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List of works by Michael C. Runge

A Markov Decision Process for Managing Habitat for Florida Scrub-Jays

A Quantitative Threats Analysis for the Florida Manatee (Trichechus manatus latirostris)

scientific article published in 2007

A Simplified Method for Value of Information Using Constructed Scales

scientific article published in September 2023

A core stochastic population projection model for Florida manatees ( Trichechus manatus latirostris )

article

A decision-analytic approach to the optimal allocation of resources for endangered species consultation

article

A framework for allocating conservation resources among multiple threats and actions

scientific article published on 29 April 2021

A matter of tradeoffs: Reintroduction as a multiple objective decision

scientific article published in 2012

A modified model for projecting age-structured populations in random environments ⬇️

scientific article published on June 1, 1998

A multistate capture-recapture model to estimate reproduction of North Atlantic right whales

scientific article published on 16 April 2024

A structured decision-making framework for managing cyanobacterial harmful algal blooms in New York State parks

scientific article published in 2022

Active adaptive conservation of threatened species in the face of uncertainty

scientific article

Active adaptive management for reintroduction of an animal population

scientific article published in 2013

Adaptive Management of Bull Trout Populations in the Lemhi Basin

Adaptive Management of Reintroduction

article

Adaptive harvest management of North American waterfowl populations: a brief history and future prospects

article by James D. Nichols et al published 22 November 2007 in Journal of Ornithology

Adaptive management and the value of information: learning via intervention in epidemiology

scientific article

Adaptive management to improve eagle conservation at terrestrial wind facilities

scientific article published on 4 May 2021

Allocating monitoring effort in the face of unknown unknowns

scientific article published in November 2010

An Adaptive Decision Framework for the Conservation of a Threatened Plant

article

An Introduction to Adaptive Management for Threatened and Endangered Species

article

An adaptive-management framework for optimal control of hiking near golden eagle nests in Denali National Park

scientific article

An expert elicitation process to project the frequency and magnitude of Florida manatee mortality events caused by red tide (Karenia brevis)

scientific article published in 2017

An introduction to decision science for conservation

scientific article

Application of Threshold Concepts to Ecological Management Problems: Occupancy of Golden Eagles in Denali National Park, Alaska

scholarly article published 2014

Application of qualitative value of information to prioritize uncertainties about eastern black rail population recovery

scientific article published on 26 May 2022

Are conservation organizations configured for effective adaptation to global change?

scientific article published in 2015

Assessing Allowable Take of Migratory Birds

article

Assessing the risks posed by SARS-CoV-2 in and via North American bats—Decision framing and rapid risk assessment

scientific article published in 2020

Brown trout in the Lees Ferry reach of the Colorado River—Evaluation of causal hypotheses and potential interventions

scientific article published in 2018

CAPTURE-RECAPTURE ANALYSIS FOR ESTIMATING MANATEE REPRODUCTIVE RATES

article

Climate change threatens polar bear populations: a stochastic demographic analysis

scientific article

Combining structured decision making and value-of-information analyses to identify robust management strategies

scientific article

Conservation in the face of climate change: The roles of alternative models, monitoring, and adaptation in confronting and reducing uncertainty

article

Contain or eradicate? Optimizing the management goal for Australian acacia invasions in the face of uncertainty

article

Context-dependent representation of within- and between-model uncertainty: aggregating probabilistic predictions in infectious disease epidemiology

scientific article published in January 2023

Continental Survival and Recovery Rates of Northern Pintails Using Band-Recovery Data

scientific article published in 2010

Cross-sector collaboration is more effective than single sector actions at mitigating SARS-CoV-2 in white-tailed deer

scientific article published on 17 October 2023

Decision Analysis to Advance Environmental Sustainability

scientific article published in December 2023

Decision analysis to support development of the Glen Canyon Dam long-term experimental and management plan

article published in 2015

Decision-support framework for linking regional-scale management actions to continental-scale conservation of wide-ranging species

scientific article published in 2021

Detecting failure of climate predictions

Ecological and evolutionary traps

scientific article published in 2002

Ensemble 2 : Scenarios ensembling for communication and performance analysis

scientific article published in March 2024

Epidemiological modeling of SARS-CoV-2 in white-tailed deer ( Odocoileus virginianus ) reveals conditions for introduction and widespread transmission

scientific article published on 31 August 2023

Epidemiological modeling of SARS-CoV-2 in white-tailed deer (Odocoileus virginianus) reveals conditions for introduction and widespread transmission

scientific article published on 12 July 2024

Erratum to “White-nose syndrome is likely to extirpate the endangered Indiana bat over large parts of its range” [Biol. Conserv. 160 (2013) 162–172]

scholarly article published in Biological Conservation

Essential information: Uncertainty and optimal control of Ebola outbreaks

scientific article (publication date: 30 May 2017)

Evaluating management alternatives for Wyoming elk feedgrounds in consideration of chronic wasting disease

scientific article published in 2023

Evaluating release alternatives for a long-lived bird species under uncertainty about long-term demographic rates

article

Evaluating the risk of SARS-CoV-2 transmission to bats using a decision analytical framework

scientific article published on 28 May 2021

Evaluation of a Reproductive Index for Estimating Productivity of Grassland Breeding Birds

article

Experts correctly describe demography associated with historical decline of the endangered Indiana bat, but not recent period of stationarity

scholarly article published 8 February 2017

Experts correctly describe demography associated with historical decline of the endangered Indiana bat, but not recent period of stationarity

Harvesting wildlife affected by climate change: a modelling and management approach for polar bears.

scientific article published on 8 March 2017

Hierarchical Bayesian analysis to incorporate age uncertainty in growth curve analysis and estimates of age from length: Florida manatee (Trichechus manatus) carcasses

article

How much is new information worth? Evaluating the financial benefit of resolving management uncertainty

scientific article published in 2014

Identifying Objectives and Alternative Actions to Frame a Decision Problem

Implicit decision framing as an unrecognized source of confusion in endangered species classification

scientific article published on 01 August 2018

Incorporating parametric uncertainty into population viability analysis models

article

Introduced species as evolutionary traps

article

Managing and learning with multiple models: Objectives and optimization algorithms

article

Minimizing the cost of keeping options open for conservation in a changing climate

scientific article

Monitoring in the Context of Structured Decision-Making and Adaptive Management

article

Multi‐species duck harvesting using dynamic programming and multi‐criteria decision analysis

scientific article published in 2019

Non-native fish control below Glen Canyon Dam - Report from a structured decision-making project

article by Michael C. Runge et al published 2011 in Open-File Report

One Health collaboration is more effective than single-sector actions at mitigating SARS-CoV-2 in deer

scientific article published on 7 October 2024

Optimal control of native predators

article

Optimal timing for managed relocation of species faced with climate change

article

Planning for robust reserve networks using uncertainty analysis

article

Quantifying the Value of Perfect Information in Emergency Vaccination Campaigns

scientific article

Real-time decision-making during emergency disease outbreaks

scientific article published on 24 July 2018

Recent advances in applying decision science to managing national forests

scientific article published in 2012

Resilience and risk: a demographic model to inform conservation planning for polar bears

article by Eric V. Regehr et al published 2015 in Open-File Report

Risks posed by SARS-CoV-2 to North American bats during winter fieldwork

scientific article published in June 2021

Scenario Design for Infectious Disease Projections: Integrating Concepts from Decision Analysis and Experimental Design

preprint

Scenario design for infectious disease projections: Integrating concepts from decision analysis and experimental design

scholarly article published in June 2024

Status and threats analysis for the Florida manatee ( Trichechus manatus latirostris ), 2012

scientific article published in 2015

Status and threats analysis for the Florida manatee ( Trichechus manatus latirostris ), 2016

Structured decision making as a conceptual framework to identify thresholds for conservation and management

scientific article published in July 2009

Structured decision making as a proactive approach to dealing with sea level rise in Florida

Synergistic interventions to control COVID-19: Mass testing and isolation mitigates reliance on distancing

scientific article published on 28 October 2021

THE IMPORTANCE OF ENVIRONMENTAL VARIABILITY AND MANAGEMENT CONTROL ERROR TO OPTIMAL HARVEST POLICIES

scientific article published in 2004

THE IMPORTANCE OF FUNCTIONAL FORM IN OPTIMAL CONTROL SOLUTIONS OF PROBLEMS IN POPULATION DYNAMICS

article

Testing decision rules for categorizing species' extinction risk to help develop quantitative listing criteria for the U.S. Endangered Species Act.

scientific article

The Need for Coherence Between Waterfowl Harvest and Habitat Management

scientific article published in 2006

The Role of Local Populations within a Landscape Context: Defining and Classifying Sources and Sinks

scientific article published in 2006

The US COVID-19 and Influenza Scenario Modeling Hubs: Delivering long-term projections to guide policy

scientific article published in March 2024

The Value of Information is Context Dependent: A Demonstration of Decision Tools to Address Multispecies River Temperature Management Under Uncertainty

scientific article published on 16 September 2024

The changing dynamics of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1: Next steps for management & science in North America

scientific article published in June 2023

The role of demographic compensation theory in incidental take assessments for endangered species

article

The use of photographic rates to estimate densities of tigers and other cryptic mammals: a comment on misleading conclusions

article

Vote-processing rules for combining control recommendations from multiple models

scientific article published in 2022

Weighing the unknowns: Value of Information for biological and operational uncertainty in invasion management

scientific article published on 05 May 2021

Which uncertainty? Using expert elicitation and expected value of information to design an adaptive program

article by Michael C. Runge et al published April 2011 in Biological Conservation

White-nose syndrome is likely to extirpate the endangered Indiana bat over large parts of its range

article by Wayne E. Thogmartin et al published April 2013 in Biological Conservation

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