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List of works by Christina Pagel

'The Score Matters': wide variations in predictive performance of 18 paediatric track and trigger systems.

scientific article

A Computational Algorithm Associated with Patient Progress Modelling

article published in 2006

A Mathematical Modelling Approach for Systems Where the Servers Are Almost Always Busy ⬇️

scientific article published on April 11, 2012

A Novel Method to Identify the Start and End of the Winter Surge in Demand for Pediatric Intensive Care in Real Time.

scientific article

A method for evaluating and comparing immunisation schedules that cover multiple diseases: Illustrative application to the UK routine childhood vaccine schedule

scientific article published on 25 July 2018

A model to evaluate mass vaccination against pneumococcus as a countermeasure against pandemic influenza

scientific article

A novel approach to evaluating the UK childhood immunisation schedule: estimating the effective coverage vector across the entire vaccine programme.

scientific article published on 29 December 2015

A technical note concerning non-adherence to drug therapy: exact expressions for the mean and variance of drug concentration

scientific article published in September 2008

A tool for routine monitoring and feedback of morbidities following paediatric cardiac surgery

scientific article published on 17 December 2019

An operational research approach to identify cardiac surgery patients at risk of severe post-operative bleeding

scientific article published on 15 March 2011

Analytical methods for calculating the distribution of the occupancy of each state within a multi-state flow system

Community interventions to reduce maternal and child mortality in low-income countries

Community mobilisation with women's groups facilitated by Accredited Social Health Activists (ASHAs) to improve maternal and newborn health in underserved areas of Jharkhand and Orissa: study protocol for a cluster-randomised controlled trial

scientific article

Community-based interventions to reduce maternal mortality – Authors' reply

scientific article published in The Lancet

Costs of postoperative morbidity following paediatric cardiac surgery: observational study

scientific article published on 07 May 2020

Dead reckoning: can we trust estimates of mortality rates in clinical databases?

scientific article published on 31 December 2007

Definition of important early morbidities related to paediatric cardiac surgery.

scientific article published on 29 September 2016

Delivering stepped care: an analysis of implementation in routine practice.

scientific article published on 16 January 2012

Development and formative evaluation of a visual e-tool to help decision makers navigate the evidence around health financing

scientific article published on 21 December 2012

Development and implementation of a real time statistical control method to identify the start and end of the winter surge in demand for paediatric intensive care

Development of a diagnosis- and procedure-based risk model for 30-day outcome after pediatric cardiac surgery

scientific article published on 18 July 2012

Development, implementation and evaluation of a tool for forecasting short term demand for beds in an intensive care unit

Differences in access to Emergency Paediatric Intensive Care and care during Transport (DEPICT): study protocol for a mixed methods study

scientific article published on 16 July 2019

Does time taken by paediatric critical care transport teams to reach the bedside of critically ill children affect survival? A retrospective cohort study from England and Wales

scientific article published on 19 June 2020

Does triage to critical care during a pandemic necessarily result in more survivors?

scientific article

Effect of a participatory intervention with women's groups on birth outcomes and maternal depression in Jharkhand and Orissa, India: a cluster-randomised controlled trial

scientific article published on 6 March 2010

Effect of scaling up women's groups on birth outcomes in three rural districts in Bangladesh: a cluster-randomised controlled trial

scientific article published on 6 March 2010

Estimating excess 1- year mortality from COVID-19 according to underlying conditions and age in England: a rapid analysis using NHS health records in 3.8 million adults

scientific article (preprint)

Estimating excess 1-year mortality associated with the COVID-19 pandemic according to underlying conditions and age: a population-based cohort study

scientific article published on 12 May 2020

Estimation of potential effects of improved community-based drug provision, to augment health-facility strengthening, on maternal mortality due to post-partum haemorrhage and sepsis in sub-Saharan Africa: an equity-effectiveness model

scientific article

Exploring communication between parents and clinical teams following children's heart surgery: a survey in the UK

scientific article published on 22 March 2019

Exploring potential consequences on mortality estimates of errors in clinical databases

article

Factors associated with unplanned reinterventions and their relation to early mortality after pediatric cardiac surgery

scientific article published on 27 November 2020

Generating Insights from Trends in Newborn Care Practices from Prospective Population-Based Studies: Examples from India, Bangladesh and Nepal

scientific article published on 15 July 2015

How many births in sub-Saharan Africa and South Asia will not be attended by a skilled birth attendant between 2011 and 2015?

scientific article

Impact on 30-day survival of time taken by a critical care transport team to reach the bedside of critically ill children

scientific article published on 22 June 2020

Improved neonatal survival after participatory learning and action with women's groups: a prospective study in rural eastern India

scientific article published on 04 April 2013

Improving Risk Adjustment for Mortality After Pediatric Cardiac Surgery: The UK PRAiS2 Model

scientific article published on 15 March 2017

Improving health-care quality in resource-poor settings.

scientific article

Improving risk adjustment in the PRAiS (Partial Risk Adjustment in Surgery) model for mortality after paediatric cardiac surgery and improving public understanding of its use in monitoring outcomes

Incidence and risk factors for important early morbidities associated with pediatric cardiac surgery in a UK population

scientific article published on 12 June 2019

Incorporating Comorbidity Within Risk Adjustment for UK Pediatric Cardiac Surgery

scientific article

Intermittency in the solar wind: A comparison between solar minimum and maximum using Ulysses data

scholarly article

Interventional treatments and risk factors in patients born with hypoplastic left heart syndrome in England and Wales from 2000 to 2015.

scientific article

Interventions and Outcomes in Children With Hypoplastic Left Heart Syndrome Born in England and Wales Between 2000 and 2015 Based on the National Congenital Heart Disease Audit.

scientific article published in October 2017

Intracluster correlation coefficients and coefficients of variation for perinatal outcomes from five cluster-randomised controlled trials in low and middle-income countries: results and methodological implications

scientific article

Is essential newborn care provided by institutions and after home births? Analysis of prospective data from community trials in rural South Asia

scientific article

Linkage of National Congenital Heart Disease Audit data to hospital, critical care and mortality national data sets to enable research focused on quality improvement

scientific article published in 2022

Long COVID in children ⬇️

journal article from 'The Lancet Child & Adolescent Health' published in 2022

Managing the health effects of climate change

scientific article (publication date: May 2009)

Managing the winter surge in demand for resources

article

Maternal mortality for 181 countries, 1980-2008.

scientific article

Modelling of errors in databases

scientific article published in March 2008

Modelling the allocation of paediatric intensive care retrieval teams in England and Wales

scientific article published on 11 February 2019

Modelling toolkit to assist with introducing a stepped care system design in mental health care

article

Monitoring mortality trends in low-resource settings

scientific article

Morbidities following cardiac surgery: impact on children's quality of life and parent mental health

scientific article published on 27 November 2020

Mortality as a measure of quality of care in infants with congenital cardiovascular malformations following surgery

scientific article

Moving improvement research closer to practice: the Researcher-in-Residence model

scientific article

Neurodevelopmental status and follow-up in preschool children with heart disease in London, UK

scientific article published on 09 September 2020

PaO2/FIO2 Ratio Derived From the SpO2/FIO2 Ratio to Improve Mortality Prediction Using the Pediatric Index of Mortality-3 Score in Transported Intensive Care Admissions.

scientific article published on 24 January 2017

Parental understanding of our communication of morbidity associated with paediatric cardiac surgery: a qualitative study

scientific article published on 26 February 2020

Quantifying the impact of non-adherence to drug therapy: a technical note concerning an application of a branch and bound algorithm

scientific article published in September 2008

Real Time Monitoring of Risk-Adjusted Surgical Outcomes for Congenital Heart Disease

Real time monitoring of risk-adjusted paediatric cardiac surgery outcomes using variable life-adjusted display: implementation in three UK centres

scientific article published on 05 April 2013

Selection by a panel of clinicians and family representatives of important early morbidities associated with paediatric cardiac surgery suitable for routine monitoring using the nominal group technique and a robust voting process

scientific article

The Future of Health Care Reform - A View from the States on Where We Go from Here

scientific article published on 01 December 2018

The Papworth Bleeding Risk Score: a stratification scheme for identifying cardiac surgery patients at risk of excessive early postoperative bleeding

scientific article published on 19 November 2010

The UK needs a sustainable strategy for COVID-19

scientific article published on 09 November 2020

The benefits and risks of risk-adjustment in paediatric cardiac surgery

scientific article published on 3 October 2013

The relationship between workload and medical staffing levels in a paediatric cardiac intensive care unit.

scientific article published on 02 December 2010

Trends in 30-day mortality rate and case mix for paediatric cardiac surgery in the UK between 2000 and 2010

scientific article

Understanding Children's Heart Surgery Data: A Cross-Disciplinary Approach to Codevelop a Website

scientific article

Use of diagnostic information submitted to the United Kingdom Central Cardiac Audit Database: development of categorisation and allocation algorithms

scientific article published on 2 October 2012

Using a mathematical model to assist with the management of paediatric heart transplant waiting lists: a case study

Validation of the Brief Developmental Assessment in pre-school children with heart disease.

scientific article published in April 2018

What are the important morbidities associated with paediatric cardiac surgery? A mixed methods study

scientific article published on 09 September 2019

Women's groups practising participatory learning and action to improve maternal and newborn health in low-resource settings: a systematic review and meta-analysis

scientific article published on May 2013

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