List of works by David Spiegelhalter

Allowing for correlations between correlations in random-effects meta-analysis of correlation matrices.

scientific article published in December 2007

Applying Bayesian ideas in drug development and clinical trials.

scientific article published in August 1993

Are you 45% more likely to die in a UK hospital rather than a US hospital?

scientific article published on 24 September 2013

Bayesian Analysis in Expert Systems

article

Bayesian analysis of population PK/PD models: general concepts and software

scientific article published on 01 June 2002

Bayesian approaches to random-effects meta-analysis: a comparative study.

scientific article published in December 1995

Bayesian measures of model complexity and fit

article

Bayesian methods for cluster randomized trials with continuous responses.

scientific article published in February 2001

Bayesian methods in health technology assessment: a review

scientific article

Bayesian statistics

scholarly article

Bicycle helmets and the law.

scientific article published on 12 June 2013

COVID-19 risk perception: a longitudinal analysis of its predictors and associations with health protective behaviours in the United Kingdom

Cancer Drugs Fund requires further reform

scientific article

Combining MCMC with 'sequential' PKPD modelling

scientific article published on 9 January 2009

Commentary on Piumatti et al. 2018

scientific article published on 01 June 2018

Communicating personalized risks from COVID-19: guidelines from an empirical study

Communicating risk in primary care: what the Academy of Medical Sciences' report means in practice.

scientific article published in August 2017

Communicating uncertainty about facts, numbers and science.

scientific article published on 8 May 2019

Comparison of Bayesian with group sequential methods for monitoring clinical trials.

scientific article published in December 1989

Comparison of groups when outcomes are on an ordered scale

scientific article published on 01 February 1988

Components of variance in a multicentre functional MRI study and implications for calculation of statistical power

article

Conducting fit-for-purpose food safety risk assessments

scientific article published on 08 July 2019

Efficacy of a theory-based behavioural intervention to increase physical activity in an at-risk group in primary care (ProActive UK): a randomised trial

scientific article published in The Lancet

Fairness of financial penalties to improve control of Clostridium difficile

scientific article published on 20 November 2008

Health economics and the search for shunt-responsive symptomatic hydrocephalus in the elderly.

scientific article

Hormone replacement therapy and the risk of breast cancer: How much should women worry about it?

scientific article published on 01 December 2019

How old are you, really? Communicating chronic risk through 'effective age' of your body and organs

scientific article

How valuable are multiple treatment comparison methods in evidence-based health-care evaluation?

scientific article published on 5 February 2011

Impact of plain packaging of tobacco products on smoking in adults and children: an elicitation of international experts' estimates

scientific article

Improving risk adjustment in the PRAiS (Partial Risk Adjustment in Surgery) model for mortality after paediatric cardiac surgery and improving public understanding of its use in monitoring outcomes

Incorporation of uncertainty in health economic modelling studies

article

Lack of cyanosis in cyanotic congenital heart disease: Authors' reply.

scientific article published in June 1991

Local Computations with Probabilities on Graphical Structures and Their Application to Expert Systems

scientific article published in 1988

Making sense of uncertainty, risk and chance in public health

scientific article published on 01 January 2015

Methods in health service research. An introduction to bayesian methods in health technology assessment

scientific article

Monitoring clinical performance: a commentary

scientific article published on 01 December 2004

Monitoring of large randomised clinical trials: a new approach with Bayesian methods

scientific article published on August 2001

Patient reactions to a web-based cardiovascular risk calculator in type 2 diabetes: a qualitative study in primary care.

scientific article

Policy: Twenty tips for interpreting scientific claims

scientific article published in November 2013

Probabilistic prediction in patient management and clinical trials

scientific article

Ranking institutions

scientific article published on 01 May 2003

Rejoinder to commentaries on 'The BUGS project: Evolution, critique and future directions'.

scientific article published on November 2009

Risk-adjusted sequential probability ratio tests: applications to Bristol, Shipman and adult cardiac surgery

scientific article published in February 2003

Robust meta-analytic-predictive priors in clinical trials with historical control information.

scientific article published on 29 October 2014

Sex by Numbers

non fiction book

Shielding from covid-19 should be stratified by risk

scientific article published on 28 May 2020

Statistical issues in studies of individual response

scientific article published on 01 January 1988

Statistical methodology for evaluating gastrointestinal symptoms.

scientific article published in July 1985

Statistics behind the headlines. Have there been 13,000 needless deaths at 14 NHS trusts?

scientific article

Survival analysis in observational studies

scientific article published on May 1997

The BUGS project: Evolution, critique and future directions

scientific article

The ProActive trial protocol - a randomised controlled trial of the efficacy of a family-based, domiciliary intervention programme to increase physical activity among individuals at high risk of diabetes [ISRCTN61323766]

scientific article

The adverse effects of bisphosphonates in breast cancer: A systematic review and network meta-analysis

scholarly article by Christopher Jackson et al published 5 February 2021 in PLOS ONE

The authors’ reply

The deviance information criterion: 12 years on

scientific article

The effects of communicating uncertainty on public trust in facts and numbers

scientific article published on 23 March 2020

The legacy of Bristol: public disclosure of individual surgeons' results

scientific article published on August 2004

Understanding Children's Heart Surgery Data: A Cross-Disciplinary Approach to Codevelop a Website

scientific article

Use and misuse of process and outcome data in managing performance of acute medical care: avoiding institutional stigma

scientific article

Use of implicit and explicit bayesian methods in health technology assessment.

scientific article published on July 2013

Using speed of ageing and "microlives" to communicate the effects of lifetime habits and environment

scientific article published on 14 December 2012

VIBES: A Variational Inference Engine for Bayesian Networks ⬇️

scientific article published in January 2003

Visualizing uncertainty about the future

scientific article

WinBUGS - A Bayesian modelling framework: Concepts, structure, and extensibility

scholarly article

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