List of works by Warner Marzocchi

A Bayesian procedure for Probabilistic Tsunami Hazard Assessment

A Brownian model for recurrent volcanic eruptions: an application to Miyakejima volcano (Japan)

article

A Framework for Probabilistic Multi-Hazard Assessment of Rain-Triggered Lahars Using Bayesian Belief Networks

A Ten-Year Earthquake Occurrence Model for Italy

article

A Unified Probabilistic Framework for Seismic Hazard Analysis

A completeness analysis of the National Seismic Network of Italy

article

A double branching model for earthquake occurrence

scholarly article by Warner Marzocchi & Anna Maria Lombardi published August 2008 in Journal of Geophysical Research

A forward test for interaction between remote earthquakes and volcanic eruptions: the case of Sumatra (June 2000) and Denali (November 2002) earthquakes

scholarly article

A new Bayesian Event Tree tool to track and quantify volcanic unrest and its application to Kawah Ijen volcano

A new perspective in identifying the precursory patterns of eruptions

A non-parametric hazard model to characterize the spatio-temporal occurrence of large earthquakes; an application to the Italian catalogue

article

A performance-based framework for adaptive seismic aftershock risk assessment

A quantitative model for the time-size distribution of eruptions

article

A retrospective comparative forecast test on the 1992 Landers sequence

scholarly article

Accounting for Epistemic Uncertainty in PSHA: Logic Tree and Ensemble Modeling

scholarly article

Adaptive Daily Forecasting of Seismic Aftershock Hazard

scholarly article

Analysis of non-stationary climate-related extreme events considering climate change scenarios: an application for multi-hazard assessment in the Dar es Salaam region, Tanzania

scholarly article by Alexander Garcia-Aristizabal et al published 27 July 2014 in Natural Hazards

Anelastic convection in the mantle with variable properties

Are short-term evacuations warranted? Case of the 2009 L'Aquila earthquake

scholarly article by Thomas van Stiphout et al published March 2010 in Geophysical Research Letters

Assessing annual global M6+ seismicity forecasts

BET_EF: a probabilistic tool for long- and short-term eruption forecasting

BET_VH: a probabilistic tool for long-term volcanic hazard assessment

BET_VH: exploring the influence of natural uncertainties on long-term hazard from tephra fallout at Campi Flegrei (Italy)

article

Basic principles of multi-risk assessment: a case study in Italy

article

Bayesian Forecast Evaluation and Ensemble Earthquake Forecasting

scholarly article by Warner Marzocchi et al published 1 December 2012 in Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America

Bayesian Hierarchical Time Predictable Model for eruption occurrence: an application to Kilauea Volcano

Bayesian event tree for eruption forecasting (BET_EF) at Vesuvius, Italy: a retrospective forward application to the 1631 eruption

article

Chaos and stochasticity in volcanic eruptions the case of Mount Etna and Vesuvius

article published in 1996

Combining long- and short-term probabilistic volcanic hazard assessment with cost-benefit analysis to support decision making in a volcanic crisis from the Auckland Volcanic Field, New Zealand

article

Comment on "Layered Seismogenic Source Model and Probabilistic Seismic-Hazard Analyses in Central Italy" by Bruno Pace, Laura Peruzza, Giusy Lavecchia, and Paolo Boncio

article

Common Features and Peculiarities of the Seismic Activity at Phlegraean Fields, Long Valley, and Vesuvius

scientific article

Continuous monitoring of CO 2 soil diffuse degassing at Phlegraean Fields (Italy): influence of environmental and volcanic parameters

article

Cross-correlation analysis of seismic and volcanic data at Mt Etna volcano, Italy

article

Detecting low-dimensional chaos in geophysical time series

scientific article published in 1997

Detecting low-dimensional chaos in time series of finite length generated from discrete parameter processes

Double Branching model to forecast the next M≥5.5 earthquakes in Italy

article

Earthquake Forecasting and Earthquake Prediction: Different Approaches for Obtaining the Best Model

scholarly article by Warner Marzocchi & J. D. Zechar published 1 May 2011 in Seismological Research Letters

Earthquake focal mechanism forecasting in Italy for PSHA purposes

article

Earthquake forecasting during the complex Amatrice-Norcia seismic sequence

scientific article published on 13 September 2017

Empirical evaluation of the magnitude-independence assumption

Erratum to Operational (Short‐Term) Earthquake Loss Forecasting in Italy

article

Evidence of clustering and nonstationarity in the time distribution of large worldwide earthquakes

scholarly article

Experimental concepts for testing probabilistic earthquake forecasting and seismic hazard models

scholarly article by Warner Marzocchi & Thomas H. Jordan published 7 July 2018 in Geophysical Journal International

Exploring the evolution of a volcanic seismic swarm: The case of the 2000 Izu Islands swarm

scholarly article

Exploring the influence of vent location and eruption style on tephra fall hazard from the Okataina Volcanic Centre, New Zealand

article

Feasibility of a synchronized correlation between Hawaiian hot spot volcanism and geomagnetiC polarity

scholarly article

Focal parameters, depth estimation, and plane selection of the worldwide shallow seismicity withMs≥ 7.0 for the period 1900-1976

scholarly article

Ground motion models for the new seismic hazard model of Italy (MPS19): selection for active shallow crustal regions and subduction zones

scientific article published on 27 April 2020

Is there a correlation between larger local earthquakes and the end of eruptions at Mount Etna volcano, Sicily?

scholarly article by Stefano Gresta et al published January 1994 in Geophysical Journal International

Long-Term Influence of Giant Earthquakes: Backward Empirical Evidence and Forward Test

article

Long-term forecast of eruption style and size at Campi Flegrei caldera (Italy)

article

Mechanical origin of aftershocks.

scientific article

Missing reversals in the geomagnetic polarity timescale: Their influence on the analysis and in constraining the process that generates geomagnetic reversals

scholarly article

Modeling the stress variations induced by great earthquakes on the largest volcanic eruptions of the 20th century

scholarly article by Warner Marzocchi et al published November 2002 in Journal of Geophysical Research

On the Increase of Background Seismicity Rate during the 1997-1998 Umbria-Marche, Central Italy, Sequence: Apparent Variation or Fluid-Driven Triggering?

article

On the Validation of Earthquake-Forecasting Models: The Case of Pattern Recognition Algorithms

scholarly article

On the earthquake predictability of fault interaction models

scientific article published on 11 December 2014

On the long-term interaction among earthquakes: Some insight from a model simulation

scholarly article by Warner Marzocchi published 2003 in Journal of Geophysical Research

On the occurrence of large earthquakes: New insights from a model based on interacting faults embedded in a realistic tectonic setting

article

On the spatio-temporal distribution of M 7.0+ worldwide seismicity with a non-parametric statistics

On the spreading of the East Pacific Rise

scientific article

Operational (Short‐Term) Earthquake Loss Forecasting in Italy

article

Operational Earthquake Forecasting Can Enhance Earthquake Preparedness

scholarly article

Operational earthquake forecasting in Europe: progress, despite challenges

scholarly article by J. Douglas Zechar et al published 10 May 2016 in Bulletin of Earthquake Engineering

Parameter Estimation in the ETAS Model: Approximations and Novel Methods

scholarly article

Pattern recognition applied to volcanic activity: Identification of the precursory patterns to Etna recent flank eruptions and periods of rest

scholarly article by Francesco Mulargia et al published April 1991 in Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research

Patterns of hot spot volcanism

scholarly article

Phenomenological evidence in favor of a remote seismic coupling for large volcanic eruptions

article

Possible origin of memory in earthquakes: Real catalogs and an epidemic-type aftershock sequence model

scientific article published on 01 April 2019

Practical application of fractal analysis: problems and solutions

Principles of volcanic risk metrics: Theory and the case study of Mount Vesuvius and Campi Flegrei, Italy

article

Probabilistic Hazard From Pyroclastic Density Currents in the Neapolitan Area (Southern Italy)

article

Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Analysis at Regional and National Scales: State of the Art and Future Challenges

scholarly article

Probabilistic eruption forecasting and the call for an evacuation

scholarly article

Probabilistic eruption forecasting at short and long time scales

Probabilistic short-term volcanic hazard in phases of unrest: A case study for tephra fallout

Probabilistic tsunami hazard assessment for Messina Strait Area (Sicily, Italy)

article

Probability hazard map for future vent opening at the Campi Flegrei caldera, Italy

article

Probability map of the next M ≥ 5.5 earthquakes in Italy

article

Quantifying probabilities of volcanic events: The example of volcanic hazard at Mount Vesuvius

scientific article

Re-Rebuttal to the Reply of Varotsos et al

scholarly article

Real-time forecasting following a damaging earthquake

scholarly article by Warner Marzocchi & Anna Maria Lombardi published 6 November 2009 in Geophysical Research Letters

Rebuttal to Replies I and II by Varotsos et al

scholarly article

Recurrence of volcanic activity along the Roman Comagmatic Province (Tyrrhenian margin of Italy) and its tectonic significance

article

Remote seismic influence on large explosive eruptions

scholarly article

Reply to comment on "Assessing CN earthquake predictions in Italy"

article

Reply to the comment by S.R. Gaffin on ‘The correlation of geomagnetic reversals and mean sea level in the last 150 m.y.’ by W. Marzocchi et al

Rikitake's geodynamo model analysed in terms of classical time series statistics

Scale analysis to sort the different causes of mean sea level changes: An application to the northern Adriatic Sea

scholarly article

Some Thoughts on Declustering in Probabilistic Seismic-Hazard Analysis

scientific article

Some insights on the occurrence of recent volcanic eruptions of Mount Etna volcano (Sicily, Italy)

article

Spatial organization of foreshocks as a tool to forecast large earthquakes

scientific article

Statistical Features of Foreshocks in Instrumental and ETAS Catalogs

Statistical analysis of the geomagnetic reversal sequences

Statistical identification of physical patterns which accompany eruptive activity on Mount Etna, Sicily

Statistics between mainshocks and foreshocks in Italy and Southern California

article

Stochastic models for earthquake triggering of volcanic eruptions

scholarly article by M. S. Bebbington & Warner Marzocchi published 17 May 2011 in Journal of Geophysical Research

Suitability of energy cone for probabilistic volcanic hazard assessment: validation tests at Somma-Vesuvius and Campi Flegrei (Italy)

article

Testing for ontological errors in probabilistic forecasting models of natural systems

scientific article

Testing forecasts of a new Bayesian time-predictable model of eruption occurrence

Testing the performance of some nonparametric pattern recognition algorithms in realistic cases

scholarly article by Laura Sandri & Warner Marzocchi published March 2004 in Pattern Recognition

The Assumption of Poisson Seismic-Rate Variability in CSEP/RELM Experiments

The Establishment of an Operational Earthquake Forecasting System in Italy

article

The correlation of geomagnetic reversals and mean sea level in the last 150 m.y

scholarly article

The double branching model for earthquake forecast applied to the Japanese seismicity

article

The global aftershock zone

scholarly article by Tom Parsons et al published March 2014 in Tectonophysics

The periodicity of geomagnetic reversals

The scientific management of volcanic crises

The tectonic setting of Mount Vesuvius and the correlation between its eruptions and the earthquakes of the Southern Apennines

scholarly article by Warner Marzocchi et al published November 1993 in Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research

Toward a New Probabilistic Framework to Score and Merge Ground‐Motion Prediction Equations: The Case of the Italian Region

article

Towards Quantitative Volcanic Risk of Pyroclastic Density Currents: Probabilistic Hazard Curves and Maps Around Somma-Vesuvius (Italy)

article

Towards real-time eruption forecasting in the Auckland Volcanic Field: application of BET_EF during the New Zealand National Disaster Exercise ‘Ruaumoko’

article

Tsunami risk assessments in Messina, Sicily – Italy

article

Two-way coupling between Vesuvius eruptions and southern Apennine earthquakes, Italy, by elastic stress transfer

article

Variations of southern California seismicity: Empirical evidence and possible physical causes

article

Volcanic threats to global society

scientific article

Volcano observatory best practices (VOBP) workshops - a summary of findings and best-practice recommendations

When Is the Probability of a Large Earthquake Too Small?

scholarly article by Warner Marzocchi et al published 16 September 2015 in Seismological Research Letters

Where giant earthquakes may come

scholarly article

stress pulses in southern Italy

article

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