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List of works by John M. Drake

A general multi-strain model with environmental transmission: invasion conditions for the disease-free and endemic states

scientific article published on 6 March 2010

A review of extinction in experimental populations

scientific article published on 12 June 2008

A statistical model of Rift Valley fever activity in Egypt

scientific article published on December 2013

Accuracy of climate-based forecasts of pathogen spread

scientific article published on 29 March 2017

Adaptive evolution and environmental durability jointly structure phylodynamic patterns in avian influenza viruses

scientific article

Allee Effects, Propagule Pressure and the Probability of Establishment: Risk Analysis for Biological Invasions

article

Allee effects and the risk of biological invasion

scientific article published in August 2004

An Agent-Based Model to study the epidemiological and evolutionary dynamics of Influenza viruses ⬇️

scientific article published on March 30, 2011

Antagonistic effects of seed dispersal and herbivory on plant migration

scientific article

Anticipating Emerging Mosquito-borne Flaviviruses in the USA: What Comes after Zika?

scientific article published on 15 March 2018

Anticipating epidemic transitions with imperfect data.

scientific article published on 8 June 2018

Anticipating the emergence of infectious diseases.

scientific article

Bacterial colonization and extinction on marine aggregates: stochastic model of species presence and abundance

scientific article published on 3 October 2013

Bioeconomic forecasting of invasive species by ecological syndrome

article

Carry-over effects of larval microclimate on the transmission potential of a mosquito-borne pathogen

article

Carry-over effects of urban larval environments on the transmission potential of dengue-2 virus

article

Characteristics of the 100 largest modern zoonotic disease outbreaks

scientific article

Comparative epidemiology of poliovirus transmission

scientific article published on 12 December 2017

Competition-mediated feedbacks in experimental multi-species epizootics

article

Competition-mediated feedbacks in experimental multispecies epizootics

scientific article published on March 2016

Complex population dynamics and control of the invasive biennial Alliaria petiolata (garlic mustard).

scientific article published in March 2009

Costs of resistance and infection by a generalist pathogen

scientific article published on 17 February 2016

Critical patch size generated by Allee effect in gypsy moth, Lymantria dispar (L.).

scientific article

Data-driven identification of potential Zika virus vectors

scientific article (publication date: 27 September 2016)

Data-driven identification of potential Zika virus vectors

scientific article (publication date: 28 February 2017)

Decelerating spread of West Nile virus by percolation in a heterogeneous urban landscape

scientific article

Demographic Stochasticity, Environmental Variability, and Windows of Invasion Risk for Bythotrephes Longimanus in North America

article

Density-dependent demographic variation determines extinction rate of experimental populations

scientific article

Density-dependent selection on mate search and evolution of Allee effects.

scientific article published on 27 February 2017

Detecting critical slowing down in high-dimensional epidemiological systems

scientific article published on 09 March 2020

Disentangling reporting and disease transmission

article

Dissecting a wildlife disease hotspot: the impact of multiple host species, environmental transmission and seasonality in migration, breeding and mortality

scientific article published on February 2013

Do Biology Students Really Hate Math? Empirical Insights into Undergraduate Life Science Majors' Emotions about Mathematics.

scientific article published on January 2017

Do predators keep prey healthy or make them sicker? A meta‐analysis

scientific article published in 2021

Early warning signals of extinction in deteriorating environments

scientific article

Early warning signals of malaria resurgence in Kericho, Kenya

scientific article published on 18 March 2020

Early warning signals of stochastic switching ⬇️

scientific article published on September 7, 2013

Ebola cases and health system demand in Liberia

scientific article

Ebola: mobility data

scientific article

Ecological indicators of mammal exposure to Ebolavirus

scientific article published on 12 August 2019

Ecological niche and potential distribution of Anopheles arabiensis in Africa in 2050

scientific article

Editorial: Allee effects in ecology and evolution.

scientific article published in January 2018

Effects of environmental variation on extinction and establishment

article

Effects of habitat quality and size on extinction in experimental populations

scientific article published in October 2008

Eigenvalues of the covariance matrix as early warning signals for critical transitions in ecological systems

scientific article published on 22 February 2019

Ensemble algorithms for ecological niche modeling from presence-background and presence-only data

scholarly article by John M. Drake published June 2014 in Ecosphere

Environment, but not migration rate, influences extinction risk in experimental metapopulations

scientific article published on 23 September 2009

Environmental Predictors of Schistosomiasis Persistent Hotspots following Mass Treatment with Praziquantel

scientific article published on 01 February 2020

Environmental transmission of low pathogenicity avian influenza viruses and its implications for pathogen invasion

scholarly article

Environmental variation, stochastic extinction, and competitive coexistence

scientific article published on November 2008

Estimating parasite host range.

scientific article

Estimating the distance to an epidemic threshold

article

Estimating the distance to an epidemic threshold

scientific article published on 19 January 2018

Evaluating an invasive species policy: ballast water exchange in the Great Lakes

scientific article published in April 2007

Evaluation of individual and ensemble probabilistic forecasts of COVID-19 mortality in the United States

scientific article published in 2022

Evidence for the persistence of food web structure after amphibian extirpation in a Neotropical stream

scientific article published on August 2015

Evolutionary relationships among human-isolated and wildlife-isolated West Nile viruses

scientific article published on 4 August 2009

Experimental demonstration of a two-phase population extinction hazard

scientific article

Experimental demonstration of accelerated extinction in source-sink metapopulations

scientific article published on 22 August 2013

Experimental demonstration of an Allee effect in microbial populations.

scientific article published on April 2016

Experimental demonstration of population extinction due to a predator-driven Allee effect

scientific article published on 19 January 2010

Experimental evidence of a pathogen invasion threshold

scientific article published on 24 January 2018

Extinction hazards in experimental Daphnia magna populations: effects of genotype diversity and environmental variation

scientific article published on 21 December 2012

Extinction times in experimental populations

scientific article published on September 2006

Factors influencing the detectability of early warning signals of population collapse

scientific article published on 7 May 2015

Fecundity as a basis for risk assessment of nonindigenous freshwater molluscs

scientific article published on February 2007

Five approaches to the suppression of SARS-CoV-2 without intensive social distancing

scientific article published on 01 August 2020

Five approaches to the suppression of SARS-CoV-2 without intensive social distancing

scientific article published on 28 April 2021

Fluctuating temperatures alter environmental pathogen transmission in a -pathogen system

article

Forecasting Potential Distributions of Nonindigenous Species with a Genetic Algorithm

article

Forecasting infectious disease emergence subject to seasonal forcing.

scientific article

Fundamental limits to the precision of early warning systems for epidemics of infectious diseases

scientific article

Future directions in analytics for infectious disease intelligence: Toward an integrated warning system for emerging pathogens

scientific article published on 11 May 2016

Global Patterns of Zoonotic Disease in Mammals

scientific article

Global hot spots of biological invasions: evaluating options for ballast-water management ⬇️

scientific article published in March 2004

Grass carp in the Great Lakes region: establishment potential, expert perceptions, and re-evaluation of experimental evidence of ecological impact

article

Heterosis, the catapult effect and establishment success of a colonizing bird ⬇️

scientific article

Host traits associated with species roles in parasite sharing networks

article published in 2018

Hull fouling is a risk factor for intercontinental species exchange in aquatic ecosystems

article

Immigration can destabilize tri-trophic interactions: implications for conservation of top predators

scientific article published in 2015

Improving management of aquatic invasions by integrating shipping network, ecological, and environmental data

scientific article (publication date: 2014)

Integrating data mining and transmission theory in the ecology of infectious diseases

scientific article published on 22 May 2020

Invasion in space and time: non-native species richness and relative abundance respond to interannual variation in productivity and diversity

article

Leading indicators of mosquito-borne disease elimination

scientific article

Limits to forecasting precision for outbreaks of directly transmitted diseases

scientific article

Linking environmental conditions and ship movements to estimate invasive species transport across the global shipping network

article

Mechanistic analogy: how microcosms explain nature

article

Microclimate and Larval Habitat Density Predict Adult Abundance in Urban Areas

scientific article published in August 2019

Modelling the multidimensional niche by linking functional traits to competitive performance

scientific article

Monitoring the Path to the Elimination of Infectious Diseases

scientific article published on 26 June 2017

Multi-scale model of epidemic fade-out: Will local extirpation events inhibit the spread of white-nose syndrome?

scientific article published on April 2015

Multiscale model of regional population decline in little brown bats due to white-nose syndrome

scientific article published on 04 July 2019

Neutrality, cross-immunity and subtype dominance in avian influenza viruses

scientific article

New innovations for 2018 and beyond

scientific article published in March 2018

Nitrate enrichment alters a Daphnia-microparasite interaction through multiple pathways

scientific article published on 28 December 2013

On estimating demographic and dispersal parameters for niche and source–sink models

article

On signals of phase transitions in salmon population dynamics

scientific article published on 23 April 2014

On the utility of population models for invasive plant management: response to Evans and Davis

article

Opinion: Mathematical models: a key tool for outbreak response

scientific article

Optimal treatment allocations in space and time for on-line control of an emerging infectious disease.

scientific article

PREDICTING INVASIONS: PROPAGULE PRESSURE AND THE GRAVITY OF ALLEE EFFECTS

article

Pandora's Box Contained Bait: The Global Problem of Introduced Earthworms

article

Parasite diversity declines with host evolutionary distinctiveness: a global analysis of carnivores

scientific article published on 10 March 2015

Pattern-recognition ecological niche models fit to presence-only and presence-absence data

scientific article published in 2014

Population effects of increased climate variation.

scientific article published in September 2005

Predictability of helminth parasite host range using information on geography, host traits and parasite community structure

scientific article published on 20 October 2016

Predicting cryptic links in host-parasite networks

scientific article

Predictors of zoonotic potential in helminths

scientific article

Profiling ecosystem vulnerability to invasion by zebra mussels with support vector machines

article

Propagule pressure and persistence in experimental populations ⬇️

scientific article

Protective Population Behavior Change in Outbreaks of Emerging Infectious Disease

scientific article published on 28 January 2020

Range bagging: a new method for ecological niche modelling from presence-only data

scientific article published on June 2015

Rate of species introductions in the Great Lakes via ships' ballast water and sediments

article

Re presenting vague opinion

article

Reconciling model predictions with low reported cases of COVID-19 in Sub-Saharan Africa: insights from Madagascar

scientific article published on 01 December 2020

Regional Differences in the Association Between Land Cover and West Nile Virus Disease Incidence in Humans in the United States ⬇️

scientific article published on February 1, 2011

Relative importance of environmental, geographic, and spatial variables on zooplankton metacommunities

scientific article published in 2014

Reply to the comment by Reid and Hudson on “Rate of species introductions in the Great Lakes via ships’ ballast water and sediments”

article

Residence time, native range size, and genome size predict naturalization among angiosperms introduced to Australia ⬇️

scientific article published on 27 October 2017

Response

scientific article published in 2008

Risk Analysis and Bioeconomics of Invasive Species to Inform Policy and Management

article

Risk analysis for species introductions: forecasting population growth of Eurasian ruffe (Gymnocephalus cernuus)

article

Rodent reservoirs of future zoonotic diseases

scientific article published on 18 May 2015

Scaling rules for the final decline to extinction

scientific article published on 13 January 2009

Societal learning in epidemics: intervention effectiveness during the 2003 SARS outbreak in Singapore.

scientific article

Socio‐ecological dynamics in urban systems: An integrative approach to mosquito‐borne disease in Bengaluru, India

scientific article published in 2022

Spatial and temporal variation in nest temperatures forecasts sex ratio skews in a crocodilian with environmental sex determination

scientific article published on 29 April 2020

Spatial spread of the West Africa Ebola epidemic

scientific article

Spatio-temporal spillover risk of yellow fever in Brazil

article

Spatiotemporal Fluctuations and Triggers of Ebola Virus Spillover

scientific article published on March 2017

Speed of expansion and extinction in experimental populations

scientific article published on 13 May 2009

Spillover of zoonotic pathogens: A review of reviews

scientific article

Spread of white-nose syndrome on a network regulated by geography and climate

scientific article

Stability and Resilience of Transportation Systems: Is a Traffic Jam About to Occur?

scientific article published in August 2022

Subtype diversity and reassortment potential for co-circulating avian influenza viruses at a diversity hot spot

scientific article

Suitability of Laurentian Great Lakes for invasive species based on global species distribution models and local habitat

article

Tail probabilities of extinction time in a large number of experimental populations

scientific article published in May 2014

The contribution of marine aggregate-associated bacteria to the accumulation of pathogenic bacteria in oysters: an agent-based model

scientific article published on 24 September 2016

The curse of the Pharaoh revisited: evolutionary bi-stability in environmentally transmitted pathogens ⬇️

scientific article published on April 17, 2011

The decline and resurgence of pertussis in the US ⬇️

scientific article published on October 14, 2011

The description and number of undiscovered mammal species.

scientific article

The ecology of zoonotic parasites in the Carnivora

scientific article

The effect of hydroperiod and predation on the diversity of temporary pond zooplankton communities

scientific article

The evidence for Allee effects

article

The global distribution and burden of dengue

scientific article

The macroecology of infectious diseases: a new perspective on global-scale drivers of pathogen distributions and impacts

scientific article

The paradox of the parasites: implications for biological invasion ⬇️

scientific article published in November 2003

The potential for sexual transmission to compromise control of Ebola virus outbreaks

scientific article

The role of environmental transmission in recurrent avian influenza epidemics

scientific article

The statistics of epidemic transitions

scientific article published on 08 May 2019

Theory of early warning signals of disease emergenceand leading indicators of elimination

article

Time since introduction, seed mass, and genome size predict successful invaders among the cultivated vascular plants of Hawaii ⬇️

scientific article

Time to competitive exclusion

scientific article published in 2014

Transient indicators of tipping points in infectious diseases

scientific article published on 16 September 2020

Transmissibility of emerging viral zoonoses

scientific article published in PLoS ONE

Transmission Models of Historical Ebola Outbreaks

scientific article published in August 2015

Two sides of the same coin? Rare and pest plants native to the United States and Canada ⬇️

scientific article published on July 1, 2012

Undiscovered Bat Hosts of Filoviruses

scientific article

Waiting time to infectious disease emergence

scientific article (publication date: October 2016)

What factors might have led to the emergence of Ebola in West Africa?

scientific article published on 4 June 2015

When can the cause of a population decline be determined?

scientific article published on 28 September 2016

Why are some plant genera more invasive than others? ⬇️

scientific article

Why does grassland productivity increase with species richness? Disentangling species richness and composition with tests for overyielding and superyielding in biodiversity experiments

article

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