List of works by Graham F. Medley

A Population Dynamic Model to Assess the Diabetes Screening and Reporting Programs and Project the Burden of Undiagnosed Diabetes in Thailand

scientific article published on 21 June 2019

A cohort study of post-weaning multisystemic wasting syndrome and PCV2 in 178 pigs from birth to 14 weeks on a single farm in England

scientific article published in November 2010

A four year longitudinal sero-epidemiological study of bovine herpesvirus type-1 (BHV-1) in adult cattle in 107 unvaccinated herds in south west England

scientific article

A four year longitudinal sero-epidemiology study of Neospora caninum in adult cattle from 114 cattle herds in south west England: associations with age, herd and dam-offspring pairs

scientific article

A longitudinal study of the role of Dichelobacter nodosus and Fusobacterium necrophorum load in initiation and severity of footrot in sheep.

scientific article

A meta-analysis of the effect of dose and age at exposure on shedding of Mycobacterium avium subspecies paratuberculosis (MAP) in experimentally infected calves and cows.

scientific article

A missing dimension in measures of vaccination impacts

scientific article

A preliminary study of genetic factors that influence susceptibility to bovine tuberculosis in the British cattle herd

scientific article

A preliminary study of the transmission dynamics of the human immunodeficiency virus (HIV), the causative agent of AIDS.

scientific article published on January 1986

A spatio-temporal approach to short-term prediction of visceral leishmaniasis diagnoses in India

scientific article published on 09 July 2020

A stochastic mathematical model of the within-herd transmission dynamics of Porcine Reproductive and Respiratory Syndrome Virus (PRRSV): fade-out and persistence.

scientific article published on 11 December 2009

A26 Transmission patterns and evolution of RSV in a community outbreak identified by genomic analysis

scientific article

A33 Respiratory syncytial virus group B evolutionary trends in the attachment (G) glycoprotein in Kilifi, Kenya, 2003–2015.

scientific article published on 17 April 2018

A49 Molecular evolutionary dynamics of respiratory syncytial virus group A in recurrent epidemics in coastal Kenya

scientific article

Achieving Elimination as a Public Health Problem for Schistosoma mansoni and S. haematobium: When Is Community-Wide Treatment Required?

scientific article published on 12 December 2019

Age trends in asymptomatic and symptomatic Leishmania donovani infection in the Indian subcontinent: A review and analysis of data from diagnostic and epidemiological studies

scientific article published on 06 December 2018

Agricultural restructuring and gastrointestinal parasitism in domestic ruminants on the rangelands of Kazakhstan.

scientific article published on 18 April 2006

An Intensive, Active Surveillance Reveals Continuous Invasion and High Diversity of Rhinovirus in Households

scientific article published on 01 March 2019

An augmented data method for the analysis of nosocomial infection data

scientific article

Assessing risks of disease transmission between wildlife and livestock: The Saiga antelope as a case study

article

Assessing the cost-effectiveness of HPV vaccination strategies for adolescent girls and boys in the UK

scientific article published on 24 June 2019

Back-calculating the incidence of infection of leprosy in a Bayesian framework

scientific article

Comparison of strain-specific antibody responses during primary and secondary infections with respiratory syncytial virus

scientific article

Continuous invasion by respiratory viruses observed in rural households during a respiratory syncytial virus seasonal outbreak in coastal Kenya.

scientific article published on 16 April 2018

Control of Ascaris infection by chemotherapy: which is the most cost-effective option?

scientific article published on January 1995

Cost-effectiveness of hepatitis B virus immunization

scientific article published on 01 March 1996

Cow, farm, and herd management factors in the dry period associated with raised somatic cell counts in early lactation

scientific article published on April 2008

Crossing the interspecies barrier: opening the door to zoonotic pathogens

scientific article

Detection and diversity of a putative novel heterogeneous polymorphic proline-glycine repeat (Pgr) protein in the footrot pathogen Dichelobacter nodosus.

scientific article published on 3 July 2010

Determining post-treatment surveillance criteria for predicting the elimination of Schistosoma mansoni transmission

scientific article published on 16 September 2019

Diagnosing the Individual to Control the Epidemic

scientific article published on 01 May 2011

Diagnostic tools for soil-transmitted helminths control and elimination programs: A pathway for diagnostic product development.

scientific article published in March 2018

Distribution of Ascaris suum in experimentally and naturally infected pigs and comparison with Ascaris lumbricoides infections in humans

scientific article published on 01 December 1998

Distributions of the vectors of heartwater, Amblyomma hebraeum and Amblyomma variegatum (Acari: Ixodidae), in Zimbabwe

scientific article published in December 1998

Does Viral Diversity Matter?

scientific article published in Science

Duration of shedding of respiratory syncytial virus in a community study of Kenyan children

scientific article

Dynamic aspects of morbidity and acquired immunity in schistosomiasis control.

scientific article published in October 1996

Dynamical behaviour of epidemiological models with sub-optimal immunity and nonlinear incidence.

scientific article

Dynamics and impact of footrot and climate on hoof horn length in 50 ewes from one farm over a period of 10 months

scientific article

Dynamics of malaria parasitaemia associated with febrile illness in children from a rural area of Madang, Papua New Guinea.

scientific article published on March 1994

EPIDEMIOLOGY: Predicting the Unpredictable

scientific article published in Science

Effects of insulin and glucocorticoids on the leptin system are mediated through free leptin.

scientific article published in April 2001

Elimination of visceral leishmaniasis in the Indian subcontinent: a comparison of predictions from three transmission models

scientific article

End TB strategy: the need to reduce risk inequalities

scientific article

Endemic cattle diseases: comparative epidemiology and governance

scientific article

Enhancing the sensitivity of tests for bovine TB.

scientific article

Epidemiological patterns of hepatitis B virus (HBV) in highly endemic areas

scientific article published on October 1996

Epidemiology of HIV infection and AIDS: incubation and infectious periods, survival and vertical transmission.

scientific article published on January 1988

Epidemiology, HIV and drugs: mathematical models and data.

scientific article

Erratum to “The reinfection threshold”

scholarly article published in Journal of Theoretical Biology

Erratum to: Trachoma Prevalence After Discontinuation of Mass Azithromycin Distribution

scientific article published on 26 March 2020

Estimating the transmission parameters of pneumococcal carriage in households

article

Evaluating the cost-effectiveness of vaccination programmes: a dynamic perspective

scientific article published on 01 December 1999

Exposure of sows to Ascaris suum influences worm burden distributions in experimentally infected suckling piglets

scientific article published on 01 November 1999

Factors associated with changes of state of foot conformation and lameness in a flock of sheep

scientific article published on 28 October 2010

Factors associated with herd restriction and de-restriction with bovine tuberculosis in British cattle herds

scientific article published on 20 April 2013

Factors associated with increased risk of progression to respiratory syncytial virus-associated pneumonia in young Kenyan children

scientific article published on 08 May 2008

Forecasting the new case detection rate of leprosy in four states of Brazil: A comparison of modelling approaches

scientific article published on March 2017

Free leptin, bound leptin, and soluble leptin receptor in normal and diabetic pregnancies.

scientific article

Frequent Asymptomatic Respiratory Syncytial Virus Infections During an Epidemic in a Rural Kenyan Household Cohort

scientific article

Genetic relatedness of infecting and reinfecting respiratory syncytial virus strains identified in a birth cohort from rural Kenya

scientific article

Genomic analysis of respiratory syncytial virus infections in households and utility in inferring who infects the infant

scientific article published on 11 July 2019

Group- and genotype-specific neutralizing antibody responses against respiratory syncytial virus in infants and young children with severe pneumonia

scientific article published on 21 November 2012

Guidelines for multi-model comparisons of the impact of infectious disease interventions

scientific article published on 19 August 2019

Health-seeking behaviour, diagnostics and transmission dynamics in the control of visceral leishmaniasis in the Indian subcontinent

scientific article published on December 2015

Helminths of saiga antelope in Kazakhstan: implications for conservation and livestock production

scientific article

Hepatitis-B virus endemicity: heterogeneity, catastrophic dynamics and control

scientific article published in May 2001

Herd and individual animal risks associated with bovine tuberculosis skin test positivity in cattle in herds in south west England

scientific article published on 15 September 2009

Herd immunity confusion

scientific article published on 22 October 2020

Identification of group B respiratory syncytial viruses that lack the 60-nucleotide duplication after six consecutive epidemics of total BA dominance at coastal Kenya

scientific article published on 20 June 2013

Identifying infections with respiratory syncytial virus by using specific immunoglobulin G (IgG) and IgA enzyme-linked immunosorbent assays with oral-fluid samples

scientific article published on 27 February 2008

Immuno-epidemiology of human geohelminthiasis: ecological and immunological determinants of worm burden

scientific article published on January 1, 1992

Impact of Changes in Detection Effort on Control of Visceral Leishmaniasis in the Indian Subcontinent

scientific article published on 16 December 2019

Impact of imperfect test sensitivity on determining risk factors: the case of bovine tuberculosis

scientific article

Implication of backward contact tracing in the presence of overdispersed transmission in COVID-19 outbreak ⬇️

scholarly article published in August 2020

Implication of backward contact tracing in the presence of overdispersed transmission in COVID-19 outbreaks

scientific article published on 13 October 2020

Implications of partial immunity on the prospects for tuberculosis control by post-exposure interventions

scientific article published on 4 July 2007

Incidence and severity of respiratory syncytial virus pneumonia in rural Kenyan children identified through hospital surveillance

scientific article

Incubation period of AIDS in patients infected via blood transfusion.

scientific article published in August 1987

Individual and community-level benefits of PrEP in western Kenya and South Africa: Implications for population prioritization of PrEP provision

scientific article published on 31 December 2020

Infection with group C rotavirus in a suburban community in Brazil.

scientific article published in November 1998

Infection, reinfection, and vaccination under suboptimal immune protection: epidemiological perspectives.

scientific article published in June 2004

Infectious disease and health systems modelling for local decision making to control neglected tropical diseases.

scientific article published on 18 December 2015

Infectious diseases of animals and plants: an interdisciplinary approach

scientific article published on July 2011

Inferring transmission trees to guide targeting of interventions against visceral leishmaniasis and post-kala-azar dermal leishmaniasis

scientific article published on 26 February 2020

Inferring transmission trees to guide targeting of interventions against visceral leishmaniasis and post-kala-azar dermal leishmaniasis

scientific article published on 24 September 2020

Influence of age, severity of infection, and co-infection on the duration of respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) shedding.

scientific article published on 5 June 2014

Integrals of disease

scientific article published in Nature

Interpreting data in policy & control: The case of leprosy

scientific article published on January 2017

Intestinal parasites in swine in the Nordic countries: multilevel modelling of Ascaris suum infections in relation to production factors

article

Intrapatient variation of the respiratory syncytial virus attachment protein gene

scientific article published on 21 July 2010

Introduction

Invited Discussion

Is modelling complexity always needed? Insights from modelling PrEP introduction in South Africa

scientific article published on 06 February 2020

Learning from multi-model comparisons: Collaboration leads to insights, but limitations remain.

scientific article published on March 2017

Looking after the individual to reduce disease in the flock: a binomial mixed effects model investigating the impact of individual sheep management of footrot and interdigital dermatitis in a prospective longitudinal study on one farm.

scientific article published on 7 November 2006

MDA helminth control: more questions than answers

scientific article published on October 2015

Management interventions in dairy herds: exploring within herd uncertainty using an integrated Bayesian model

scientific article

Matching patients to an intervention for back pain: classifying patients using a latent class approach

scientific article

Mathematical Models of Vaccination

scholarly article published 15 March 2010

Mathematical model of the antibody response to hepatitis B vaccines: implications for reduced schedules.

scientific article published on 23 January 2007

Mathematical models of tick-borne disease transmission: reply.

scientific article published in August 1993

Meticillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus (MRSA) in hospitals and the community: model predictions based on the UK situation

article

Microparasite population dynamics and continuous immunity.

scientific article published in October 1998

Model-based estimates of transmission of respiratory syncytial virus within households.

scientific article published on 15 December 2018

Modeling household dynamics on Respiratory Syncytial Virus (RSV)

scientific article published on 09 July 2019

Modelling population dynamics and seasonal movement to assess and predict the burden of melioidosis.

scientific article published on 9 May 2019

Modelling the dynamics of intramammary E. coli infections in dairy cows: understanding mechanisms that distinguish transient from persistent infections

scientific article published on 20 October 2009

Molecular Evolutionary Dynamics of Respiratory Syncytial Virus Group A in Recurrent Epidemics in Coastal Kenya

scientific article published on 2 March 2016

Molecular analysis of respiratory syncytial virus reinfections in infants from coastal Kenya

scientific article published on 17 November 2005

Molecular epidemiology of respiratory syncytial virus in Kilifi district, Kenya

scientific article published in October 2004

Multilocus sequence typing of Staphylococcus aureus isolated from high-somatic-cell-count cows and the environment of an organic dairy farm in the United Kingdom.

scientific article

Multiple locus VNTR analysis highlights that geographical clustering and distribution of Dichelobacter nodosus, the causal agent of footrot in sheep, correlates with inter-country movements

scientific article published on 07 June 2013

On the determinants of population structure in antigenically diverse pathogens.

scientific article published in February 2002

Ovine pedomics: the first study of the ovine foot 16S rRNA-based microbiome

scientific article

Parameter estimation and simulations of a mathematical model of Corynebacterium pseudotuberculosis transmission in sheep.

scientific article

Parasite transmission in a migratory multiple host system

article

Patterns of delayed detection and persistence of bovine tuberculosis in confirmed and unconfirmed herd breakdowns in cattle and cattle herds in Great Britain

scientific article published on 26 May 2012

Persistence of the efficacy of copper oxide wire particles against Haemonchus contortus in grazing South African goats.

scientific article

Policy Lessons From Quantitative Modeling of Leprosy.

scientific article published in June 2018

Policy Recommendations From Transmission Modeling for the Elimination of Visceral Leishmaniasis in the Indian Subcontinent

scientific article published in June 2018

Porcine reproductive and respiratory syndrome virus (PRRSV) in GB pig herds: farm characteristics associated with heterogeneity in seroprevalence

scientific article

Predicted Impact of COVID-19 on Neglected Tropical Disease Programs and the Opportunity for Innovation

scientific article published on 28 September 2020

Preliminary analysis of the transmission dynamics of nosocomial infections: stochastic and management effects.

scientific article published in October 1999

Prevalence of Cowdria ruminantium infection in Amblyomma hebraeum ticks from heartwater-endemic areas of Zimbabwe

scholarly article by T F Peter et al published October 1999 in Epidemiology and Infection

Public perceptions and interactions with UK COVID-19 Test, Trace and Isolate policies, and implications for pandemic infectious disease modelling

scientific article published in 2022

Quantification and determinants of the amount of respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) shed using real time PCR data from a longitudinal household study

scientific article

Quantification of the natural history of visceral leishmaniasis and consequences for control

scientific article

Quantifying age-related rates of social contact using diaries in a rural coastal population of Kenya

scientific article

Quantitative analyses and modelling to support achievement of the 2020 goals for nine neglected tropical diseases

scientific article published on 9 December 2015

Research priorities for elimination of visceral leishmaniasis

scientific article published on December 2014

Respiratory syncytial virus epidemiology in a birth cohort from Kilifi district, Kenya: infection during the first year of life

scientific article published on 8 October 2004

Respiratory syncytial virus infection and disease in infants and young children observed from birth in Kilifi District, Kenya

scientific article published on January 2008

Risk factors for herd breakdown with bovine tuberculosis in 148 cattle herds in the south west of England

scientific article published in July 2010

Risks for bovine tuberculosis in British cattle farms restocked after the foot and mouth disease epidemic of 2001.

scientific article published in April 2008

Rotavirus within day care centres in Oxfordshire, UK: characterization of partial immunity.

scientific article published on December 2008

Ruminating on complexity: macroparasites of wildlife and livestock.

scientific article published in April 2004

Screening strategies in surveillance and control of methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus (MRSA).

scientific article

Seroepidemiological study of respiratory syncytial virus in São Paulo state, Brazil

scientific article published in July 1998

Serological survey of anti-group A rotavirus IgM in UK adults

scientific article published on 01 August 2003

Seroprevalence and epidemiological characteristics of Mycobacterium avium subsp. paratuberculosis on 114 cattle farms in south west England

scientific article published on 26 March 2009

Social ties and susceptibility to the common cold

scientific article published on 01 October 1997

Stochastic dynamics of immunity in small populations: a general framework.

scientific article published on 8 February 2006

Successive Respiratory Syncytial Virus Epidemics in Local Populations Arise from Multiple Variant Introductions, Providing Insights into Virus Persistence

scientific article

The ORION statement: guidelines for transparent reporting of Outbreak Reports and Intervention studies Of Nosocomial infection

article

The ORION statement: guidelines for transparent reporting of outbreak reports and intervention studies of nosocomial infection

scientific article published on April 2007

The Population Attributable Fraction (PAF) of cases due to gatherings and groups with relevance to COVID-19 mitigation strategies

scientific article (preprint)

The Role of More Sensitive Helminth Diagnostics in Mass Drug Administration Campaigns: Elimination and Health Impacts.

scientific article

The control of Corynebacterium pseudotuberculosis infection in sheep flocks: a mathematical model of the impact of vaccination, serological testing, clinical examination and lancing of abscesses

scientific article published on 20 March 2010

The control of heartwater on large-scale commercial and smallholder farms in Zimbabwe

scientific article published in April 1999

The design of schistosomiasis monitoring and evaluation programmes: The importance of collecting adult data to inform treatment strategies for Schistosoma mansoni

article

The epidemiology and population biology of Necator americanus infection in a rural community in Zimbabwe.

scientific article published in January 1992

The influence of age on the development of the hepatitis B carrier state

scientific article published on 01 August 1993

The interaction of host genetics and disease processes in chronic livestock disease: a simulation model of ovine footrot

scientific article published on 26 November 2012

The level and duration of RSV-specific maternal IgG in infants in Kilifi Kenya

scientific article

The potential health and economic value of SARS-CoV-2 vaccination alongside physical distancing in the UK: a transmission model-based future scenario analysis and economic evaluation

scientific article published in March 2021

The potential to control Haemonchus contortus in indigenous South African goats with copper oxide wire particles.

scientific article published on 13 March 2009

The reinfection threshold

scientific article published on 18 April 2005

The reinfection threshold promotes variability in tuberculosis epidemiology and vaccine efficacy.

scientific article

The relationship between porcine circovirus 2 antigen score and antibody titre and histology of lymph nodes in 375 euthanased sick and healthy pigs from 113 British pig farms with and without postweaning multisystemic wasting syndrome.

scientific article published on 8 January 2009

The role of case proximity in transmission of visceral leishmaniasis in a highly endemic village in Bangladesh

article

The source of respiratory syncytial virus infection in infants: a household cohort study in rural Kenya

scientific article

The structural identifiability and parameter estimation of a multispecies model for the transmission of mastitis in dairy cows with postmilking teat disinfection.

scientific article published in November 2002

The structural identifiability and parameter estimation of a multispecies model for the transmission of mastitis in dairy cows.

scientific article published in December 2001

The time to AIDS in a cohort of homosexual men

article

The transmission and control of mastitis in dairy cows: a theoretical approach.

scientific article published on 20 March 2006

The transmission dynamics of groups A and B human respiratory syncytial virus (hRSV) in England & Wales and Finland: seasonality and cross-protection.

scientific article

The transmission dynamics of hepatitis B in the UK: a mathematical model for evaluating costs and effectiveness of immunization programmes

scientific article published on February 1996

The use of Markov chain Monte Carlo for analysis of correlated binary data: patterns of somatic cells in milk and the risk of clinical mastitis in dairy cows.

scientific article

Time to Scale Up Preexposure Prophylaxis Beyond the Highest-Risk Populations? Modeling Insights From High-Risk Women in Sub-Saharan Africa

scientific article published on 01 November 2020

Tooling-up for infectious disease transmission modelling

scientific article published on 13 May 2020

Trachoma Prevalence After Discontinuation of Mass Azithromycin Distribution

scientific article published on 13 February 2020

Transmission patterns and evolution of respiratory syncytial virus in a community outbreak identified by genomic analysis

scientific article

Understanding the transmission dynamics of Leishmania donovani to provide robust evidence for interventions to eliminate visceral leishmaniasis in Bihar, India

scientific article published on 27 January 2016

Uniting mathematics and biology for control of visceral leishmaniasis

scientific article

Use of posterior predictive assessments to evaluate model fit in multilevel logistic regression

scientific article published on 28 March 2009

Using a household-structured branching process to analyse contact tracing in the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic ⬇️

journal article from 'Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences' published in 2021

Vaccination against hepatitis B virus in highly endemic areas: waning vaccine-induced immunity and the need for booster doses

scientific article published in July 1996

Vaccine Induced Herd Immunity for Control of Respiratory Syncytial Virus Disease in a Low-Income Country Setting

scientific article published on 21 September 2015

Variations in visceral leishmaniasis burden, mortality and the pathway to care within Bihar, India.

scientific article published on 7 December 2017

When an emerging disease becomes endemic

scientific article

When, Who, and How to Sample: Designing Practical Surveillance for 7 Neglected Tropical Diseases as We Approach Elimination

scientific article published on 01 June 2020

Which comes first in host-parasite systems: Density dependence or parasite distribution?

scientific article published on 01 October 1992

Within-Flock Population Dynamics of Dichelobacter nodosus.

scientific article published on 24 April 2017

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