List of works by Ed Hawkins

A Simple, Coherent Framework for Partitioning Uncertainty in Climate Predictions

article by Stan Yip et al published September 2011 in Journal of Climate

A global empirical system for probabilistic seasonal climate prediction

article

A global empirical system for probabilistic seasonal climate prediction

A mechanism for Atlantic multidecadal variability in the Kiel Climate Model

article

A review on Arctic sea-ice predictability and prediction on seasonal to decadal time-scales

article

A verification framework for interannual-to-decadal predictions experiments

article by L. Goddard et al published 24 August 2012 in Climate Dynamics

Addressing uncertainty in adaptation planning for agriculture ⬇️

scientific article

Aerosol contribution to the rapid warming of near-term climate under RCP 2.6

article

An empirical model for probabilistic decadal prediction: global attribution and regional hindcasts

scholarly article

An event-based approach to understanding decadal fluctuations in the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation

article by Lesley Allison et al published 11 September 2014 in Climate Dynamics

Aspects of designing and evaluating seasonal-to-interannual Arctic sea-ice prediction systems

Atlantic overturning in decline?

Atmospheric and Oceanic Contributions to Irreducible Forecast Uncertainty of Arctic Surface Climate

Bistability of the Atlantic overturning circulation in a global climate model and links to ocean freshwater transport

article

Broad threat to humanity from cumulative climate hazards intensified by greenhouse gas emissions

scientific article

CO2, the greenhouse effect and global warming: from the pioneering work of Arrhenius and Callendar to today's Earth System Models

scientific article

Calibration and bias correction of climate projections for crop modelling: An idealised case study over Europe ⬇️

article

Causes of climate change over the historical record

scientific article

Causes of differences in model and satellite tropospheric warming rates

article

Climate projections

Climate research must sharpen its view.

scientific article

Comment on "Multiyear prediction of monthly mean Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation at 26.5°N".

scientific article published in November 2012

Connecting Climate Model Projections of Global Temperature Change with the Real World

article

Correction to “Bistability of the Atlantic overturning circulation in a global climate model and links to ocean freshwater transport”

article

Counting the coming storms

article by Ed Hawkins & Pier Luigi Vidale published August 2012 in Nature Climate Change

Decadal Climate Prediction: An Update from the Trenches

article

Decadal Predictability of the Atlantic Ocean in a Coupled GCM: Forecast Skill and Optimal Perturbations Using Linear Inverse Modeling

article

Decadal Prediction

article by Gerald Meehl et al published October 2009 in Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society

Decadal climate prediction with a refined anomaly initialisation approach

article by Danila Volpi et al published 4 June 2016 in Climate Dynamics

Decadal predictions with the HiGEM high resolution global coupled climate model: description and basic evaluation

article

Digitizing observations from the Met Office Daily Weather Reports for 1900–1910 using citizen scientist volunteers

scientific article published in 2020

ESD Ideas: Global climate response scenarios for IPCC assessments

scientific article published on 19 August 2020

Emerging New Climate Extremes Over Europe

scientific article published on 30 March 2021

Emerging new climate extremes over Europe

scientific article published on 16 August 2021

Estimating Changes in Global Temperature since the Preindustrial Period

article

Estimating Climatically Relevant Singular Vectors for Decadal Predictions of the Atlantic Ocean

article

Evaluating the potential for statistical decadal predictions of sea surface temperatures with a perfect model approach

article

Examining reliability of seasonal to decadal sea surface temperature forecasts: The role of ensemble dispersion

article by Chun Kit Ho et al published 11 November 2013 in Geophysical Research Letters

Global risk of deadly heat

scientific article published on 19 June 2017

Graphics: scrap rainbow colour scales

scientific article published in March 2015

Hourly weather observations from the Scottish Highlands (1883-1904) rescued by volunteer citizen scientists

scientific article published on 26 August 2019

IPCC Sixth Assessment Report ⬇️

intergovernmental report on climate change

Identifying uncertainties in Arctic climate change projections

scholarly article by Daniel L. R. Hodson et al published 18 September 2012 in Climate Dynamics

Importance of the Pre-Industrial Baseline in Determining the Likelihood of Exceeding the Paris Limits.

scientific article published on 24 July 2017

Improved Arctic sea ice thickness projections using bias corrected CMIP5 simulations

article

Improved Arctic sea ice thickness projections using bias-corrected CMIP5 simulations

article

Improving Arctic weather and seasonal climate prediction: recommendations for future forecast systems evolution from the European project APPLICATE

scientific article published in 2022

Increasing influence of heat stress on French maize yields from the 1960s to the 2030s ⬇️

scientific article

Influence of internal variability on Arctic sea-ice trends

article

Influences of increasing temperature on Indian wheat: quantifying limits to predictability ⬇️

Interpretations of the Paris climate target

Irreducible uncertainty in near-term climate projections

scholarly article by Ed Hawkins et al published 4 September 2015 in Climate Dynamics

Large differences in regional precipitation change between a first and second 2 K of global warming

scientific article

Making sense of the early-2000s warming slowdown

article

Meteorological Data Rescue – Citizen Science Lessons Learned From Southern Weather Discovery

scientific article published in 2022

Meteorological data rescue: Citizen science lessons learned from Southern Weather Discovery

scientific article published in 2022

Millions of digitized historical sea‐level pressure observations rediscovered

scientific article published on 13 June 2022

Millions of historical monthly rainfall observations taken in the UK and Ireland rescued by citizen scientists

scientific article published in 2022

Near‐zero humidities on Ben Nevis, Scotland, revealed by pioneering 19th‐century observers and modern volunteers

scientific article published in 2019

No periodicities in 2dF Redshift Survey data

scientific article

Observable, low-order dynamical controls on thresholds of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation

scientific article

Observed Emergence of the Climate Change Signal: From the Familiar to the Unknown

scientific article published in 2020

On increasing global temperatures: 75 years after Callendar

Our evolving climate

Our evolving climate: communicating the effects of climate variability

Pan-Arctic and Regional Sea Ice Predictability: Initialization Month Dependence

article by J. J. Day et al published June 2014 in Journal of Climate

Partitioning climate projection uncertainty with multiple large ensembles and CMIP5/6

scientific article published on 29 May 2020

Pause for thought

article published in 2014

Poorest countries experience earlier anthropogenic emergence of daily temperature extremes

article by Luke J. Harrington et al published 1 May 2016 in Environmental Research Letters

Population-based emergence of unfamiliar climates

Potential predictability of rapid changes in the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation

scholarly article

Potential volcanic impacts on future climate variability

Processes governing the predictability of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation in a coupled GCM

article

Projections of when temperature change will exceed 2 °C above pre-industrial levels

article by Manoj Joshi et al published 23 October 2011 in Nature Climate Change

Real-time multi-model decadal climate predictions

article

Reconciled climate response estimates from climate models and the energy budget of Earth

article

Reemergence of Antarctic sea ice predictability and its link to deep ocean mixing in global climate models

scientific article published in 2018

Reliability of regional climate model trends

article

Reply to “Comments on ‘A Simple, Coherent Framework for Partitioning Uncertainty in Climate Predictions’”

Robust Future Changes in Temperature Variability under Greenhouse Gas Forcing and the Relationship with Thermal Advection

scientific article published in 2016

Robust comparison of climate models with observations using blended land air and ocean sea surface temperatures

article

Robust dynamics of Amazon dieback to climate change with perturbed ecosystem model parameters

scholarly article by Benjamin Poulter et al published February 2010 in Global Change Biology

Scenario and modelling uncertainty in global mean temperature change derived from emission-driven global climate models

Sea ice decline and 21st century trans-Arctic shipping routes

article

Seasonal cycles enhance disparities between low- and high-income countries in exposure to monthly temperature emergence with future warming

scientific article published on 24 October 2017

Seasonal to interannual Arctic sea ice predictability in current global climate models

article

Sensitivity of Historical Climate Simulations to Uncertain Aerosol Forcing

scholarly article

Sensitivity of terrestrial precipitation trends to the structural evolution of sea surface temperatures

scholarly article by Bruce T. Anderson et al published 18 February 2015 in Geophysical Research Letters

Statistical decadal predictions for sea surface temperatures: a benchmark for dynamical GCM predictions

article by Chun Kit Ho et al published 5 October 2012 in Climate Dynamics

Storylines for future changes of the North Atlantic jet and associated impacts on the <scp>UK</scp>

scientific article published in 2023

Studying climate stabilization at Paris Agreement levels

scientific article

The 2dF Galaxy Redshift Survey: correlation functions, peculiar velocities and the matter density of the Universe

scientific article

The 2dF Galaxy Redshift Survey: galaxy clustering per spectral type

article

The 2dF Galaxy Redshift Survey: luminosity dependence of galaxy clustering

article

The 2dF Galaxy Redshift Survey: the dependence of galaxy clustering on luminosity and spectral type

article by Peder Norberg et al published 1 June 2002 in Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society

The 2dF Galaxy Redshift Survey: the environmental dependence of galaxy star formation rates near clusters

scientific article

The 2dF Galaxy Redshift Survey: the nature of the relative bias between galaxies of different spectral type

article

The 2dF galaxy redshift survey: clustering properties of radio galaxies

scientific article

The Arctic Predictability and Prediction on Seasonal-to-Interannual TimEscales (APPOSITE) data set version 1

scientific article published in 2016

The Climate Spiral Demonstrates the Power of Sharing Creative Ideas

scientific article published on 15 January 2019

The Interpretation and Use of Biases in Decadal Climate Predictions

article

The Maunder minimum (1645–1715) was indeed a grand minimum: A reassessment of multiple datasets ⬇️

scientific article published in Astronomy and Astrophysics

The Maunder minimum and the Little Ice Age: an update from recent reconstructions and climate simulations

The Potential to Narrow Uncertainty in Regional Climate Predictions

academic article (2009)

The Statistical DownScaling Model - Decision Centric (SDSM-DC): conceptual basis and applications

article

The clustering of hot and cold IRAS galaxies: the redshift-space correlation function

scholarly article

The potential to narrow uncertainty in projections of regional precipitation change

article by Ed Hawkins & Rowan Sutton published 11 April 2010 in Climate Dynamics

The potential to narrow uncertainty in projections of stratospheric ozone over the 21st century

scholarly article

The timing of anthropogenic emergence in simulated climate extremes

scientific article published in 2015

The upper end of climate model temperature projections is inconsistent with past warming

article

Time of emergence of climate signals

scholarly article

Towards a more reliable historical reanalysis: Improvements for version 3 of the Twentieth Century Reanalysis system

scientific article published on 23 August 2019

Towards operational predictions of the near-term climate

Towards predictive understanding of regional climate change

scholarly article by Shang-Ping Xie et al published 7 September 2015 in Nature Climate Change

U.K. Climate Projections: Summer Daytime and Nighttime Urban Heat Island Changes in England’s Major Cities

scientific article published in 2020

Uncertainties in the timing of unprecedented climates

scientific article published in July 2014

Variability of the Atlantic thermohaline circulation described by three-dimensional empirical orthogonal functions

article by Ed Hawkins & Rowan Sutton published 23 December 2007 in Climate Dynamics

Variability of the Atlantic thermohaline circulation described by three-dimensional empirical orthogonal functions

article by Ed Hawkins & Rowan Sutton published 6 June 2007 in Climate Dynamics

Wetter then drier in some tropical areas

What does global mean temperature tell us about local climate?

scientific article

Will Arctic sea ice thickness initialization improve seasonal forecast skill?

scholarly article

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