List of works by Tom Parsons

A Synoptic View of the Third Uniform California Earthquake Rupture Forecast (UCERF3)

scholarly article by Edward H. Field et al published 12 July 2017 in Seismological Research Letters

A global search for stress shadows

scientific article

A hypothesis for delayed dynamic earthquake triggering

scholarly article by Tom Parsons published February 2005 in Geophysical Research Letters

A new probabilistic seismic hazard assessment for greater Tokyo

scientific article (publication date: 15 August 2006)

A physics-based earthquake simulator and its application to seismic hazard assessment in Calabria (Southern Italy) region

article

AGU Advances Goes Online

scientific article published on 19 November 2019

Absence of remotely triggered large earthquakes beyond the mainshock region

scholarly article by Tom Parsons & Aaron A. Velasco published 27 March 2011 in Nature Geoscience

Assessing historical rate changes in global tsunami occurrence

Assessment of source probabilities for potential tsunamis affecting the U.S. Atlantic coast

scholarly article by Eric L. Geist & Tom Parsons published August 2009 in Marine Geology

Can footwall unloading explain late Cenozoic uplift of the Sierra Nevada crest?

article published in 2009

Chapter 7 The basin and range province

Characteristic earthquake magnitude frequency distributions on faults calculated from consensus data in California

scholarly article

Comparative evaluation of physics-based and statistical forecasts in Northern California

scholarly article

Comparison of characteristic and Gutenberg-Richter models for time-dependent M ≥ 7.9 earthquake probability in the Nankai-Tokai subduction zone, Japan

scholarly article by Tom Parsons et al published 27 July 2012 in Geophysical Journal International

Correction to “A hypothesis for delayed dynamic earthquake triggering”

scholarly article by Tom Parsons published 2005 in Geophysical Research Letters

Correction to “Forecast experiment: Do temporal and spatial b value variations along the Calaveras fault portend M ≥ 4.0 earthquakes?”

scholarly article

Diffuse Pacific−North American plate boundary: 1000 km of dextral shear inferred from modeling geodetic data

scientific article

Distribution of tsunami interevent times

article

Earth science: Lasting earthquake legacy

scientific article published in Nature

Earthquake and volcano clustering via stress transfer at Yucca Mountain, Nevada

scholarly article

Earthquake recurrence on the south Hayward fault is most consistent with a time dependent, renewal process

scientific article

Editorial: Exploring new frontiers withJGR–Solid Earth

scholarly article

Estimation of submarine mass failure probability from a sequence of deposits with age dates

scholarly article

Evaluation of static stress change forecasting with prospective and blind tests

article by Tom Parsons et al published 25 January 2012 in Geophysical Journal International

Forecast experiment: Do temporal and spatial b value variations along the Calaveras fault portend M≥ 4.0 earthquakes?

scholarly article

From coseismic offsets to fault-block mountains

scientific article

Geologic processes of accretion in the Cascadiasubduction zone west of Washington State

Global Omori law decay of triggered earthquakes: Large aftershocks outside the classical aftershock zone

scholarly article

Global ubiquity of dynamic earthquake triggering

scholarly article by Aaron A. Velasco et al published 25 May 2008 in Nature Geoscience

Heightened odds of large earthquakes near istanbul: An interaction-based probability calculation

scientific article (publication date: 28 April 2000)

Is There a Basis for Preferring Characteristic Earthquakes over a Gutenberg-Richter Distribution in Probabilistic Earthquake Forecasting?

scientific article

Long-Term Time-Dependent Probabilities for the Third Uniform California Earthquake Rupture Forecast (UCERF3)

scholarly article by Edward H. Field et al published 10 March 2015 in Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America

Missing link between the Hayward and Rodgers Creek faults.

scientific article

Monte Carlo method for determining earthquake recurrence parameters from short paleoseismic catalogs: Example calculations for California

scholarly article

M ≥ 7 earthquake rupture forecast and time-dependent probability for the sea of Marmara region, Turkey

scholarly article

M≥ 7.0 earthquake recurrence on the San Andreas fault from a stress renewal model

scholarly article

New seismic images of the Cascadia subduction zone from cruise SO108 — ORWELL

No correlation between Anderson Reservoir stage level and underlying Calaveras fault seismicity despite calculated differential stress increases

scientific article published in 2011

On near-source earthquake triggering

scholarly article by Tom Parsons & Aaron A. Velasco published 3 October 2009 in Journal of Geophysical Research

Paleoseismic interevent times interpreted for an unsegmented earthquake rupture forecast

scholarly article by Tom Parsons published July 2012 in Geophysical Research Letters

Persistent earthquake clusters and gaps from slip on irregular faults

scholarly article by Tom Parsons published 9 December 2007 in Nature Geoscience

Possible Earthquake Rupture Connections on Mapped California Faults Ranked by Calculated Coulomb Linking Stresses

scholarly article by Tom Parsons et al published 1 December 2012 in Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America

Post-1906 stress recovery of the San Andreas fault system calculated from three-dimensional finite element analysis

scientific article published in 2002

Probabilistic Analysis of Tsunami Hazards*

article

Probabilistic Tsunami Hazard Analysis: Multiple Sources and Global Applications

scholarly article by Anita Grezio et al published December 2017 in Reviews of Geophysics

Probabilistic tsunami hazard assessment at Seaside, Oregon, for near- and far-field seismic sources

scientific article

Prospective Earthquake Forecasts at the Himalayan Front after the 25 April 2015M 7.8 Gorkha Mainshock

scholarly article by Margarita Segou & Tom Parsons published 8 June 2016 in Seismological Research Letters

Recalculated probability of M≥ 7 earthquakes beneath the Sea of Marmara, Turkey

scholarly article

Reconstruction of Far-Field Tsunami Amplitude Distributions from Earthquake Sources

scholarly article by Eric L. Geist & Tom Parsons published 30 April 2016 in Pure and Applied Geophysics

Reply to "Comment on 'Is There a Basis for Preferring Characteristic Earthquakes over a Gutenberg-Richter Distribution in Probabilistic Earthquake Forecasting?' by Tom Parsons and Eric L. Geist" by Jens-Uwe Klugel

scientific article

Seismic survey probes urban earthquake hazards in Pacific Northwest

scholarly article by M. A. Fisher et al published 1999 in Eos

Significance of stress transfer in time-dependent earthquake probability calculations

scholarly article by Tom Parsons published 2005 in Journal of Geophysical Research

Source and progression of a submarine landslide and tsunami: The 1964 Great Alaska earthquake at Valdez

scholarly article by Tom Parsons et al published November 2014 in Journal of geophysical research. Solid earth

Static stress change from the 8 October, 2005 M = 7.6 Kashmir earthquake

article

Static-stress impact of the 1992 Landers earthquake sequence on nucleation and slip at the site of the 1999 M=7.1 Hector Mine earthquake, southern California

scholarly article by Tom Parsons & Douglas S. Dreger published 1 July 2000 in Geophysical Research Letters

Stress Transfer by the 2008 Mw 6.4 Achaia Earthquake to the Western Corinth Gulf and Its Relation with the 2010 Efpalio Sequence, Central Greece

scientific article

Stress changes from the 2008 Wenchuan earthquake and increased hazard in the Sichuan basin

scientific article published on 6 July 2008

Stress, Distance, Magnitude, and Clustering Influences on the Success or Failure of an Aftershock Forecast: The 2013 M 6.6 Lushan Earthquake and Other Examples

scholarly article by Tom Parsons & M. Segou published 1 January 2014 in Seismological Research Letters

Stress-based aftershock forecasts made within 24 h postmain shock: Expected north San Francisco Bay area seismicity changes after the 2014 M  = 6.0 West Napa earthquake

scholarly article by Tom Parsons et al published 18 December 2014 in Geophysical Research Letters

Structure and mechanics of the San Andreas-San Gregorio fault junction, San Francisco, California

scholarly article by Tom Parsons et al published January 2005 in G3: Geochemistry, Geophysics, Geosystems

Submarine Landslide Kinematics Derived From High‐Resolution Imaging in Port Valdez, Alaska

scientific article

Tectonic stressing in California modeled from GPS observations

scientific article

Testing Earthquake Links in Mexico From 1978 to the 2017 M = 8.1 Chiapas and M = 7.1 Puebla Shocks

scholarly article by Margarita Segou & Tom Parsons published 24 January 2018 in Geophysical Research Letters

Thank You to Our 2019 Reviewers

scientific article published in 2020

Thank You to Our 2020 Peer Reviewers

scientific article published in 2021

Thank You to Our 2021 Peer Reviewers

scientific article published in 2022

The 2007 M5.4 Alum Rock, California, earthquake: Implications for future earthquakes on the central and southern Calaveras Fault

article

The 2010-2014.3 global earthquake rate increase

scholarly article by Tom Parsons et al published 3 July 2014 in Geophysical Research Letters

The Making of the NEAM Tsunami Hazard Model 2018 (NEAMTHM18)

scientific article

The global aftershock zone

scholarly article by Tom Parsons et al published March 2014 in Tectonophysics

The stress shadow problem in physics-based aftershock forecasting: Does incorporation of secondary stress changes help?

scholarly article

Three-dimensional model of Hellenic Arc deformation and origin of the Cretan uplift

article

Three-dimensional velocity structure of Siletzia and other accreted terranes in the Cascadia forearc of Washington

scholarly article

Triggering of tsunamigenic aftershocks from large strike-slip earthquakes: Analysis of the November 2000 New Ireland earthquake sequence

scholarly article

Tsunami Probability in the Caribbean Region

scholarly article by Tom Parsons & Eric L. Geist published December 2008 in Pure and Applied Geophysics

Tsunamis: Bayesian Probabilistic Analysis

scholarly article published 2017

Undersampling power-law size distributions: effect on the assessment of extreme natural hazards

Uniform California Earthquake Rupture Forecast, Version 2 (UCERF 2)

scholarly article by Edward H. Field et al published 29 July 2009 in Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America

Uniform California Earthquake Rupture Forecast, Version 3 (UCERF3)--The Time-Independent Model

Published in Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America

Unraveling the apparent magnitude threshold of remote earthquake triggering using full wavefield surface wave simulation

scholarly article by Tom Parsons et al published June 2012 in G3: Geochemistry, Geophysics, Geosystems

Upper crustal structure in Puget Lowland, Washington: Results from the 1998 Seismic Hazards Investigation in Puget Sound

scientific article published in 2001

Vertical deformation associated with normal fault systems evolved over coseismic, postseismic, and multiseismic periods

Vertical tectonic deformation associated with the San Andreas fault zone offshore of San Francisco, California

article

Were Global M>=8.3 Earthquake Time Intervals Random between 1900 and 2011?

scientific article

Why the Sacramento Delta area differs from other parts of the great valley: Numerical modeling of thermal structure and thermal subsidence of forearc basins

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