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List of works by Derek Cummings

1716. Results of the Respiratory Protection Effectiveness Clinical Trial (ResPECT)

A Shorter Time Interval Between First and Second Dengue Infections Is Associated With Protection From Clinical Illness in a School-based Cohort in Thailand ⬇️

scientific article published on August 20, 2013

A comparison of hemagglutination inhibition and neutralization assays for characterizing immunity to seasonal influenza A

scientific article published on 12 July 2016

A nonlinear programming approach for estimation of transmission parameters in childhood infectious disease using a continuous time model.

scientific article

A systematic review of antibody mediated immunity to coronaviruses: antibody kinetics, correlates of protection, and association of antibody responses with severity of disease

scientific article published on 18 April 2020

A systematic review of antibody mediated immunity to coronaviruses: kinetics, correlates of protection, and association with severity

scientific article published on 17 September 2020

A systematic review of mathematical models of mosquito-borne pathogen transmission: 1970-2010

scientific article published on 13 February 2013

Age-specific mortality and immunity patterns of SARS-CoV-2

scientific article published on 02 November 2020

Age-specific social mixing of school-aged children in a US setting using proximity detecting sensors and contact surveys

scientific article published on 14 July 2020

An open challenge to advance probabilistic forecasting for dengue epidemics.

scientific article published on 11 November 2019

An open source tool to infer epidemiological and immunological dynamics from serological data: Serosolver

scientific article published on 04 May 2020

Analysis of component findings in 79 patients diagnosed with VACTERL association.

scientific article published in September 2010

Assessing the global threat from Zika virus

scientific article

Assessing the potential of a candidate dengue vaccine with mathematical modeling

scientific article (publication date: 2012)

Breaking the symmetry: Immune enhancement increases persistence of dengue viruses in the presence of asymmetric transmission rates ⬇️

scientific article published on 07 May 2013

Case study in evaluating time series prediction models using the relative mean absolute error

scientific article

Challenges in Real-Time Prediction of Infectious Disease: A Case Study of Dengue in Thailand

scientific article

Challenges in the interpretation of dengue vaccine trial results

scientific article

Chaotic desynchronization of multistrain diseases

scientific article

Characterizing the temporal dynamics of human papillomavirus DNA detectability using short-interval sampling.

scientific article published on 15 October 2013

Clinical and Epidemiologic Patterns of Chikungunya Virus Infection and Coincident Arboviral Disease in a School Cohort in Haiti, 2014-2015

scholarly article by Jacob D Ball et al published 31 August 2018 in Clinical Infectious Diseases

Contagious diseases in the United States from 1888 to the present.

scientific article

Containing a large bioterrorist smallpox attack: a computer simulation approach.

scientific article published on 8 August 2006

Containing pandemic influenza at the source.

scientific article

Coupled contagion dynamics of fear and disease: mathematical and computational explorations

scientific article

Decay and persistence of maternal dengue antibodies among infants in Bangkok

scientific article published on August 2011

Deciphering the impacts of vaccination and immunity on pertussis epidemiology in Thailand

scientific article

Dengue Virus (DENV) Neutralizing Antibody Kinetics in Children After Symptomatic Primary and Postprimary DENV Infection

scientific article published on 23 December 2015

Dengue diversity across spatial and temporal scales: Local structure and the effect of host population size

scientific article published on March 2017

Differential efficacy of dengue vaccine by immune status

scientific article published on 01 May 2015

Differential mobility and local variation in infection attack rate

article

Disease persistence in epidemiological models: the interplay between vaccination and migration

scientific article

Disparities in influenza mortality and transmission related to sociodemographic factors within Chicago in the pandemic of 1918.

scientific article

Dynamic effects of antibody-dependent enhancement on the fitness of viruses

scientific article (publication date: 18 October 2005)

Economic value of dengue vaccine in Thailand ⬇️

scientific article

Epidemiology of Infant Dengue Cases Illuminates Serotype-Specificity in the Interaction between Immunity and Disease, and Changes in Transmission Dynamics

scientific article published on 11 December 2015

Estimating Potential Incidence of MERS-CoV Associated with Hajj Pilgrims to Saudi Arabia, 2014

scientific article

Estimating absolute and relative case fatality ratios from infectious disease surveillance data

scientific article published on 25 January 2012

Estimating incubation period distributions with coarse data

scientific article

Estimating infectious disease transmission distances using the overall distribution of cases

scientific article

Estimating the Severity and Subclinical Burden of Middle East Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus Infection in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia

scientific article published on 4 February 2016

Estimating the life course of influenza A(H3N2) antibody responses from cross-sectional data

scientific article

Evidence for antigenic seniority in influenza A (H3N2) antibody responses in southern China

scientific article

Evidence for inheritance in patients with VACTERL association

scientific article

Forty Years of Dengue Surveillance at a Tertiary Pediatric Hospital in Bangkok, Thailand, 1973-2012.

scientific article published on 28 March 2016

From re-emergence to hyperendemicity: the natural history of the dengue epidemic in Brazil

scientific article

Genomic epidemiology reveals multiple introductions of Zika virus into the United States ⬇️

scientific article

H1N1pdm in the Americas

scientific article

Hospital outbreak of Middle East respiratory syndrome coronavirus

scientific article

Household transmission of influenza A and B in a school-based study of non-pharmaceutical interventions.

scientific article published on 26 September 2013

How season and serotype determine dengue transmissibility

scientific article

How social structures, space, and behaviors shape the spread of infectious diseases using chikungunya as a case study

scientific article

Identifying the probable timing and setting of respiratory virus infections

scientific article published in August 2010

Immune status alters the probability of apparent illness due to dengue virus infection: Evidence from a pooled analysis across multiple cohort and cluster studies.

scientific article published on 27 September 2017

Impact of climate and mosquito vector abundance on sylvatic arbovirus circulation dynamics in Senegal

scientific article

Impact of preexisting dengue immunity on Zika virus emergence in a dengue endemic region

scientific article published in Science

Impact of preexisting dengue immunity on Zika virus emergence in a dengue endemic region

scholarly article by Isabel Rodriguez-Barraquer et al published 7 February 2019 in Science

Impacts of Zika emergence in Latin America on endemic dengue transmission

scientific article published on 16 December 2019

Improved measles surveillance in Cameroon reveals two major dynamic patterns of incidence

scientific article published on 7 November 2005

Incubation Periods of Mosquito-Borne Viral Infections: A Systematic Review

scientific article published on 17 March 2014

Incubation periods of acute respiratory viral infections: a systematic review.

scientific article

Incubation periods of viral gastroenteritis: a systematic review

scientific article

Individual-based computational modeling of smallpox epidemic control strategies

scientific article published on 01 November 2006

Inferring the serotype associated with dengue virus infections on the basis of pre- and postinfection neutralizing antibody titers

scientific article

Influenza transmission in households during the 1918 pandemic

scientific article

Instabilities in multiserotype disease models with antibody-dependent enhancement

scientific article published on 28 December 2006

Interactions between serotypes of dengue highlight epidemiological impact of cross-immunity

scientific article published on 03 July 2013

Interior-point methods for estimating seasonal parameters in discrete-time infectious disease models

scientific article

Joint China-US Call for Employing a Transdisciplinary Approach to Emerging Infectious Diseases

scientific article

Life course exposures continually shape antibody profiles and risk of seroconversion to influenza

scientific article published on 23 July 2020

Local spatial and temporal processes of influenza in Pennsylvania, USA: 2003-2009.

scientific article published on 28 March 2012

Local variations in spatial synchrony of influenza epidemics.

scientific article

Location-specific patterns of exposure to recent pre-pandemic strains of influenza A in southern China

scientific article

Long-term circulation of Zika virus in Thailand: an observational study

scientific article published on 27 February 2019

Mapping global variation in dengue transmission intensity

scientific article published on 01 January 2020

Measles outbreak risk in Pakistan: exploring the potential of combining vaccination coverage and incidence data with novel data-streams to strengthen control

article

Measuring Spatial Dependence for Infectious Disease Epidemiology

scientific article

Measuring the performance of vaccination programs using cross-sectional surveys: a likelihood framework and retrospective analysis

scientific article

Mechanistic Models of Infectious Disease and Their Impact on Public Health

scientific article published on 17 February 2016

Menstrual cycle and detectable human papillomavirus in reproductive-age women: a time series study

scientific article published on 24 July 2013

Modeling Competing Infectious Pathogens from a Bayesian Perspective: Application to Influenza Studies with Incomplete Laboratory Results.

scientific article

Modeling targeted layered containment of an influenza pandemic in the United States.

scientific article

Modelling distributions of Aedes aegypti and Aedes albopictus using climate, host density and interspecies competition

scientific article published in 2021

Models of the impact of dengue vaccines: a review of current research and potential approaches

scientific article

Multiple introductions of Zika virus into the United States revealed through genomic epidemiology

scientific article

Multiyear climate variability and dengue--El Niño southern oscillation, weather, and dengue incidence in Puerto Rico, Mexico, and Thailand: a longitudinal data analysis

scientific article (publication date: November 2009)

Mutations in ZIC2 in human holoprosencephaly: description of a novel ZIC2 specific phenotype and comprehensive analysis of 157 individuals

scientific article published on 2 December 2009

Outbreak of 2009 pandemic influenza A (H1N1) at a New York City school.

scientific article

Periodic synchronisation of dengue epidemics in Thailand over the last 5 decades driven by temperature and immunity

scientific article published on 18 March 2022

Potential opportunities and perils of imperfect dengue vaccines.

scientific article

Predicting virologically confirmed influenza using school absences in PA.

scientific article published in May 2017

Prediction of dengue incidence using search query surveillance

scientific article

Prospective forecasts of annual dengue hemorrhagic fever incidence in Thailand, 2010-2014.

scientific article published on 20 February 2018

Rapid (13)C Urea Breath Test to Identify Helicobacter pylori Infection in Emergency Department Patients with Upper Abdominal Pain

scientific article published on May 2013

Recasting the theory of mosquito-borne pathogen transmission dynamics and control

scientific article published on 03 March 2014

Reconstruction of 60 Years of Chikungunya Epidemiology in the Philippines Demonstrates Episodic and Focal Transmission

scientific article

Reconstruction of antibody dynamics and infection histories to evaluate dengue risk

scientific article published in Nature

Reduction in the incidence of influenza A but not influenza B associated with use of hand sanitizer and cough hygiene in schools: a randomized controlled trial.

scientific article

Region-wide synchrony and traveling waves of dengue across eight countries in Southeast Asia

scientific article

Reply to Shanks and Brundage: Many plausible mechanisms of pandemic mortality disparities

scientific article

Revealing the microscale spatial signature of dengue transmission and immunity in an urban population

scientific article

Revisiting Rayong: shifting seroprofiles of dengue in Thailand and their implications for transmission and control

scientific article published on 5 November 2013

Role of monkeys in the sylvatic cycle of chikungunya virus in Senegal

scientific article published on 13 March 2018

SARS-CoV-2 Testing in Florida, Illinois, and Maryland: Access and Barriers

scientific article published on 24 December 2020

Sensitivity and specificity of rapid influenza testing of children in a community setting1 ⬇️

scientific article published on October 1, 2010

Serological inference of past primary and secondary dengue infection: implications for vaccination

Serotype-Specific Differences in the Risk of Dengue Hemorrhagic Fever: An Analysis of Data Collected in Bangkok, Thailand from 1994 to 2006

scientific article

Social Contact Networks and Mixing among Students in K-12 Schools in Pittsburgh, PA

scientific article

Social mixing patterns in rural and urban areas of southern China

scientific article published on 30 April 2014

Strategies for containing an emerging influenza pandemic in Southeast Asia

scientific article (publication date: 8 September 2005)

Strategies for mitigating an influenza pandemic

scientific article (publication date: 27 July 2006)

Synchrony of Dengue Incidence in Ho Chi Minh City and Bangkok

scientific article (publication date: December 2016)

Synchrony of sylvatic dengue isolations: a multi-host, multi-vector SIR model of dengue virus transmission in Senegal

scientific article

The ALERT Algorithm: How to Simply Define a Period of Elevated Disease Incidence.

scientific article published on 29 April 2014

The Hidden Burden of Dengue and Chikungunya in Chennai, India

scientific article published on 16 July 2015

The Influence of Mandatory Vs. Non-Mandatory Influenza Vaccination Policies on Workplace Absenteeism During Respiratory Virus Season.

scientific article published on 4 October 2017

The Long-Term Safety, Public Health Impact, and Cost-Effectiveness of Routine Vaccination with a Recombinant, Live-Attenuated Dengue Vaccine (Dengvaxia): A Model Comparison Study

scientific article

The impact of rainfall and temperature on the spatial progression of cases during the chikungunya re-emergence in Thailand in 2008-2009.

scientific article published on February 2016

The impact of the demographic transition on dengue in Thailand: insights from a statistical analysis and mathematical modeling

scientific article (publication date: September 2009)

The incubation period of cholera: a systematic review

scientific article

The role of benzathine penicillin G in predicting and preventing all-cause acute respiratory disease in military recruits: 1991-2017

scientific article published on 5 July 2018

The role of viral introductions in sustaining community-based HIV epidemics in rural Uganda: evidence from spatial clustering, phylogenetics, and egocentric transmission models

scientific article (publication date: March 2014)

The use of mobile phone data to inform analysis of COVID-19 pandemic epidemiology

scientific article published on 30 September 2020

Timescales of influenza A/H3N2 antibody dynamics

article

Transmissibility of swine flu at Fort Dix, 1976.

scientific article

Travelling waves in the occurrence of dengue haemorrhagic fever in Thailand

scientific article published on January 2004

Triggering interventions for influenza: the ALERT algorithm

scientific article

Trip duration drives shift in travel network structure with implications for the predictability of spatial disease spread

scientific article published on 10 August 2021

Unraveling the drivers of MERS-CoV transmission

scientific article published on 25 July 2016

Utility of Nontraditional Data Sources for Early Detection of Influenza.

scientific article

Utilizing general human movement models to predict the spread of emerging infectious diseases in resource poor settings

scientific article published on 26 March 2019

Variability in dengue titer estimates from plaque reduction neutralization tests poses a challenge to epidemiological studies and vaccine development

scientific article

Variation in dengue virus plaque reduction neutralization testing: systematic review and pooled analysis

scientific article

Vector bionomics and vectorial capacity as emergent properties of mosquito behaviors and ecology

scientific article published on 22 April 2020

Viral kinetics of primary dengue virus infection in non-human primates: a systematic review and individual pooled analysis

scientific article

Visualizing clinical evidence: citation networks for the incubation periods of respiratory viral infections

scientific article

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