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List of works by Thorsten Wagener

A Matlab toolbox for Global Sensitivity Analysis

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A formal framework for scenario development in support of environmental decision-making

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A hydroarchive for the free exchange of hydrological software Website:

A mechanistic approach to include climate change and unplanned urban sprawl in landslide susceptibility maps

scientific article published in February 2023

A mechanistic hydro-epidemiological model of liver fluke risk

scientific article published in August 2018

A multi-criteria penalty function approach for evaluating a priori model parameter estimates

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A new approach to visualizing time-varying sensitivity indices for environmental model diagnostics across evaluation time-scales

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A novel framework for discharge uncertainty quantification applied to 500 UK gauging stations

scientific article

A process-based diagnostic approach to model evaluation: Application to the NWS distributed hydrologic model

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A simple and efficient method for global sensitivity analysis based on cumulative distribution functions

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A software tool to assess uncertainty in transient-storage model parameters using Monte Carlo simulations

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A spatial regularization approach to parameter estimation for a distributed watershed model

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A top-down framework for watershed model evaluation and selection under uncertainty

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Accelerating advances in continental domain hydrologic modeling

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Accounting for dependencies in regionalized signatures for predictions in ungauged catchments

Advances in the identification and evaluation of complex environmental systems models

scholarly article by Thorsten Wagener et al published July 2009 in Journal of Hydroinformatics

Advancing catchment hydrology to deal with predictions under change

scholarly article by U. Ehret et al published 19 February 2014 in Hydrology and Earth System Sciences

An argument-driven classification and comparison of reservoir operation optimization methods

scientific article published in June 2019

Application of stochastic parameter optimization to the Sacramento Soil Moisture Accounting model

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Benchmarking the predictive capability of hydrological models for river flow and flood peak predictions across over 1000 catchments in Great Britain

scientific article published in 2019

Bridging river basin scales and processes to assess human-climate impacts and the terrestrial hydrologic system

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Calibration of a semi-distributed hydrologic model for streamflow estimation along a river system

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Calibration of channel depth and friction parameters in the LISFLOOD-FP hydraulic model using medium-resolution SAR data and identifiability techniques

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Can we model the hydrological impacts of environmental change?

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Catchment Classification and Hydrologic Similarity

Catchment similarity concepts for understanding dynamic biogeochemical behaviour of river basins

Chapter Nine Formal Scenario Development for Environmental Impact Assessment Studies

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Chapter Two Good Modelling Practice

Characterization of watershed model behavior across a hydroclimatic gradient

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Characterizing and reducing equifinality by constraining a distributed catchment model with regional signatures, local observations, and process understanding

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Comparison of variance-based and moment-independent global sensitivity analysis approaches by application to the SWAT model

Convergence of approaches toward reducing uncertainty in predictions in ungauged basins

Correlation and causation in tree-ring-based reconstruction of paleohydrology in cold semiarid regions

article published in 2016

DECIPHeR v1: Dynamic fluxEs and ConnectIvity for Predictions of HydRology

scholarly article by Gemma Coxon et al published 24 September 2018 in Geoscientific model development discussions (GMDD)

Dealing with deep uncertainties in landslide modelling for disaster risk reduction under climate change

scholarly article by Susana Almeida et al published 21 February 2017 in Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences

Decision Analysis for Management of Natural Hazards

Developing observational methods to drive future hydrological science: Can we make a start as a community?

scientific article

Distribution-based sensitivity analysis from a generic input-output sample

Drought in a human-modified world: reframing drought definitions, understanding, and analysis approaches

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Drought in the Anthropocene

Dynamics of water fluxes and storages in an Alpine karst catchment under current and potential future climate conditions

scientific article published in 2018

Enhanced groundwater recharge rates and altered recharge sensitivity to climate variability through subsurface heterogeneity

scientific article

Ensemble predictions of runoff in ungauged catchments

Epistemic uncertainties and natural hazard risk assessment – Part 1: A review of different natural hazard areas

scholarly article

Epistemic uncertainties and natural hazard risk assessment – Part 2: What should constitute good practice?

scientific article published on 24 October 2018

Epistemic uncertainties and natural hazard risk assessment. 1. A review of different natural hazard areas

Epistemic uncertainties and natural hazard risk assessment. 2. What should constitute good practice?

scientific article

Estimating the regional climate responses over river basins to changes in tropical sea surface temperature patterns

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Evaluation of catchment models

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Framework for Understanding Structural Errors (FUSE): A modular framework to diagnose differences between hydrological models

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GMD perspective: The quest to improve the evaluation of groundwater representation in continental- to global-scale models

scholarly article

Global Sensitivity Analysis of environmental models: Convergence and validation

Grand Challenges for Hydrology Education in the 21st Century

scholarly article by Benjamin L. Ruddell & Thorsten Wagener published January 2015 in Journal of Hydrologic Engineering

HESS Opinions: Improving the evaluation of groundwater representation in continental to global scale models

scientific article published on 24 August 2020

Has urbanization changed ecological streamflow characteristics in Maine (USA)?

Human impact on long-term organic carbon export to rivers

Hydrological impacts of climate change in gauged and ungauged watersheds of the Olifants basin: a trading-space-for-time approach

scholarly article by Riddhi Singh et al published 20 December 2013 in Hydrological Sciences Journal

Identification and evaluation of watershed models

Identification of the Controlling Mechanism for Predicting Critical Loads in Elastomeric Bearings

Identifying parametric controls and dependencies in integrated assessment models using global sensitivity analysis

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Improving parameter priors for data-scarce estimation problems

Inaction and climate stabilization uncertainties lead to severe economic risks

Influence of constant rate versus slug injection experiment type on parameter identifiability in a 1-D transient storage model for stream solute transport

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Intercomparison of Rain Gauge, Radar, and Satellite-Based Precipitation Estimates with Emphasis on Hydrologic Forecasting

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Knowledge Gaps in our Perceptual Model of Great Britain’s Hydrology

scientific article

Land surface model performance using cosmic-ray and point-scale soil moisture measurements for calibration

Linking science with environmental decision making: Experiences from an integrated modeling approach to supporting sustainable water resources management

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Matlab/R workflows to assess critical choices in Global Sensitivity Analysis using the SAFE toolbox

scientific article published on 30 September 2019

Model Parameter Estimation Experiment (MOPEX): An overview of science strategy and major results from the second and third workshops

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Model identification for hydrological forecasting under uncertainty

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Model performance, model robustness, and model fitness scores: A new method for identifying good land-surface models

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Model-based analysis of the influence of catchment properties on hydrologic partitioning across five mountain headwater subcatchments

scientific article published on 09 June 2015

Modeling spatiotemporal impacts of hydroclimatic extremes on groundwater recharge at a Mediterranean karst aquifer

Modelling the hydrological impacts of rural land use change

Monte Carlo sensitivity analysis of land surface parameters using the Variable Infiltration Capacity model

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Most computational hydrology is not reproducible, so is it really science?

scholarly article by Christopher Hutton et al published October 2016 in Water Resources Research

Multiobjective sensitivity analysis to understand the information content in streamflow observations for distributed watershed modeling

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Numerical and visual evaluation of hydrological and environmental models using the Monte Carlo analysis toolbox

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On doing hydrology with dragons: Realizing the value of perceptual models and knowledge accumulation

scientific article published on 11 August 2021

On doing large-scale hydrology with Lions: Realising the value of perceptual models and knowledge accumulation

scientific article published on 4 May 2020

On the evaluation of climate change impact models

scientific article published in 2022

Parameter estimation and regionalization for continuous rainfall-runoff models including uncertainty

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Parameter sensitivity of a watershed-scale flood forecasting model as a function of modelling time-step

article by Fiachra O'Loughlin et al published 10 July 2012 in Hydrology Research: an international journal

Probabilistic Projections of Anthropogenic Climate Change Impacts on Precipitation for the Mid-Atlantic Region of the United States*

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Probabilistic Projections of Climate Change for the Mid-Atlantic Region of the United States: Validation of Precipitation Downscaling during the Historical Era*

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Quantifying parameter sensitivity, interaction, and transferability in hydrologically enhanced versions of the Noah land surface model over transition zones during the warm season

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Quantifying the importance of spatial resolution and other factors through global sensitivity analysis of a flood inundation model

Rainfall characteristics define the value of streamflow observations for distributed watershed model identification

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Rainfall-Runoff Modelling in Gauged and Ungauged Catchments

Reconciling theory with observations: elements of a diagnostic approach to model evaluation

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Reducing uncertainty in predictions in ungauged basins by combining hydrologic indices regionalization and multiobjective optimization

Regionalization of constraints on expected watershed response behavior for improved predictions in ungauged basins

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Reply to comment by Añel on “Most computational hydrology is not reproducible, so is it really science?”

scholarly article by Christopher Hutton et al published March 2017 in Water Resources Research

Reply to comment by Melsen et al. on “Most computational hydrology is not reproducible, so is it really science?”

scholarly article by Christopher Hutton et al published March 2017 in Water Resources Research

Riparian hydraulic gradient and stream-groundwater exchange dynamics in steep headwater valleys

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Risk-based modelling of surface water quality: a case study of the Charles River, Massachusetts

article by Neil R. McIntyre et al published April 2003 in Journal of Hydrology

Sensitivity analysis of environmental models: A systematic review with practical workflow

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Sensitivity-guided reduction of parametric dimensionality for multi-objective calibration of watershed models

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Simulating runoff under changing climatic conditions: a framework for model improvement

Simultaneous calibration of hydrological models in geographical space

Submarine Groundwater Discharge and Seawater Intrusion: Two sides of the same coin that are rarely studied simultaneously

Taking the pulse of hydrology education

scholarly article by Thorsten Wagener et al published 2007 in Hydrological Processes

Ten guidelines for effective data visualization in scientific publications

The challenge of unprecedented floods and droughts in risk management

scientific article published in 2022

The evolution of root-zone moisture capacities after deforestation: a step towards hydrological predictions under change?

article by Remko Nijzink et al published 5 December 2016 in Hydrology and Earth System Sciences

The future of hydrology: An evolving science for a changing world

scholarly article by Thorsten Wagener et al published May 2010 in Water Resources Research

Towards reduced uncertainty in conceptual rainfall-runoff modelling: dynamic identifiability analysis

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Uncertainty in hydrological signatures for gauged and ungauged catchments

Understanding hydrologic variability across Europe through catchment classification

Understanding the time-varying importance of different uncertainty sources in hydrological modelling using global sensitivity analysis

Understanding uncertainty in distributed flash flood forecasting for semiarid regions

Unraveling complex hydrogeological processes in Andean basins in south-central Chile: An integrated assessment to understand hydrological dissimilarity

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Use of Reservoir Operation Optimization Methods in Practice: Insights from a Survey of Water Resource Managers

scientific article published in 2020

V2Karst V1.0: A parsimonious large-scale integrated vegetation-recharge model to simulate the impact of climate and land cover change in karst regions

V2Karst V1.1: a parsimonious large-scale integrated vegetation–recharge model to simulate the impact of climate and land cover change in karst regions

scientific article published in 2018

Variations in surface water-ground water interactions along a headwater mountain stream: Comparisons between transient storage and water balance analyses

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Vulnerability of bridges to scour: insights from an international expert elicitation workshop

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