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List of works by Bryan Grenfell

A Global Immunological Observatory to meet a time of pandemics

scientific article published on 08 June 2020

A global system for the next generation of vaccines

scientific article published on 29 April 2022

A mechanistic spatio-temporal framework for modelling individual-to-individual transmission-With an application to the 2014-2015 West Africa Ebola outbreak.

scientific article published on 30 October 2017

A stochastic model for extinction and recurrence of epidemics: estimation and inference for measles outbreaks

scientific article published in December 2002

Absolute Humidity and the Seasonal Onset of Influenza in the Continental US.

scientific article

Absolute humidity and the seasonal onset of influenza in the continental United States

scientific article

Accelerated viral dynamics in bat cell lines, with implications for zoonotic emergence

scientific article published on 03 February 2020

Accelerated viral dynamics in bat cell lines, with implications for zoonotic emergence

scientific article published on 09 July 2019

Accuracy of models for the 2001 foot-and-mouth epidemic

scientific article published in June 2008

Age-specific risks of tuberculosis infection from household and community exposures and opportunities for interventions in a high-burden setting

scientific article

Aggregated mobility data could help fight COVID-19

scientific article published on 23 March 2020

Air travel and the spread of influenza: important caveats

scientific article published in November 2006

An investigation of transmission control measures during the first 50 days of the COVID-19 epidemic in China

scientific article published on 31 March 2020

Analysis of multi-level spatial data reveals strong synchrony in seasonal influenza epidemics across Norway, Sweden, and Denmark

scientific article

Animal reservoir, natural and socioeconomic variations and the transmission of hemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome in Chenzhou, China, 2006-2010

scientific article published on 09 January 2014

Application of a forecasting model to mitigate the consequences of unexpected RSV surge: Experience from the post-COVID-19 2021/22 winter season in a major metropolitan centre, Lyon, France

scientific article published on 3 February 2023

Assessing drivers of full adoption of test and treat policy for malaria in Senegal

scientific article published on 11 May 2015

Assessing the Effects of Measles Virus Infections on Childhood Infectious Disease Mortality in Brazil

scientific article published on 28 December 2022

Assessing the influence of climate on wintertime SARS-CoV-2 outbreaks

scientific article published on 8 February 2021

Asynchrony between virus diversity and antibody selection limits influenza virus evolution

scientific article published on 11 November 2020

Asynchrony between virus diversity and antibody selection limits influenza virus evolution

scientific article published on 29 April 2020

Avian influenza H5N1 viral and bird migration networks in Asia

scientific article

Bacillus Calmette-Guérin and isoniazid preventive therapy protect contacts of patients with tuberculosis

scientific article

Biphasic pattern in the effect of severe measles infection; the difference between additive and multiplicative scale

scientific article published on 14 December 2021

Boosting understanding of pertussis outbreaks ⬇️

scientific article published on April 20, 2011

COVID-19 Futures: A Framework for Exploring Medium and Long-Term Impacts

scientific article published on 3 September 2020

Cetacean morbillivirus: current knowledge and future directions.

scientific article

Challenges in Cybersecurity: Lessons from Biological Defense Systems

scientific article published in 2023

Changes in historical typhoid transmission across 16 U.S. cities, 1889-1931: Quantifying the impact of investments in water and sewer infrastructures

scientific article published on 18 March 2020

Changes in rodent abundance and weather conditions potentially drive hemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome outbreaks in Xi'an, China, 2005-2012.

scientific article

Characterizing superspreading events and age-specific infectiousness of SARS-CoV-2 transmission in Georgia, USA

scientific article published on 20 August 2020

Characterizing the dynamics of rubella relative to measles: the role of stochasticity.

scientific article published on 11 September 2013

Climate change suggests a shift of H5N1 risk in migratory birds

scholarly article by Huaiyu Tian et al published June 2015 in Ecological Modelling

Climatological, virological and sociological drivers of current and projected dengue fever outbreak dynamics in Sri Lanka

scientific article published on 03 June 2020

Coexisting attractors in the context of cross-scale population dynamics: measles in London as a case study

scientific article published on 22 April 2020

Cohort-based approach to understanding the roles of generation and serial intervals in shaping epidemiological dynamics

scientific article published on 5 June 2020

Comparing and linking machine learning and semi-mechanistic models for the predictability of endemic measles dynamics

scientific article published in September 2022

Comparing the predictive power of machine learning and semi-mechanistic models of endemic measles dynamics

scientific article published on 27 May 2022

Comparison of alternative models of human movement and the spread of disease

scientific article published on 20 December 2019

Contact heterogeneity, rather than transmission efficiency, limits the emergence and spread of canine influenza virus

scientific article (publication date: October 2014)

Correction for Tian et al., Avian influenza H5N1 viral and bird migration networks in Asia

scientific article published on 11 May 2015

Correction: Absolute Humidity and the Seasonal Onset of Influenza in the Continental United States.

scientific article published on 15 March 2010

Correction: Absolute Humidity and the Seasonal Onset of Influenza in the Continental United States.

scientific article published on 18 March 2010

Correction: Air Travel and the Spread of Influenza: Important Caveats.

scientific article published on 30 January 2007

Correction: Routine Pediatric Enterovirus 71 Vaccination in China: a Cost-Effectiveness Analysis

scientific article published on 6 April 2016

Cyclic epidemics and extreme outbreaks induced by hydro-climatic variability and memory

scientific article published on 21 October 2020

Cyclical changes in seroprevalence of leptospirosis in California sea lions: endemic and epidemic disease in one host species?

scientific article

Demographic buffering: titrating the effects of birth rate and imperfect immunity on epidemic dynamics

scientific article

Demographic variability, vaccination, and the spatiotemporal dynamics of rotavirus epidemics

scientific article

Demonstrating the use of high-volume electronic medical claims data to monitor local and regional influenza activity in the US.

scientific article

Deploying digital health data to optimize influenza surveillance at national and local scales

scientific article published on 7 March 2018

Direct and indirect effects of rotavirus vaccination: comparing predictions from transmission dynamic models

scientific article

Direct and indirect mortality impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic in the US, March 2020-April 2021 ⬇️

scientific article published on 15 February 2022

Direct and indirect mortality impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic in the United States, March 1, 2020 to January 1, 2022

scientific article published on 22 February 2023

Directly transmitted viral diseases: modeling the dynamics of transmission

scientific article published on 19 March 2008

Discovering the phylodynamics of RNA viruses

scientific article

Disease Dynamics in a Dynamic Social Network

scientific article published in July 2010

Disease and healthcare burden of COVID-19 in the United States

scientific article published on 16 June 2020

Disentangling the dynamical underpinnings of differences in SARS-CoV-2 pathology using within-host ecological models

scientific article published on 11 December 2020

Does multiple infection select for raised virulence?

scientific article published in September 2002

Dynamic Perspectives on the Search for a Universal Influenza Vaccine

scientific article published on 01 April 2019

Dynamics and selection of many-strain pathogens

scientific article

Dynamics in a simple evolutionary-epidemiological model for the evolution of an initial asymptomatic infection stage

scientific article published on 08 May 2020

Dynamics of Glycoprotein Charge in the Evolutionary History of Human Influenza ⬇️

scientific article published on December 30, 2010

Dynamics of influenza virus infection and pathology.

scientific article

Early evaluation of the Wuhan City travel restrictions in response to the 2019 novel coronavirus outbreak

scientific article published on 2 February 2020

Ecological interference between fatal diseases ⬇️

scientific article published on April 24, 2003

Ecology of Parasite-Host Dynamics: Principles, Theory, and Analysis

scientific article published in 2002

Economic and Behavioral Influencers of Vaccination and Antimicrobial Use

scientific article published on 21 December 2020

Effect of data quality on estimates of farm infectiousness trends in the UK 2001 foot-and-mouth disease epidemic

scientific article

Empirical determinants of measles metapopulation dynamics in England and Wales ⬇️

scientific article published on 01 February 1998

Enterovirus D68: a test case for the use of immunological surveillance to develop tools to mitigate the pandemic potential of emerging pathogens

scientific article published in February 2022

Environmental drivers of the spatiotemporal dynamics of respiratory syncytial virus in the United States

scientific article

Epidemic dynamics at the human-animal interface.

scientific article published on December 2009

Epidemic dynamics of respiratory syncytial virus in current and future climates ⬇️

scientific article published on 04 December 2019

Epidemic dynamics, interactions and predictability of enteroviruses associated with hand, foot and mouth disease in Japan

scientific article published on 12 September 2018

Epidemiological and evolutionary considerations of SARS-CoV-2 vaccine dosing regimes

scientific article published on 3 February 2021

Epidemiological dynamics of enterovirus D68 in the US: implications for acute flaccid myelitis

scientific article published on 29 July 2020

Epidemiological dynamics of enterovirus D68 in the United States and implications for acute flaccid myelitis

scientific article published on 10 March 2021

Epidemiological impact of vaccination on the dynamics of two childhood diseases in rural Senegal.

scientific article

Epidemiological impacts of post-infection mortality

scientific article published on 12 July 2023

Epochal evolution shapes the phylodynamics of interpandemic influenza A (H3N2) in humans

scientific article

Erratum to “Loss of immunity to pertussis in a rural community in Senegal” [Vaccine 22 (2004) 594–596]

scientific article published in March 2004

Erratum to: 'The potential impact of coinfection on antimicrobial chemotherapy and drug resistance'.

scientific article published in October 2015

Estimating drivers of autochthonous transmission of chikungunya virus in its invasion of the americas ⬇️

scientific article

Estimating enhanced prevaccination measles transmission hotspots in the context of cross-scale dynamics

scientific article

Evolution of an Eurasian avian-like influenza virus in naïve and vaccinated pigs

scientific article

Evolution of an asymptomatic first stage of infection in a heterogeneous population

scientific article published in June 2021

Evolution of equine influenza virus in vaccinated horses

scientific article published on 6 February 2013

Factors Associated With Measles Transmission in the United States During the Postelimination Era

scientific article published on 18 November 2019

Fogarty International Center collaborative networks in infectious disease modeling: lessons learnt in research and capacity building

scholarly article published by Edward C. Holmes in 2018

Forecasting Epidemiological and Evolutionary Dynamics of Infectious Diseases

scientific article

Forward-looking serial intervals correctly link epidemic growth to reproduction numbers

scientific article published on 01 January 2021

Geographic transmission hubs of the 2009 influenza pandemic in the United States

scholarly article published by Lone Simonsen in 2018

Global antibiotic consumption 2000 to 2010: an analysis of national pharmaceutical sales data

scientific article

Global patterns in seasonal activity of influenza A/H3N2, A/H1N1, and B from 1997 to 2005: viral coexistence and latitudinal gradients

scientific article

Global trends in antimicrobial use in food animals

scientific article published on 19 March 2015

HIV-1/parasite co-infection and the emergence of new parasite strains

scientific article published on 27 March 2008

Hand, Foot, and Mouth Disease in China: Critical Community Size and Spatial Vaccination Strategies

scientific article published on 29 April 2016

Hand, Foot, and Mouth Disease in China: Modeling Epidemic Dynamics of Enterovirus Serotypes and Implications for Vaccination.

scientific article published on 16 February 2016

Heading Off an Influenza Pandemic

scientific article published in Science

Heritable, heterogeneous, and costly resistance of sheep against nematodes and potential feedbacks to epidemiological dynamics

scientific article published on 8 July 2014

High turnover drives prolonged persistence of influenza in managed pig herds

scientific article published on June 2016

Hospital-Community Interactions Foster Coexistence between Methicillin-Resistant Strains of Staphylococcus aureus ⬇️

scientific article published on February 28, 2013

Host heterogeneity and epistasis explain punctuated evolution of SARS-CoV-2

scientific article published in February 2023

Host isolation and patterns of genetic variability in three populations of Teladorsagia from sheep

scientific article

Host species barriers to influenza virus infections

scientific article published in April 2006

Human mobility and the spatial transmission of influenza in the United States

scientific article

INFERENCE FOR INDIVIDUAL-LEVEL MODELS OF INFECTIOUS DISEASES IN LARGE POPULATIONS

scientific article

Identifying Hotspots of Multidrug-Resistant Tuberculosis Transmission Using Spatial and Molecular Genetic Data

scientific article

Immune Heterogeneity and Epistasis Explain Punctuated Evolution of SARS-CoV-2

scientific article published on 29 July 2022

Immune boosting bridges leaky and polarized vaccination models

scientific article published on 18 July 2023

Immune life history, vaccination, and the dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 over the next 5 years

scientific article published on 21 September 2020

Immuno-epidemiology and the predictability of viral evolution

scientific article published on 10 June 2022

Immunogenicity of a Meningococcal B Vaccine during a University Outbreak

scientific article published on July 2016

Impact and longevity of measles-associated immune suppression: a matched cohort study using data from the THIN general practice database in the UK

scientific article published on 08 November 2018

Impact of birth seasonality on dynamics of acute immunizing infections in Sub-Saharan Africa

scientific article

Impact of cross-protective vaccines on epidemiological and evolutionary dynamics of influenza

scientific article

Impact of public health responses during a measles outbreak in an Amish community in Ohio: modelling the dynamics of transmission

scientific article published on 7 April 2018

Impact on Epidemic Measles of Vaccination Campaigns Triggered by Disease Outbreaks or Serosurveys: A Modeling Study

scientific article

Implications of localized charge for human influenza A H1N1 hemagglutinin evolution: Insights from deep mutational scans

scientific article published on 25 June 2020

Incentivizing hospital infection control

scientific article published on 11 March 2019

Infectious diseases. Beyond Ebola

scientific article

Inferring population-level contact heterogeneity from common epidemic data

scientific article

Inferring the differences in incubation-period and generation-interval distributions of the Delta and Omicron variants of SARS-CoV-2

scientific article published on 30 May 2023

Inferring the differences in incubation-period and generation-interval distributions of the Delta and Omicron variants of SARS-CoV-2

scientific article published on 5 July 2022

Inferring the inter-host transmission of influenza A virus using patterns of intra-host genetic variation

scientific article

Influence of birth rates and transmission rates on the global seasonality of rotavirus incidence

scientific article

Integrating immune mechanisms to model nematode worm burden: an example in sheep

scientific article published on 18 August 2015

Integrating life history and cross-immunity into the evolutionary dynamics of pathogens

scientific article published in February 2006

Intermediate levels of asymptomatic transmission can lead to the highest epidemic fatalities

Intermediate levels of asymptomatic transmission can lead to the highest levels of epidemic fatalities

scientific article published on 2 August 2022

Intra- and interhost evolutionary dynamics of equine influenza virus

scientific article

Intracellular demography and the dynamics of Salmonella enterica infections ⬇️

scientific article

Linking influenza virus tissue tropism to population-level reproductive fitness

scientific article

Linking time-varying symptomatology and intensity of infectiousness to patterns of norovirus transmission

scientific article

Long-term benefits of nonpharmaceutical interventions for endemic infections are shaped by respiratory pathogen dynamics

scientific article published on 6 December 2022

Long-term dynamics of measles in London: Titrating the impact of wars, the 1918 pandemic, and vaccination

scientific article published on 12 September 2019

Long-term measles antibody profiles following different vaccine schedules in China, a longitudinal study

scientific article published on 29 March 2023

Long-term measles-induced immunomodulation increases overall childhood infectious disease mortality.

scientific article

Loss of immunity to pertussis in a rural community in Senegal

scientific article published on 01 January 2004

Mapping the Burden of COVID-19 in the United States

scientific article published on 11 April 2020

Mathematical tools for planning effective intervention scenarios for sexually transmitted diseases

scientific article published in May 2003

Mean-field-type equations for spread of epidemics: the ‘small world’ model

article

Measles and the canonical path to elimination

scientific article published on 01 May 2019

Measles metapopulation dynamics: a gravity model for epidemiological coupling and dynamics

scientific article published on 08 July 2004

Measles on the edge: coastal heterogeneities and infection dynamics

scientific article

Measles vaccine immune escape: Should we be concerned?

scientific article published on 01 October 2019

Measurement of vaccine-derived immunity: how do we use all the data? ⬇️

scientific article published on July 1, 2012

Measuring populations to improve vaccination coverage

scientific article

Measuring the performance of vaccination programs using cross-sectional surveys: a likelihood framework and retrospective analysis

scientific article

Medium-term scenarios of COVID-19 as a function of immune uncertainties and chronic disease

scientific article published in August 2023

Medium-term scenarios of COVID-19 as a function of immune uncertainties and chronic disease

scientific article published on 10 March 2023

Metapopulation Dynamics of Infectious Diseases

article

Model diagnostics and refinement for phylodynamic models

scientific article published on 05 April 2019

Modeling rotavirus strain dynamics in developed countries to understand the potential impact of vaccination on genotype distributions

scientific article published on 14 November 2011

Modeling the effect of HIV coinfection on clearance and sustained virologic response during treatment for hepatitis C virus

scientific article published on 27 April 2015

Modeling the impact of interventions along the HIV continuum of care in Newark, New Jersey

scientific article published on 17 October 2013

Modeling the measles paradox reveals the importance of cellular immunity in regulating viral clearance

scientific article published on 28 December 2018

Modelling dynamics of the type I interferon response to in vitro viral infection

scientific article

Modelling non-additive and nonlinear signals from climatic noise in ecological time series: Soay sheep as an example

scientific article published in October 2004

Modelling vaccination strategies for COVID-19

scientific article published in March 2022

Modelling variability in lymphatic filariasis: macrofilarial dynamics in the Brugia pahangi–cat model ⬇️

scientific article published on January 22, 1998

Multiannual forecasting of seasonal influenza dynamics reveals climatic and evolutionary drivers

scientific article

Multipack dynamics and the Allee effect in the African wild dog, Lycaon pictus

article

Opportunities and challenges of a World Serum Bank - Authors' reply

scientific article published on 20 January 2017

Optimal reactive vaccination strategies for a foot-and-mouth outbreak in the UK.

scientific article published on March 2006

Optimizing reactive responses to outbreaks of immunizing infections: balancing case management and vaccination

scientific article

Parental infection confounded with local infection intensity as risk factors for childhood microfilaraemia in bancroftian filariasis ⬇️

scientific article published on January 1, 1998

Pareto rules for malaria super-spreaders and super-spreading

scientific article published on 02 September 2019

Partial immunity and SARS-CoV-2 mutations—Response

scientific article published on 23 April 2021

Partially observed epidemics in wildlife hosts: modelling an outbreak of dolphin morbillivirus in the northwestern Atlantic, June 2013-2014

scientific article

Persistence in epidemic metapopulations: quantifying the rescue effects for measles, mumps, rubella and whooping cough

scientific article

Persistence, chaos and synchrony in ecology and epidemiology ⬇️

scientific article published on January 7, 1998

Persistent Chaos of Measles Epidemics in the Prevaccination United States Caused by a Small Change in Seasonal Transmission Patterns.

scientific article published on 4 February 2016

Phocine distemper virus: current knowledge and future directions

scientific article

Phylodynamics of Enterovirus A71-Associated Hand, Foot, and Mouth Disease in Viet Nam.

scientific article published on 17 June 2015

Planning for smallpox outbreaks.

scientific article published on October 2003

Population dynamics of rapid fixation in cytotoxic T lymphocyte escape mutants of influenza A

scientific article

Population viability analyses on a cycling population: a cautionary tale

Population-level mathematical modeling of antimicrobial resistance: a systematic review

scholarly article by Anna Maria Niewiadomska et al published 24 April 2019 in BMC Medicine

Potential Role of Social Distancing in Mitigating Spread of Coronavirus Disease, South Korea

scientific article published on 14 August 2020

Potential roles of social distancing in mitigating the spread of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) in South Korea

scientific article published on 30 March 2020

Predicting the impact of COVID-19 non-pharmaceutical intervention on short- and medium-term dynamics of enterovirus D68 in the US

scientific article published in March 2024

Predicting the impact of COVID-19 non-pharmaceutical intervention on short- and medium-term dynamics of enterovirus D68 in the US

scientific article published on 16 July 2023

Predicting the impact of vaccination on the transmission dynamics of typhoid in South Asia: a mathematical modeling study

scientific article published on 09 January 2014

Predictive Modeling of Influenza Shows the Promise of Applied Evolutionary Biology.

scientific article published on 30 October 2017

Preparing for uncertainty: endemic paediatric viral illnesses after COVID-19 pandemic disruption

scientific article published on 12 November 2022

Prolonged persistence of measles virus RNA is characteristic of primary infection dynamics

scientific article

Protocols for sampling viral sequences to study epidemic dynamics

scientific article

Publisher Correction: Long-term measles antibody profiles following different vaccine schedules in China, a longitudinal study

scientific article published on 28 April 2023

Quantifying mosquito biting patterns on humans by DNA fingerprinting of bloodmeals ⬇️

scientific article published on December 1, 2001

Quantifying seasonal population fluxes driving rubella transmission dynamics using mobile phone data

scientific article

Quantifying the impact of immune escape on transmission dynamics of influenza

scientific article

Quantifying the risk of pandemic influenza virus evolution by mutation and re-assortment.

scientific article

Quantifying transmission of highly pathogenic and low pathogenicity H7N1 avian influenza in turkeys

scientific article

Reconciling early-outbreak estimates of the basic reproductive number and its uncertainty: framework and applications to the novel coronavirus (SARS-CoV-2) outbreak

scientific article published on 22 July 2020

Reconciling early-outbreak preliminary estimates of the basic reproductive number and its uncertainty: a new framework and applications to the novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) outbreak

scientific article published on 2 February 2020

Reduced vaccination and the risk of measles and other childhood infections post-Ebola

scientific article

Reducing antimicrobial use in food animals

scientific article published on 28 September 2017

Relative role of community transmission and campus contagion in driving the spread of SARS-CoV-2: Lessons from Princeton University

scientific article published in July 2023

Resolving the impact of waiting time distributions on the persistence of measles

scientific article

Response to Comment on "Long-term measles-induced immunomodulation increases overall childhood infectious disease mortality"

scientific article published on 01 July 2019

Rivers dam waves of rabies

scientific article

Roles of generation-interval distributions in shaping relative epidemic strength, speed, and control of new SARS-CoV-2 variants

scientific article published on 5 May 2021

Routine Pediatric Enterovirus 71 Vaccination in China: a Cost-Effectiveness Analysis

scientific article

Rural-urban gradient in seasonal forcing of measles transmission in Niger

scientific article published on 28 April 2010

SARS-CoV-2 Outbreak Dynamics in an Isolated US Military Recruit Training Center With Rigorous Prevention Measures

scientific article published in November 2022

Seasonal dynamics of bacterial meningitis: a time-series analysis

scientific article

Seasonality and comparative dynamics of six childhood infections in pre-vaccination Copenhagen.

scientific article published on 9 September 2009

Seasonality and the persistence and invasion of measles ⬇️

scientific article

Seasonally forced disease dynamics explored as switching between attractors

article

Self-boosting vaccines and their implications for herd immunity

scientific article

Self-enforcing regional vaccination agreements

scientific article published on January 2016

Seroepidemiologic Study Designs for Determining SARS-COV-2 Transmission and Immunity

scientific article published on 16 June 2020

Sexually transmitted diseases: epidemic cycling and immunity

scientific article published on 01 January 2005

Sociocultural determinants of global mask-wearing behavior

scientific article published on 11 October 2022

Spatial Transmission of 2009 Pandemic Influenza in the US

scientific article

Spatial and temporal dynamics of superspreading events in the 2014-2015 West Africa Ebola epidemic

scientific article published on 13 February 2017

Spatial heterogeneity, nonlinear dynamics and chaos in infectious diseases ⬇️

scientific article published on June 1, 1995

Spatial variation of Anopheles-transmitted Wuchereria bancrofti and Plasmodium falciparum infection densities in Papua New Guinea

scientific article published on 14 September 2003

Stochastic and spatial dynamics of nematode parasites in farmed ruminants

scientific article published on 01 June 2004

Stochastic processes are key determinants of short-term evolution in influenza a virus

scientific article

Structure, space and size: competing drivers of variation in urban and rural measles transmission

scientific article published on 08 July 2020

Superinfection and the evolution of an initial asymptomatic stage

scientific article published on 27 January 2021

Surveillance data confirm multiyear predictions of rotavirus dynamics in New York City

scientific article published on 26 February 2020

Susceptible supply limits the role of climate in the COVID-19 pandemic

scientific article published on 07 April 2020

Susceptible supply limits the role of climate in the early SARS-CoV-2 pandemic

scientific article

Symbolic transfer entropy reveals the age structure of pandemic influenza transmission from high-volume influenza-like illness data

scientific article published on 18 March 2020

Synchrony of Bird Migration with Avian Influenza Global Spread; Implications for Vulnerable Bird Orders

scientific article published on 24 May 2023

Synchrony, waves, and spatial hierarchies in the spread of influenza

scientific article

Synthesizing epidemiological and economic optima for control of immunizing infections

scientific article

Synthesizing within-host and population-level selective pressures on viral populations: the impact of adaptive immunity on viral immune escape

scientific article

Tensor decomposition for infectious disease incidence data

scientific article published on 22 September 2020

The Interplay between Determinism and Stochasticity in Childhood Diseases

scientific article published in 2002

The continuing quest for chaos ⬇️

scientific article published on 01 February 1993

The decline of malaria in Vietnam, 1991-2014.

scientific article

The dynamics of measles in sub-Saharan Africa

scientific article published on February 2008

The epidemiology of rubella in Mexico: seasonality, stochasticity and regional variation ⬇️

scientific article published on September 15, 2010

The genesis and spread of reassortment human influenza A/H3N2 viruses conferring adamantane resistance

scientific article

The immune response and within-host emergence of pandemic influenza virus.

scientific article

The impact of COVID-19 non-pharmaceutical interventions on future respiratory syncytial virus transmission in South Africa

scientific article published on 13 March 2022

The impact of COVID-19 nonpharmaceutical interventions on the future dynamics of endemic infections

scientific article published on 09 November 2020

The impact of HCV therapy in a high HIV-HCV prevalence population: A modeling study on people who inject drugs in Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam

scientific article

The impact of environmental and climatic variation on the spatiotemporal trends of hospitalized pediatric diarrhea in Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam

scientific article

The impact of migration and antimicrobial resistance on the transmission dynamics of typhoid fever in Kathmandu, Nepal: A mathematical modelling study

scientific article

The importance of the generation interval in investigating dynamics and control of new SARS-CoV-2 variants

scientific article published in June 2022

The interplay between determinism and stochasticity in childhood diseases

scientific article published in May 2002

The path of least resistance: aggressive or moderate treatment?

scientific article published in November 2014

The potential impact of coinfection on antimicrobial chemotherapy and drug resistance

scientific article

The seasonality of nonpolio enteroviruses in the United States: Patterns and drivers

scientific article published on 5 March 2018

The shifting demographic landscape of influenza

scientific article (publication date: October 2009)

The shifting demographic landscape of pandemic influenza.

scientific article

The use of mobile phone data to inform analysis of COVID-19 pandemic epidemiology

scientific article published on 30 September 2020

Topographic determinants of foot and mouth disease transmission in the UK 2001 epidemic.

scientific article

Trajectory of individual immunity and vaccination required for SARS-CoV-2 community immunity: a conceptual investigation

scientific article published in February 2021

Travelling waves and spatial hierarchies in measles epidemics ⬇️

scientific article published on December 13, 2001

Trip duration drives shift in travel network structure with implications for the predictability of spatial disease spread

scientific article published on 10 August 2021

Trip duration drives shift in travel network structure with implications for the predictability of spatial disease spread

scientific article published on 30 October 2020

Trophic interactions and population growth rates: describing patterns and identifying mechanisms

scientific article published on 29 September 2002

Trophic interactions and population growth rates: describing patterns and identifying mechanisms

scholarly article

Understanding reduced rotavirus vaccine efficacy in low socio-economic settings

scientific article

Understanding the persistence of measles: reconciling theory, simulation and observation

scientific article published in February 2002

Universal or Specific? A Modeling-Based Comparison of Broad-Spectrum Influenza Vaccines against Conventional, Strain-Matched Vaccines

scientific article

Unreported cases in the 2014-2016 Ebola epidemic: Spatiotemporal variation, and implications for estimating transmission

scientific article published on 22 January 2018

Urban cholera transmission hotspots and their implications for reactive vaccination: evidence from Bissau city, Guinea bissau

scientific article

Urbanization and humidity shape the intensity of influenza epidemics in U.S. cities

scientific article

Use of serological surveys to generate key insights into the changing global landscape of infectious disease

scientific article

Using Serology with Models to Clarify the Trajectory of the SARS-CoV-2 Emerging Outbreak

scientific article published on 29 June 2020

Using real-time data to guide decision-making during an influenza pandemic: A modelling analysis

scientific article published in February 2023

Using real-time data to guide decision-making during an influenza pandemic: a modelling analysis

scientific article published on 12 June 2021

Vaccination and the dynamics of immune evasion

scientific article published on February 2007

Vaccination strategies for foot-and-mouth disease (reply)

scientific article published in Nature

Vaccination under uncertainty

scientific article published on 01 September 2018

Vaccine breakthrough and the invasion dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 variants

scientific article published on 14 December 2021

Vaccine nationalism and the dynamics and control of SARS-CoV-2

scientific article published on 24 September 2021

Vaccine nationalism and the dynamics and control of SARS-CoV-2

scientific article published on 5 June 2021

Variation in SARS-CoV-2 outbreaks across sub-Saharan Africa

scientific article published in March 2021

Waning immunity and re-emergence of measles and mumps in the vaccine era

scientific article published on 04 July 2020

When individual behaviour matters: homogeneous and network models in epidemiology

scientific article (publication date: 22 October 2007)

Whole-genome analysis of human influenza A virus reveals multiple persistent lineages and reassortment among recent H3N2 viruses

scientific article

Why are there so few (or so many) circulating coronaviruses?

scientific article published in September 2021

tsiR: An R package for time-series Susceptible-Infected-Recovered models of epidemics

scientific article published on 28 September 2017

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