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List of works by Harald Bugmann

A 2 °C warmer world is not safe for ecosystem services in the European Alps

scientific article

A 350 year drought reconstruction from Alpine tree ring stable isotopes

article by Anne Kress et al published 22 May 2010 in Global Biogeochemical Cycles

A Comparative Analysis of the Structure and Behavior of Three Gap Models at Sites in Northeastern China

A Review of Forest Gap Models

A comparative analysis of forest dynamics in the Swiss Alps and the Colorado Front Range

article

A framework for modeling adaptive forest management and decision making under climate change

scholarly article by Rasoul Yousefpour et al published 2017 in Ecology and Society

A harmonized database of European forest simulations under climate change

scientific article published in June 2024

A multi-species synthesis of physiological mechanisms in drought-induced tree mortality

article

A predictive framework to assess spatio-temporal variability of infestations by the European spruce bark beetle

article by Golo Stadelmann et al published 3 May 2013 in Ecography

A sink-limited growth model improves biomass estimation along boreal and alpine tree lines

article

A synthesis of radial growth patterns preceding tree mortality

scientific article

Abiotic and biotic determinants of height growth of Picea abies regeneration in small forest gaps in the Swiss Alps

scientific article published on 20 March 2021

Accuracy, realism and general applicability of European forest models ⬇️

scholarly article

Adapting a growth equation to model tree regeneration in mountain forests

article

Adaptive management for competing forest goods and services under climate change

scientific article

Age-class disequilibrium as an opportunity for adaptive forest management in the Carpathian Mountains, Romania

Alien species in a warmer world: risks and opportunities

scientific article

Among-tree variability and feedback effects result in different growth responses to climate change at the upper treeline in the Swiss Alps

scientific article published on 30 August 2017

Analyzing the carbon dynamics of central European forests: comparison of Biome-BGC simulations with measurements

article

Are forest disturbances amplifying or canceling out climate change-induced productivity changes in European forests?

scientific article published on March 2017

Assessing the performance of theoretical and empirical tree mortality models using tree-ring series of Norway spruce

scientific article published in 2004

Assessing the response of forest productivity to climate extremes in Switzerland using model-data fusion

scientific article published on 22 January 2020

Bayesian calibration of a growth-dependent tree mortality model to simulate the dynamics of European temperate forests

scientific article published on 02 December 2019

Beta diversity of plants, birds and butterflies is closely associated with climate and habitat structure

scientific article published in 2017

Beyond forest succession: A gap model to study ecosystem functioning and tree community composition under climate change

scientific article published on 19 January 2021

Capturing ecological processes in dynamic forest models: why there is no silver bullet to cope with complexity

scientific article published on 01 May 2020

Climate change-driven extinctions of tree species affect forest functioning more than random extinctions

scientific article published in 2018

Climate-induced shifts in leaf unfolding and frost risk of European trees and shrubs.

scientific article published on 29 June 2018

Comparing and evaluating process-based ecosystem model predictions of carbon and water fluxes in major European forest biomes

article

Comparing models for tree distributions: concept, structures, and behavior

scientific article published in 2000

Contrasting patterns of natural mortality in primary Picea forests of the Carpathian Mountains

scientific article published on 05 December 2019

Corrigendum to ’evaluating five forest models using multi-decadal inventory data from mountain forests’

scientific article published in 2022

Cross-scale interactions among bark beetles, climate change, and wind disturbances: a landscape modeling approach

article by Christian Temperli et al published August 2013 in Ecological Monographs

Debris-flow activity along a torrent in the Swiss Alps: Minimum frequency of events and implications for forest dynamics

article

Decay of Picea abies snag stands on steep mountain slopes

Deriving forest stand information from small sample plots: An evaluation of statistical methods

scientific article published in 2023

Detecting successional changes in long-term empirical data from subalpine conifer forests

scientific article published in 2004

Determining sectoral and regional sensitivity to climate and socio-economic change in Europe using impact response surfaces

Did soil development limit spruce (Picea abies) expansion in the Central Alps during the Holocene? Testing a palaeobotanical hypothesis with a dynamic landscape model

article

Die Entwicklung der Wälder auf der Schwägalp im 20. Jahrhundert und ihre Bedeutung für den Lebensraum des Auerhuhns (Tetrao urogallus L.) | Forest development on the Schwägalp in the 20th century and its significance for the habitat of capercaillie

scientific article published on 18 June 2007

Disappearing refuges in time and space: how environmental change threatens species coexistence

article

Disentangling biodiversity and climatic determinants of wood production

scientific article

Disentangling the effects of climate, topography, soil and vegetation on stand-scale species richness in temperate forests

scientific article published in 2015

Do small-grain processes matter for landscape scale questions? Sensitivity of a forest landscape model to the formulation of tree growth rate

article

Does increment coring enhance tree decay? New insights from tomography assessments

Drought as an Inciting Mortality Factor in Scots Pine Stands of the Valais, Switzerland

article

Drought response and changing mean sensitivity of European beech close to the dry distribution limit

article

Drought response of five conifer species under contrasting water availability suggests high vulnerability of Norway spruce and European larch

scientific article

Early emergence increases survival of tree seedlings in Central European temperate forests despite severe late frost

scientific article published on 03 July 2019

Early-Warning Signals of Individual Tree Mortality Based on Annual Radial Growth

scientific article published on 01 January 2018

Ecological Factors Influencing Norway Spruce Regeneration on Nurse Logs in a Subalpine Virgin Forest

scientific article published in 2018

Ecosystem service supply and vulnerability to global change in Europe

scientific article published on 27 October 2005

Effect of forest management on future carbon pools and fluxes: A model comparison

article

Effect of microsites, logs and ungulate browsing on Picea abies regeneration in a mountain forest

scientific article published in 2005

Effects of salvage logging and sanitation felling on bark beetle (Ips typographus L.) infestations

scientific article published in 2013

Eichenrückgang in Schweizer Naturwaldreservaten

Enhancing gap model accuracy by modeling dynamic height growth and dynamic maximum tree height

article

Environmental determinants of lightning-v.human-induced forest fire ignitions differ in a temperate mountain region of Switzerland

article

Environmental predictors of species richness in forest landscapes: abiotic factors versus vegetation structure

scientific article published on 08 February 2016

Erratum to “Effect of microsites, logs and ungulate browsing on Picea abies regeneration in a mountain forest” [For. Ecol. Manage. 205 (2005) 251–265]

scholarly article published in Forest Ecology and Management

Evaluating five forest models using multi-decadal inventory data from mountain forests

scientific article published in 2021

Evaluation of the forest growth model SILVA along an elevational gradient in Switzerland

article

Expanding forests and changing growth forms of Siberian larch at the Polar Urals treeline during the 20th century

article by NADEZHDA DEVI et al published July 2008 in Global Change Biology

Fifty years of natural succession in Swiss forest reserves: changes in stand structure and mortality rates of oak and beech

article

Flow of Deposited Inorganic N in Two Gleysol-dominated Mountain Catchments Traced with 15NO3− and 15NH4+

Forest and Landscape Structure as Predictors of Capercaillie Occurrence

scientific article published in 2007

Forest dynamics and ungulate herbivory: from leaf to landscape

article

Forest regeneration after disturbance: A modelling study for the Swiss Alps

article

Forest-ungulate interactions: monitoring, modeling and management

Forschung zu Wald und Klimawandel in Mitteleuropa: eine Werkschau

Forty years of natural dynamics in Swiss beech forests: structure, composition, and the influence of former management

scientific article published in October 2009

Forward modeling of tree-ring width improves simulation of forest growth responses to drought

article

From monocultures to mixed-species forests: is tree diversity key for providing ecosystem services at the landscape scale?

scientific article published on 30 July 2016

Functional types of trees in temperate and boreal forests: classification and testing

scientific article published on 07 May 2006

Future ecosystem services from European mountain forests under climate change

scholarly article by Marco Mina et al published 22 September 2016 in Journal of Applied Ecology

Gaining local accuracy while not losing generality — extending the range of gap model applications

article

Getting a virtual forester fit for the challenge of climatic change

article by Livia Rasche et al published 6 June 2011 in Journal of Applied Ecology

Global change impacts on hydrological processes in Alpine catchments

article by Bärbel Zierl & Harald Bugmann published February 2005 in Water Resources Research

Global vegetation models: incorporating transient changes to structure and composition

article

Grow slowly, persist, dominate—Explaining beech dominance in a primeval forest

scientific article published on 08 July 2021

Growth and resource allocation of juvenile European beech and sycamore maple along light availability gradients in uneven-aged forests

scientific article published in 2020

Growth enhancement of Picea abies trees under long-term, low-dose N addition is due to morphological more than to physiological changes

scientific article published on 7 November 2012

Growth of Norway spruce (Picea abies L.) saplings in subalpine forests in Switzerland: Does spring climate matter?

article

Growth patterns as indicators of impending tree death in silver fir

article by Christof Bigler et al published October 2004 in Forest Ecology and Management

Growth resistance and resilience of mixed silver fir and Norway spruce forests in central Europe: Contrasting responses to mild and severe droughts

scientific article published in 2021

Growth response of Norway spruce saplings in two forest gaps in the Swiss Alps to artificial browsing, infection with black snow mold, and competition by ground vegetation

article

Growth response of five co-occurring conifers to drought across a wide climatic gradient in Central Europe

article

Growth-dependent tree mortality models based on tree rings

article

Growth-mortality relationships in piñon pine (Pinus edulis) during severe droughts of the past century: shifting processes in space and time

scientific article

Growth–mortality relationships as indicators of life-history strategies: a comparison of nine tree species in unmanaged European forests

article

High growth potential of Ailanthus altissima in warm and dry weather conditions in novel forests of southern Switzerland

scientific article published on 07 November 2018

How Much Physiology Is Needed in Forest Gap Models for Simulating Long-Term Vegetation Response to Global Change? Introduction

How Much Physiology is Needed in Forest Gap Models for Simulating Long-Term Vegetation Response to Global Change?

How Much Physiology is Needed in Forest Gap Models for Simulating Long-Term Vegetation Response to Global Change? Challenges, Limitations, and Potentials

How do tree mortality models from combined tree-ring and inventory data affect projections of forest succession?

scientific article published in 2019

How does varying water supply affect oxygen isotope variations in needles and tree rings of Scots pine?

scientific article published on 26 June 2020

How multiple and interacting disturbances shape tree diversity in European mountain landscapes

scientific article published in 2019

How physics and biology matter in forest gap models

article published in 1995

How robust are future projections of forest landscape dynamics? Insights from a systematic comparison of four forest landscape models

scientific article published on 29 August 2020

How to kill a tree - Empirical mortality models for eighteen species and their performance in a dynamic forest model

scientific article published on 21 December 2017

Human impacts on fire occurrence: a case study of hundred years of forest fires in a dry alpine valley in Switzerland

article

Hutchinson revisited: patterns of density regulation and the coexistence of strong competitors

scientific article published on 17 March 2009

Impact of root-rot pathogens on forest succession in unmanaged Pinus mugo stands in the Central Alps

Impacts of business-as-usual management on ecosystem services in European mountain ranges under climate change

scholarly article by Harald Bugmann et al published 23 November 2016 in Regional Environmental Change

Impacts of changing climate and land use on vegetation dynamics in a Mediterranean ecosystem: insights from paleoecology and dynamic modeling

article

Impacts of salvage-logging on the status of deadwood after windthrow in Swiss forests

article

Improvement of water and light availability after thinning at a xeric site: which matters more? A dual isotope approach

scientific article published on 7 December 2015

Improving the behaviour of forest gap models along drought gradients

article

Improving the establishment submodel of a forest patch model to assess the long-term protective effect of mountain forests

article

Improving the formulation of tree growth and succession in a spatially explicit landscape model

article

Incidence and distribution of Heterobasidion and Armillaria and their influence on canopy gap formation in unmanaged mountain pine forests in the Swiss Alps

article

Integrating models across temporal and spatial scales to simulate landscape patterns and dynamics in mountain pasture-woodlands

scientific article published on 07 April 2017

Inter- and transdisciplinary perspective on the integration of ecological processes into ecosystem services analysis in a mountain region

article

Invasive Neobiota im Wald: Konzepte und wissenschaftliche Grundlagen

Key Issues for Mountain Areas - Edited by M.F. Price, L. Jansky and A.A. Iatsenia

Key factors affecting the future provision of tree-based forest ecosystem goods and services

Klimawandel als Prüfstein für die Waldbewirtschaftung | Climate change as a touchstone for forest management

Klimawandel als waldbauliche Herausforderung | Climate change as a challenge for silviculture

Light availability predicts mortality probability of conifer saplings in Swiss mountain forests better than radial growth and tree size

scientific article published in 2021

Linking Forest Fire Regimes and Climate—A Historical Analysis in a Dry Inner Alpine Valley

article

Linking palaeoenvironmental data and models to understand the past and to predict the future

scientific article

Long-term dynamics of tree of heaven (Ailanthus altissima) in central European forests

scientific article published in 2023

Long-term effects of drought on tree-ring growth and carbon isotope variability in Scots pine in a dry environment

scientific article

Long-term effects of increment coring on Norway spruce mortality

Long-term effects of ungulate browsing on forest composition and structure

article

Long-term response of forest productivity to climate change is mostly driven by change in tree species composition

scientific article published on 4 April 2018

Long-term tracing of whole catchment 15N additions in a mountain spruce forest: measurements and simulations with the TRACE model

article

Long-term tree species population dynamics in Swiss forest reserves influenced by forest structure and climate

scientific article published in 2021

Low litter cover, high light availability and rock cover favour the establishment of Ailanthus altissima in forests in southern Switzerland

scientific article

Management‐based mitigation of the impacts of climate‐driven woody encroachment in high elevation pasture woodlands

scientific article published in 2022

Mixing tree species at different spatial scales: The effect of alpha, beta and gamma diversity on disturbance impacts under climate change

scientific article published on 17 May 2021

Modeling the Biophysical Impacts of Global Change in Mountain Biosphere Reserves

scientific article published in 2007

Modeling the Impact of Climate and Vegetation on Fire Regimes in Mountain Landscapes

article

Modeling the interacting effects of browsing and shading on mountain forest tree regeneration (Picea abies)

scientific article published in 2005

Modellierung des Einflusses von Wildverbiss auf die Schutzwaldentwicklung an der Rigi-Nordlehne

Modelling natural disturbances in forest ecosystems: a review

article

Natural forest regrowth under different land use intensities and landscape configurations in the Brazilian Atlantic Forest

scientific article published on 22 January 2022

On the generality of habitat distribution models: a case study of capercaillie in three Swiss regions

article

Optimisation of tree mortality models based on growth patterns

scientific article published in 2006

PREDICTING THE TIME OF TREE DEATH USING DENDROCHRONOLOGICAL DATA

article

Pathways and dynamics of 15NO3− and 15NH4+ applied in a mountain Picea abies forest and in a nearby meadow in central Switzerland

article

Pervasive effects of drought on tree growth across a wide climatic gradient in the temperate forests of the Caucasus

scientific article published in 2018

Phenological shifts induced by climate change amplify drought for broad-leaved trees at low elevations in Switzerland

scientific article published in 2021

Potentials and limitations of using large-scale forest inventory data for evaluating forest succession models

scientific article published in 2009

Predicting Understorey Vegetation Cover from Overstorey Attributes in Two Temperate Mountain Forests

Predicting decay and ground vegetation development in Picea abies snag stands

article

Predicting long-term development of abandoned subalpine conifer forests in the Swiss National Park

article

Predicting tree death for Fagus sylvatica and Abies alba using permanent plot data

Predicting tree death for Fagus sylvatica and Abies alba using permanent plot data

Predicting tree mortality from growth data: how virtual ecologists can help real ecologists

article by Jan Wunder et al published 16 November 2007 in Journal of Ecology

Predicting tree regeneration in Picea abies snag stands

Process‐oriented models of leaf senescence are biased towards the mean: Impacts on model performance and future projections

scientific article published on 18 December 2023

Projecting Forest Dynamics Across Europe: Potentials and Pitfalls of Empirical Mortality Algorithms

scientific article published on 15 May 2019

Quantification of plant dispersal ability within and beyond a calcareous grassland

article

Quantifying disturbance effects on vegetation carbon pools in mountain forests based on historical data

article published in 2008

Quantifying the effects of drought on abrupt growth decreases of major tree species in Switzerland

scientific article

Radial growth responses to drought of Pinus sylvestris and Quercus pubescens in an inner-Alpine dry valley

article

Regional impacts of climatic change on forests in the state of Brandenburg, Germany

article

Response of broadleaved evergreen Mediterranean forest vegetation to fire disturbance during the Holocene: insights from the peri-Adriatic region

article

Scaling Issues in Forest Succession Modelling

Sensitivity of a forest ecosystem model to climate parametrization schemes

scientific article

Sensitivity of carbon cycling in the European Alps to changes of climate and land cover

Sensitivity of ecosystem goods and services projections of a forest landscape model to initialization data

scientific article published in 2013

Sensitivity of stand dynamics to grazing in mixed Pinus sylvestris and Quercus pubescens forests: A modelling study

article

Sheltered or suppressed? Tree regeneration in unmanaged European forests

scientific article published in 2023

Short- and long-term efficacy of forest thinning to mitigate drought impacts in mountain forests in the European Alps

scientific article

Simulating forest dynamics in a complex topography using gridded climatic data

article

Simulating structural forest patterns with a forest gap model: a model evaluation

article

Sind Naturwaldreservate naturnäher als der Schweizer Wald?

Site factors are more important than salvage logging for tree regeneration after wind disturbance in Central European forests

article

Spatial interactions between storm damage and subsequent infestations by the European spruce bark beetle

article by Golo Stadelmann et al published April 2014 in Forest Ecology and Management

Stand‐scale climate change impacts on forests over large areas: transient responses and projection uncertainties

scientific article published on 25 February 2021

Struktur und Langzeitentwicklung von subalpinen Pinus montana Miller und Pinus cembra L. Waldern in den zentraleuropaischen Alpen

Successional pathways in Swiss mountain forest reserves

article

Summer temperature dependency of larch budmoth outbreaks revealed by Alpine tree-ring isotope chronologies

scientific article published on 14 February 2009

Sustainable Land Use in Mountain Regions Under Global Change: Synthesis Across Scales and Disciplines

scientific article published in 2013

Swiss tree rings reveal warm and wet summers during medieval times

scientific article published in 2014

Tackling unresolved questions in forest ecology: The past and future role of simulation models

scientific article

Temperature response functions introduce high uncertainty in modelled carbon stocks in cold temperature regimes

article

Temporal stability in forest productivity increases with tree diversity due to asynchrony in species dynamics

scientific article

The Importance of Spatial Scale in Habitat Models: Capercaillie in the Swiss Alps

article

The agony of choice: different empirical mortality models lead to sharply different future forest dynamics

scientific article published on July 2015

The evolution, complexity and diversity of models of long‐term forest dynamics

scientific article published in 2022

The prospects of silver fir (Abies alba Mill.) and Norway spruce (Picea abies (L.) Karst) in mixed mountain forests under various management strategies, climate change and high browsing pressure

scientific article published on 18 May 2017

The relative importance of climatic effects, wildfires and management for future forest landscape dynamics in the Swiss Alps

article

The relative importance of land use and climatic change in Alpine catchments

Timing, light availability and vigour determine the response of Abies alba saplings to leader shoot browsing

article

Towards a common methodology for developing logistic tree mortality models based on ring-width data

scientific article

Tree Species Composition in European Pristine Forests: Comparison of Stand Data to Model Predictions

Tree diversity reduced to the bare essentials

scientific article

Tree mortality in dynamic vegetation models – A key feature for accurately simulating forest properties

article

Tree mortality submodels drive simulated long-term forest dynamics: assessing 15 models from the stand to global scale

scientific article published in 2019

Tree recruitment is determined by stand structure and shade tolerance with uncertain role of climate and water relations

scientific article published on 20 August 2021

Tree regeneration in models of forest dynamics – Suitability to assess climate change impacts on European forests

scientific article published in 2022

Tree regeneration in models of forest dynamics: A key priority for further research

scientific article published in 2024

Tree species admixture increases ecosystem service provision in simulated spruce- and beech-dominated stands

scientific article published on 2 July 2022

Tree species richness promotes productivity in temperate forests through strong complementarity between species

scientific article

Understanding the low-temperature limitations to forest growth through calibration of a forest dynamics model with tree-ring data

article

Ungulate browsing in winter reduces the growth of Fraxinus and Acer saplings in subsequent unbrowsed years

article

Ungulate herbivory modifies the effects of climate change on mountain forests

scholarly article by Markus Didion et al published 15 April 2011 in Climatic Change

Updating beliefs and combining evidence in adaptive forest management under climate change: a case study of Norway spruce (Picea abies L. Karst) in the Black Forest, Germany

scientific article

Using a dynamic forest model to predict tree species distributions

article

Using a forest patch model to predict the dynamics of stand structure in Swiss mountain forests

article

Using a retrospective dynamic competition index to reconstruct forest succession

article

Wald und Klimawandel in der inneralpinen Trockenregion Visp

Waldausdehnung in zwei Regionen des Schweizer Berggebiets: eine integrative Analyse

Waldbrandmodellierung - Möglichkeiten und Grenzen | Forest fire modeling - limits and possibilities

Warming, photoperiods, and tree phenology

scientific article

Water and carbon fluxes of European ecosystems: an evaluation of the ecohydrological model RHESSys

article

Weather and human impacts on forest fires: 100 years of fire history in two climatic regions of Switzerland

article

Will the CO2 fertilization effect in forests be offset by reduced tree longevity?

scientific article

Wind disturbance in mountain forests: Simulating the impact of management strategies, seed supply, and ungulate browsing on forest succession

scientific article published in 2007

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