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List of works by Keywan Riahi

2 °C and SDGs: united they stand, divided they fall?

2020 emissions levels required to limit warming to below 2 °C

article

A Continental‐Scale Hydroeconomic Model for Integrating Water‐Energy‐Land Nexus Solutions

scientific article published in October 2018

A hybrid modelling approach to develop scenarios for China's carbon dioxide emissions to 2050

article

A low energy demand scenario for meeting the 1.5 °C target and sustainable development goals without negative emission technologies

A methodology and implementation of automated emissions harmonization for use in Integrated Assessment Models

A multi-model assessment of food security implications of climate change mitigation

scientific article published on 13 May 2019

A multi-model assessment of the co-benefits of climate mitigation for global air quality

A new generation of emissions scenarios should cover blind spots in the carbon budget space

scientific article

A new scenario framework for Climate Change Research: scenario matrix architecture

scholarly article by Detlef P. van Vuuren et al published 3 October 2013 in Climatic Change

A new scenario framework for climate change research: background, process, and future directions

scholarly article by Kristie Ebi et al published 27 September 2013 in Climatic Change

A new scenario framework for climate change research: the concept of shared climate policy assumptions

scholarly article by Elmar Kriegler et al published 28 January 2014 in Climatic Change

A new scenario framework for climate change research: the concept of shared socioeconomic pathways

scholarly article by Brian C. O’Neill et al published 15 October 2013 in Climatic Change

A new scenario logic for the Paris Agreement long-term temperature goal

scientific article published in September 2019

A new scenario resource for integrated 1.5 °C research

scientific article

A proposal for a new scenario framework to support research and assessment in different climate research communities

A short note on integrated assessment modeling approaches: Rejoinder to the review of “Making or breaking climate targets — The AMPERE study on staged accession scenarios for climate policy”

A special issue on model-based long-term transport scenarios: Model comparison and new methodological developments to improve energy and climate policy analysis

A special issue on the RCPs

article

Achievements and needs for the climate change scenario framework

scientific article published on 25 November 2020

Achieving a Sustainable Global Energy System

Air Quality Improvement Co-benefits of Low-Carbon Pathways toward Well Below the 2 °C Climate Target in China

scientific article published on 09 May 2019

Air-pollution emission ranges consistent with the representative concentration pathways

article published in 2014

An integrated approach to energy sustainability

Assessing the Feasibility of Global Long-Term Mitigation Scenarios

Assessing the land resource-food price nexus of the Sustainable Development Goals.

scientific article published on 16 September 2016

Assessment of emissions scenarios revisited

Author Correction: Energy investment needs for fulfilling the Paris Agreement and achieving the Sustainable Development Goals

scholarly article

Better air for better health: Forging synergies in policies for energy access, climate change and air pollution

article

Beyond Rio: Sustainable energy scenarios for the 21st century

COVID-19 impacts on energy demand can help reduce long-term mitigation challenge

scientific article

Carbon budgets and energy transition pathways

Carbon lock-in through capital stock inertia associated with weak near-term climate policies

Changes in IPCC scenario assessment emulators between SR1.5 and AR6 unravelled

scientific article published in 2022

Climate and human development impacts on municipal water demand: A spatially-explicit global modeling framework

Climate extremes, land-climate feedbacks and land-use forcing at 1.5°C.

scientific article published in May 2018

Climate impacts of poverty eradication

article published in 2014

Climate mitigation scenarios with persistent COVID-19-related energy demand changes

scientific article published in 2021

Climate model projections from the Scenario Model Intercomparison Project (ScenarioMIP) of CMIP6

scientific article

Climate policies can help resolve energy security and air pollution challenges

scholarly article by David L. McCollum et al published 19 February 2013 in Climatic Change

Comparing future patterns of energy system change in 2 °C scenarios with historically observed rates of change

article by Mariësse A.E. van Sluisveld et al published November 2015 in Global Environmental Change

Comparison and interactions between the long-term pursuit of energy independence and climate policies

Comparison between seasonal pumped-storage and conventional reservoir dams from the water, energy and land nexus perspective

article published in 2018

Comparison of top-down and bottom-up estimates of sectoral and regional greenhouse gas emission reduction potentials

article

Connecting the sustainable development goals by their energy inter-linkages ⬇️

article

Demography's role in sustainable development

scientific article published in Science

Determinants of household energy consumption in India

article by Tommi Ekholm et al published October 2010 in Energy Policy

Differences between carbon budget estimates unravelled

article

Do governments have the right mix in their energy R&D portfolios?

article

Do recent emission trends imply higher emissions forever?

Downscaling socioeconomic and emissions scenarios for global environmental change research: a review

article

Emission pathways consistent with a 2 °C global temperature limit

article

Emissions Scenarios: A Final Response

article

Energy Pathways for Sustainable Development

article

Energy investment needs for fulfilling the Paris Agreement and achieving the Sustainable Development Goals

scholarly article

Energy sector water use implications of a 2 °C climate policy

article published in 2016

Energy security under de-carbonization scenarios: An assessment framework and evaluation under different technology and policy choices

Energy system transformations for limiting end-of-century warming to below 1.5 °C

article

Energy technology strategies for carbon dioxide mitigation and sustainable development

article

Environmental Modeling and Methods for Estimation of the Global Health Impacts of Air Pollution

article

Erratum to “Energy security under de-carbonization scenarios: An assessment framework and evaluation under different technology and policy choices” [Energy Policy 65 (2014) 743–760]

scholarly article published in Energy Policy

Erratum: Corrigendum: Energy system transformations for limiting end-of-century warming to below 1.5 °C

article

Erratum: Corrigendum: Probabilistic cost estimates for climate change mitigation

scientific article published in Nature

Evolution of anthropogenic and biomass burning emissions of air pollutants at global and regional scales during the 1980–2010 period

article

Fossil resource and energy security dynamics in conventional and carbon-constrained worlds

article

Future aerosol emissions: a multi-model comparison

Future air pollution in the Shared Socio-economic Pathways

scholarly article by Shilpa Rao et al published January 2017 in Global Environmental Change

Future capacity growth of energy technologies: are scenarios consistent with historical evidence?

article

Future nuclear perspectives based on MESSAGE integrated assessment modeling

Gas hydrates: entrance to a methane age or climate threat?

article

Gas infrastructures and the environment in Eurasia in a dynamics-as-usual scenario

Global Supply of Biomass for Energy and Carbon Sequestration from Afforestation/Reforestation Activities

scholarly article by Michael Obersteiner et al published 23 March 2006 in Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change

Global and Regional Greenhouse Gas Emissions Scenarios

article published in 2000

Global and regional evolution of short-lived radiatively-active gases and aerosols in the Representative Concentration Pathways

article by Jean-François Lamarque et al published 5 August 2011 in Climatic Change

Global emissions pathways under different socioeconomic scenarios for use in CMIP6: a dataset of harmonized emissions trajectories through the end of the century

scientific article published in 2019

Global exposure and vulnerability to multi-sector development and climate change hotspots

scientific article published in May 2018

Global resource potential of seasonal pumped hydropower storage for energy and water storage

scientific article published on 19 February 2020

Greenhouse Gas Emissions in a Dynamics-as-Usual Scenario of Economic and Energy Development

article

Harmonization of global land use change and management for the period 850–2100 (LUH2) for CMIP6

scientific article

Harmonization of land-use scenarios for the period 1500–2100: 600 years of global gridded annual land-use transitions, wood harvest, and resulting secondary lands

article by G. C. Hurtt et al published 9 August 2011 in Climatic Change

Historical (1850–2000) gridded anthropogenic and biomass burning emissions of reactive gases and aerosols: methodology and application

scholarly article published in 2010

IPCC Sres Revisited: A Response

article

Impact of short-lived non-CO2mitigation on carbon budgets for stabilizing global warming

article

Impacts of COVID-19 induced energy demand changes on emissions and mitigation challenges 

scientific article

Impacts of considering electric sector variability and reliability in the MESSAGE model

article

Implications of alternative metrics for global mitigation costs and greenhouse gas emissions from agriculture

article

Implications of delayed participation and technology failure for the feasibility, costs, and likelihood of staying below temperature targets—Greenhouse gas mitigation scenarios for the 21st century

article by Volker Krey & Keywan Riahi published December 2009 in Energy Economics

Improving poverty and inequality modelling in climate research

Improving the behavioral realism of global integrated assessment models: An application to consumers’ vehicle choices

Inclusive climate change mitigation and food security policy under 1.5 °C climate goal

scholarly article by Shinichiro Fujimori et al published 1 July 2018 in Environmental Research Letters

Income inequality projections for the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs)

Integrated Solutions for the Water-Energy-Land Nexus: Are Global Models Rising to the Challenge?

scientific article published on 25 October 2019

Integrated assessment of uncertainties in greenhouse gas emissions and their mitigation: Introduction and overview

Integrating Global Climate Change Mitigation Goals with Other Sustainability Objectives: A Synthesis

scholarly article by Christoph von Stechow et al published 4 November 2015 in Annual Review of Environment and Resources

Internalizing externalities of electricity generation: An analysis with MESSAGE-MACRO

Introduction to the AMPERE model intercomparison studies on the economics of climate stabilization

article

Land-based mitigation in climate stabilization

Land-use futures in the shared socio-economic pathways

Limited emission reductions from fuel subsidy removal except in energy-exporting regions

scientific article published in February 2018

Limited impact on decadal-scale climate change from increased use of natural gas.

scientific article

Locked into Copenhagen pledges — Implications of short-term emission targets for the cost and feasibility of long-term climate goals

Long history of IAM comparisons

Long-term economic benefits of stabilizing warming without overshoot – the ENGAGE model intercomparison

scientific article

Long-term scenarios for black and organic carbon emissions

article

Low-emission pathways in 11 major economies: comparison of cost-optimal pathways and Paris climate proposals

Making or breaking climate targets: The AMPERE study on staged accession scenarios for climate policy

Mapping the climate change challenge

scholarly article by Stéphane Hallegatte et al published July 2016 in Nature Climate Change

Methanol production by gasification using a geographically explicit model

article

Mid- and long-term climate projections for fragmented and delayed-action scenarios

article published in 2015

Misrepresentation of the IPCC CO2 emission scenarios

Mitigation choices impact carbon budget size compatible with low temperature goals

Mitigation implications of midcentury targets that preserve long-term climate policy options

scientific article (publication date: 19 January 2010)

National GHG emissions reduction pledges and 2°C: comparison of studies

Net zero-emission pathways reduce the physical and economic risks of climate change

scientific article published in 2021

Non-Kyoto radiative forcing in long-run greenhouse gas emissions and climate change scenarios

scholarly article by Steven K. Rose et al published 27 October 2013 in Climatic Change

Open discussion of negative emissions is urgently needed

Paris Agreement climate proposals need a boost to keep warming well below 2 °C.

scientific article

Pathways for balancing CO2 emissions and sinks.

scientific article

Pathways to achieve universal household access to modern energy by 2030

Planning for future energy resources

scientific article published on 01 April 2003

Policy trade-offs between climate mitigation and clean cook-stove access in South Asia

article

Possible pathways for balancing CO2 emissions and sinks as agreed in Paris COP21

Post-2020 climate agreements in the major economies assessed in the light of global models

article

Power-generation system vulnerability and adaptation to changes in climate and water resources

scientific article (publication date: 4 January 2016)

Probabilistic cost estimates for climate change mitigation ⬇️

scientific article published on January 3, 2013

Probabilistic temperature change projections and energy system implications of greenhouse gas emission scenarios

Prospects for carbon capture and sequestration technologies assuming their technological learning

scholarly article by Keywan Riahi et al published July 2004 in Energy

Publisher Correction: Achievements and needs for the climate change scenario framework

correction of a scholarly article

Quantifying the potential for reservoirs to secure future surface water yields in the world’s largest river basins

article published in 2018

Quantifying uncertainties influencing the long-term impacts of oil prices on energy markets and carbon emissions

RCP 8.5—A scenario of comparatively high greenhouse gas emissions

Regional Low-Emission Pathways from Global Models

Regional, national, and spatially explicit scenarios of demographic and economic change based on SRES

article by A. Grübler et al published September 2007 in Technological Forecasting and Social Change

Reply to: Why fossil fuel producer subsidies matter

scientific article published on 01 February 2020

Residual fossil CO2 emissions in 1.5–2 °C pathways

Response to comment on “Fairness considerations in global mitigation investments”

scientific article published on 18 May 2023

Risk Hedging Strategies Under Energy System and Climate Policy Uncertainties

Scenarios of long-term socio-economic and environmental development under climate stabilization

article

Scenarios towards limiting global mean temperature increase below 1.5 °C

article by Joeri Rogelj et al published 5 March 2018 in Nature Climate Change

Shared Socio-Economic Pathways of the Energy Sector – Quantifying the Narratives

article

Special Report on Global Warming of 1.5ºC ⬇️

special climate change report published by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change

Stranded on a low-carbon planet: Implications of climate policy for the phase-out of coal-based power plants

article

Synergies in the Asian energy system: Climate change, energy security, energy access and air pollution

article

Taking stock of national climate policies to evaluate implementation of the Paris Agreement

scientific article published on 29 April 2020

Technological learning for carbon capture and sequestration technologies

scholarly article by Keywan Riahi et al published July 2004 in Energy Economics

Technology Dynamics and Greenhouse Gas Emissions Mitigation

article

Technology Portfolios: Modelling Technological Uncertainty and Innovation Risks

article

Temperature increase of 21st century mitigation scenarios

scientific article (publication date: 7 October 2008)

The IPCC Sixth Assessment Report WGIII climate assessment of mitigation pathways: from emissions to global temperatures

scientific article published in 2022

The MESSAGE Integrated Assessment Model and the ix modeling platform (ixmp): An open framework for integrated and cross-cutting analysis of energy, climate, the environment, and sustainable development

scientific article published in 2019

The RCP greenhouse gas concentrations and their extensions from 1765 to 2300

scholarly article

The Scenario Model Intercomparison Project (ScenarioMIP) for CMIP6

scholarly article published in 2016

The Scenario Model Intercomparison Project (ScenarioMIP) for CMIP6

scholarly article, 2016

The Shared Socio-economic Pathways: Trajectories for human development and global environmental change

article

The Shared Socioeconomic Pathways and their energy, land use, and greenhouse gas emissions implications: An overview

The UN's 'Sustainable Energy for All' initiative is compatible with a warming limit of 2 °C

article

The Vulnerability, Impacts, Adaptation and Climate Services Advisory Board (VIACS AB v1.0) contribution to CMIP6

scientific article published in 2016

The Vulnerability, Impacts, Adaptation, and Climate Services (VIACS) Advisory Board for CMIP6

The effect of financial constraints on energy-climate scenarios

The feasibility of low CO2 concentration targets and the role of bio-energy with carbon capture and storage (BECCS)

scholarly article by Christian Azar et al published May 2010 in Climatic Change

The impact of near-term climate policy choices on technology and emission transition pathways

The marker quantification of the Shared Socioeconomic Pathway 2: A middle-of-the-road scenario for the 21st century

The next generation of scenarios for climate change research and assessment.

scientific article, 2010

The relationship between short-term emissions and long-term concentration targets

article published in 2010

The representative concentration pathways: an overview

scholarly article, 2011

The roads ahead: Narratives for shared socioeconomic pathways describing world futures in the 21st century

article

The role of technology for achieving climate policy objectives: overview of the EMF 27 study on global technology and climate policy strategies

article

Transport electrification: A key element for energy system transformation and climate stabilization

Understanding the origin of Paris Agreement emission uncertainties

scientific article

Using large ensembles of climate change mitigation scenarios for robust insights

scientific article published in 2022

What do near-term observations tell us about long-term developments in greenhouse gas emissions?

Zero emission targets as long-term global goals for climate protection

article

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