion to influenza

scientific article published on 23 July 2020

Location-specific patterns of exposure to recent pre-pandemic strains of influenza A in southern China

scientific article

Long-term evolution and transmission dynamics of swine influenza A virus

scientific article

Managing and reducing uncertainty in an emerging influenza pandemic

scientific article

Mathematical modeling of the West Africa Ebola epidemic

scientific article

Methods for monitoring influenza surveillance data

scientific article

Middle East respiratory syndrome coronavirus: quantification of the extent of the epidemic, surveillance biases, and transmissibility

scientific article (publication date: 2014)

Minimizing the threat of pandemic emergence from avian influenza in poultry systems

scientific article

Modelling the proportion of influenza infections within households during pandemic and non-pandemic years

scientific article

Multiannual patterns of influenza A transmission in Chinese live bird market systems.

scientific article

Nine challenges in modelling the emergence of novel pathogens

scientific article

PLOS Currents: Outbreaks --- For findings that the world just can't wait to see

scientific article

Phylogenetic evidence for a mild H1 pandemic in the early 1900s.

scientific article

Population-based cohort study of the management and survival of patients with early-stage oesophageal adenocarcinoma in England

scientific article

Potential Biases in Estimating Absolute and Relative Case-Fatality Risks during Outbreaks

scientific article

Potential inconsistencies in Zika surveillance data and our understanding of risk during pregnancy

scientific article published on 10 December 2018

Prevalence and risk factors of community-associated methicillin-resistant carriage in Asia-Pacific region from 2000 to 2016: a systematic review and meta-analysis

article

Reconstructed influenza A/H3N2 infection histories reveal variation in incidence and antibody dynamics over the life course

scientific article published on 5 April 2024

Reducing the impact of the next influenza pandemic using household-based public health interventions

scientific article (publication date: September 2006)

Reducing the impact of the next influenza pandemic using household-based public health interventions.

scientific article

Relative incidence and individual-level severity of seasonal influenza A H3N2 compared with 2009 pandemic H1N1.

scientific article

Risk factors for severe outcomes among members of the United States military hospitalized with pneumonia and influenza, 2000-2012.

scientific article published on 19 October 2015

Robust parameter estimation techniques for stochastic within-host macroparasite models ⬇️

scientific article published on December 21, 2003

SARS-CoV antibody prevalence in all Hong Kong patient contacts

scientific article published in September 2004

School closure and mitigation of pandemic (H1N1) 2009, Hong Kong

scientific article

Serologic survey of pandemic (H1N1) 2009 virus, Guangxi Province, China

scientific article

Seroprevalence of IgG antibodies to SARS-coronavirus in asymptomatic or subclinical population groups

scientific article published on 01 April 2006

Simulation-guided design of serological surveys of the cumulative incidence of influenza infection

scientific article

Simulations of the HIV epidemic in sub-Saharan Africa: sexual transmission versus transmission through unsafe medical injections

scientific article published on March 2006

Six challenges in measuring contact networks for use in modelling.

scientific article

Smallpox transmission and control: spatial dynamics in Great Britain.

scientific article

Social contacts and the locations in which they occur as risk factors for influenza infection

scientific article published in August 2014

Social mixing patterns in rural and urban areas of southern China

scientific article published on 30 April 2014

Spatial and temporal dynamics of superspreading events in the 2014-2015 West Africa Ebola epidemic

scientific article published on 13 February 2017

Spatial considerations for the allocation of pre-pandemic influenza vaccination in the United States

scientific article published on 01 November 2007

Strategies for containing an emerging influenza pandemic in Southeast Asia

scientific article (publication date: 8 September 2005)

Strong spatial embedding of social networks generates nonstandard epidemic dynamics independent of degree distribution and clustering

scientific article published on 08 September 2020

Studies needed to address public health challenges of the 2009 H1N1 influenza pandemic: insights from modeling

article

Surveillance of low pathogenic novel H7N9 avian influenza in commercial poultry barns: detection of outbreaks and estimation of virus introduction time.

scientific article

Temporal variation of human encounters and the number of locations in which they occur: a longitudinal study of Hong Kong residents.

scientific article published in January 2018

Temporally structured metapopulation dynamics and persistence of influenza A H3N2 virus in humans

scientific article

The contribution of social behaviour to the transmission of influenza A in a human population.

scientific article

The epidemiology of severe acute respiratory syndrome in the 2003 Hong Kong epidemic: an analysis of all 1755 patients

scientific article published in November 2004

The impact of stratified immunity on the transmission dynamics of influenza.

scientific article published on 12 March 2017

The persistence of multiple strains of avian influenza in live bird markets

scientific article published in December 2017

The role of rapid diagnostics in managing Ebola epidemics

scientific article published on December 2015

The severity of pandemic H1N1 influenza in the United States, April - July 2009

scientific article

The severity of pandemic H1N1 influenza in the United States, from April to July 2009: a Bayesian analysis

scientific article

The spatial resolution of epidemic peaks

scientific article

Transmission Potential of Influenza A(H7N9) Virus, China, 2013-2014.

scientific article published on May 2015

Transmission dynamics of the etiological agent of SARS in Hong Kong: impact of public health interventions

scientific article

Transmission of Japanese encephalitis virus in Hong Kong.

scientific article published on February 2012

Unraveling the drivers of MERS-CoV transmission

scientific article published on 25 July 2016

Use of cumulative incidence of novel influenza A/H1N1 in foreign travelers to estimate lower bounds on cumulative incidence in Mexico

scientific article

Using models to identify routes of nosocomial infection: a large hospital outbreak of SARS in Hong Kong.

scientific article published in March 2007

Using quantitative disease dynamics as a tool for guiding response to avian influenza in poultry in the United States of America

scientific article published on December 2013

Using serological measures to estimate influenza incidence in the presence of secular trends in exposure and immuno-modulation of antibody response

scientific article published on 27 October 2020

Viral factors in influenza pandemic risk assessment.

scientific article

[An international collaborative study on influenza viruses antibody titers and contact patterns of individuals in rural and urban household of Guangzhou]

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