List of works - Miguel Bastos Araújo

<i>climetrics</i>: an R package to quantify multiple dimensions of climate change

scientific article published on 25 June 2024

A biogeographical regionalization of Angolan mammals

scholarly article by Patrícia Rodrigues et al published 2 March 2015 in Mammal Review

A global evaluation of metabolic theory as an explanation for terrestrial species richness gradients.

scientific article published in August 2007

A probability-based approach to match species with reserves when data are at different resolutions

article

A roadmap for island biology: 50 fundamental questions after 50 years of The Theory of Island Biogeography

scholarly article by Jairo Patiño et al published 20 March 2017 in Journal of Biogeography

A sequential approach to minimise threats within selected conservation areas

A theory for species co-occurrence in interaction networks

article

Additive threats from pathogens, climate and land-use change for global amphibian diversity

scientific article

An ecosystem model-based estimate of changes in water availability differs from water proxies that are commonly used in species distribution models

article

An evaluation of methods for modelling species distributions

article

An update of Wallace's zoogeographic regions of the world

scientific article published on 20 December 2012

Anthropogenic impacts weaken Bergmann's rule

article published in 2016

Anthropogenic range contractions bias species climate change forecasts

article

Apples, Oranges, and Probabilities: Integrating Multiple Factors into Biodiversity Conservation with Consistency

article by Paul H. Williams & Miguel Bastos Araújo published 2002 in Environmental Modeling and Assessment

Author Correction: Power laws in species’ biotic interaction networks can be inferred from co-occurrence data

scientific article published on 22 July 2024

BIOMOD - a platform for ensemble forecasting of species distributions

article

Baselines, Patterns and Process

Biodiversity Hotspots and Zones of Ecological Transition

Biodiversity conservation: uncertainty in predictions of extinction risk

scientific article

Biodiversity redistribution under climate change: Impacts on ecosystems and human well-being.

scientific article published in March 2017

Biogeography of Iberian freshwater fishes revisited: the roles of historical versus contemporary constraints

scholarly article by Ana Filipa Filipe et al published November 2009 in Journal of Biogeography

Biogeography of bird and mammal trophic structures

scientific article published in 2022

Biotic and abiotic variables show little redundancy in explaining tree species distributions

article

Can vulnerability among British bumblebee (Bombus) species be explained by niche position and breadth?

article

Chasing a moving target: projecting climate change-induced shifts in non-equilibrial tree species distributions

article

Climate change impacts on the distribution of coastal lobsters

article

Climate change in Mediterranean mountains during the 21st century

scientific article

Climate change threatens European conservation areas ⬇️

scientific article

Climate change threats to plant diversity in Europe

scientific article

Climate change, humans, and the extinction of the woolly mammoth

scientific article published in April 2008

Climate change, species range shifts and dispersal corridors: an evaluation of spatial conservation models

article

Climate envelope models suggest spatio-temporal co-occurrence of refugia of African birds and mammals

article

Climate predictors of late quaternary extinctions

scientific article

Climate shapes mammal community trophic structures and humans simplify them

scientific article published on 15 November 2019

Coefficient shifts in geographical ecology: an empirical evaluation of spatial and non-spatial regression

article

Combining probabilities of occurrence with spatial reserve design

article

Combining projected changes in species richness and composition reveals climate change impacts on coastal Mediterranean fish assemblages

scientific article published on 30 July 2012

Community-level vs species-specific approaches to model selection

article

Consequences of climate change on the tree of life in Europe

scientific article

Conservation Biogeography: assessment and prospect

article

Conservation planning with uncertain climate change projections

scientific article

Conserving biodiversity in a world of conflicts

Conserving the Brazilian semiarid (Caatinga) biome under climate change

article

Cost-effective monitoring of biological invasions under global change: a model-based framework

article

Dangers of crying wolf over risk of extinctions

scientific article published in Nature

Did British breeding birds move north in the late 20th century?

article by Shirin Taheri et al published 19 August 2016 in Climate Change Responses

Different environmental drivers of alien tree invasion affect different life-stages and operate at different spatial scales

scientific article published in 2019

Discriminating climate, land-cover and random effects on species range dynamics

scientific article published on 13 December 2020

Disentangling food-web environment relationships: A review with guidelines

scientific article published in 2022

Dispersal abilities favor commensalism in animal-plant interactions under climate change

scientific article published on 08 April 2022

Dispersal ability modulates the strength of the latitudinal richness gradient in European beetles

scientific article published in 2012

Distribution patterns of biodiversity and the design of a representative reserve network in Portugal. BIODIVERSITY RESEARCH

article

Divergent trophic responses to biogeographic and environmental gradients

scientific article published on 30 June 2016

Do community-level models describe community variation effectively?

article by Andrés Baselga & Miguel Bastos Araújo published 21 June 2010 in Journal of Biogeography

Do projections from bioclimatic envelope models and climate change metrics match?

scholarly article by Raquel A. Garcia et al published 7 October 2015 in Global Ecology and Biogeography

Do we need land-cover data to model species distributions in Europe?

scientific article published on 12 October 2010

Does local habitat fragmentation affect large-scale distributions? The case of a specialist grassland bird

scientific article published in 2012

Downscaling European species atlas distributions to a finer resolution: implications for conservation planning

article

Dynamics of extinction and the selection of nature reserves

article

Ecological Niches and Geographic Distributions (MPB-49)

scientific article

Ecological and epidemiological models are both useful for SARS-CoV-2

scientific article published on 23 June 2020

Ecology. How does climate change affect biodiversity?

scientific article

Ecosystem service supply and vulnerability to global change in Europe

scientific article published on 27 October 2005

Effects of climate change on the distribution of indigenous species in oceanic islands (Azores)

article

Effects of climate, species interactions, and dispersal on decadal colonization and extinction rates of Iberian tree species

article

Effects of restricting environmental range of data to project current and future species distributions

article

Ensemble forecasting of species distributions

scientific article

Equilibrium of global amphibian species distributions with climate

scientific article

Equilibrium of species’ distributions with climate

article

Erratum to Araújoet al(2013)

scientific article published on 11 March 2016

Evaluating the combined effects of climate and land-use change on tree species distributions

article

Exploring consensus in 21st century projections of climatically suitable areas for African vertebrates

article

Exploring the Effects of Geopolitical Shifts on Global Wildlife Trade

scientific article published in 2022

Exposure of protected areas in Central America to extreme weather events

scientific article published on 10 March 2024

Fine‐tuning biodiversity assessments: A framework to pair eDNA metabarcoding and morphological approaches

scientific article published in 2021

Five (or so) challenges for species distribution modelling

article

Forecasting the Effects of Global Warming on Biodiversity

article

Future-proofing environmental DNA and trait-based predictions of food webs

scientific article published in November 2023

Geographical gradients of species richness: a test of the water-energy conjecture of ) using European data for five taxa

article

Geographical gradients of species richness: a test of the water-energy conjecture of ) using European data for five taxa

scientific article published in 2006

GlobTherm, a global database on thermal tolerances for aquatic and terrestrial organisms.

scientific article published on 13 March 2018

Global Patterns of Coastal Cephalopod Diversity Under Climate Change

scientific article published in 2022

Global biodiversity patterns of marine forests of brown macroalgae

scientific article published in 2022

Global patterns in the shape of species geographical ranges reveal range determinants

article

Globalizing Conservation Efforts to Save Species and Enhance Food Production

article

Habitat stability affects dispersal and the ability to track climate change

scientific article

Heat freezes niche evolution

scientific article

How can a knowledge of the past help to conserve the future? Biodiversity conservation and the relevance of long-term ecological studies ⬇️

scientific article (publication date: 28 February 2007)

How complex should models be? Comparing correlative and mechanistic range dynamics models.

scientific article

How well do Important Bird Areas represent species and minimize conservation conflict in the tropical Andes?

article

Human disturbances affect the topology of food webs

scientific article published in 2022

Impacts of the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic on the global demand for exotic pets: An expert elicitation approach

scientific article published on 17 February 2022

Improvements in reports of species redistribution under climate change are required

scientific article published in 2021

Individualistic vs community modelling of species distributions under climate change

article

Inferring biotic interactions from proxies

scientific article published on 24 April 2015

Influence of Record Selection Procedures on Seismic Loss Estimations

Integrating bioclimate with population models to improve forecasts of species extinctions under climate change ⬇️

scientific article

Integrating multiple lines of evidence into historical biogeography hypothesis testing: a Bison bison case study

scientific article (publication date: 22 February 2014)

Interplay between productivity and regional species pool determines community assembly in aquatic microcosms

Intraspecific variation in lizard heat tolerance alters estimates of climate impact

scientific article published in 2018

Intraspecific variation in lizard heat tolerance alters estimates of climate impact

Invasive American bullfrogs and African Clawed Frogs in South America: High Suitability of Occurrence in Biodiversity Hotspots ⬇️

scientific article published on 03 October 2017

Joint analysis of species and genetic variation to quantify the role of dispersal and environmental constraints in community turnover

scientific article published in 2022

Kelp forest diversity under projected end‐of‐century climate change

scientific article published on 15 April 2024

Life on a tropical planet: niche conservatism and the global diversity gradient

scientific article published in 2012

Linking habitats for multiple species

article

Linking like with like: optimising connectivity between environmentally-similar habitats

article by Diogo Alagador et al published 10 January 2012 in Landscape Ecology

MACIS: Minimisation of and Adaptation to Climate Change Impacts on Biodiversity

scientific article published in 2008

Managing the long-term persistence of a rare cockatoo under climate change

scholarly article by J. Berton C. Harris et al published 26 June 2012 in Journal of Applied Ecology

Marine biodiversity exposed to prolonged and intense subsurface heatwaves

scientific article published on 18 September 2023

Matching species traits to projected threats and opportunities from climate change

scientific article

Matching species with reserves – uncertainties from using data at different resolutions

article

Measurements of area and the (island) species-area relationship: new directions for an old pattern

article

Meta-analyzing the likely cross-species responses to climate change

scientific article published on 29 August 2019

Metabolic theory and diversity gradients: where do we go from here?

scientific article published in August 2007

Methods and uncertainties in bioclimatic envelope modelling under climate change

article

Methods to account for spatial autocorrelation in the analysis of species distributional data: a review

article

Misconception of model transferability precludes estimates of seagrass community reorganization in a changing climate

scientific article published in July 2024

Misleading results from conventional gap analysis – Messages from the warming north

article

Mitigation, adaptation, and the threat to biodiversity

scientific article

Model-based uncertainty in species range prediction

article

Modelling distribution in European stream macroinvertebrates under future climates

scientific article

Modelling landscape constraints on farmland bird species range shifts under climate change

article

Multiple dimensions of climate change and their implications for biodiversity

scientific article

Networks of global bird invasion altered by regional trade ban. ⬇️

scientific article

Niche properties and geographical extent as predictors of species sensitivity to climate change

article

Oceanographic connectivity explains the intra-specific diversity of mangrove forests at global scales

scientific article published in 2023

On the development of a regional climate change adaptation plan: Integrating model-assisted projections and stakeholders' perceptions

scientific article published in 2022

Optimizing biodiversity informatics to improve information flow, data quality, and utility for science and society

scientific article published on 28 August 2020

Partitioning and mapping uncertainties in ensembles of forecasts of species turnover under climate change

article

Pharmacokinetic Evaluation of Two Paclitaxel-Coated Balloons with Different Drug Load in a Short-Term Porcine Study.

scientific article published on 19 April 2016

Phenotypic correlates of potential range size and range filling in European trees

scientific article published in 2014

Phylogenetic signals in the climatic niches of the world's amphibians

scholarly article by Christian Hof et al published May 2010 in Ecography

Phylogeny and the prediction of tree functional diversity across novel continental settings

scholarly article by Nathan G Swenson et al published 13 January 2017 in Global Ecology and Biogeography

Planejamento para a Conservação em um Clima em Mudança

Planning for the future: identifying conservation priority areas for Iberian birds under climate change

scientific article published in 2018

Plant extinction risk under climate change: are forecast range shifts alone a good indicator of species vulnerability to global warming?

article

Portuguese Bryophyte Diversity and Priority Areas for Conservation

Potential Impacts of Climate Change on Ecosystem Services in Europe: The Case of Pest Control by Vertebrates

scholarly article by Emilio Civantos et al published July 2012 in BioScience

Potential distributions of invasive vertebrates in the Iberian Peninsula under projected changes in climate extreme events

scientific article published in 2021

Potential for invasion of traded birds under climate and land‐cover change

scientific article published on 18 July 2022

Power laws in species’ biotic interaction networks can be inferred from co-occurrence data

scientific article published on 27 November 2023

Predicting extinction risks under climate change: coupling stochastic population models with dynamic bioclimatic habitat models

scientific article

Predicting global change impacts on plant species’ distributions: Future challenges

article

Predicting range expansion of the map butterfly in Northern Europe using bioclimatic models

article by Varpu Mitikka et al published 6 November 2007 in Biodiversity and Conservation

Predicting range shifts of Asian elephants under global change

article

Predictors of contraction and expansion of area of occupancy for British birds

scientific article published in July 2014

Presence-absence versus presence-only modelling methods for predicting bird habitat suitability

article

Projected climate changes threaten ancient refugia of kelp forests in the North Atlantic.

scientific article

Projecting community trophic structures for the last 120 000 years

scientific article published on 22 January 2024

Protected area needs in a changing climate

scientific article published in 2007

Quaternary climate changes explain diversity among reptiles and amphibians

scientific article published in 2008

Reducing uncertainty in projections of extinction risk from climate change

article

Reopening the climate envelope reveals macroscale associations with climate in European birds

scholarly article

Representing taxonomic, phylogenetic and functional diversity: new challenges for Mediterranean marine-protected areas

scholarly article by François Guilhaumon et al published 17 November 2014 in Diversity and Distributions

Resource tracking within and across continents in long-distance bird migrants

scientific article

Response of an Afro-Palearctic bird migrant to glaciation cycles

scientific article

Response to Comment on "An update of Wallace's zoogeographic regions of the world".

scientific article

Retracted: Lizards could be warming faster than climate

retracted article

Retraction: ‘Lizards could be warming faster than climate’ by Ferri-Yáñez, F. and Araújo, M. B

article

Risk assessment for Iberian birds under global change

article by Maria Triviño et al published December 2013 in Biological Conservation

Scenarios for global biodiversity in the 21st century

scientific article

Selecting areas for species persistence using occurrence data

article

Shifting global invasive potential of European plants with climate change ⬇️

scientific article

Shifting protected areas: scheduling spatial priorities under climate change

scholarly article by Diogo Alagador et al published 6 March 2014 in Journal of Applied Ecology

Spanish cuts: Reform bureaucratic culture ⬇️

scientific article published on July 4, 2012

Spatial trophic cascades in communities connected by dispersal and foraging

article published in 2018

Spatial trophic cascades in communities connected by dispersal and foraging

scientific article published on 20 August 2019

Species richness, area and climate correlates

article

Species' intrinsic traits inform their range limitations and vulnerability under environmental change

article

Spread of SARS-CoV-2 Coronavirus likely to be constrained by climate

scientific article (preprint)

Standards for distribution models in biodiversity assessments

article

Synthetic datasets and community tools for the rapid testing of ecological hypotheses

scientific article published in 2015

Temperature Range Shifts for Three European Tree Species over the Last 10,000 Years ⬇️

scientific article

Testing the effectiveness of discrete and continuous environmental diversity as a surrogate for species diversity

article

The Bias of Complementarity Hotspots toward Marginal Populations

article

The coincidence of climatic and species rarity: high risk to small-range species from climate change

scientific article

The coincidence of people and biodiversity in Europe

scientific article published in 2003

The concept of potential natural vegetation: an epitaph?

article

The contribution of vegetation and landscape configuration for predicting environmental change impacts on Iberian birds

scientific article

The effect of multiple biotic interaction types on species persistence

scientific article published on 04 September 2018

The effectiveness of Iberian protected areas in conserving terrestrial biodiversity

scientific article

The effects of model and data complexity on predictions from species distributions models

article

The effects of phenotypic plasticity and local adaptation on forecasts of species range shifts under climate change

scientific article

The evolution of critical thermal limits of life on Earth

scientific article published on 20 February 2021

The geographic scaling of biotic interactions

scientific article published in 2013

The importance of biotic interactions for modelling species distributions under climate change

article

The island immaturity - speciation pulse model of island evolution: an alternative to the “diversity begets diversity” model

article

The marine fish food web is globally connected

scientific article published on 29 July 2019

The mossy north: an inverse latitudinal diversity gradient in European bryophytes

scientific article

Thermal tolerance and the importance of microhabitats for Andean frogs in the context of land-use and climate change

scientific article published on 03 August 2020

Tools for integrating range change, extinction risk and climate change information into conservation management

scholarly article by Damien A. Fordham et al published 13 May 2013 in Ecography

Trends in legal and illegal trade of wild birds: a global assessment based on expert knowledge

scientific article published on 01 August 2019

Uncertainty associated with survey design in Species Distribution Models

article

Uses and misuses of bioclimatic envelope modeling

scientific article

Using Life Strategies to Explore the Vulnerability of Ecosystem Services to Invasion by Alien Plants

article

Using niche-based modelling to assess the impact of climate change on tree functional diversity in Europe

article

Using species co-occurrence networks to assess the impacts of climate change

article

Vacant niches help predict invasion risk by birds

scientific article published in 2023

Validation of species-climate impact models under climate change

article

Would climate change drive species out of reserves? An assessment of existing reserve-selection methods

article

demoniche - an R-package for simulating spatially-explicit population dynamics

article

sdm: a reproducible and extensible R platform for species distribution modelling

article

List of works by Miguel Bastos Araújo

<i>climetrics</i>: an R package to quantify multiple dimensions of climate change

A biogeographical regionalization of Angolan mammals

A global evaluation of metabolic theory as an explanation for terrestrial species richness gradients.

A probability-based approach to match species with reserves when data are at different resolutions

A roadmap for island biology: 50 fundamental questions after 50 years of The Theory of Island Biogeography

A sequential approach to minimise threats within selected conservation areas

A theory for species co-occurrence in interaction networks

Additive threats from pathogens, climate and land-use change for global amphibian diversity

An ecosystem model-based estimate of changes in water availability differs from water proxies that are commonly used in species distribution models

An evaluation of methods for modelling species distributions

An update of Wallace's zoogeographic regions of the world

Anthropogenic impacts weaken Bergmann's rule

Anthropogenic range contractions bias species climate change forecasts

Apples, Oranges, and Probabilities: Integrating Multiple Factors into Biodiversity Conservation with Consistency

Author Correction: Power laws in species’ biotic interaction networks can be inferred from co-occurrence data

BIOMOD - a platform for ensemble forecasting of species distributions

Baselines, Patterns and Process

Biodiversity Hotspots and Zones of Ecological Transition

Biodiversity conservation: uncertainty in predictions of extinction risk

Biodiversity redistribution under climate change: Impacts on ecosystems and human well-being.

Biogeography of Iberian freshwater fishes revisited: the roles of historical versus contemporary constraints

Biogeography of bird and mammal trophic structures

Biotic and abiotic variables show little redundancy in explaining tree species distributions

Can vulnerability among British bumblebee (Bombus) species be explained by niche position and breadth?

Chasing a moving target: projecting climate change-induced shifts in non-equilibrial tree species distributions

Climate change impacts on the distribution of coastal lobsters

Climate change in Mediterranean mountains during the 21st century

Climate change threatens European conservation areas ⬇️

Climate change threats to plant diversity in Europe

Climate change, humans, and the extinction of the woolly mammoth

Climate change, species range shifts and dispersal corridors: an evaluation of spatial conservation models

Climate envelope models suggest spatio-temporal co-occurrence of refugia of African birds and mammals

Climate predictors of late quaternary extinctions

Climate shapes mammal community trophic structures and humans simplify them

Coefficient shifts in geographical ecology: an empirical evaluation of spatial and non-spatial regression

Combining probabilities of occurrence with spatial reserve design

Combining projected changes in species richness and composition reveals climate change impacts on coastal Mediterranean fish assemblages

Community-level vs species-specific approaches to model selection

Consequences of climate change on the tree of life in Europe

Conservation Biogeography: assessment and prospect

Conservation planning with uncertain climate change projections

Conserving biodiversity in a world of conflicts

Conserving the Brazilian semiarid (Caatinga) biome under climate change

Cost-effective monitoring of biological invasions under global change: a model-based framework

Dangers of crying wolf over risk of extinctions

Did British breeding birds move north in the late 20th century?

Different environmental drivers of alien tree invasion affect different life-stages and operate at different spatial scales

Discriminating climate, land-cover and random effects on species range dynamics

Disentangling food-web environment relationships: A review with guidelines

Dispersal abilities favor commensalism in animal-plant interactions under climate change

Dispersal ability modulates the strength of the latitudinal richness gradient in European beetles

Distribution patterns of biodiversity and the design of a representative reserve network in Portugal. BIODIVERSITY RESEARCH

Divergent trophic responses to biogeographic and environmental gradients

Do community-level models describe community variation effectively?

Do projections from bioclimatic envelope models and climate change metrics match?

Do we need land-cover data to model species distributions in Europe?

Does local habitat fragmentation affect large-scale distributions? The case of a specialist grassland bird

Downscaling European species atlas distributions to a finer resolution: implications for conservation planning

Dynamics of extinction and the selection of nature reserves

Ecological Niches and Geographic Distributions (MPB-49)

Ecological and epidemiological models are both useful for SARS-CoV-2

Ecology. How does climate change affect biodiversity?

Ecosystem service supply and vulnerability to global change in Europe

Effects of climate change on the distribution of indigenous species in oceanic islands (Azores)

Effects of climate, species interactions, and dispersal on decadal colonization and extinction rates of Iberian tree species

Effects of restricting environmental range of data to project current and future species distributions

Ensemble forecasting of species distributions

Equilibrium of global amphibian species distributions with climate

Equilibrium of species’ distributions with climate

Erratum to Araújoet al(2013)

Evaluating the combined effects of climate and land-use change on tree species distributions

Exploring consensus in 21st century projections of climatically suitable areas for African vertebrates

Exploring the Effects of Geopolitical Shifts on Global Wildlife Trade

Exposure of protected areas in Central America to extreme weather events

Fine‐tuning biodiversity assessments: A framework to pair eDNA metabarcoding and morphological approaches

Five (or so) challenges for species distribution modelling

Forecasting the Effects of Global Warming on Biodiversity

Future-proofing environmental DNA and trait-based predictions of food webs

Geographical gradients of species richness: a test of the water-energy conjecture of ) using European data for five taxa