Search filters

List of works by Kris Varun Parag

A computationally tractable birth-death model that combines phylogenetic and epidemiological data

scientific article published on 11 February 2022

A database for the epidemic trends and control measures during the first wave of COVID-19 in mainland China

scientific article published on 29 October 2020

A sub-national analysis of the rate of transmission of COVID-19 in Italy

scientific article published on 09 May 2020

An exact method for quantifying the reliability of end-of-epidemic declarations in real time

scientific article published on 30 November 2020

Are epidemic growth rates more informative than reproduction numbers?

scientific article published on 26 May 2022

Epidemiological and clinical characteristics of the COVID-19 epidemic in Brazil

scientific article published on 31 July 2020

Establishment and lineage dynamics of the SARS-CoV-2 epidemic in the UK

scientific article published on 08 January 2021

Exact Bayesian Inference for Phylogenetic Birth-Death Models.

scientific article

Fundamental limits on inferring epidemic resurgence in real time using effective reproduction numbers

scientific article published on 11 April 2022

Improved estimation of time-varying reproduction numbers at low case incidence and between epidemic waves

scientific article published on 07 September 2021

On signalling and estimation limits for molecular birth-processes

scientific article published on 09 July 2019

Optimal Point Process Filtering for Birth-Death Model Estimation

Point process analysis of noise in early invertebrate vision

scientific article published on 27 October 2017

Potential impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on HIV, tuberculosis, and malaria in low-income and middle-income countries: a modelling study

scientific article published on 13 July 2020

Reduction in mobility and COVID-19 transmission

scholarly article by Pierre Nouvellet published in 2021

Report 21: Estimating COVID-19 cases and reproduction number in Brazil

scientific article published on 18 May 2020

SARS-CoV-2 infection prevalence on repatriation flights from Wuhan City, China

scientific article published on 24 August 2020

State-level tracking of COVID-19 in the United States

scientific article published on 03 December 2020

Sub-spreading events limit the reliable elimination of heterogeneous epidemics

scientific article published on 18 August 2021

Three-quarters attack rate of SARS-CoV-2 in the Brazilian Amazon during a largely unmitigated epidemic

scientific article

Tracking the emergence of disparities in the subnational spread of COVID-19 in Brazil using an online application for real-time data visualisation: A longitudinal analysis

scientific article published on 01 January 2022

Using digital traces to build prospective and real-time county-level early warning systems to anticipate COVID-19 outbreaks in the United States

scientific article published on 18 January 2023

Using information theory to optimise epidemic models for real-time prediction and estimation

scientific article published on 01 July 2020

When is the R = 1 epidemic threshold meaningful?

scientific article published in November 2024