List of works by Reto Knutti

A New Framework for Identifying and Investigating Seasonal Climate Extremes

scientific article published on 30 June 2021

A Representative Democracy to Reduce Interdependency in a Multimodel Ensemble

A Review of Uncertainties in Global Temperature Projections over the Twenty-First Century

article

A climate model projection weighting scheme accounting for performance and interdependence

article

A new framework for understanding and quantifying uncertainties in the remaining carbon budget

scientific article

A scientific critique of the two-degree climate change target

scholarly article by Reto Knutti et al published 7 December 2015 in Nature Geoscience

A smoothing algorithm for estimating stochastic, continuous time model parameters and its application to a simple climate model

article

A wider role for climate scenarios

scientific article published on 08 May 2018

ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCE: Climate Forcing by Aerosol--a Hazy Picture

scientific article published in Science

Addressing Interdependency in a Multimodel Ensemble by Interpolation of Model Properties

article

Allowable CO2 emissions based on regional and impact-related climate targets

scientific article

An assessment of Earth's climate sensitivity using multiple lines of evidence

scientific article published on 22 July 2020

An integrated approach to quantifying uncertainties in the remaining carbon budget

scientific article

An investigation of weighting schemes suitable for incorporating large ensembles into multi-model ensembles

scientific article published on 16 September 2020

Analyzing precipitation projections: A comparison of different approaches to climate model evaluation

article

Anthropogenic and natural warming inferred from changes in Earth’s energy balance

article

Anthropogenic contribution to global occurrence of heavy-precipitation and high-temperature extremes

Applying big data beyond small problems in climate research

Argument-based assessment of predictive uncertainty of data-driven environmental models

scientific article published on 08 June 2020

Assessing the representational accuracy of data-driven models: The case of the effect of urban green infrastructure on temperature

scientific article published on 31 March 2021

Assessing uncertainty in climate simulations

scientific article published on 11 November 2014

Assessment of Predictive Uncertainty of Data-Driven Environmental Models

scientific article published on 23 March 2020

Attribution of extreme weather to anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions: Sensitivity to spatial and temporal scales

scholarly article

Beijing Olympics as an aerosol field experiment

scholarly article

Beyond equilibrium climate sensitivity

scholarly article by Reto Knutti et al published 4 September 2017 in Nature Geoscience

Biased Estimates of Changes in Climate Extremes From Prescribed SST Simulations

article

Building confidence in climate model projections: an analysis of inferences from fit

article

CH2018 – National climate scenarios for Switzerland: How to construct consistent multi-model projections from ensembles of opportunity

scientific article published on 20 November 2020

Challenges in Combining Projections from Multiple Climate Models

article

Climate Models and Their Projections of Future Changes

Climate change in Switzerland: a review of physical, institutional, and political aspects

article

Climate change now detectable from any single day of weather at global scale

Climate change projections for Switzerland based on a Bayesian multi-model approach

article

Climate feedbacks in the Earth system and prospects for their evaluation

Climate model Selection by Independence, Performance, and Spread (ClimSIPS v1.0.1) for regional applications

scientific article published in 2023

Climate model genealogy

article

Climate model genealogy: Generation CMIP5 and how we got there

article

Climate model projections from the Scenario Model Intercomparison Project (ScenarioMIP) of CMIP6

scientific article

Climate modeling with a Linux Cluster

scientific article published on 19 October 2006

Climate models without preindustrial volcanic forcing underestimate historical ocean thermal expansion

scholarly article

Closing the Knowledge-Action Gap in Climate Change

scientific article published in September 2019

Comment on “Heat capacity, time constant, and sensitivity of Earth's climate system” by S. E. Schwartz

scientific article published in 2008

Comments on “Why Hasn’t Earth Warmed as Much as Expected?”

article

Communication of the role of natural variability in future North American climate

article by Clara Deser et al published November 2012 in Nature Climate Change

Community Climate Simulations to assess avoided impacts in 1.5 °C and 2 °C futures

article by Benjamin Sanderson et al published 19 April 2017 in Earth System Dynamics Discussions ESDD

Community climate simulations to assess avoided impacts in 1.5 and 2  °C futures

article by Benjamin Sanderson et al published 19 September 2017 in Earth System Dynamics ESD

Comparing Methods to Constrain Future European Climate Projections Using a Consistent Framework

scientific article published on 17 August 2020

Concerns of young protesters are justified

scientific article published on 11 April 2019

Consistency of global satellite-derived aerosol and cloud data sets with recent brightening observations

scholarly article

Constraining Climate Sensitivity from the Seasonal Cycle in Surface Temperature

article by Reto Knutti et al published September 2006 in Journal of Climate

Constraining human contributions to observed warming since the pre-industrial period

scientific article published on 18 January 2021

Constraints on Climate Sensitivity from Radiation Patterns in Climate Models

article

Constraints on Model Response to Greenhouse Gas Forcing and the Role of Subgrid-Scale Processes

article

Constraints on radiative forcing and future climate change from observations and climate model ensembles

scientific article

Constraints on the transient climate response from observed global temperature and ocean heat uptake

article

Contribution of Atlantic and Pacific Multidecadal Variability to Twentieth-Century Temperature Changes

scientific article

Contributions of atmospheric circulation variability and data coverage bias to the warming hiatus

article

Corrigendum: Mitigation choices impact carbon budget size compatible with low temperature goals (2015 Environ. Res. Lett. 10 075003)

scholarly article published in Environmental Research Letters

Corrigendum: Sensitivity of carbon budgets to permafrost carbon feedbacks and non-CO2 forcings (2015 Environ. Res. Lett. 10 125003)

scientific article published on 21 June 2019

Customising global climate science for national adaptation: A case study of climate projections in UNFCCC's National Communications

scientific article published on 01 November 2019

Delays in US mitigation could rule out Paris targets

scientific article published on 26 December 2016

Dependence of global radiative feedbacks on evolving patterns of surface heat fluxes

article by Maria A. A. Rugenstein et al published 28 September 2016 in Geophysical Research Letters

Detection and Attribution Model Intercomparison Project (DAMIP)

Detection of spatially aggregated changes in temperature and precipitation extremes

scholarly article

Differences between carbon budget estimates unravelled

article

Dimming over the oceans: Transient anthropogenic aerosol plumes in the twentieth century

scholarly article

ESD Reviews: Climate feedbacks in the Earth system and prospects for their evaluation

scientific article

ESD Reviews: Model dependence in multi-model climate ensembles: weighting, sub-selection and out-of-sample testing

article

Early onset of significant local warming in low latitude countries

article

Emergent Constraints in Climate Projections: A Case Study of Changes in High-Latitude Temperature Variability

scientific article published on 09 February 2017

Emerging trends in heavy precipitation and hot temperature extremes in Switzerland

article

Energy budget constraints on climate response ⬇️

article

Energy policies avoiding a tipping point in the climate system

Enhancement of non-CO2 radiative forcing via intensified carbon cycle feedbacks

scholarly article

Ensemble optimisation, multiple constraints and overconfidence: a case study with future Australian precipitation change

scientific article published on 01 April 2019

Equilibrium Climate Sensitivity Estimated by Equilibrating Climate Models

scientific article

Erratum: Communication of the role of natural variability in future North American climate

scientific article published on 26 November 2012

Estimating climate sensitivity and future temperature in the presence of natural climate variability

article

Evaluating the accuracy of climate change pattern emulation for low warming targets

article

Evidence for external forcing on 20th-century climate from combined ocean-atmosphere warming patterns

article

Feedbacks, climate sensitivity and the limits of linear models

scientific article

Focus on cumulative emissions, global carbon budgets and the implications for climate mitigation targets

scientific article published on 07 November 2017

Future climate resources for tourism in Europe based on the daily Tourism Climatic Index

scholarly article by Sabine L. Perch-Nielsen et al published 14 January 2010 in Climatic Change

Future local climate unlike currently observed anywhere

Geosciences after Paris

scientific article

Global Climate Projections ⬇️

chapter of a scientific report

Global warming under old and new scenarios using IPCC climate sensitivity range estimates

article

Greenhouse-gas emission targets for limiting global warming to 2 degrees C.

scientific article

Half of the world’s population experience robust changes in the water cycle for a 2 °C warmer world

article

Heated debate on cold weather

scientific article published on 24 June 2014

Hotter or not? Should we believe model predictions of future climate change?

scientific article published on 09 December 2008

How has climate responded to natural perturbations?

How much climate change can be avoided by mitigation?

scholarly article by Warren M. Washington et al published 21 April 2009 in Geophysical Research Letters

Impact of a Reduced Arctic Sea Ice Cover on Ocean and Atmospheric Properties

Impact of short-lived non-CO2mitigation on carbon budgets for stabilizing global warming

article

Implementation and validation of a Wilks-type multi-site daily precipitation generator over a typical Alpine river catchment

article by D. E. Keller et al published 6 May 2015 in Hydrology and Earth System Sciences

Implications of potentially lower climate sensitivity on climate projections and policy

Imprint of Southern Ocean eddies on winds, clouds and rainfall

Improved Consistency of Climate Projections over Europe after Accounting for Atmospheric Circulation Variability

Improved pattern scaling approaches for the use in climate impact studies

scholarly article

Improved simulation of extreme precipitation in a high-resolution atmosphere model

article

Increasing probability of record-shattering climate extremes

scientific article published on 26 July 2021

Influence of subtropical and polar sea-surface temperature anomalies on temperatures in Eurasia

scholarly article

Influence of the western North Atlantic and the Barents Sea on European winter climate

article

Insights from Earth system model initial-condition large ensembles and future prospects

scientific article published on 30 March 2020

Irreversible climate change due to carbon dioxide emissions

scientific article

Is there room for geoengineering in the optimal climate policy mix?

Lack of Change in the Projected Frequency and Persistence of Atmospheric Circulation Types Over Central Europe

scientific article published on 17 April 2020

Late 1980s abrupt cold season temperature change in Europe consistent with circulation variability and long-term warming

scientific article published on 06 April 2020

Learning from weather and climate science to prepare for a future pandemic

scientific article published in 2023

Limited Predictability of the Future Thermohaline Circulation Close to an Instability Threshold

Local eigenvalue analysis of CMIP3 climate model errors

article

Local eigenvalue analysis of CMIP3 climate model errors

scientific article published on 20 January 2012

Long-Term Climate Commitments Projected with Climate–Carbon Cycle Models

article

Long-term climate implications of twenty-first century options for carbon dioxide emission mitigation

article by P. Friedlingstein et al published 20 November 2011 in Nature Climate Change

LongRunMIP: Motivation and Design for a Large Collection of Millennial-Length AOGCM Simulations

scientific article

Majority of German citizens, US citizens and climate scientists support policy advocacy by climate researchers and expect greater political engagement

Making sense of palaeoclimate sensitivity

scientific article

Mapping model agreement on future climate projections

article

Mapping the climate change challenge

scholarly article by Stéphane Hallegatte et al published July 2016 in Nature Climate Change

Mapping urban temperature using crowd-sensing data and machine learning

scientific article published on 08 December 2020

Mitigation choices impact carbon budget size compatible with low temperature goals

Mixed-layer ocean responses to anthropogenic aerosol dimming from 1870 to 2000

scientific article

Model dependence in multi-model climate ensembles: weighting, sub-selection and out-of-sample testing

article

Modeled seasonality of glacial abrupt climate events

Models agree on forced response pattern of precipitation and temperature extremes

article

Models are likely to underestimate increase in heavy rainfall in the extratropical regions with high rainfall intensity

scholarly article

Multi-Year Drought Storylines for Europe and North America from an Iteratively Perturbed Global Climate Model

scientific article published on 17 February 2022

Multiannual Ocean–Atmosphere Adjustments to Radiative Forcing

Multidecadal Variability in Global Surface Temperatures Related to the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation

scientific article published on 22 January 2018

Natural variability, radiative forcing and climate response in the recent hiatus reconciled

article

New Land- vs. Ocean based Global Mean Temperature Reconstructions reveal high consistency except for early 20th Century Ocean Cold Anomaly

Nonlinearities in patterns of long-term ocean warming

article

Observed heavy precipitation increase confirms theory and early models

article

Ocean Heat Transport as a Cause for Model Uncertainty in Projected Arctic Warming

article

Oceanic processes as potential trigger and amplifying mechanisms for Heinrich events

On the Linearity of Local and Regional Temperature Changes from 1.5°C to 2°C of Global Warming

scientific article published on 22 June 2018

On the interpretation of constrained climate model ensembles

article

Opportunities and challenges in using remaining carbon budgets to guide climate policy

scientific article

Pacific variability reconciles observed and modelled global mean temperature increase since 1950

scientific article published on 28 October 2020

Partitioning climate projection uncertainty with multiple large ensembles and CMIP5/6

scientific article published on 29 May 2020

Past warming trend constrains future warming in CMIP6 models

scientific article published on 18 March 2020

Past warming trend constrains future warming in CMIP6 models

scientific article

Perceptible changes in regional precipitation in a future climate

article

Persistence of climate changes due to a range of greenhouse gases

scientific article

Persistent growth of CO2 emissions and implications for reaching climate targets

article published in 2014

Potential to Constrain Projections of Hot Temperature Extremes

Precipitation variability increases in a warmer climate

scientific article published on 21 December 2017

Predictor Screening, Calibration, and Observational Constraints in Climate Model Ensembles: An Illustration Using Climate Sensitivity

article

Probabilistic climate change projections for CO2stabilization profiles

scholarly article by Reto Knutti published 2005 in Geophysical Research Letters

Probabilistic climate change projections using neural networks

scholarly article by Reto Knutti et al published 1 September 2003 in Climate Dynamics

Projecting the release of carbon from permafrost soils using a perturbed parameter ensemble modelling approach

scholarly article by Andrew H. MacDougall & Reto Knutti published 12 April 2016 in Biogeosciences

Projecting the release of carbon from permafrost soils using a perturbed physics ensemble

scholarly article by A. H. MacDougall & Reto Knutti published 10 December 2015 in Biogeosciences Discussions

Prospects and Caveats of Weighting Climate Models for Summer Maximum Temperature Projections Over North America

article

Publisher Correction: Insights from Earth system model initial-condition large ensembles and future prospects

correction of a scholarly article

Quantifying uncertainty in European climate projections using combined performance-independence weighting

scientific article published on 22 November 2019

Reconciling controversies about the 'global warming hiatus'.

scientific article published in May 2017

Reconciling observed and modeled temperature and precipitation trends over Europe by adjusting for circulation variability

scholarly article

Reduced global warming from CMIP6 projections when weighting models by performance and independence

scientific article published on 13 November 2020

Regional climate change patterns identified by cluster analysis

article

Risks of Model Weighting in Multimodel Climate Projections

article

Robust Bayesian Uncertainty Analysis of Climate System Properties Using Markov Chain Monte Carlo Methods

article

Robust detection of forced warming in the presence of potentially large climate variability

scientific article published on 23 October 2021

Robust projections of combined humidity and temperature extremes

Robust spatially aggregated projections of climate extremes

Robustness and uncertainties in the new CMIP5 climate model projections

article

Science and policy characteristics of the Paris Agreement temperature goal

article

Selecting a climate model subset to optimise key ensemble properties

article by Nadja Herger et al published 21 February 2018 in Earth System Dynamics ESD

Selecting a climate model subset to optimise key ensemble properties

article by Nadja Herger et al published 3 April 2017 in Earth System Dynamics Discussions ESDD

Sensitivity of European extreme daily temperature return levels to projected changes in mean and variance

scholarly article

Sensitivity of carbon budgets to permafrost carbon feedbacks and non-CO2 forcings

article

September Arctic sea ice predicted to disappear near 2°C global warming above present

article

Should we believe model predictions of future climate change?

scientific article

Simulated changes in vegetation distribution, land carbon storage, and atmospheric CO2 in response to a collapse of the North Atlantic thermohaline circulation

article

Skill and independence weighting for multi-model assessments

scientific article published in 2017

Skill and independence weighting for multi-model assessments

Southern Ocean eddy phenomenology

Spatial Analysis to Quantify Numerical Model Bias and Dependence

article

Spatial patterns of probabilistic temperature change projections from a multivariate Bayesian analysis

article

Spatial-Scale Dependence of Climate Model Performance in the CMIP3 Ensemble

article

Stochastic modelling of spatially and temporally consistent daily precipitation time-series over complex topography

Strong hemispheric coupling of glacial climate through freshwater discharge and ocean circulation.

scientific article published in August 2004

Surge in future record shattering precipitation driven by increasing variability

Testing a weather generator for downscaling climate change projections over Switzerland

article

The Detection and Attribution Model Intercomparison Project (DAMIP v1.0) contribution to CMIP6

scientific article published in 2016

The Effects of Subgrid-Scale Parameterizations in a Zonally Averaged Ocean Model

article

The Impacts of the Oceans on Climate Change

scholarly article published September 2008

The Scenario Model Intercomparison Project (ScenarioMIP) for CMIP6

scholarly article published in 2016

The Scenario Model Intercomparison Project (ScenarioMIP) for CMIP6

scholarly article, 2016

The Uncertainty in the Transient Climate Response to Cumulative CO2 Emissions Arising from the Uncertainty in Physical Climate Parameters

The Uneven Nature of Daily Precipitation and Its Change

scholarly article by Angeline G. Pendergrass & Reto Knutti published 4 November 2018 in Geophysical Research Letters

The Zero Emissions Commitment and climate stabilization

The asymmetry of the climate system's response to solar forcing changes and its implications for geoengineering scenarios

article

The concerns of the young protesters are justified: A statement by Scientists for Future concerning the protests for more climate protection

scientific article published on 12 June 2019

The coupling of optimal economic growth and climate dynamics

The effect of pregnancy on the pharmacokinetics of caffeine

scientific article published on 01 January 1982

The end of model democracy?

article

The equilibrium sensitivity of the Earth's temperature to radiation changes

The exit strategy

article

The legacy of our CO2 emissions: a clash of scientific facts, politics and ethics

scientific article

The potential for structural errors in emergent constraints

scientific article published on 23 August 2021

The potential of pattern scaling for projecting temperature-related extreme indices

The response of the climate system to very high greenhouse gas emission scenarios

article

The scientific veneer of IPCC visuals

The sensitivity of the modeled energy budget and hydrological cycle to CO<sub>2</sub> and solar forcing

The social and scientific values that shape national climate scenarios: a comparison of the Netherlands, Switzerland and the UK ⬇️

article

The unseen uncertainties in climate change: reviewing comprehension of an IPCC scenario graph

scholarly article by Rosemarie McMahon et al published 25 July 2015 in Climatic Change

The use of the multi-model ensemble in probabilistic climate projections

scientific article published on August 2007

Thermohaline circulation hysteresis: A model intercomparison

article

Uncertainties in CMIP5 Climate Projections due to Carbon Cycle Feedbacks

Uncertainties in the timing of unprecedented climates

scientific article published in July 2014

Uncertainty and risk in climate projections for the 21st century: comparing mitigation to non-intervention scenarios

Uncertainty in carbon budget estimates due to internal climate variability

scientific article

Uncovering the Forced Climate Response from a Single Ensemble Member Using Statistical Learning

scientific article published on 28 May 2019

Understanding and assessing uncertainty of observational climate datasets for model evaluation using ensembles

scientific article published on 31 May 2020

Understanding the drivers of marine liquid-water cloud occurrence and properties with global observations using neural networks

scholarly article

Understanding the drivers of marine liquid-water cloud occurrence and properties with global observations using neural networks

Urban multi-model climate projections of intense heat in Switzerland

scientific article published on 19 May 2021

Very rare heat extremes: quantifying and understanding using ensemble re-initialization

scientific article published on 21 May 2021

Von nichts kommt nichts

scientific article published on 02 May 2012

Weak dependence of future global mean warming on the background climate state

scientific article published on 20 June 2019

Weather and Climate

What caused Earth's temperature variations during the last 800,000 years? Data-based evidence on radiative forcing and constraints on climate sensitivity

scientific article

Why are climate models reproducing the observed global surface warming so well?

article

Zero emission targets as long-term global goals for climate protection

article

[DMSP treatment in acute sublimate (mercury chloride) poisoning]

scientific article published on 01 April 1985

[Narcotic gas burden of personnel in pediatric anesthesia]

scientific article

[Toxicology of heavy metals in foodstuffs]

scientific article published on 01 October 1983

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