List of works by Guy Midgley

A Socio-Ecological Approach for Identifying and Contextualising Spatial Ecosystem-Based Adaptation Priorities at the Sub-National Level

scientific article published on 26 May 2016

A changing climate is eroding the geographical range of the Namib Desert tree Aloe through population declines and dispersal lags

scientific article (publication date: 26 July 2007)

A fundamental, eco-hydrological basis for niche segregation in plant communities

scientific article

A physiological analogy of the niche for projecting the potential distribution of plants

article

A proposed CO2-controlled mechanism of woody plant invasion in grasslands and savannas

article

An ecological economic simulation model of mountain fynbos ecosystems

article

An operational definition of the biome for global change research

scientific article published on 07 April 2020

Assessing species vulnerability to climate change

article

Assessing the impacts of climate change and land transformation onBanksiain the South West Australian Floristic Region

article

Avian range changes and climate change: a cautionary tale from the Cape Peninsula

scholarly article by Philip AR Hockey & Guy Midgley published April 2009 in Ostrich

Beyond bioclimatic envelopes: dynamic species' range and abundance modelling in the context of climatic change

scientific article published in 2010

BioMove - an integrated platform simulating the dynamic response of species to environmental change

article

Biodiversity conservation: Uncertainty in predictions of extinction risk/Effects of changes in climate and land use/Climate change and extinction risk (reply)

scholarly article by Chris D. Thomas et al published 1 July 2004 in Nature Cell Biology

Book Review: Sustainability of Southern African Ecosystems under Global Change

scientific article published on 25 June 2024

Bud protection: a key trait for species sorting in a forest-savanna mosaic

scientific article published on 9 April 2015

CAM variations in the leaf-succulent Delosperma tradescantioides (Mesembryanthemaceae), native to southern Africa

article

CO2 enrichment does not entirely ameliorate Vachellia karroo drought inhibition: A missing mechanism explaining savanna bush encroachment

Carbon dioxide and the uneasy interactions of trees and savannah grasses

scientific article (publication date: 19 February 2012)

Climate change and ecology in Africa

article

Climate change impacts and adaptation in South Africa

article

Climate change in South Africa: Risks and opportunities for climate-resilient development in the IPCC Sixth Assessment WGII Report

scientific article published in 2022

Colonization and persistence ability explain the extent to which plant species fill their potential range

article

Combined impacts of future climate‐driven vegetation changes and socioeconomic pressures on protected areas in Africa

scientific article published in 2022

Costs of expanding the network of protected areas as a response to climate change in the Cape Floristic Region

scientific article

Diverse functional responses to drought in a Mediterranean-type shrubland in South Africa.

scientific article

Diverse trends in observed pan evaporation in South Africa suggest multiple interacting drivers

scientific article published in 2021

Do niche-structured plant communities exhibit phylogenetic conservatism? A test case in an endemic clade

article

Ecological research and conservation management in the Cape Floristic Region between 1945 and 2015: History, current understanding and future challenges

Ecology. Biodiversity and ecosystem function

scientific article

Effects of harvesting flowers from shrubs on the persistence and abundance of wild shrub populations at multiple spatial extents

scientific article published in February 2011

Effects of time since fire on birds in a plant diversity hotspot

article

Environmental change hastens the demise of the critically endangered riverine rabbit (Bunolagus monticularis)

Evaluation of Selected Sentinel‐2 Remotely Sensed Vegetation Indices and MODIS GPP in Representing Productivity in Semi‐Arid South African Ecosystems

scientific article published in April 2024

Experimental biogeography: the role of environmental gradients in high geographic diversity in Cape Proteaceae.

scientific article

Exploring the significance of land-cover change in South Africa

article

Extinction risk from climate change ⬇️

scientific article, 2014

Fire frequency filters species by bark traits in a savanna-forest mosaic

Fire-mediated disruptive selection can explain the reseeder-resprouter dichotomy in Mediterranean-type vegetation

scientific article

Future Spatial Pattern of South African Acacia Trees

article

Future of African terrestrial biodiversity and ecosystems under anthropogenic climate change

article

Global environmental change and the uncertain fate of biodiversity. Global Environmental Change and Biodiversity--a DIVERSITAS/Tyndall Centre/TERACC/QUEST-sponsored workshop, Dourdan, France, May 2005.

scientific article published in September 2005

Growth, phenology and reproduction of an arid-environment winter ephemeral Dimorphotheca pluvialis in response to combined increases in CO2 and UV-B radiation.

scientific article

Hierarchical processes define spatial pattern of avian assemblages restricted and endemic to the arid Karoo, South Africa

article

How to understand species’ niches and range dynamics: a demographic research agenda for biogeography

article

Human impacts in African savannas are mediated by plant functional traits

article

IPCC Land report: Commentary

scientific article published on 29 July 2020

Identifying priority areas for bioclimatic representation under climate change: a case study for Proteaceae in the Cape Floristic Region, South Africa

article

If self-shading is so bad, why is there so much? Short shoots reconcile costs and benefits

scientific article published in March 2023

Impacts of past habitat loss and future climate change on the range dynamics of South African Proteaceae

article

Improving assessment and modelling of climate change impacts on global terrestrial biodiversity

scientific article

Increasing impacts of climate change upon ecosystems with increasing global mean temperature rise

scholarly article by Rachel Warren et al published 21 August 2010 in Climatic Change

Interactive effects of photon fluence rates and drought on CAM-cycling in Delosperma tradescantioides (Mesembryanthemaceae)

Interrogating recent range changes in South African birds: confounding signals from land use and climate change present a challenge for attribution

article

Intraspecific trait variation influences physiological performance and fitness in the South Africa shrub genus Protea (Proteaceae)

scientific article published on 06 April 2020

Invasive grasses of sub-Antarctic Marion Island respond to increasing temperatures at the expense of chilling tolerance ⬇️

scientific article published on 04 October 2019

Investments' role in ecosystem degradation-Response

scientific article published on 01 April 2020

Large uncertainties in future biome changes in Africa call for flexible climate adaptation strategies

scientific article published on 09 October 2020

Lethal effects of experimental warming approximating a future climate scenario on southern African quartz-field succulents: a pilot study

scientific article

Life on the edge: rare and restricted episodes of a pan-tropical mutualism adapting to drier climates

scientific article published on 24 March 2011

Limits to adaptation

article published in 2013

Long-term effects of elevated atmospheric CO2 on species composition and productivity of a southern African C4 dominated grassland in the vicinity of a CO2 exhalation

article

Modelling horses for novel climate courses: insights from projecting potential distributions of native and alien Australian acacias with correlative and mechanistic models

article

Narrowing pathways to a sustainable future

scientific article published on 01 May 2018

National Climate Change Conference in South Africa

article

Nitrogen-fixing bacteria and Oxalis - evidence for a vertically inherited bacterial symbiosis

scientific article published on 23 October 2019

No forest left behind

scientific article published on August 2007

Novel methods reveal shifts in migration phenology of barn swallows in South Africa.

scientific article published on 9 November 2011

Optimizing dispersal corridors for the Cape Proteaceae using network flow

scientific article

Organizing principles for vegetation dynamics

scientific article published on 11 May 2020

Overcoming the coupled climate and biodiversity crises and their societal impacts

scientific article published on 21 April 2023

Oxalis seeds from the Cape Flora have a spectrum of germination strategies

scientific article published on 03 June 2019

PDEAR model prediction of Protea species in years 2070-2100

PDEMR Modelling of Protea Species in the Population Size of 1 to 10, in Cape Floristic Region from 1992 to 2002, South Africa

article

Pervasive human-driven decline of life on Earth points to the need for transformative change

scientific article published on 01 December 2019

Photosynthetic and gas exchange characteristics of dominant woody plants on a moisture gradient in an African savanna

article

Physiological and growth responses of two African species, Acacia karroo and Themeda triandra, to combined increases in CO2 and UV-B radiation

article

Planning for Climate Change: Identifying Minimum-Dispersal Corridors for the Cape Proteaceae

scholarly article by PAUL WILLIAMS et al published 12 July 2005 in Conservation Biology

Plant specialisation may limit climate‐induced vegetation change to within topographic and edaphic niches on a sub‐Antarctic island

scientific article published in 2022

Potential impacts of future land use and climate change on the Red List status of the Proteaceae in the Cape Floristic Region, South Africa

article

Potential responses of terrestrial biodiversity in Southern Africa to anthropogenic climate change

article

Predicting extinction risks under climate change: coupling stochastic population models with dynamic bioclimatic habitat models

scientific article

Predicting global change impacts on plant species’ distributions: Future challenges

article

Predicting patterns of plant species richness in megadiverse South Africa

article

Protected area needs in a changing climate

scientific article published in 2007

Remotely sensed canopy height reveals three pantropical ecosystem states: a comment

scientific article

Spatial and temporal variation in species-area relationships in the Fynbos biological hotspot

scientific article published in 2007

Specific leaf area and dry matter content estimate thickness in laminar leaves

scientific article

Steal the light: shade vs fire adapted vegetation in forest-savanna mosaics.

scientific article published on 31 March 2018

Suborbital climatic variability and centres of biological diversity in the Cape region of southern Africa

article

Terrestrial carbon stocks and biodiversity: key knowledge gaps and some policy implications

article

The Reforestation of Africa?

article

The Trouble with Trees: Afforestation Plans for Africa

scientific article published on 09 September 2019

The commonness of rarity: Global and future distribution of rarity across land plants

scientific article published on 27 November 2019

The global distribution of ecosystems in a world without fire

scientific article (publication date: February 2005)

The impact of shrub encroachment on savanna bird diversity from local to regional scale

scientific article published in 2009

The ongoing quest for universal patterns of plant function

scientific article

To converge or not to converge in environmental space: testing for similar environments between analogous succulent plants of North America and Africa

scientific article published on 9 April 2013

Variance and ecological transitions

Variation in δ13C among species and sexes in the family Restionaceae along a fine-scale hydrological gradient

article

Xylem hydraulics and angiosperm success

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