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List of works by Chris D. Thomas

A framework for assessing threats and benefits to species responding to climate change

article

A millennium of increasing diversity of ecosystems until the mid‐20th century

scientific article published in 2022

A national-scale assessment of climate change impacts on species: Assessing the balance of risks and opportunities for multiple taxa

scholarly article by James W. Pearce-Higgins et al published September 2017 in Biological Conservation

A northward shift of range margins in British Odonata

A sixth mass extinction?

scientific article published in Nature

Abundance changes and habitat availability drive species’ responses to climate change

article

Active Management of Protected Areas Enhances Metapopulation Expansion Under Climate Change

article

Adaptations to Captivity in the Butterfly Pieris brassicae (L.) and the Implications for Ex situ Conservation

article by Owen T. Lewis & Chris D. Thomas published 2001 in Journal of Insect Conservation

Aligning conservation priorities across taxa in Madagascar with high-resolution planning tools.

scientific article

Anthropocene Park? No alternative

October 2011 scholarly article in Trends in Ecology & Evolution

Area-dependent migration by ringlet butterflies generates a mixture of patchy population and metapopulation attributes

scientific article published on 01 January 1997

Assisted colonisation prospects for the black-veined white butterfly in England

scientific article published on 23 May 2024

Assisted colonization in a changing climate: a test-study using two U.K. butterflies

article by Stephen G. Willis et al published February 2009 in Conservation Letters

Asymmetric boundary shifts of tropical montane Lepidoptera over four decades of climate warming

article

Author Correction: Moth biomass has fluctuated over 50 years in Britain but lacks a clear trend

Balancing alternative land uses in conservation prioritization

scientific article

Biodiversity change under adaptive community dynamics

Biodiversity conservation: Uncertainty in predictions of extinction risk/Effects of changes in climate and land use/Climate change and extinction risk (reply)

scholarly article by Chris D. Thomas et al published 1 July 2004 in Nature Cell Biology

Birds extend their ranges northwards

scientific article published in Nature

Butterfly larvae reduce host plant survival in vicinity of alternative host species

scientific article published in August 1986

Can occupancy patterns be used to predict distributions in widely separated geographic regions?

scientific article published on 14 June 2006

Catastrophic Extinction of Population Sources in a Butterfly Metapopulation

scholarly article by Chris D. Thomas et al published December 1996 in The American Naturalist

Changes in dispersal during species' range expansions

scientific article published on 12 August 2004

Changes in habitat specificity of species at their climatic range boundaries

scientific article published on October 2009

Changing habitat associations of a thermally constrained species, the silver-spotted skipper butterfly, in response to climate warming

scientific article

Climate change and evolutionary adaptations at species' range margins

scientific article

Climate change and translocations: The potential to re-establish two regionally-extinct butterfly species in Britain

article

Climate change vulnerability assessment of species

article by Wendy Foden et al published 11 October 2018 in Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: WIREs Climate Change

Climate change vulnerability for species-Assessing the assessments.

scientific article

Climate change vulnerability for species: assessing the assessments

scholarly article published 11 July 2016

Climate change, climatic variation and extreme biological responses

scientific article

Climate change, connectivity and conservation decision making: back to basics

scholarly article by Jenny A. Hodgson et al published October 2009 in Journal of Applied Ecology

Climate, climate change and range boundaries

scholarly article by Chris D. Thomas published 13 April 2010 in Diversity and Distributions

Climate-induced phenology shifts linked to range expansions in species with multiple reproductive cycles per year

scientific article published on 24 October 2019

Combining probabilities of occurrence with spatial reserve design

article

Comparing organic farming and land sparing: optimizing yield and butterfly populations at a landscape scale

scientific article published on 6 September 2010

Correlated extinctions, colonizations and population fluctuations in a highly connected ringlet butterfly metapopulation

scientific article

Corrigendum: Geographical range margins of many taxonomic groups continue to shift polewards

scientific article published in 2018

Defining and delivering resilient ecological networks: Nature conservation in England

article

Detecting decline in a formerly widespread species: how common is the common blue butterfly Polyommatus icarus?

article

Determining Whether the Impacts of Introduced Species Are Negative Cannot Be Based Solely on Science: A Response to Russell and Blackburn.

scientific article published on 26 February 2017

Difficulties in deducing dynamics from static distributions

scientific article published on August 1, 1994

Direct and indirect effects of climate and habitat factors on butterfly diversity

scientific article

Dispersal and extinction in fragmented landscapes.

scientific article published in January 2000

Dispersal, distribution, patch network and metapopulation dynamics of the dingy skipper butterfly (Erynnis tages).

scientific article

Distance sampling and the challenge of monitoring butterfly populations

article by Nick J. B. Isaac et al published 28 March 2011 in Methods in Ecology and Evolution

Dynamic distribution modelling: predicting the present from the past

article

Ecological and evolutionary processes at expanding range margins.

scientific article published in May 2001

Ecological dynamics of extinct species in empty habitat networks. 1. The role of habitat pattern and quantity, stochasticity and dispersal

article

Ecological dynamics of extinct species in empty habitat networks. 2. The role of host plant dynamics

article

Ecosystem service benefits of contrasting conservation strategies in a human-dominated region

scholarly article by Felix Eigenbrod et al published 22 August 2009 in Proceedings of the Royal Society B

Edge artefacts and lost performance in national versus continental conservation priority areas

scientific article published in 2012

Elevation increases in moth assemblages over 42 years on a tropical mountain

scientific article

Error propagation associated with benefits transfer-based mapping of ecosystem services

scholarly article by Felix Eigenbrod et al published November 2010 in Biological Conservation

Evolution of flight morphology in a butterfly that has recently expanded its geographic range.

scientific article

Evolution on the move: specialization on widespread resources associated with rapid range expansion in response to climate change

scientific article published on 11 December 2013

Evolutionary Responses of a Butterfly Metapopulation to Human- and Climate-Caused Environmental Variation

article

Evolutionary consequences of habitat fragmentation in a localized butterfly

article by Chris D. Thomas et al published May 1998 in Journal of Animal Ecology

Exporting the ecological effects of climate change. Developed and developing countries will suffer the consequences of climate change, but differ in both their responsibility and how badly it will affect their ecosystems

scientific article (publication date: July 2008)

Extinction and climate change

scientific article

Extinction risk from climate change

scientific article, 2014

FAR‐sighted conservation

Facilitating dynamic and inclusive biodiversity conservation in Britain: an Anthropocene perspective

scientific article published on 12 August 2021

Floristic diversity and its relationships with human land use varied regionally during the Holocene

Genetic Analysis of Founder Bottlenecks in the Rare British Butterfly Plebejus argus. Analisis Genetico de Cuellos de Botella en la Mariposa Britanica Plebejus argus

article

Geographical range margins of many taxonomic groups continue to shift polewards

Global extent and drivers of mammal population declines in protected areas under illegal hunting pressure

scientific article published on 21 August 2020

Global warming, elevational ranges and the vulnerability of tropical biota

article

Grand challenges in entomology: Priorities for action in the coming decades

scientific article published in 2023

Habitat area, quality and connectivity: striking the balance for efficient conservation

article

Habitat associations of species show consistent but weak responses to climate

scientific article

Habitat associations of thermophilous butterflies are reduced despite climatic warming

scientific article

Habitat availability explains variation in climate-driven range shifts across multiple taxonomic groups

scientific article published on 21 October 2019

Habitat microclimates drive fine-scale variation in extreme temperatures

article

Habitat re-creation strategies for promoting adaptation of species to climate change

article

Habitat-based statistical models for predicting the spatial distribution of butterflies and day-flying moths in a fragmented landscape

article

Heterogeneous landscapes promote population stability

scientific article published on 8 February 2010

High Abundances of Species in Protected Areas in Parts of their Geographic Distributions Colonized during a Recent Period of Climatic Change

article

Human modification of land cover alters net primary productivity, species richness and their relationship

scientific article published in 2023

Hydrologically driven ecosystem processes determine the distribution and persistence of ecosystem-specialist predators under climate change

scientific article

Impacts of habitat change and protected areas on alpha and beta diversity of Mexican birds

scientific article published in 2016

Increased dispersal explains increasing local diversity with global biodiversity declines

scientific article published in 2023

Increased dispersal explains increasing local diversity with global biodiversity declines

scientific article published on 11 June 2023

Individualistic sensitivities and exposure to climate change explain variation in species' distribution and abundance changes

scientific article

Introduced and natural colonists show contrasting patterns of protected area association in UK wetlands

scientific article published in 2014

Introduced plants as novel Anthropocene habitats for insects

scientific article published on 16 December 2019

Linking climate warming and land conversion to species’ range changes across Great Britain

Linking habitat use to range expansion rates in fragmented landscapes: a metapopulation approach

article

Local and landscape management of an expanding range margin under climate change

article

Local diversity stays about the same, regional diversity increases, and global diversity declines

scientific article

Long-term changes to the frequency of occurrence of British moths are consistent with opposing and synergistic effects of climate and land-use changes

scientific article

Looking back on biodiversity change: lessons for the road ahead

scientific article published on 29 May 2023

Lost, gained, and regained functional and phylogenetic diversity of European mammals since 8000 years ago

scientific article published in 2022

METAPOPULATIONS OF FOUR LEPIDOPTERAN HERBIVORES ON A SINGLE HOST PLANT,LOTUS CORNICULATUS

article

Macro- and microclimatic interactions can drive variation in species' habitat associations.

scientific article

Maintaining global biodiversity by developing a sustainable Anthropocene food production system

Managing successional species: Modelling the dependence of heath fritillary populations on the spatial distribution of woodland management

article

Marginal range expansion in a host-limited butterfly species Gonepteryx rhamni

article

Mesozoic break-up of SW Gondwana: implications for regional hydrocarbon potential of the southern South Atlantic

scholarly article

Metapopulation responses to patch connectivity and quality are masked by successional habitat dynamics

scientific article published on June 2009

Metapopulation structure depends on spatial scale in the host-specific moth Wheeleria spilodactylus (Lepidoptera: Pterophoridae)

scholarly article by Rosa Menéndez & Chris D. Thomas published December 2000 in Journal of Animal Ecology

Metapopulations of Four Lepidopteran Herbivores on a Single Host Plant, Lotus corniculatus

scientific article published in 2001

Migration and Allee effects in the six-spot burnet moth Zygaena filipendulae

article by Rosa Menéndez et al published June 2002 in Ecological Entomology

Minimum viable metapopulation size, extinction debt, and the conservation of a declining species

scientific article published on July 2007

Modelling the effect of habitat fragmentation on range expansion in a butterfly

scientific article published on 25 February 2009

Moth biomass increases and decreases over 50 years in Britain

scientific article published on 11 November 2019

Multi-generational long-distance migration of insects: studying the painted lady butterfly in the Western Palaearctic

scientific article (publication date: 16 October 2012)

Nettle-feeding nymphalid butterflies: temperature, development and distribution

article

Non-native plants add to the British flora without negative consequences for native diversity

scientific article

Observed and predicted effects of climate change on species abundance in protected areas

article

On the approximation of continuous dispersal kernels in discrete-space models

article published in 2011

One hundred priority questions for landscape restoration in Europe

article

Open Corridors Appear to Facilitate Dispersal by Ringlet Butterflies (Aphantopus hyperantus) between Woodland Clearings

article by Odette L. Sutcliffe & Chris D. Thomas published October 1996 in Conservation Biology

PRIORITY CONTRIBUTION: Future novel threats and opportunities facing UK biodiversity identified by horizon scanning

article

Past, current, and potential future distributions of unique genetic diversity in a cold-adapted mountain butterfly

scientific article published on 30 September 2020

Patchiness and Spatial Pattern in the Insect Community on Ragwort Senecio jacobaea

article by Susan P. Harrison & Chris D. Thomas published October 1991 in Oikos

Poleward shifts in geographical ranges of butterfly species associated with regional warming

scientific article published in Nature

Population variability in species can be deduced from opportunistic citizen science records: a case study using British butterflies

article by Suzanna C. Mason et al published 3 July 2017 in Insect Conservation and Diversity

Precipitation and winter temperature predict long-term range-scale abundance changes in Western North American birds

scientific article

Predicting microscale shifts in the distribution of the butterfly Plebejus argus at the northern edge of its range

article by Jenny A. Hodgson et al published 4 February 2015 in Ecography

Premating barriers to gene exchange and their implications for the structure of a mosaic hybrid zone between Chorthippus brunneus and C. jacobsi (Orthoptera: Acrididae).

scientific article published in January 2004

Prioritizing multiple-use landscapes for conservation: methods for large multi-species planning problems

scientific article published in September 2005

Projected latitudinal and regional changes in vascular plant diversity through climate change: short-term gains and longer-term losses

article

Protected areas act as establishment centres for species colonizing the UK.

scientific article published on 10 April 2013

Protected areas do already act as steppingstones for species responding to climate change

scientific article published in 2023

Protected areas facilitate species' range expansions

scientific article

Quantifying range-wide variation in population trends from local abundance surveys and widespread opportunistic occurrence records

article

REVIEW: The identification of priority policy options for UK nature conservation

article

Range expansion through fragmented landscapes under a variable climate

scientific article

Range retractions and extinction in the face of climate warming.

scientific article

Rapid acceleration of plant speciation during the Anthropocene

scientific article published on 23 June 2015

Rapid human-induced evolution of insect–host associations

scientific article published in Nature

Rapid range shifts of species associated with high levels of climate warming

scientific article

Reconciling biodiversity and carbon conservation

scientific article

Reconciling diverse viewpoints within systematic conservation planning

scientific article published in 2023

Reduced body sizes in climate-impacted Borneo moth assemblages are primarily explained by range shifts

scientific article published on 10 October 2019

Refugia and connectivity sustain amphibian metapopulations afflicted by disease

scientific article published on 25 June 2015

Reply to Hulme et al.: Cover of non-native species is too low to adversely affect native plant diversity at a national scale

scientific article published on June 2015

Reply to Le Roux et al

scientific article published on 01 May 2020

Representation of ecosystem services by tiered conservation strategies

scholarly article by Felix Eigenbrod et al published 24 February 2010 in Conservation Letters

Restoration of Endangered Species

scientific article published on 17 June 2006

Retraction of the Research Article: "Individualistic sensitivities and exposure to climate change explain variation in species' distribution and abundance changes".

scientific article published on 29 April 2016

Selection for discontinuous life-history traits along a continuous thermal gradient in the butterfly Aricia agestis

article

Short-term studies underestimate 30-generation changes in a butterfly metapopulation

scientific article published in March 2002

Spatial and temporal variability in a butterfly population.

scientific article

Spatial covariance between biodiversity and other ecosystem service priorities

scholarly article by Barbara J. Anderson et al published August 2009 in Journal of Applied Ecology

Spatial covariation between freshwater and terrestrial ecosystem services

scientific article

Spatial patterns in species distributions reveal biodiversity change

scientific article published in November 2004

Species richness changes lag behind climate change

scientific article published in June 2006

Specificity of an ant-lycaenid interaction

scientific article

Surrogacy and persistence in reserve selection: landscape prioritization for multiple taxa in Britain

scientific article published in 2009

Swallowtail Butterflies of the Americas. A Study in Biological Dynamics, Ecological Diversity, Biosystematics, and Conservation

scientific article published in 1996

Temperature-dependent alterations in host use drive rapid range expansion in a butterfly.

scientific article

Temporal variation in responses of species to four decades of climate warming

article

Testing a Metapopulation Model of Coexistence in the Insect Community on Ragwort (Senecio jacobaea)

article

The Anthropocene Speciation Hypothesis Remains Valid: Reply to Hulme et al.

scientific article published on 15 October 2015

The Anthropocene could raise biological diversity

scientific article

The Difficulty of Deducing Behavior from Resource Use: An Example from Hilltopping in Checkerspot Butterflies

article

The coincidence of climatic and species rarity: high risk to small-range species from climate change

scientific article

The development of Anthropocene biotas

scientific article published on 27 January 2020

The distribution and decline of a widespread butterfly Lycaena phlaeas in a pastoral landscape

article by Jorge L. Leon-Cortes et al published August 2000 in Ecological Entomology

The distribution and density of a lycaenid butterfly in relation to Lasius ants.

scientific article

The distribution of plant species in urban vegetation fragments

scholarly article

The effect of earthworms and snails in a simple plant community

article

The effectiveness of protected areas in the conservation of species with changing geographical ranges

article

The impact of proxy-based methods on mapping the distribution of ecosystem services

scholarly article by Felix Eigenbrod et al published April 2010 in Journal of Applied Ecology

The influence of temporal variation on relationships between ecosystem services

article

The influence of thermal ecology on the distribution of three nymphalid butterflies

article by Simon R. Bryant et al published February 2002 in Journal of Applied Ecology

The past, present and potential future distributions of cold-adapted bird species

article

The performance of protected areas for biodiversity under climate change

scholarly article by Chris D. Thomas & Phillipa K. Gillingham published 20 March 2015 in Biological Journal of the Linnean Society

The re-expansion and improving status of the silver-spotted skipper butterfly ( Hesperia comma ) in Britain: a metapopulation success story

article

The relative importance of climate and habitat in determining the distributions of species at different spatial scales: a case study with ground beetles in Great Britain

article

The spatial structure of populations

article

The speed of range shifts in fragmented landscapes

scientific article

Thermal ecology of gregarious and solitary nettle-feeding nymphalid butterfly larvae.

scientific article published on January 2000

Thermal range predicts bird population resilience to extreme high temperatures

scientific article

Three ways of assessing metapopulation structure in the butterfly Plebejus argus

scholarly article by Owen T. Lewis et al published August 1997 in Ecological Entomology

Topographic microclimates drive microhabitat associations at the range margin of a butterfly

article

Translating area-based conservation pledges into efficient biodiversity protection outcomes

Translocation of species, climate change, and the end of trying to recreate past ecological communities

scientific article published on March 15, 2011

Two Species with an Unusual Combination of Traits Dominate Responses of British Grasshoppers and Crickets to Environmental Change

scientific article published on 25 June 2015

Unlocking the potential of historical abundance datasets to study biomass change in flying insects

scientific article published on 07 July 2020

Using distribution models to test alternative hypotheses about a species’ environmental limits and recovery prospects

article

Using habitat distribution models to evaluate large-scale landscape priorities for spatially dynamic species

article

Widespread Effects of Climate Change on Local Plant Diversity

scientific article published on 15 August 2019

“Insectageddon”: A call for more robust data and rigorous analyses

scientific article published on 18 March 2019