List of works by Christoph Müller

A multi-model analysis of teleconnected crop yield variability in a range of cropping systems

scientific article published on 11 February 2020

A multi-model analysis of teleconnected crop yield variability in a range of cropping systems

A network-based approach for semi-quantitative knowledge mining and its application to yield variability

A new climate dataset for systematic assessments of climate change impacts as a function of global warming

article

A statistical analysis of three ensembles of crop model responses to temperature and CO 2 concentration ⬇️

article

Adaptation to climate change through the choice of cropping system and sowing date in sub-Saharan Africa

article

African lessons on climate change risks for agriculture

scientific article

Agricultural breadbaskets shift poleward given adaptive farmer behavior under climate change

scientific article

Agricultural trade and tropical deforestation: interactions and related policy options

Agriculture and climate change in global scenarios: why don't the models agree

article

An AgMIP framework for improved agricultural representation in integrated assessment models

scientific article published on 24 November 2017

Assessing 20th century climate-vegetation feedbacks of land-use change and natural vegetation dynamics in a fully coupled vegetation-climate model

article

Assessing agricultural risks of climate change in the 21st century in a global gridded crop model intercomparison

scientific article

Attributing the impacts of land-cover changes in temperate regions on surface temperature and heat fluxes to specific causes: Results from the first LUCID set of simulations

article by J. P. Boisier et al published 27 June 2012 in Journal of Geophysical Research

Can bioenergy cropping compensate high carbon emissions from large-scale deforestation of high latitudes?

Classifying multi-model wheat yield impact response surfaces showing sensitivity to temperature and precipitation change

article

Climate analogues suggest limited potential for intensification of production on current croplands under climate change

scientific article

Climate change effects on agriculture: economic responses to biophysical shocks

scientific article

Climate change impacts on European arable crop yields: Sensitivity to assumptions about rotations and residue management

scientific article published in January 2023

Climate change impacts on agriculture in 2050 under a range of plausible socioeconomic and emissions scenarios

scholarly article by Keith Wiebe et al published 1 August 2015 in Environmental Research Letters

Climate change risks for African agriculture

scientific article

Climate-driven simulation of global crop sowing dates

scientific article published in 2011

Comparative impact of climatic and nonclimatic factors on global terrestrial carbon and water cycles

Comparing impacts of climate change and mitigation on global agriculture by 2050

scholarly article by Hans van Meijl et al published 1 June 2018 in Environmental Research Letters

Consistent negative response of US crops to high temperatures in observations and crop models

scientific article published on 19 January 2017

Constraints and potentials of future irrigation water availability on agricultural production under climate change

scientific article (publication date: 4 March 2014)

Coordinating AgMIP data and models across global and regional scales for 1.5°C and 2.0°C assessments

scientific article published in May 2018

Crop model improvement reduces the uncertainty of the response to temperature of multi-model ensembles ⬇️

article

Crop productivity changes in 1.5 °C and 2 °C worlds under climate sensitivity uncertainty

Crop rotation modelling—A European model intercomparison

article

Cross‐scale intercomparison of climate change impacts simulated by regional and global hydrological models in eleven large river basins

scholarly article by F. F. Hattermann et al published 4 January 2017 in Climatic Change

Determining Robust Impacts of Land-Use-Induced Land Cover Changes on Surface Climate over North America and Eurasia: Results from the First Set of LUCID Experiments

article by Nathalie de Noblet-Ducoudré et al published May 2012 in Journal of Climate

Dissecting the nonlinear response of maize yield to high temperature stress with model‐data integration

scientific article published on 06 May 2019

Diverging importance of drought stress for maize and winter wheat in Europe

scientific article published in Nature Communications

Drivers and patterns of land biosphere carbon balance reversal

Effects of changes in CO2, climate, and land use on the carbon balance of the land biosphere during the 21st century

scholarly article

Energy, land-use and greenhouse gas emissions trajectories under a green growth paradigm

Evapotranspiration simulations in ISIMIP2a—Evaluation of spatio-temporal characteristics with a comprehensive ensemble of independent datasets

Exploring global irrigation patterns: A multilevel modelling approach

article published in 2011

Extreme rainfall reduces one-twelfth of China’s rice yield over the last two decades

scientific article published in 2023

Farming with crops and rocks to address global climate, food and soil security

scientific article published on 19 February 2018

Feeding 10 billion people under climate change: How large is the production gap of current agricultural systems?

article

Fertilizing hidden hunger

Forecasting technological change in agriculture—An endogenous implementation in a global land use model

article

Fossil-fueled development (SSP5): An energy and resource intensive scenario for the 21st century

article

Freshwater resources under success and failure of the Paris climate agreement

Freshwater resources under success and failure of the Paris climate agreement

Future climate change significantly alters interannual wheat yield variability over half of harvested areas

scientific article published in 2021

Generating a global gridded tillage dataset

Global Response Patterns of Major Rainfed Crops to Adaptation by Maintaining Current Growing Periods and Irrigation

scientific article published on 01 October 2019

Global bioenergy potentials from agricultural land in 2050: Sensitivity to climate change, diets and yields

scientific article

Global cotton production under climate change – Implications for yield and water consumption

scientific article published on 16 April 2021

Global food demand, productivity growth, and the scarcity of land and water resources: a spatially explicit mathematical programming approach

article published in 2008

Global gridded crop model evaluation: benchmarking, skills, deficiencies and implications

article

Global irrigation contribution to wheat and maize yield

scientific article published in 2021

Global patterns of crop yield stability under additional nutrient and water inputs.

scientific article

Greenhouse gas emission curves for advanced biofuel supply chains

Harvesting from uncertainties

Harvesting the sun: New estimations of the maximum population of planet Earth

scientific article published in 2011

Hotspots of climate change impacts in sub-Saharan Africa and implications for adaptation and development

scientific article

How accurately do maize crop models simulate the interactions of atmospheric CO2 concentration levels with limited water supply on water use and yield?

scholarly article by Jean-Louis Durand et al published February 2017 in European Journal of Agronomy

How do various maize crop models vary in their responses to climate change factors?

scientific article

Implementing the Nitrogen cycle into the dynamic global vegetation, hydrology and crop growth model LPJmL (version 5)

scholarly article by Werner von Bloh et al published 16 October 2017 in Geoscientific model development discussions (GMDD)

Implementing the nitrogen cycle into the dynamic global vegetation, hydrology, and crop growth model LPJmL (version 5.0)

scholarly article by Werner von Bloh et al published 12 July 2018 in Geoscientific Model Development

Implications of climate mitigation for future agricultural production

article

Improving the use of crop models for risk assessment and climate change adaptation ⬇️

scientific article published in January 2018

Insights on Nitrogen and Phosphorus Co‐Limitation in Global Croplands From Theoretical and Modeling Fertilization Experiments

scientific article published on 19 May 2021

Insights on nitrogen and phosphorus co-limitation in global croplands from theoretical and modelling fertilization experiments

scholarly article

Integrating the complexity of global change pressures on land and water

Investigating afforestation and bioenergy CCS as climate change mitigation strategies

scholarly article by Florian Humpenöder et al published 1 May 2014 in Environmental Research Letters

Key knowledge and data gaps in modelling the influence of CO2 concentration on the terrestrial carbon sink

scientific article

LPJmL4 – a dynamic global vegetation model with managed land – Part 1: Model description

article

LPJmL4 – a dynamic global vegetation model with managed land – Part 2: Model evaluation

article

Land in sight?Achievements, deficits and potentials of continental to global scale land-use modeling

article

Land-use and carbon cycle responses to moderate climate change: implications for land-based mitigation?

scientific article

Land-use protection for climate change mitigation

scholarly article by Alexander Popp et al published 17 November 2014 in Nature Climate Change

Large potential for crop production adaptation depends on available future varieties

scientific article published on 17 May 2021

Large uncertainty in carbon uptake potential of land-based climate-change mitigation efforts

scientific article published on 23 March 2018

Large-scale bioenergy production: how to resolve sustainability trade-offs?

Linked sustainability challenges and trade-offs among fisheries, aquaculture and agriculture.

scientific article

Livestock in a changing climate: production system transitions as an adaptation strategy for agriculture

article

Livestock production and the water challenge of future food supply: Implications of agricultural management and dietary choices

Management-induced changes in soil organic carbon on global croplands

scientific article published in 2022

Measuring agricultural land-use intensity – A global analysis using a model-assisted approach

article

Meeting the radiative forcing targets of the representative concentration pathways in a world with agricultural climate impacts

Mitigation Strategies for Greenhouse Gas Emissions from Agriculture and Land-Use Change: Consequences for Food Prices

scientific article

Modeling vegetation and carbon dynamics of managed grasslands at the global scale with LPJmL 3.6

scientific article published in 2018

Modelling cropping periods of grain crops at the global scale

scientific article

Modelling forest plantations for carbon uptake with the LPJmL dynamic global vegetation model

Multi-wheat-model ensemble responses to interannual climate variability ⬇️

article

Multimodel ensembles of wheat growth: many models are better than one. ⬇️

scientific article

Multisectoral climate impact hotspots in a warming world

scientific article

Narrowing uncertainties in the effects of elevated CO2 on crops

scientific article published on 11 December 2020

Occurrence of crop pests and diseases has largely increased in China since 1970

scientific article published on 09 December 2021

Options to model the effects of tillage on N2O emissions at the global scale

scientific article published in 2019

Plausible rice yield losses under future climate warming

scientific article

Potential impacts of climate change on agriculture and fisheries production in 72 tropical coastal communities

scientific article published in 2022

Projected landscape-scale repercussions of global action for climate and biodiversity protection

scientific article published in 2023

Projecting Exposure to Extreme Climate Impact Events Across Six Event Categories and Three Spatial Scales

scientific article published on 14 November 2020

Projecting future crop productivity for global economic modeling

article

Publisher Correction: Farming with crops and rocks to address global climate, food and soil security

scientific article published on 01 June 2018

Quantifying geomorphological heterogeneity to assess species diversity of set-aside arable land

article by Christoph Müller et al published December 2004 in Agriculture, Ecosystems & Environment

Rapid aggregation of global gridded crop model outputs to facilitate cross-disciplinary analysis of climate change impacts in agriculture

scholarly article by Nelson B. Villoria et al published January 2016 in Environmental Modelling and Software

Reactive nitrogen requirements to feed the world in 2050 and potential to mitigate nitrogen pollution

scientific article

Regional disparities in the beneficial effects of rising CO2 concentrations on crop water productivity

Rising temperatures reduce global wheat production ⬇️

article

Robust relationship between yields and nitrogen inputs indicates three ways to reduce nitrogen pollution

article by Benjamin Leon Bodirsky et al published 1 November 2014 in Environmental Research Letters

Robustness of terrestrial carbon and water cycle simulations against variations in spatial resolution

scientific article

Scenario setup and forcing data for impact model evaluation and impact attribution within the third round of the Inter-Sectoral Impact Model Intercomparison Project (ISIMIP3a)

scientific article published on 4 January 2024

Scenarios of global bioenergy production: The trade-offs between agricultural expansion, intensification and trade

article

Separate and combined effects of temperature and precipitation change on maize yields in sub-Saharan Africa for mid- to late-21st century

article

Similar estimates of temperature impacts on global wheat yield by three independent methods ⬇️

article

Simulating the effect of tillage practices with the global ecosystem model LPJmL (version 5.0-tillage)

Simulation of the phenological development of wheat and maize at the global scale

article

Soil organic carbon dynamics from agricultural management practices under climate change

scientific article published in 2021

Soil quality both increases crop production and improves resilience to climate change

scientific article published in 2022

Sources of uncertainty in hydrological climate impact assessment: a cross-scale study

Spatial and temporal uncertainty of crop yield aggregations

scholarly article by Vera Porwollik et al published August 2017 in European Journal of Agronomy

State-of-the-art global models underestimate impacts from climate extremes

scientific article published on 01 March 2019

Temperature and precipitation effects on wheat yield across a European transect: a crop model ensemble analysis using impact response surfaces

article

Temperature increase reduces global yields of major crops in four independent estimates

scientific article published on 15 August 2017

The GGCMI Phase 2 experiment: global gridded crop model simulations under uniform changes in CO2, temperature, water, and nitrogen levels (protocol version 1.0)

scientific article published on 18 May 2020

The Global Gridded Crop Model Intercomparison phase 1 simulation dataset

scientific article published on 08 May 2019

The Global Gridded Crop Model Intercomparison: data and modeling protocols for Phase 1 (v1.0)

article

The International Heat Stress Genotype Experiment for modeling wheat response to heat: field experiments and AgMIP-Wheat multi-model simulations ⬇️

The Nexus Land-Use model version 1.0, an approach articulating biophysical potentials and economic dynamics to model competition for land-use

article

The effect of temporal aggregation of weather input data on crop growth models’ results

scientific article

The impact of high-end climate change on agricultural welfare

scientific article

The impact of land-use change on the sensitivity of terrestrial productivity to precipitation variability: a modelling approach

The role of cover crops for cropland soil carbon, nitrogen leaching, and agricultural yields – a global simulation study with LPJmL (V. 5.0-tillage-cc)

scientific article published in 2022

The uncertainty of crop yield projections is reduced by improved temperature response functions. ⬇️

scientific article published on 17 July 2017

The yield gap of global grain production: A spatial analysis

article

Uncertainties in climate responses to past land cover change: First results from the LUCID intercomparison study

article

Uncertainties in global crop model frameworks: effects of cultivar distribution, crop management and soil handling on crop yield estimates

article

Uncertainty in simulating wheat yields under climate change ⬇️

scholarly article by S. Asseng et al published 9 June 2013 in Nature Climate Change

Uncertainty of wheat water use: Simulated patterns and sensitivity to temperature and CO 2 ⬇️

scholarly article by Davide Cammarano et al published November 2016 in Field Crops Research

Understanding the weather signal in national crop-yield variability

scientific article published on 17 May 2017

Virtual water content of temperate cereals and maize: Present and potential future patterns

Water Use in Global Livestock Production—Opportunities and Constraints for Increasing Water Productivity

scientific article published on 21 November 2020

Web-based access, aggregation, and visualization of future climate projections with emphasis on agricultural assessments

scholarly article by Nelson B. Villoria et al published January 2018 in SoftwareX

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