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List of works by Mat Collins

A climate database for Mars

scholarly article by Stephen R. Lewis et al published 1 October 1999 in Journal of Geophysical Research

A methodology for probabilistic predictions of regional climate change from perturbed physics ensembles.

scientific article

An example of the dependence of the transient climate response on the temperature of the modelled climate state

article

An objective tropical Atlantic sea surface temperature gradient index for studies of south Amazon dry-season climate variability and change

scientific article

Assessing the Significance of Changes in ENSO Amplitude Using Variance Metrics

Atlantic Atmosphere–Ocean Interaction: A Stochastic Climate Model–Based Diagnosis

Broad range of 2050 warming from an observationally constrained large climate model ensemble

article

Calibration Strategies: A Source of Additional Uncertainty in Climate Change Projections

Challenges and opportunities for improved understanding of regional climate dynamics

Climate Crash: Abrupt Climate Change and what it Means for Our Future - by John D Cox

Climate model errors, feedbacks and forcings: a comparison of perturbed physics and multi-model ensembles

article

Correction to: “Constraining climate forecasts: The role of prior assumptions”

scholarly article by D. J. Frame et al published 2 May 2014 in Geophysical Research Letters

Corrigendum to “Sensitivity and uncertainty of modelled terrestrial net primary productivity to doubled CO2 and associated climate change for a relatively large perturbed physics ensemble” [Agric. Forest Meteorol. 170 (2013) 79–88]

scholarly article by Deborah Hemming et al published May 2013 in Agricultural and Forest Meteorology

Development of super-ensemble techniques for ocean analyses: the Mediterranean Sea case

Diagnosing ENSO and Global Warming Tropical Precipitation Shifts Using Surface Relative Humidity and Temperature

article

Diagnosing Relationships between Mean State Biases and El Niño Shortwave Feedback in CMIP5 Models

article

Distributed computing for public-interest climate modeling research

ENSO Atmospheric Teleconnections and Their Response to Greenhouse Gas Forcing

scholarly article by Sang-Wook Yeh et al published 17 February 2018 in Reviews of Geophysics

ENSO and greenhouse warming

article

ENSO teleconnections to the Indian summer monsoon in observations and models

article

Eastward shift and extension of ENSO-induced tropical precipitation anomalies under global warming

scientific article published on 08 January 2020

Effect of AMOC collapse on ENSO in a high resolution general circulation model

El Niño- or La Niña-like climate change?

scholarly article by Mat Collins published 9 December 2004 in Climate Dynamics

Ensembles and probabilities: a new era in the prediction of climate change

scientific article

Extreme swings of the South Pacific Convergence Zone and the different types of El Niño events

scholarly article

Fourth CLIVAR Workshop on the Evaluation of ENSO Processes in Climate Models: ENSO in a Changing Climate

article by Eric Guilyardi et al published May 2016 in Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society

From observations to forecasts - Part 9: what is decadal forecasting?

Global change: The past and future of El Niño

scientific article published in July 2003

Granger Causality of Coupled Climate Processes: Ocean Feedback on the North Atlantic Oscillation

Health and climate change: policy responses to protect public health

scientific article

Heatwave–blocking relation change likely dominates over decrease in blocking frequency under global warming

scientific article published in 2022

High sensitivity of future global warming to land carbon cycle processes

article

How far ahead could we predict El Niño?

scholarly article

How uncertain are climate model projections of water availability indicators across the Middle East?

scientific article

Impact of a Stochastic Kinetic Energy Backscatter scheme across time-scales and resolutions

Improved general circulation models of the Martian atmosphere from the surface to above 80 km

article

Improved stochastic physics schemes for global weather and climate models

Increased crop failure due to climate change: assessing adaptation options using models and socio-economic data for wheat in China ⬇️

article

Increased frequency of extreme La Niña events under greenhouse warming

article

Increasing frequency of extreme El Niño events due to greenhouse warming

article

Increasing risk of Amazonian drought due to decreasing aerosol pollution

scientific article published on May 2008

Inferring changes in ENSO amplitude from the variance of proxy records

scholarly article

Interactions between perturbations to different Earth system components simulated by a fully-coupled climate model

article

Links between tropical Pacific seasonal, interannual and orbital variability during the Holocene

MEETING SUMMARIES

Model tropical Atlantic biases underpin diminished Pacific decadal variability

article

Modelling mid-Holocene tropical climate and ENSO variability: towards constraining predictions of future change with palaeo-data

article by Josephine Brown et al published 25 May 2007 in Climate Dynamics

More extreme swings of the South Pacific convergence zone due to greenhouse warming

scientific article published on August 2012

Multivariate and multi-temporal analysis of meteorological drought in the northeast of Thailand

scientific article published in 2021

Multivariate probabilistic projections using imperfect climate models part I: outline of methodology

article

New Strategies for Evaluating ENSO Processes in Climate Models

Northern hemisphere winter atmospheric climate: modes of natural variability and climate change

article

Ocean–Atmosphere State Dependence of the Atmospheric Response to Arctic Sea Ice Loss

Predictability of decadal variations in the thermohaline circulation and climate

article by Mat Collins & Bablu Sinha published March 2003 in Geophysical Research Letters

Probabilistic projections of transient climate change

article

Projected increase in continental runoff due to plant responses to increasing carbon dioxide

scientific article

Projected response of the Indian Ocean Dipole to greenhouse warming

article

Quantification of modelling uncertainties in a large ensemble of climate change simulations

scientific article

Quantifying Uncertainty in Model Predictions for the Pliocene (Plio-QUMP): Initial results

article

Quantifying future climate change

article

Quantifying global climate feedbacks, responses and forcing under abrupt and gradual CO2 forcing

article

Regular and irregular baroclinic waves in a martian general circulation model: A role for diurnal forcing?

Reliability and importance of structural diversity of climate model ensembles

article

Reliability of multi-model and structurally different single-model ensembles

article

Representing El Niño in Coupled Ocean–Atmosphere GCMs: The Dominant Role of the Atmospheric Component

article

SST and circulation trend biases cause an underestimation of European precipitation trends

article

Seasonal to interannual Arctic sea ice predictability in current global climate models

article

Sensitivity and uncertainty of modelled terrestrial net primary productivity to doubled CO2 and associated climate change for a relatively large perturbed physics ensemble

scholarly article by Deborah Hemming et al published March 2013 in Agricultural and Forest Meteorology

Southern Ocean albedo, inter-hemispheric energy transports and the double ITCZ: global impacts of biases in a coupled model

article

Statistical problems in the probabilistic prediction of climate change

scholarly article by David B. Stephenson et al published 27 June 2012 in Environmetrics

Still weighting to break the model democracy

scholarly article

Structural Similarities and Differences in Climate Responses to CO2Increase between Two Perturbed Physics Ensembles

article

The 2021 western North America heat wave among the most extreme events ever recorded globally

scientific article published in 2022

The Arctic Predictability and Prediction on Seasonal-to-Interannual TimEscales (APPOSITE) data set version 1

scientific article published in 2016

The impact of global warming on the tropical Pacific Ocean and El Niño

article

The impact of perturbations to ocean-model parameters on climate and climate change in a coupled model

article

The influence of ENSO on South American precipitation during austral summer and autumn in observations and models

article

The influence of ENSO on South American precipitation: simulation and projection in CMIP5 models

article published in 2016

The variation of ENSO characteristics associated with atmospheric parameter perturbations in a coupled model

article

Towards quantifying uncertainty in predictions of Amazon 'dieback'.

scientific article

Towards quantifying uncertainty in transient climate change

scholarly article by Mat Collins et al published 6 April 2006 in Climate Dynamics

Uncertainty in predictions of the climate response to rising levels of greenhouse gases

scientific article

Uncertainty in the ENSO amplitude change from the past to the future

scholarly article

Understanding Bias in the Evaporative Damping of El Niño–Southern Oscillation Events in CMIP5 Models

article

Understanding El Niño in Ocean–Atmosphere General Circulation Models: Progress and Challenges

article

Understanding uncertainties in the response of ENSO to greenhouse warming

article

Wave interactions and baroclinic chaos: a paradigm for long timescale variability in planetary atmospheres

When could global warming reach 4°C?

scientific article published in January 2011

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