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List of works by Katriona Shea

A guide to calculating discrete-time invasion rates from data

scholarly article

A network model for plant-pollinator community assembly

scientific article

A state-dependent model for the optimal management of an invasive metapopulation

scientific article published on April 2008

A unifying gravity framework for dispersal

scholarly article by Eelke Jongejans et al published 13 December 2014 in Theoretical Ecology

ACTIVE ADAPTIVE MANAGEMENT IN INSECT PEST AND WEED CONTROL: INTERVENTION WITH A PLAN FOR LEARNING

article

Active Adaptive Management in Insect Pest and Weed Control: Intervention With a Plan for Learning

scientific article published in 2002

Adaptive management and the value of information: learning via intervention in epidemiology

scientific article

Advancing an interdisciplinary framework to study seed dispersal ecology

scientific article published on 19 August 2019

An Adaptive Decision Framework for the Conservation of a Threatened Plant

article

Analysing how changes in the health status of healthcare workers affects epidemic outcomes

scientific article published on 8 February 2021

Analyzing How Changes in the Health Status of Healthcare Workers Affects Epidemic Outcomes

scientific article published on 23 September 2020

Anticipating future learning affects current control decisions: A comparison between passive and active adaptive management in an epidemiological setting

scientific article published on 19 July 2020

Applications of particle image velocimetry for seed release studies

scientific article published in August 2010

Are the best dispersers the best colonizers? Seed mass, dispersal and establishment in Carduus thistles

Author Correction: The SEIRS model for infectious disease dynamics

scientific article published in February 2021

Bee community preference for an invasive thistle associated with higher pollen protein content

scientific article published on 06 July 2019

Beyond dose: Pulsed antibiotic treatment schedules can maintain individual benefit while reducing resistance.

scientific article published on 12 April 2018

CONTEXT-DEPENDENT BIOLOGICAL CONTROL OF AN INVASIVE THISTLE

scientific article published in 2005

COVID-19 reopening strategies at the county level in the face of uncertainty: Multiple Models for Outbreak Decision Support

scientific article published on 05 November 2020

Cattle transport network predicts endemic and epidemic foot-and-mouth disease risk on farms in Turkey

scientific article published in 2022

Causes of delayed outbreak responses and their impacts on epidemic spread ⬇️

journal article from 'Journal of the Royal Society Interface' published in 2021

Coexistence patterns of two invasive thistle species, Carduus nutans and C. acanthoides, at three spatial scales

article

Collaborative Hubs: Making the Most of Predictive Epidemic Modeling

scientific article published on 14 April 2022

Competition between similar invasive species: modeling invasional interference across a landscape

article

Concurrent assessment of epidemiological and operational uncertainties for optimal outbreak control: Ebola as a case study

scientific article published on 26 June 2019

Conservation of passively dispersed organisms in the context of habitat degradation and destruction

scientific article

Context matters: using reinforcement learning to develop human-readable, state-dependent outbreak response policies

scientific article published on 01 July 2019

Context-dependent representation of within- and between-model uncertainty: aggregating probabilistic predictions in infectious disease epidemiology

scientific article published in January 2023

Correlation between measles vaccine doses: implications for the maintenance of elimination

scientific article published on 21 February 2018

Correlations in the degeneracy of structurally controllable topologies for networks.

scientific article

Covariation in abscission force and terminal velocity of windborne sibling seeds alters long-distance dispersal projections

scientific article published in 2015

Decision-making for foot-and-mouth disease control: Objectives matter

scientific article published on 10 December 2015

Decreased structural defence of an invasive thistle under warming ⬇️

scientific article published on March 2, 2011

Disentangling the mechanisms underpinning disturbance-mediated invasion ⬇️

scientific article published on 29 January 2020

Dispersal Patterns, Dispersal Mechanisms, and Invasion Wave Speeds for Invasive Thistles

article by Olav Skarpaas & Katriona Shea published September 2007 in The American Naturalist

Dispersal and demography contributions to population spread ofCarduus nutansin its native and invaded ranges

scholarly article by Eelke Jongejans et al published July 2008 in Journal of Ecology

Dispersal patterns, dispersal mechanisms, and invasion wave speeds for invasive thistles

scientific article published on 16 July 2007

Dispersal under duress: Can stress enhance the performance of a passively dispersed species?

article

Dispersal, demography and spatial population models for conservation and control management

article

Disturbance‐mediated invasions are dependent on community resource abundance

scientific article published on 12 April 2022

Diversity loss from multiple interacting disturbances is regime‐dependent

scientific article published in 2023

Diversity-disturbance relationships: frequency and intensity interact

scientific article

Duration and timing interactions of early‐life stress and the potential for recovery

scientific article published in July 2021

Ecology. How the wood moves

scientific article published in March 2007

Effect of patch size and plant density of Paterson"s curse (Echium plantagineum) on the oviposition of a specialist weevil, Mogulones larvatus.

scientific article published in September 2000

Embracing uncertainty in applied ecology

scientific article published on 9 March 2017

Employing plant functional groups to advance seed dispersal ecology and conservation

article

Ensemble 2 : Scenarios ensembling for communication and performance analysis

scientific article published in March 2024

Environmental variability and the initiation of dispersal: turbulence strongly increases seed release.

scientific article published in March 2006

Essential information: Uncertainty and optimal control of Ebola outbreaks

scientific article (publication date: 30 May 2017)

Establishment and spread of founding populations of an invasive thistle: the role of competition and seed limitation

article

Estimating Biocontrol Agent Impact with Matrix Models: Carduus nutans in New Zealand

scientific article published in 1998

Evaluation of the US COVID-19 Scenario Modeling Hub for informing pandemic response under uncertainty

scientific article published on 20 November 2023

Experimental species introduction shapes network interactions in a plant-pollinator community

scientific article published on 26 July 2019

Global versus local extinction in a network model of plant–pollinator communities

article

Governance structure affects transboundary disease management under alternative objectives

scientific article published on 2 October 2021

Greening conceals evergreening: contrasting trends for a socio-ecological system in Arctic Europe

scientific article published on 2 March 2022

Harnessing multiple models for outbreak management

scientific article published on 01 May 2020

How can we bring together empiricists and modellers in functional biodiversity research?

scientific article published in 2013

How disturbance history alters invasion success: biotic legacies and regime change ⬇️

scientific article

How do duration, frequency, and intensity of exogenous CORT elevation affect immune outcomes of stress?

scientific article published on 22 July 2015

How frequency and intensity shape diversity-disturbance relationships

scientific article

Impact of SARS-CoV-2 vaccination of children ages 5-11 years on COVID-19 disease burden and resilience to new variants in the United States, November 2021-March 2022: A multi-model study

scientific article published in January 2023

Impact of SARS-CoV-2 vaccination of children ages 5-11 years on COVID-19 disease burden and resilience to new variants in the United States, November 2021-March 2022: a multi-model study

scientific article published on 10 March 2022

Impacts of altered disturbance regimes on community structure and biodiversity mediated by fecundity–tolerance interactions

scholarly article published in September 2018

Importance of individual and environmental variation for invasive species spread: a spatial integral projection model

scientific article

Individually mark-mass release-resight study elucidates effects of patch characteristics and distance on host patch location by an insect herbivore

article by ZEYNEP SEZEN et al published 26 January 2017 in Ecological Entomology

Influence of Microsite Disturbance on the Establishment of Two Congeneric Invasive Thistles ⬇️

scientific article published on September 18, 2012

Influence of density dependence on the detection of trends in unobserved life‐history stages

scientific article published on 11 July 2006

Informing pandemic response in the face of uncertainty.

scientific article published on 3 July 2023

Integrating multiple disturbance aspects: management of an invasive thistle, Carduus nutans ⬇️

scientific article

Integrating the Study of Non-native Plant Invasions across Spatial Scales

article

Intrinsic and extrinsic drivers of intraspecific variation in seed dispersal are diverse and pervasive

scientific article published on 14 December 2019

Invasional interference due to similar inter- and intraspecific competition between invaders may affect management

scientific article

Leveraging federalism for flexible and robust management of social‐ecological systems

scientific article published in 2023

Logistical constraints lead to an intermediate optimum in outbreak response vaccination.

scientific article published on 23 May 2018

Management of populations in conservation, harvesting and control

scientific article published on 01 September 1998

Maternal warming affects early life stages of an invasive thistle ⬇️

scientific article published on March 8, 2012

Measles outbreak response decision-making under uncertainty: a retrospective analysis.

scientific article published in March 2018

Measuring plant dispersal: an introduction to field methods and experimental design

article

Microbes increase thermal sensitivity in the mosquito Aedes aegypti, with the potential to change disease distributions

scientific article published in 2021

Misapplied management makes matters worse: Spatially explicit control leverages biotic interactions to slow invasion

scientific article published on 22 April 2024

Modeling for Management of Invasive Species: Musk Thistle (Carduus nutans) in New Zealand

article

Modeling infectious epidemics

scientific article published on 20 April 2020

Modeling of Future COVID-19 Cases, Hospitalizations, and Deaths, by Vaccination Rates and Nonpharmaceutical Intervention Scenarios — United States, April–September 2021

scholarly article by Ana Pastore y Piontti published in 2021

Modeling the mutualistic interactions between tubeworms and microbial consortia

scientific article published on 22 February 2005

More bang for the land manager's buck: disturbance autocorrelation can be used to achieve management objectives at no additional cost

scientific article published on 24 August 2012

Motif profile dynamics and transient species in a Boolean model of mutualistic ecological communities

Moving from pattern to process: coexistence mechanisms under intermediate disturbance regimes

scientific article published in 2004

Multiple models for outbreak decision support in the face of uncertainty

scientific article published on 2 May 2023

Network models. Comment on "Control profiles of complex networks".

scientific article published in October 2014

Optimal management strategies to control local population growth or population spread may not be the same

scientific article published in June 2010

Optimal release strategies for biological control agents: an application of stochastic dynamic programming to population management

scientific article published in February 2000

Optimal spatial evaluation of a pro rata vaccine distribution rule for COVID-19

scientific article published on 7 February 2023

Optimal vaccine schedules to maintain measles elimination with a two-dose routine policy

scientific article published on 20 October 2016

Optimizing dispersal study design by Monte Carlo simulation

article by Olav Skarpaas et al published 8 August 2005 in Journal of Applied Ecology

Optimizing management of invasions in an uncertain world using dynamic spatial models

scientific article published on 09 April 2022

Optimizing reproductive phenology in a two-resource world: a dynamic allocation model of plant growth predicts later reproduction in phosphorus-limited plants.

scientific article

Patterns of introduced species interactions affect multiple aspects of network structure in plant–pollinator communities

article

Pest management in future climates: Warming reduces physical weed management effectiveness

scientific article published on 11 April 2022

Plant community associations of two invasive thistles ⬇️

scientific article

Plant populations track rather than buffer climate fluctuations

scientific article

Plant spatial arrangement affects projected invasion speeds of two invasive thistles

article

Plant-pollinator community network response to species invasion depends on both invader and community characteristics

article

Political economy of renewable resource federalism

scientific article published on 15 December 2020

Pollinator Behavior Mediates Negative Interactions between Two Congeneric Invasive Plant Species

scientific article

Pollinator floral provisioning by a plant invader: quantifying beneficial effects of detrimental species

scientific article published on 06 November 2015

Post-dispersal seed removal of Carduus nutans and C. acanthoides by insects and small mammals

scientific article published in 2014

Potential impact of annual vaccination with reformulated COVID-19 vaccines: Lessons from the US COVID-19 scenario modeling hub

scientific article published on 17 April 2024

Potential impact of annual vaccination with reformulated COVID-19 vaccines: lessons from the U.S. COVID-19 Scenario Modeling Hub

preprint published on 18 November 2023

Prior adaptation, diversity, and introduction frequency mediate the positive relationship between propagule pressure and the initial success of founding populations

scientific article

Projected resurgence of COVID-19 in the United States in July-December 2021 resulting from the increased transmissibility of the Delta variant and faltering vaccination

scientific article published on 2 September 2021

Projected resurgence of COVID-19 in the United States in July-December 2021 resulting from the increased transmissibility of the Delta variant and faltering vaccination

scientific article published on 21 June 2022

Projecting the recovery of a long-lived deep-sea coral species after the Deepwater Horizon oil spill using state-structured models

scientific article

Pulse and Press Disturbances Have Different Effects on Transient Community Dynamics

scientific article published in October 2022

Quantifying the Value of Perfect Information in Emergency Vaccination Campaigns

scientific article

Quantitative evolutionary patterns in bipartite networks: Vicariance, phylogenetic tracking or diffuse co‐evolution?

scientific article

Rapid changes in seed dispersal traits may modify plant responses to global change.

scientific article published on 28 March 2019

Real-time decision-making during emergency disease outbreaks

scientific article published on 24 July 2018

Restoration of plant–pollinator interaction networks via species translocation

article

Roots of the invasive species Carduus nutans L. and C. acanthoides L. produce large amounts of aplotaxene, a possible allelochemical.

scientific article

Scenario Design for Infectious Disease Projections: Integrating Concepts from Decision Analysis and Experimental Design

preprint

Scenario design for infectious disease projections: Integrating concepts from decision analysis and experimental design

scholarly article published in June 2024

Seasonal life-history models for the integrated management of the invasive weed nodding thistle Carduus nutans in Australia

scientific article published in 2006

Seed release by invasive thistles: the impact of plant and environmental factors ⬇️

scientific article published in October 2007

Seed release in a changing climate: initiation of movement increases spread of an invasive species under simulated climate warming

article

Shipment and storage effects on the terminal velocity of seeds

scientific article published in 2009

Spatial Allocation of Scarce COVID-19 Vaccines *†‡

scientific article published on 22 December 2020

Spatial Segregation of Congeneric Invaders in Central Pennsylvania, USA

Stacked Crop Rotations Exploit Weed-Weed Competition for Sustainable Weed Management

scientific article published in March 2014

Strategic testing approaches for targeted disease monitoring can be used to inform pandemic decision-making

scientific article published in June 2021

Supporting crop pollinators with floral resources: network-based phenological matching

scientific article published on 02 August 2013

Synergistic interventions to control COVID-19: Mass testing and isolation mitigates reliance on distancing

scientific article published on 28 October 2021

THE INTERMEDIATE DISTURBANCE HYPOTHESIS: PATCH DYNAMICS AND MECHANISMS OF SPECIES COEXISTENCE

scientific article

Termite cohabitation: the relative effect of biotic and abiotic factors on mound biodiversity

scientific article published in 2016

The SEIRS model for infectious disease dynamics

scientific article published on 01 June 2020

The US COVID-19 and Influenza Scenario Modeling Hubs: Delivering long-term projections to guide policy

scientific article published in March 2024

The business of biodiversity ⬇️

scientific article published in June 1999

The composite insect trap: an innovative combination trap for biologically diverse sampling.

scientific article

The effects of maternal immunity and age structure on population immunity to measles

scientific article published on May 2015

The increase of an allelopathic and unpalatable plant undermines reindeer pasture quality and current management in the Norwegian tundra

scientific article published on 3 August 2024

The total dispersal kernel: a review and future directions

scientific article published on 03 September 2019

Timing of disturbance alters competitive outcomes and mechanisms of coexistence in an annual plant model

article

To sample or eradicate? A cost minimization model for monitoring and managing an invasive species

article

Tolerance of two invasive thistles to repeated disturbance

scientific article published in 2011

Top-down network analysis characterizes hidden termite-termite interactions.

scientific article published on 03 August 2016

Topological constraints on network control profiles.

scientific article

Topology of plant-pollinator networks that are vulnerable to collapse from species extinction.

scientific article

Trade-Offs, Elasticities and the Comparative Method

scientific article published in December 1994

Uncertainty and the management of epidemics

scientific article published on 24 August 2020

Unrecognized impact of a biocontrol agent on the spread rate of an invasive thistle

scientific article

Vivifying Outbreaks: Investigating the Influence of a Forecast Visual on Risk Perceptions, Time-Urgency, and Behavioral Intentions

scientific article published on 27 August 2024

Vote-processing rules for combining control recommendations from multiple models

scientific article published in 2022

Warming Increases Pollen Lipid Concentration in an Invasive Thistle, with Minor Effects on the Associated Floral-Visitor Community ⬇️

scientific article published on 25 December 2019

Warming and shifting phenology accelerate an invasive plant life cycle ⬇️

scientific article published on 13 October 2020

Warming increases the spread of an invasive thistle ⬇️

scientific article

Warming leads to divergent responses but similarly improved performance of two invasive thistles

article

Watch your time step: trapping and tracking dispersal in autocorrelated environments

article by Olav Skarpaas et al published 25 January 2011 in Methods in Ecology and Evolution

Water loss from flower heads predicts seed release in two invasive thistles

scientific article published in 2012

Weighing the unknowns: Value of Information for biological and operational uncertainty in invasion management

scientific article published on 05 May 2021

What controls the population dynamics of the invasive thistleCarduus nutansin its native range?

article

Whole community invasions and the integration of novel ecosystems

scientific article published on 07 June 2022

Working smarter, not harder: objective-dependent management of an invasive thistle, Carduus nutans

scientific article published on 09 August 2019

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