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List of works by Elmar Kriegler

A New Toolkit for Developing Scenarios for Climate Change Research and Policy Analysis

scholarly article by Kristie Ebi et al published 28 February 2014 in Environment

A new scenario framework for Climate Change Research: scenario matrix architecture

scholarly article by Detlef P. van Vuuren et al published 3 October 2013 in Climatic Change

A new scenario framework for climate change research: background, process, and future directions

scholarly article by Kristie Ebi et al published 27 September 2013 in Climatic Change

A new scenario framework for climate change research: the concept of shared climate policy assumptions

scholarly article by Elmar Kriegler et al published 28 January 2014 in Climatic Change

A new scenario framework for climate change research: the concept of shared socioeconomic pathways

scholarly article by Brian C. O’Neill et al published 15 October 2013 in Climatic Change

A new scenario resource for integrated 1.5 °C research

scientific article

A short note on integrated assessment modeling approaches: Rejoinder to the review of “Making or breaking climate targets — The AMPERE study on staged accession scenarios for climate policy”

Achievements and needs for the climate change scenario framework

scientific article published on 25 November 2020

Afforestation to mitigate climate change: impacts on food prices under consideration of albedo effects

scholarly article by Ulrich Kreidenweis et al published 27 July 2016 in Environmental Research Letters

Anticipating Climate Threshold Damages

Asia's role in mitigating climate change: A technology and sector specific analysis with ReMIND-R

article

Assessing global fossil fuel availability in a scenario framework

article

Author Correction: Energy investment needs for fulfilling the Paris Agreement and achieving the Sustainable Development Goals

scholarly article

Bayesian learning for a class of priors with prescribed marginals

Bioenergy in energy transformation and climate management

article

Biophysical and economic limits to negative CO2 emissions

article

Can air pollutant controls change global warming?

article

Carbon budgets and energy transition pathways

Carbon leakage in a fragmented climate regime: The dynamic response of global energy markets

article published in 2015

Climate Policy Under Uncertain and Heterogeneous Climate Damages

Climate change scenario services: From science to facilitating action

scientific article published on 20 August 2021

Climate model projections from the Scenario Model Intercomparison Project (ScenarioMIP) of CMIP6

scientific article

Climate targets under uncertainty: challenges and remedies

article published in 2010

Combining ambitious climate policies with efforts to eradicate poverty

scientific article published in 2021

Comment

Complementing carbon prices with technology policies to keep climate targets within reach

article

Data on fossil fuel availability for Shared Socioeconomic Pathways

scientific article

Description of the REMIND Model (Version 1.5)

article

Diagnostic indicators for integrated assessment models of climate policy

ERRATUM: "THE DISTRIBUTION OF THE MAJOR ECONOMIES' EFFORT IN THE DURBAN PLATFORM SCENARIOS"

scholarly article published in Climate Change Economics

Economic and environmental costs of regulatory uncertainty for coal-fired power plants

scientific article

Economic damages from on-going climate change imply deeper near-term emission cuts

scientific article published in 2021

Economic impacts of alternative greenhouse gas emission metrics: a model-based assessment

Economic mitigation challenges: how further delay closes the door for achieving climate targets

scientific article

Efficient climate policies under technology and climate uncertainty

Emissions and their drivers: sensitivity to economic growth and fossil fuel availability across world regions

Energy investment needs for fulfilling the Paris Agreement and achieving the Sustainable Development Goals

scholarly article

Energy system transformations for limiting end-of-century warming to below 1.5 °C

article

Erratum: Corrigendum: Energy system transformations for limiting end-of-century warming to below 1.5 °C

article

Estimating and tracking the remaining carbon budget for stringent climate targets

scientific article published in July 2019

Evaluating process-based integrated assessment models of climate change mitigation

scientific article published in 2021

Experimental determination of the complete spin structure forp¯p→Λ¯Λatpp¯=1.637GeV/c

scholarly article

Fossil-fueled development (SSP5): An energy and resource intensive scenario for the 21st century

article

Future growth patterns of world regions – A GDP scenario approach

Getting from here to there – energy technology transformation pathways in the EMF27 scenarios

Global fossil energy markets and climate change mitigation – an analysis with REMIND

article

HOW TO MEASURE THE IMPORTANCE OF CLIMATE RISK FOR DETERMINING OPTIMAL GLOBAL ABATEMENT POLICIES?

Harmonization vs. fragmentation: overview of climate policy scenarios in EMF27

How uncertainty in technology costs and carbon dioxide removal availability affect climate mitigation pathways

scientific article published in 2021

Implications of Weak Near-Term Climate Policies on Long-Term Mitigation Pathways

Implications of possible interpretations of 'greenhouse gas balance' in the Paris Agreement ⬇️

scientific article published in May 2018

Implications of weak near-term climate policies on long-term mitigation pathways

article

Imprecise probability assessment of tipping points in the climate system

scholarly article

Improving environmental change research with systematic techniques for qualitative scenarios

Integrating Global Climate Change Mitigation Goals with Other Sustainability Objectives: A Synthesis

scholarly article by Christoph von Stechow et al published 4 November 2015 in Annual Review of Environment and Resources

Introduction to the AMPERE model intercomparison studies on the economics of climate stabilization

article

Introduction to the RoSE special issue on the impact of economic growth and fossil fuel availability on climate protection

Is atmospheric carbon dioxide removal a game changer for climate change mitigation?

scholarly article by Elmar Kriegler et al published 22 February 2013 in Climatic Change

Land-use futures in the shared socio-economic pathways

Land-use transition for bioenergy and climate stabilization: model comparison of drivers, impacts and interactions with other land use based mitigation options

article

Locked into Copenhagen pledges — Implications of short-term emission targets for the cost and feasibility of long-term climate goals

Long history of IAM comparisons

Long-term economic benefits of stabilizing warming without overshoot – the ENGAGE model intercomparison

scientific article

Long-term transport energy demand and climate policy: Alternative visions on transport decarbonization in energy-economy models

article

Looking under the hood: A comparison of techno-economic assumptions across national and global integrated assessment models

Making or breaking climate targets: The AMPERE study on staged accession scenarios for climate policy

Mid- and long-term climate projections for fragmented and delayed-action scenarios

article published in 2015

Mitigation scenarios must cater to new users

ON THE REGIONAL DISTRIBUTION OF CLIMATE MITIGATION COSTS: THE IMPACT OF DELAYED COOPERATIVE ACTION

On the verge of dangerous anthropogenic interference with the climate system?

Optimal international technology cooperation for the low-carbon transformation

scholarly article by Anselm Schultes et al published 5 January 2018 in Climate Policy

Pathways limiting warming to 1.5°C: a tale of turning around in no time?

scientific article published in May 2018

Post-2020 climate agreements in the major economies assessed in the light of global models

article

Potential and costs of carbon dioxide removal by enhanced weathering of rocks

article by Jessica Strefler et al published 1 March 2018 in Environmental Research Letters

Preface and introduction to EMF 27

Publisher Correction: Achievements and needs for the climate change scenario framework

correction of a scholarly article

Quantification of an efficiency-sovereignty trade-off in climate policy

scientific article published on 09 December 2020

Reduced Complexity Model Intercomparison Project Phase 1: introduction and evaluation of global-mean temperature response

scientific article published in 2020

Regional Low-Emission Pathways from Global Models

Residual fossil CO2 emissions in 1.5–2 °C pathways

Role of technologies in energy-related CO2 mitigation in China within a climate-protection world: A scenarios analysis using REMIND

article

Scenarios towards limiting global mean temperature increase below 1.5 °C

article by Joeri Rogelj et al published 5 March 2018 in Nature Climate Change

Sensitivity Analysis of Emissions Corridors for the 21st Century

article

Shared Socio-Economic Pathways of the Energy Sector – Quantifying the Narratives

article

Short term policies to keep the door open for Paris climate goals

Simulating the Earth system response to negative emissions

article

Special Report on Global Warming of 1.5ºC ⬇️

special climate change report published by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change

Targeted policies can compensate most of the increased sustainability risks in 1.5 °C mitigation scenarios

The IPCC Sixth Assessment Report WGIII climate assessment of mitigation pathways: from emissions to global temperatures

scientific article published in 2022

The Scenario Model Intercomparison Project (ScenarioMIP) for CMIP6

scholarly article published in 2016

The Scenario Model Intercomparison Project (ScenarioMIP) for CMIP6

scholarly article, 2016

The Shared Socio-economic Pathways: Trajectories for human development and global environmental change

article

The Shared Socioeconomic Pathways and their energy, land use, and greenhouse gas emissions implications: An overview

The impact of climate change mitigation on water demand for energy and food: An integrated analysis based on the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways

scholarly article by Ioanna Mouratiadou et al published October 2016 in Environmental Science and Policy

The impact of technological change on climate protection and welfare: Insights from the model MIND

article

The need for and use of socio-economic scenarios for climate change analysis: A new approach based on shared socio-economic pathways

article

The roads ahead: Narratives for shared socioeconomic pathways describing world futures in the 21st century

article

The role of Asia in mitigating climate change: Results from the Asia modeling exercise

article

The role of technology for achieving climate policy objectives: overview of the EMF 27 study on global technology and climate policy strategies

article

The value of bioenergy in low stabilization scenarios: an assessment using REMIND-MAgPIE

Tipping elements in the Earth's climate system

scientific article

Updating under unknown unknowns: An extension of Bayes’ rule

Utilizing belief functions for the estimation of future climate change

scholarly article by Elmar Kriegler & Hermann Held published June 2005 in International Journal of Approximate Reasoning

WHAT DOES THE 2°C TARGET IMPLY FOR A GLOBAL CLIMATE AGREEMENT IN 2020? THE LIMITS STUDY ON DURBAN PLATFORM SCENARIOS

Will economic growth and fossil fuel scarcity help or hinder climate stabilization?

article

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