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List of works by Michael R. Pickles

A Bayesian approach to estimate changes in condom use from limited human immunodeficiency virus prevalence data.

scientific article published on 10 August 2015

A dose-response relationship between exposure to a large-scale HIV preventive intervention and consistent condom use with different sexual partners of female sex workers in southern India

scientific article published on 29 December 2011

A sub-national analysis of the rate of transmission of COVID-19 in Italy

scientific article published on 09 May 2020

Antiretroviral therapy uptake, attrition, adherence and outcomes among HIV-infected female sex workers: a systematic review and meta-analysis

scientific article published on 29 September 2014

Assessment of the population-level effectiveness of the Avahan HIV-prevention programme in South India: a preplanned, causal-pathway-based modelling analysis

scientific article published on 30 September 2013

CD4+ cell dynamics in untreated HIV-1 infection: overall rates, and effects of age, viral load, sex and calendar time

scientific article published in November 2015

Community mobilisation and empowerment interventions as part of HIV prevention for female sex workers in Southern India: a cost-effectiveness analysis

scientific article published on 21 October 2014

Cost-effectiveness of HIV prevention for high-risk groups at scale: an economic evaluation of the Avahan programme in south India

scientific article published on 27 August 2014

Differences between seven measures of self-reported numbers of clients of female sex workers in southern India: implications for individual- and population-level analysis.

scientific article published in February 2013

Distinguishing sources of HIV transmission from the distribution of newly acquired HIV infections: why is it important for HIV prevention planning?

scientific article published on 20 September 2013

Estimating the cost-effectiveness of pre-exposure prophylaxis to reduce HIV-1 and HSV-2 incidence in HIV-serodiscordant couples in South Africa

scientific article

Evaluating large-scale HIV prevention interventions: study design for an integrated mathematical modelling approach

scientific article published on 17 October 2007

Evolution of HIV virulence in response to widespread scale up of antiretroviral therapy: a modeling study.

scientific article published in July 2016

Exploring the population-level impact of antiretroviral treatment: the influence of baseline intervention context

scientific article published in January 2014

Global epidemiology of HIV among female sex workers: influence of structural determinants.

scientific article

Health benefits, costs, and cost-effectiveness of earlier eligibility for adult antiretroviral therapy and expanded treatment coverage: a combined analysis of 12 mathematical models

scientific article published in December 2013

Heterosexual anal intercourse: a neglected risk factor for HIV?

scientific article published on 24 December 2012

How do HIV-negative individuals in sub-Saharan Africa change their sexual risk behaviour upon learning their serostatus? A systematic review

scientific article

Impact and Cost-Effectiveness of Point-Of-Care CD4 Testing on the HIV Epidemic in South Africa

scientific article published on 8 July 2016

Informing HIV Prevention Programs for Adolescent Girls and Young Women: A Modified Approach to Programmatic Mapping and Key Population Size Estimation

article

Interim modelling analysis to validate reported increases in condom use and assess HIV infections averted among female sex workers and clients in southern India following a targeted HIV prevention programme

scientific article published on February 2010

Phylogenetic Tools for Generalized HIV-1 Epidemics: Findings from the PANGEA-HIV Methods Comparison.

scientific article published on 07 October 2016

PopART-IBM, a highly efficient stochastic individual-based simulation model of generalised HIV epidemics developed in the context of the HPTN 071 (PopART) trial

scientific article published in September 2021

PopART-IBM, a highly efficient stochastic individual-based simulation model of generalised HIV epidemics developed in the context of the HPTN 071 (PopART) trial

preprint

Positive impact of a large-scale HIV prevention programme among female sex workers and clients in South India

scientific article published on June 2013

Prevalence and Frequency of Heterosexual Anal Intercourse Among Young People: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis.

scientific article

Prevalence and patterns of gender-based violence across adolescent girls and young women in Mombasa, Kenya

scientific article published on 12 October 2020

Report 21: Estimating COVID-19 cases and reproduction number in Brazil

scientific article published on 18 May 2020

The HIV care cascade and antiretroviral therapy in female sex workers: implications for HIV prevention

scientific article published on 30 August 2014

The costs of scaling up HIV prevention for high risk groups: lessons learned from the Avahan Programme in India

scientific article published on 9 September 2014

To what extent is the HIV epidemic in southern India driven by commercial sex? A modelling analysis

scientific article published on October 2010

Using mathematical modelling to investigate the plausibility of attributing observed antenatal clinic declines to a female sex worker intervention in Karnataka state, India

scientific article published in December 2008

Validation of the modes of transmission model as a tool to prioritize HIV prevention targets: a comparative modelling analysis

scientific article

Vulnerabilities at First Sex and Their Association With Lifetime Gender-Based Violence and HIV Prevalence Among Adolescent Girls and Young Women Engaged in Sex Work, Transactional Sex, and Casual Sex in Kenya

article

What really is a concentrated HIV epidemic and what does it mean for West and Central Africa? Insights from mathematical modeling

scientific article published on March 2015

Who mixes with whom among men who have sex with men? Implications for modelling the HIV epidemic in southern India

scientific article published on 13 April 2014

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