List of works - Geert Jan van Oldenborgh

A Bayesian approach for multi-model downscaling: Seasonal forecasting of regional rainfall and river flows in South America

A Multimethod Attribution Analysis of the Prolonged Northeast Brazil Hydrometeorological Drought (2012–16)

scientific article published on 26 March 2018

A global empirical system for probabilistic seasonal climate prediction

article

A global empirical system for probabilistic seasonal climate prediction

A protocol for probabilistic extreme event attribution analyses

An empirical model for probabilistic decadal prediction: global attribution and regional hindcasts

scholarly article

Analyses of the Northern European Summer Heatwave of 2018

scientific article published in January 2020

Anthropogenic influence on the drivers of the Western Cape drought 2015–2017

scientific article published on 29 November 2018

Atmospheric properties of ENSO: models versus observations

Attributing drivers of the 2016 Kenyan drought

scientific article published on 23 December 2017

Attributing the 2017 Bangladesh floods from meteorological and hydrological perspectives

scientific article

Attributing the 2017 Bangladesh floods from meteorological and hydrological perspectives

Attribution of Extreme Rainfall Events in the South of France Using EURO-CORDEX Simulations

scientific article published in 2018

Attribution of extreme rainfall from Hurricane Harvey, August 2017

Attribution of extreme weather and climate-related events

scientific article

Attribution of human-induced dynamical and thermodynamical contributions in extreme weather events

Attribution of the Australian bushfire risk to anthropogenic climate change

scientific article

Attribution of the record high Central England temperature of 2014 to anthropogenic influences

article

Attribution of the role of climate change in the forest fires in Sweden 2018

scientific article

Attribution of typhoon-induced torrential precipitation in Central Vietnam, October 2020

scientific article published in December 2021

Balanced Ocean-Data Assimilation near the Equator

article by Gerrit Burgers et al published September 2002 in Journal of Physical Oceanography

Challenges to Understanding Extreme Weather Changes in Lower Income Countries

scientific article

Changes in Climate Extremes and their Impacts on the Natural Physical Environment

article

Claim of solar influence is on thin ice: are 11-year cycle solar minima associated with severe winters in Europe?

article

Climate change increases the probability of heavy rains in Northern England/Southern Scotland like those of storm Desmond—a real-time event attribution revisited

scientific article published on 27 October 2017

Climate change increases the probability of heavy rains like those of storm Desmond in the UK – an event attribution study in near-real time

scholarly article by G. J. van Oldenborgh et al published 16 December 2015 in Hydrology and earth system sciences discussions

Climate scenarios of sea level rise for the northeast Atlantic Ocean: a study including the effects of ocean dynamics and gravity changes induced by ice melt

article

Climate variability effects on eutrophication of groundwater, lakes, rivers, and coastal waters in the Netherlands

scientific article

Cold Extremes in North America vs. Mild Weather in Europe: The Winter of 2013–14 in the Context of a Warming World

scientific article published in 2015

Cold waves are getting milder in the northern midlatitudes

scientific article

Comments on “Predictability of Winter Climate over the North Atlantic European Region during ENSO Events”

article

Correction to “Tracing the upper ocean's ‘missing heat’”

scholarly article published in Geophysical Research Letters

Corrigendum: Attribution of extreme rainfall from Hurricane Harvey, August 2017 (2017 Environ. Res. Lett. 12 124009)

scholarly article published in Environmental Research Letters

Decadal Climate Prediction: An Update from the Trenches

article

Decadal prediction skill in a multi-model ensemble

article

Decline of fog, mist and haze in Europe over the past 30 years

article

Defining El Niño indices in a warming climate

scientific article

Definitions and upper bounds for unstable boson masses

Did the ECMWF Seasonal Forecast Model Outperform Statistical ENSO Forecast Models over the Last 15 Years?

article

Do tropical cells ventilate the Indo-Pacific Equatorial Thermocline?

scholarly article

Drivers of mean climate change around the Netherlands derived from CMIP5

scholarly article by Bart van den Hurk et al published 5 March 2013 in Climate Dynamics

EEWW: a generator for e+e− → W+W− including one-loop and leading photonic two-loop corrections

El Niño and Greenhouse Warming: Results from Ensemble Simulations with the NCAR CCSM

article

El Niño in a changing climate: a multi-model study

scientific article published in 2005

Energy budget of the extreme Autumn 2006 in Europe

Erratum to: Western US high June 2015 temperatures and their relation to global warming and soil moisture

scholarly article published in Climate Dynamics

Erratum: Tales of future weather

scientific article published in March 2015

Estimating Changes in Global Temperature since the Preindustrial Period

article

Estimating return periods of extreme events from ECMWF seasonal forecast ensembles

article

Evaluation of Atmospheric Fields from the ECMWF Seasonal Forecasts over a 15-Year Period

article by Geert Jan van Oldenborgh et al published August 2005 in Journal of Climate

Evaluation of the HadGEM3-A simulations in view of detection and attribution of human influence on extreme events in Europe

Experience gained from running the KNMI Climate Explorer (est. 1999)

Extreme heat in India and anthropogenic climate change

scientific article published in 2018

Extreme precipitation in the Netherlands: An event attribution case study

scientific article published in 2018

Factors Other Than Climate Change, Main Drivers of 2014/15 Water Shortage in Southeast Brazil

article

Formally combining different lines of evidence in extreme-event attribution

scientific article published on 30 October 2024

Frequency- or amplitude-dependent effects of the Atlantic meridional overturning on the tropical Pacific Ocean

scientific article published in 2009

Hard photons in W pair production at LEP 2

article

Have precipitation extremes and annual totals been increasing in the world's dry regions over the last 60 years?

Human contribution to the record-breaking June and July 2019 heatwaves in Western Europe

scientific article

Human influence on European winter wind storms such as those of January 2018

scientific article published on 25 April 2019

Human influence on climate in the 2014 southern England winter floods and their impacts

article

Human influence on growing-period frosts like in early April 2021 in central France

Impact of precipitation and increasing temperatures on drought in eastern Africa

scientific article

Impact of precipitation and increasing temperatures on drought trends in eastern Africa

Important role for ocean warming and increased ice-shelf melt in Antarctic sea-ice expansion

article

Improving 104-year surge level estimates using data of the ECMWF seasonal prediction system

article

Initialized near-term regional climate change prediction

scientific article (publication date: 2013)

Is a Decline of AMOC Causing the Warming Hole above the North Atlantic in Observed and Modeled Warming Patterns?

article

KNMI Climate Explorer: A Web-Based Research Tool for High-Resolution Paleoclimatology

Large-scale atmospheric circulation biases and changes in global climate model simulations and their importance for climate change in Central Europe

scientific article

Light fermion mass effects in e+e−1 → 4 fermions

Methods and Model Dependency of Extreme Event Attribution: The 2015 European Drought

More hurricanes to hit western Europe due to global warming

scientific article published in 2013

Multiple perspectives on the attribution of the extreme European summer of 2012 to climate change

article

Multiyear predictability of the North Atlantic subpolar gyre

scholarly article

New climate change scenarios for the Netherlands.

scientific article

O(Λ) corrections to W pair production in e+e- and γ collisions

article

Observed and simulated impacts of the summer NAO in Europe: implications for projected drying in the Mediterranean region

article

On the Impact of Local Feedbacks in the Central Pacific on the ENSO Cycle

On the relationship between global warming, local warming in the Netherlands and changes in circulation in the 20th century

article

On the robustness of ENSO teleconnections

On the roles of circulation and aerosols in the decline of mist and dense fog in Europe over the last 30 years

scholarly article

Pathways and pitfalls in extreme event attribution

Predictability of Cold Spring Seasons in Europe

article

Predicting multiyear North Atlantic Ocean variability

Predicting rainfall in the Dutch Caribbean—more than El Niño?

scholarly article by Albert Martis et al published 2002 in International Journal of Climatology

Projected Changes in Mean and Extreme Precipitation in Africa under Global Warming. Part I: Southern Africa

article

Projected Changes in Mean and Extreme Precipitation in Africa under Global Warming. Part II: East Africa

article

Prolonged Siberian heat of 2020 almost impossible without human influence

scientific article

Rapid attribution analysis of the extraordinary heat wave on the Pacific coast of the US and Canada in June 2021

scientific article published on 8 December 2022

Rapid attribution analysis of the extraordinary heatwave on the Pacific Coast of the US and Canada June 2021

Rapid attribution of the August 2016 flood-inducing extreme precipitation in south Louisiana to climate change

scholarly article by Karin van der Wiel et al published 14 February 2017 in Hydrology and Earth System Sciences

Rapid attribution of the August 2016 flood-inducing extreme precipitation in south Louisiana to climate change

scholarly article by Karin van der Wiel et al published 6 September 2016 in Hydrology and earth system sciences discussions

Reconciling two approaches to attribution of the 2010 Russian heat wave

scholarly article

Reliability of regional climate model trends

article

SST and circulation trend biases cause an underestimation of European precipitation trends

article

Scaling and trends of hourly precipitation extremes in two different climate zones – Hong Kong and the Netherlands

Searching for decadal variations in ENSO precipitation teleconnections

article by Geert Jan van Oldenborgh published 2005 in Geophysical Research Letters

Shifts in ENSO coupling processes under global warming

article

Significant Atmospheric Nonlinearities in the ENSO Cycle

Supersymmetric signals in electron-photon collisions

Supersymmetric signals in e−e− collisions

Supersymmetric signals in γγ collisions

Supplementary material to "Attributing the 2017 Bangladesh floods from meteorological and hydrological perspectives"

scientific article

Tales of future weather

scientific article published in February 2015

Temperature, extreme precipitation, and diurnal rainfall changes in the urbanized Jakarta city during the past 130 years

scientific article

The Exceptional Summer Heat Wave in Southern Europe 2017

scientific article published in January 2019

The Heavy Precipitation Event of December 2015 in Chennai, India

scientific article published on 12 January 2017

The Relationship between Sea Surface Temperature and Thermocline Depth in the Eastern Equatorial Pacific

scientific article published in 2004

The attribution question

article

The construction of a Central Netherlands temperature

The effect of increased fresh water from Antarctic ice shelves on future trends in Antarctic sea ice

scholarly article

The effect of the Higgs boson on the threshold cross-section in W-pair production

article

The summer North Atlantic Oscillation in CMIP3 models and related uncertainties in projected summer drying in Europe

article

Toward an Integrated Seasonal Forecasting System for South America

Tracing the upper ocean's “missing heat”

scholarly article

Understanding El Niño in Ocean–Atmosphere General Circulation Models: Progress and Challenges

article

WWF: a generator for e+e- → 4 fermions + γ

Was the Cold European Winter of 2009/10 Modified by Anthropogenic Climate Change? An Attribution Study ⬇️

article

Western US high June 2015 temperatures and their relation to global warming and soil moisture

scientific article

What Caused the Onset of the 1997–98 El Niño?

When can we expect extremely high surface temperatures?

article by Andreas Sterl et al published 19 July 2008 in Geophysical Research Letters

List of works by Geert Jan van Oldenborgh

A Bayesian approach for multi-model downscaling: Seasonal forecasting of regional rainfall and river flows in South America

A Multimethod Attribution Analysis of the Prolonged Northeast Brazil Hydrometeorological Drought (2012–16)

A global empirical system for probabilistic seasonal climate prediction

A global empirical system for probabilistic seasonal climate prediction

A protocol for probabilistic extreme event attribution analyses

An empirical model for probabilistic decadal prediction: global attribution and regional hindcasts

Analyses of the Northern European Summer Heatwave of 2018

Anthropogenic influence on the drivers of the Western Cape drought 2015–2017

Atmospheric properties of ENSO: models versus observations

Attributing drivers of the 2016 Kenyan drought

Attributing the 2017 Bangladesh floods from meteorological and hydrological perspectives

Attributing the 2017 Bangladesh floods from meteorological and hydrological perspectives

Attribution of Extreme Rainfall Events in the South of France Using EURO-CORDEX Simulations

Attribution of extreme rainfall from Hurricane Harvey, August 2017

Attribution of extreme weather and climate-related events

Attribution of human-induced dynamical and thermodynamical contributions in extreme weather events

Attribution of the Australian bushfire risk to anthropogenic climate change

Attribution of the record high Central England temperature of 2014 to anthropogenic influences

Attribution of the role of climate change in the forest fires in Sweden 2018

Attribution of typhoon-induced torrential precipitation in Central Vietnam, October 2020

Balanced Ocean-Data Assimilation near the Equator

Challenges to Understanding Extreme Weather Changes in Lower Income Countries

Changes in Climate Extremes and their Impacts on the Natural Physical Environment

Claim of solar influence is on thin ice: are 11-year cycle solar minima associated with severe winters in Europe?

Climate change increases the probability of heavy rains in Northern England/Southern Scotland like those of storm Desmond—a real-time event attribution revisited

Climate change increases the probability of heavy rains like those of storm Desmond in the UK – an event attribution study in near-real time

Climate scenarios of sea level rise for the northeast Atlantic Ocean: a study including the effects of ocean dynamics and gravity changes induced by ice melt

Climate variability effects on eutrophication of groundwater, lakes, rivers, and coastal waters in the Netherlands

Cold Extremes in North America vs. Mild Weather in Europe: The Winter of 2013–14 in the Context of a Warming World

Cold waves are getting milder in the northern midlatitudes

Comments on “Predictability of Winter Climate over the North Atlantic European Region during ENSO Events”

Correction to “Tracing the upper ocean's ‘missing heat’”

Corrigendum: Attribution of extreme rainfall from Hurricane Harvey, August 2017 (2017 Environ. Res. Lett. 12 124009)

Decadal Climate Prediction: An Update from the Trenches

Decadal prediction skill in a multi-model ensemble

Decline of fog, mist and haze in Europe over the past 30 years

Defining El Niño indices in a warming climate

Definitions and upper bounds for unstable boson masses

Did the ECMWF Seasonal Forecast Model Outperform Statistical ENSO Forecast Models over the Last 15 Years?

Do tropical cells ventilate the Indo-Pacific Equatorial Thermocline?

Drivers of mean climate change around the Netherlands derived from CMIP5

EEWW: a generator for e+e− → W+W− including one-loop and leading photonic two-loop corrections

El Niño and Greenhouse Warming: Results from Ensemble Simulations with the NCAR CCSM

El Niño in a changing climate: a multi-model study

Energy budget of the extreme Autumn 2006 in Europe

Erratum to: Western US high June 2015 temperatures and their relation to global warming and soil moisture

Erratum: Tales of future weather

Estimating Changes in Global Temperature since the Preindustrial Period

Estimating return periods of extreme events from ECMWF seasonal forecast ensembles

Evaluation of Atmospheric Fields from the ECMWF Seasonal Forecasts over a 15-Year Period

Evaluation of the HadGEM3-A simulations in view of detection and attribution of human influence on extreme events in Europe

Experience gained from running the KNMI Climate Explorer (est. 1999)

Extreme heat in India and anthropogenic climate change

Extreme precipitation in the Netherlands: An event attribution case study

Factors Other Than Climate Change, Main Drivers of 2014/15 Water Shortage in Southeast Brazil

Formally combining different lines of evidence in extreme-event attribution

Frequency- or amplitude-dependent effects of the Atlantic meridional overturning on the tropical Pacific Ocean

Hard photons in W pair production at LEP 2

Have precipitation extremes and annual totals been increasing in the world's dry regions over the last 60 years?

Human contribution to the record-breaking June and July 2019 heatwaves in Western Europe

Human influence on European winter wind storms such as those of January 2018

Human influence on climate in the 2014 southern England winter floods and their impacts

Human influence on growing-period frosts like in early April 2021 in central France

Impact of precipitation and increasing temperatures on drought in eastern Africa

Impact of precipitation and increasing temperatures on drought trends in eastern Africa

Important role for ocean warming and increased ice-shelf melt in Antarctic sea-ice expansion

Improving 104-year surge level estimates using data of the ECMWF seasonal prediction system

Initialized near-term regional climate change prediction

Is a Decline of AMOC Causing the Warming Hole above the North Atlantic in Observed and Modeled Warming Patterns?

KNMI Climate Explorer: A Web-Based Research Tool for High-Resolution Paleoclimatology

Large-scale atmospheric circulation biases and changes in global climate model simulations and their importance for climate change in Central Europe

Light fermion mass effects in e+e−1 → 4 fermions

Methods and Model Dependency of Extreme Event Attribution: The 2015 European Drought

More hurricanes to hit western Europe due to global warming

Multiple perspectives on the attribution of the extreme European summer of 2012 to climate change

Multiyear predictability of the North Atlantic subpolar gyre

New climate change scenarios for the Netherlands.

O(Λ) corrections to W pair production in e+e- and γ collisions

Observed and simulated impacts of the summer NAO in Europe: implications for projected drying in the Mediterranean region