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List of works by Baruch Fischhoff

"Acceptable Risk": The Case of Nuclear Power

scholarly article by Baruch Fischhoff published 1983 in Journal of Policy Analysis and Management

'Moral machine' experiment is no basis for policymaking

scientific article published on 01 March 2019

A Deliberative Method for Ranking Risks (I): Overview and Test Bed Development

article

A Deliberative Method for Ranking Risks (II): Evaluation of Validity and Agreement among Risk Managers

scientific article published on 01 October 2001

A Modern Dilemma: How Experts Grapple with Ambiguous Genetic Test Results

scientific article published on 01 July 2020

A Randomized Trial Testing US Food and Drug Administration "Breakthrough" Language

scientific article published on 21 September 2015

A Social Perspective on Psychology

A decision science approach for integrating social science in climate and energy solutions

A decision science-informed approach to sexual risk and nonconsent

scientific article published on December 2012

A method to evaluate the usability of interactive climate change impact decision aids

article

A multi-channel stakeholder consultation process for transmission deregulation

article

A strategy to improve expert technology forecasts

scientific article published on 01 May 2021

Accident probabilities and seat belt usage: A psychological perspective

Adolescent risk and vulnerability: overview

scientific article

Adolescent vulnerability: A framework for behavioral interventions

Adolescent vulnerability: measurement and priority setting

scientific article published on 01 July 2002

Adolescents' perceived risk of dying

scientific article

Advertising energy saving programs: The potential environmental cost of emphasizing monetary savings ⬇️

scientific article

Aggregate, disaggregate, and hybrid analyses of ecological risk perceptions

scientific article published in April 2005

An Approach to Reconciling Competing Ethical Principles in Aggregating Heterogeneous Health Preferences

scientific article published in April 2017

An Early History of Hindsight Research

An inquiry into the process of temporal orientation.

scientific article published in February 1976

An integrated impact assessment of the effects of climate change on the Pacific Northwest salmon fishery

scholarly article by Sharon A Jones et al published September 1998 in Impact Assessment and Project Appraisal

An integrated risk model of a drinking-water-borne cryptosporidiosis outbreak.

scientific article

Analyzing disaster risks and plans: An avian flu example

Applying the science of communication to the communication of science

article by Baruch Fischhoff published 9 August 2011 in Climatic Change

Assessing adolescent decision-making competence

Assessing the validity of using serious game technology to analyze physician decision making

scientific article

Assessing uncertainty in physical constants

Association of Practitioner Interfacility Triage Performance With Outcomes for Severely Injured Patients With Fee-for-Service Medicare Insurance

scientific article published on 23 October 2019

Automobile risk perceptions and insurance-purchasing decisions in Japan and the United States

Behavioral Decision Research Intervention Reduces Risky Sexual Behavior ⬇️

scientific article

Behavioral decision theory perspectives on risk and safety

Behavioral science research in the prevention of diabetes : status and opportunities

scientific article

Better beware: comparing metacognition for phishing and legitimate emails

scholarly article

Breaking ground for psychological science: The U.S. Food and Drug Administration.

scientific article published in February 2017

Can adolescents predict significant life events?

scientific article published on August 2007

Can female adolescents tell whether they will test positive for Chlamydia infection?

scientific article published on 25 August 2009

Challenges in researching terrorism from the field

scientific article published in Science

Changes of heart: the switch-value method for assessing value uncertainty

scientific article published on 14 October 2009

Chapter 18 Cognitive Processes in Stated Preference Methods

Characterizing Mental Models of Hazardous Processes: A Methodology and an Application to Radon

article

Climate Change and Cryptosporidiosis: A Qualitative Analysis

scholarly article by Elizabeth A. Casman et al published 2001 in Climatic Change

Commentary: Conflicts of Interest in Policy Analysis: Compliant Pawns in Their Game?

Comments and response on the USPSTF recommendation on screening for breast cancer

Comments on "The Mental Model" Meets "The Planning Process"1

Communicating About Xenotransplantation: Models and Scenarios

Communicating about the risks of terrorism (or anything else) ⬇️

scientific article published on September 1, 2011

Communicating scientific uncertainty

scientific article

Communicating uncertain experimental evidence

scientific article published on 29 July 2013

Comparing the predictive ability of a commercial artificial intelligence early warning system with physician judgement for clinical deterioration in hospitalised general internal medicine patients: a prospective observational study

scientific article published on 10 October 2019

Consumers’ collision insurance decisions: a mental models approach to theory evaluation

article published in 2010

Contrasting perceptions of the risks of using nuclear energy sources in space

Cost benefit analysis and the art of motorcycle maintenance

article

Cost-benefit analysis: an uncertain guide to public policy.

scientific article

Counseling parents at risk of delivery of an extremely premature infant: Differing strategies

scientific article

Counting casualties: A framework for respectful, useful records

Creating categories for databases

Cross-sectional validation of the PROMIS-Preference scoring system

scientific article published on 31 July 2018

Decision research strategies

Decision-Making Competence: More Than Intelligence?

scientific article published in 2020

Decision-making competence: External validation through an individual-differences approach

article by Andrew M. Parker & Baruch Fischhoff published January 2005 in Journal of Behavioral Decision Making

Defining risk

Defining the representativeness heuristic in trauma triage: A retrospective observational cohort study

scientific article published on 08 February 2019

Designing risk communications: completing and correcting mental models of hazardous processes, Part I

scientific article published in October 1994

Development and Evaluation of an HIV/AIDS Knowledge Measure for Adolescents Focusing on Misconceptions

article

Development and Testing of the MyHealthyPregnancy App: A Behavioral Decision Research-Based Tool for Assessing and Communicating Pregnancy Risk.

scientific article

Development and Validation of the Scientific Reasoning Scale

article

Diagnosing food-borne illness: A behavioral analysis of barriers to testing

article

Diagnosticity and pseudodiagnosticity

Diagnosticity and the base-rate effect.

scientific article published in July 1984

Differential Media Evaluation and Satisfaction With Election Results

Direct measures of availability and judgments of category frequency

Do We Want a Better Theory of Deterrence?

Do those who know more also know more about how much they know?

article published in 1977

Does Preexisting Practice Modify How Video Games Recalibrate Physician Heuristics in Trauma Triage?

scientific article published on 06 May 2019

Effect of Risk and Protective Decision Aids on Flood Preparation in Vulnerable Communities

scholarly article published on 27 April 2018

Effects of description of options on parental perinatal decision-making

scientific article published on 9 April 2012

Effects of fear and anger on perceived risks of terrorism: a national field experiment

scientific article published in March 2003

Efficacy of educational video game versus traditional educational apps at improving physician decision making in trauma triage: randomized controlled trial

scientific article published on 12 December 2017

Elicited preferences for components of ocean health in the California Current

article

Eliciting knowledge for analytical representation

Eliciting probabilistic expectations: Collaborations between psychologists and economists ⬇️

scientific article published on 7 March 2017

Embedding effects: Stimulus representation and response mode

Emotion Priming and Attributions for Terrorism: Americans' Reactions in a National Field Experiment

Emotion and judgments of scientific research

scientific article published on 26 February 2020

Environmental risk perception from visual cues: the psychophysics of tornado risk perception

Estimation of a Preference-Based Summary Score for the Patient-Reported Outcomes Measurement Information System: The PROMIS®-Preference (PROPr) Scoring System

scientific article published on 26 June 2018

Evaluating risk communications: completing and correcting mental models of hazardous processes, Part II.

scientific article published in October 1994

Evaluating science communication.

scientific article

Evaluating the success of terror risk communications

scientific article published on January 2003

Evaluation of options for presenting health-states from PROMIS® item banks for valuation exercises

scientific article published on 12 April 2018

Evolving judgments of terror risks: foresight, hindsight, and emotion

scientific article published on June 2005

Evolving judgments of terror risks: foresight, hindsight, and emotion: a reanalysis

scientific article published on June 2012

Exclusion Criteria as Measurements I: Identifying Invalid Responses

scientific article published on 28 August 2019

Exclusion Criteria as Measurements II: Effects on Utility Functions

scientific article published on 28 August 2019

Expectations of Inflation: The Role of Demographic Variables, Expectation Formation, and Financial Literacy

Explaining adult age differences in decision-making competence

Fault trees: Sensitivity of estimated failure probabilities to problem representation

article

Focusing techniques: A shortcut to improving probability judgments?

Four answers to four questions (about risk communication)

Getting straight talk right.

scientific article published on May 2006

Good Decision Making Requires Good Communication

scholarly article by Baruch Fischhoff published November 2012 in Drug Safety

Good decision making requires good communication

scientific article published in November 2012

Handling Hazards

article

Heat protection behaviors and positive affect about heat during the 2013 heat wave in the United Kingdom ⬇️

scientific article

Hindsight 40 years on: An interview with Baruch Fischhoff

Hindsight is not equal to foresight: The effect of outcome knowledge on judgment under uncertainty

How patients deal with an ambiguous medical test: Decision-making after genetic testing

scientific article published on 18 October 2020

How patients feel about prolonged mechanical ventilation 1 year later

scientific article published in July 2002

How safe is safe enough? A psychometric study of attitudes towards technological risks and benefits

How stable are preferences among emerging electricity generation technologies

scientific article published in 2019

Hypothesis evaluation from a Bayesian perspective

article by Baruch Fischhoff et al published 1983 in Psychological Review

I knew it would happen

article published in 1975

Images of Nuclear War: An Introduction

Implementing a New Common Rule Requirement for Informed Consent: A Randomized Trial on Adult Asthma Patients

scientific article published on 01 January 2019

Improved learning in U.S. history and decision competence with decision-focused curriculum ⬇️

scientific article

Incorporating seismic concerns in site selection for enhanced geothermal power generation

Individual behavior in organizational crises

Individual differences in adult decision-making competence

scientific article published in May 2007

Individuals with greater science literacy and education have more polarized beliefs on controversial science topics

scientific article published on 21 August 2017

Individuals' decisions affecting radiation exposure after a nuclear explosion

scientific article published in May 2007

Inferring Sexually Transmitted Infection Risk From Attractiveness in Online Dating Among Adolescents and Young Adults: Exploratory Study

scientific article published on 29 March 2020

Informed Consent for Eliciting Environmental Values†

Informed consent does not mean rational consent

Informed consent in societal risk—Benefit decisions

Injury prevention and risk communication: a mental models approach ⬇️

scientific article published on November 16, 2011

Interactive video behavioral intervention to reduce adolescent females' STD risk: a randomized controlled trial

scientific article published on October 2004

Judged Effectiveness of Common Rape Prevention and Self-Defense Strategies

Judged Lethality: How Much People Seem to Know Depends Upon How They Are Asked

article published in 1983

Judged Terror Risk and Proximity to the World Trade Center

Judged frequency of lethal events

Judgment and Decision Making

Judgment and Decision Making

scientific article published on 23 July 2019

Judgment and decision making.

scientific article

Judgmental aspects of forecasting

Knowing with certainty: The appropriateness of extreme confidence

Lay Foibles and Expert Fables in Judgments about Risk

Levels of environmental decisions

Making Decisions in a COVID-19 World

scientific article published on 04 June 2020

Managing patients with inexplicable health problems

scientific article

Measuring values: A conceptual framework for interpreting transactions with special reference to contingent valuation of visibility

article published in 1988

Military risk‐taking: C3I and the cognitive functions of boldness in war

Mutually Assured Support: A Security Doctrine for Terrorist Nuclear Weapon Threats

Negative decision outcomes are more common among people with lower decision-making competence: an item-level analysis of the Decision Outcome Inventory (DOI) ⬇️

scientific article

Nonpersuasive communication about matters of greatest urgency: climate change

scientific article

Nuclear Power: Time for Detente

scholarly article by Baruch Fischhoff et al published September 1984 in Risk Analysis

Nuclear Waste: Knowledge Waste?

scientific article published in Science

On the psychology of experimental surprises

Optimism bias in understanding neonatal prognoses

scientific article published on 10 August 2020

Outcomes after a Digital Behavior Change Intervention to Improve Trauma Triage: An Analysis of Medicare Claims

scientific article published on 28 August 2021

Parents' vaccination comprehension and decisions

scientific article published on 8 February 2008

Perceptions of PCE use by dry cleaners and dry cleaning customers

Plans and Prospects for Coastal Flooding in Four Communities Affected by Sandy

Policy makers must act on incomplete evidence in responding to COVID-19

scientific article published on 20 November 2020

Power and People

Powerline frequency electric and magnetic fields: a pilot study of risk perception.

scientific article published in June 1985

Precautionary principles: general definitions and specific applications to genetically modified organisms

Predicting emergency evacuation and sheltering behavior: a structured analytical approach

scientific article

Predicting frames

Preparing for smart grid technologies: A behavioral decision research approach to understanding consumer expectations about smart meters

Promoting protection against a threat that evokes positive affect: The case of heat waves in the United Kingdom ⬇️

scientific article

Psychological Dimensions of Climatic Change

Public Health Decision Making and Risk Perception

article

Public Understanding of Ebola Risks: Mastering an Unfamiliar Threat

scientific article published on 8 June 2017

Public Values in Risk Research

Public perceptions of electric power transmission lines

article

Public views of using nuclear energy sources in space missions

Quantifying Phishing Susceptibility for Detection and Behavior Decisions.

scientific article published on 25 August 2016

Rape Prevention

Rape prevention and self-defense: At what price?

Rating the Risks

article published in 1979

Rationing decisions and individual responsibility for illness: are all lives equal?

scientific article published in May 2003

Reasons for confidence

article by Asher Koriat et al published 1980 in Journal of experimental psychology. Human learning and memory

Reconstructive Criticism

article published in 1983

Report from Poland: Science and Politics in the Midst of Environmental Disaster

article

Resilience vs. Adaptation: Framing and action

Risk Analysis and Human Behavior

Risk Communication: A Mental Models Approach

book published in 2005

Risk Knowledge and Risk Attitudes Regarding Nuclear Energy Sources in Space

article published in 1993

Risk communication planning for the aftermath of a plague bioattack

scientific article published on 28 June 2008

Risk perception and communication unplugged: twenty years of process.

scientific article published in April 1995

Risk perception and health behaviour

article

Robustness of Decision-Making Competence: Evidence from two measures and an 11-year longitudinal study ⬇️

article

Search success and expectations with a computer interface

Selection of key health domains from PROMIS® for a generic preference-based scoring system

scientific article published on 19 August 2017

Serious games may improve physician heuristics in trauma triage

article published in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America

Setting Policies for Consumer Communications: A Behavioral Decision Research Approach

Setting Priorities in Behavioral Interventions: An Application to Reducing Phishing Risk

scientific article published on 11 October 2017

Setting a standard for electricity pilot studies

article by Alexander L. Davis et al published November 2013 in Energy Policy

Setting risk priorities: a formal model

scientific article published in June 2000

Social Science and the Politics of the Arms Race

Social Stigma and Negative Consequences: Factors That Influence College Students' Decisions to Seek Testing for Sexually Transmitted Infections

article

Sources of non-compliance with clinical practice guidelines in trauma triage: a decision science study

scientific article

Specific STI knowledge may be acquired too late

Sticky decisions: peanut butter in a time of Salmonella.

scientific article

Strategic Policy Preferences: A Behavioral Decision Theory Perspective

Strategies of information search in causal analysis

article

Subjective Expected Utility: A Model of Decision-Making

article

Subjective confidence in forecasts

article

Subjective expected utility: A model of decision-making

article

Subjective sensitivity analysis

article

Targeting Risks

Task familiarity and contextual cues predict hypothetical bias in a meta-analysis of stated preference studies

article

Testing a videogame intervention to recalibrate physician heuristics in trauma triage: study protocol for a randomized controlled trial

scientific article

The Hawthorne effect and energy awareness

scientific article published on 03 September 2013

The PROMIS of QALYs

scientific article

The Possible and the Profitable Some Remarks on the Symposium'S Impact on Decision Research

The Psychology of Contraceptive Surprises: Cumulative Risk and Contraceptive Effectiveness1

The Real World: What Good Is It?

The Risks of Using Nuclear Energy Sources in Space: Some Lay Activists'Perceptions

article published in 1992

The Science of Science Communication II.

scientific article

The Science of Science Communication III

scientific article published on 15 April 2019

The effect of question wording on consumers’ reported inflation expectations ⬇️

The effect of temporal setting on likelihood estimates

article

The impact of over-the-counter availability of “Plan B” on teens' contraceptive decision making

The impacts of political cues and practical information on climate change decisions

scholarly article by Gabrielle Wong-Parodi & Baruch Fischhoff published 26 February 2015 in Environmental Research Letters

The long-term risks in the short-term benefits: perceptions of potentially addictive activities

scientific article

The realities of risk-cost-benefit analysis

scientific article

The role of social and decision sciences in communicating uncertain climate risks

The science of science communication. Introduction

scientific article published on 13 August 2013

The sciences of science communication

scientific article published on 13 August 2013

The use of mental models in chemical risk protection: developing a generic workplace methodology

scientific article published on April 2003

Time to Take Action on Climate Communication

scientific article

Transaction analysis: A framework and an application to insurance decisions

article

Trauma triage in the emergency departments of nontrauma centers: an analysis of individual physician caseload on triage patterns

scientific article published on June 2013

Travel risks in a time of terror: judgments and choices

scientific article

Treating the public with risk communications: a public health perspective

scientific article published on 01 June 1987

US women's attitudes to false-positive mammography results and detection of ductal carcinoma in situ: cross-sectional survey

scientific article

Understanding long-term environmental risks

Using expert judgment to estimate marine ecosystem vulnerability in the California Current

scientific article published in July 2010

Using incentives to recruit physicians into behavioral trials: lessons learned from four studies

scientific article published on 28 December 2017

Validating a vignette-based instrument to study physician decision making in trauma triage

scientific article published on 14 October 2013

Value Awareness: A New Goal for End-of-life Decision Making

Verbal and Numerical Expressions of Probability: “It's a Fifty–Fifty Chance”

article published in 2000

Video Intervention to Increase Perceived Self-Efficacy for Condom Use in a Randomized Controlled Trial of Female Adolescents ⬇️

scientific article published on 7 November 2017

Visualizing your vulnerabilities

scientific article published on 01 May 2006

What Do People Know About Global Climate Change? 1. Mental Models

scientific article (publication date: December 1994)

What Do People Know About Global Climate Change? 2. Survey Studies of Educated Laypeople

scholarly article by Daniel Read et al published December 1994 in Risk Analysis

What Do We Know About Making Risk Comparisons?

What Risks Are People Concerned About

What day is today? An inquiry into the process of time orientation

What forecasts (seem to) mean

What number is "fifty-fifty"?: redistributing excessive 50% responses in elicited probabilities

scientific article published in August 2002

What should we expect after the next attack?

scientific article published on September 2011

When do base rates affect predictions?

Why Study Risk Perception?

Will They Hate Us? Anticipating Unacceptable Risks

scientific article published in 2001

Women's views on breast cancer risk and screening mammography: a qualitative interview study.

scientific article published in May 2001

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