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List of works by Peter Turchin

A theory for formation of large empires*

Agricultural productivity in past societies: Toward an empirically informed model for testing cultural evolutionary hypotheses

Arise 'cliodynamics'

scientific article published in Nature

Building the Seshat Ontology for a Global History Databank

Coin hoards speak of population declines in Ancient Rome

scientific article

Cultural group selection is plausible, but the predictions of its hypotheses should be tested with real-world data

scientific article

Dacura: A new solution to data harvesting and knowledge extraction for the historical sciences

Disentangling the evolutionary drivers of social complexity: A comprehensive test of hypotheses

scientific article published in 2022

Does population ecology have general laws?

scientific article published in 2001

East-West Orientation of Historical Empires and Modern States

Ecology: Evolution in population dynamics

scientific article published in July 2003

Evolution of cooperative strategies from first principles

scientific article (publication date: 20 April 2006)

Explaining the rise of moralizing religions: a test of competing hypotheses using the Seshat Databank

scientific article published in 2022

Fitting Dynamic Regression Models to Seshat Data

scientific article published on 30 June 2018

Habitat structure and population persistence in an experimental community

scientific article published in Nature

Long-term population cycles in human societies

scientific article published on April 2009

MASTING BY EIGHTEEN NEW ZEALAND PLANT SPECIES: THE ROLE OF TEMPERATURE AS A SYNCHRONIZING CUE

article

Masting by Eighteen New Zealand Plant Species: The Role of Temperature as a Synchronizing Cue

article

Modeling Social Pressures Toward Political Instability

2013 scholarly article by Peter Turchin

POPULATION CYCLES IN THE PINE LOOPER MOTH: DYNAMICAL TESTS OF MECHANISTIC HYPOTHESES

article

Political instability may be a contributor in the coming decade

scientific article published in Nature

Quantifying Dispersal of Southern Pine Beetles with Mark-Recapture Experiments and a Diffusion Model

scientific article

Quantitative historical analysis uncovers a single dimension of complexity that structures global variation in human social organization.

scientific article published on 21 December 2017

RETRACTED ARTICLE: Complex societies precede moralizing gods throughout world history

retracted scientific article published on 20 March 2019

Rarity of density dependence or population regulation with lags?

scientific article published in Nature

Reply to Thomas: Diffusion of military technologies is a plausible explanation for the evolution of social complexity, 1500 BCE–AD 1500.

scientific article published on January 2014

Reply to Tosh et al.: Quantitative analyses of cultural evolution require engagement with historical and archaeological research

article published in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America

Secular Cycles

book by Peter Turchin and Sergey A. Nefedov

Seshat: The Global History Databank

Testing the Big Gods hypothesis with global historical data: a review and “retake”

scientific article published in 2022

The 2010 structural-demographic forecast for the 2010-2020 decade: A retrospective assessment

scientific article published on 17 August 2020

The SESHAT Databank Project: the 2014 Report

scientific article published on 30 December 2014

The attraction of the known: the importance of spatial familiarity in habitat selection in wapitiCervus elaphus

scientific article published in 2009

War, space, and the evolution of Old World complex societies

scientific article

works by Peter Turchin

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