List of works - Kirsten Thonicke

A Global System for Monitoring Ecosystem Service Change

scholarly article by Heather Tallis et al published November 2012 in BioScience

A data-driven approach to identify controls on global fire activity from satellite and climate observations (SOFIA V1)

scientific article published on 6 December 2017

A generic pixel-to-point comparison for simulated large-scale ecosystem properties and ground-based observations: an example from the Amazon region

A generic pixel-to-point comparison for simulated large-scale ecosystem properties and ground-based observations: an example from the Amazon region ⬇️

scientific article published on 21 December 2018

A matrix clustering method to explore patterns of land-cover transitions in satellite-derived maps of the Brazilian Amazon

article

A novel bias correction methodology for climate impact simulations

article by Sebastian Sippel et al published 2 February 2016 in Earth System Dynamics ESD

A novel bias correction methodology for climate impact simulations

A probabilistic risk assessment for the vulnerability of the European carbon cycle to extreme events: the ecosystem perspective

A probabilistic risk assessment for the vulnerability of the European carbon cycle to weather extremes: the ecosystem perspective

scientific article published in 2015

Adaptive responses of animals to climate change are most likely insufficient

scientific article published on 23 July 2019

Advancing the Understanding of Adaptive Capacity of Social‐Ecological Systems to Absorb Climate Extremes

Alberta wildfire 2016: Apt contribution from anomalous planetary wave dynamics

scientific article published in Scientific Reports

Assessing the impacts of 1.5 °C global warming – simulation protocol of the Inter-Sectoral Impact Model Intercomparison Project (ISIMIP2b)

article

Biodiversity in species, traits, and structure determines carbon stocks and uptake in tropical forests

Biodiversity research: data without theory–theory without data

article by Matthias C. Rillig et al published 5 March 2015 in Frontiers in Ecology and Evolution

CM2Mc-LPJmL v1.0: biophysical coupling of a process-based dynamic vegetation model with managed land to a general circulation model

scientific article published on 01 July 2021

Can Intensification of Cattle Ranching Reduce Deforestation in the Amazon? Insights From an Agent-based Social-Ecological Model

scientific article published on 06 February 2019

Cascading Hazards in the Aftermath of Australia's 2019/2020 Black Summer Wildfires

scientific article published in 2021

Changes in Climate and Land Use Over the Amazon Region: Current and Future Variability and Trends

scientific article published on 21 December 2018

Changes in fire regimes since the Last Glacial Maximum: an assessment based on a global synthesis and analysis of charcoal data

scholarly article

Climate change impacts in Latin America and the Caribbean and their implications for development

article

Climate change increases riverine carbon outgassing while export to the ocean remains uncertain

scholarly article by F. Langerwisch et al published 17 August 2015 in Earth System Dynamics Discussions ESDD

Climate change increases riverine carbon outgassing, while export to the ocean remains uncertain

scholarly article by F. Langerwisch et al published 8 July 2016 in Earth System Dynamics ESD

Climate change reduces winter overland travel across the Pan-Arctic even under low-end global warming scenarios

scientific article published on 18 January 2021

Climate extremes and the carbon cycle

scientific article

Climate-induced hysteresis of the tropical forest in a fire-enabled Earth system model

scientific article published in 2021

Codominant water control on global interannual variability and trends in land surface phenology and greenness

scientific article published on 16 April 2015

Coincidences of climate extremes and anomalous vegetation responses: comparing tree ring patterns to simulated productivity

article

Constraining modelled global vegetation dynamics and carbon turnover using multiple satellite observations

scientific article published on 10 December 2019

Contrasting and interacting changes in simulated spring and summer carbon cycle extremes in European ecosystems

article

Corrigendum to "The influence of vegetation, fire spread and fire behaviour on biomass burning and trace gas emissions: results from a process-based model" published in Biogeosciences, 7, 1991-2011, doi:10.5194/bg-7-1991-2010, 2010

article

Deforestation in Amazonia impacts riverine carbon dynamics

Development of probability density functions for future South American rainfall

scientific article

Diversity enhances carbon storage in tropical forests

scientific article published in 2015

Earth beyond six of nine planetary boundaries

scientific article published on 15 September 2023

Ecosystem service supply and vulnerability to global change in Europe

scientific article

Effects of climate extremes on the terrestrial carbon cycle: concepts, processes and potential future impacts

scientific article

Effects of soil freezing and thawing on vegetation carbon density in Siberia: A modeling analysis with the Lund-Potsdam-Jena Dynamic Global Vegetation Model (LPJ-DGVM)

article

Enhanced seasonal CO2 exchange caused by amplified plant productivity in northern ecosystems

scientific article

Estimating carbon emissions from African wildfires

article

Estimating the risk of Amazonian forest dieback

scientific article

Evaluation of ecosystem dynamics, plant geography and terrestrial carbon cycling in the LPJ dynamic global vegetation model

article

Evapotranspiration trends and variability in southeastern South America: The roles of land‐cover change and precipitation variability

scientific article published in 2021

Exploring risks and benefits of overshooting a 1.5 °C carbon budget over space and time

scientific article published in 2023

Extreme fire events are related to previous-year surface moisture conditions in permafrost-underlain larch forests of Siberia

scholarly article by Matthias Forkel et al published 31 October 2012 in Environmental Research Letters

Fire Research: Linking Past, Present, and Future Data

Fire evolution in the radioactive forests of Ukraine and Belarus: future risks for the population and the environment

scholarly article by N. Evangeliou et al published February 2015 in Ecological Monographs

Fire may prevent future Amazon forest recovery after large-scale deforestation

scientific article published in 2023

Forest edge burning in the Brazilian Amazon promoted by escaping fires from managed pastures

scientific article

From biota to chemistry and climate: towards a comprehensive description of trace gas exchange between the biosphere and atmosphere

scientific article published in 2010

Global wildland fire emissions from 1960 to 2000

How to represent human behavior and decision making in Earth system models? A guide to techniques and approaches

Identifying environmental controls on vegetation greenness phenology through model-data integration

Identifying environmental controls on vegetation greenness phenology through model–data integration

article

Identifying required model structures to predict global fire activity from satellite and climate data

Impact of droughts on the carbon cycle in European vegetation: a probabilistic risk analysis using six vegetation models

scientific article published in 2014

Impacts of future deforestation and climate change on the hydrology of the Amazon Basin: a multi-model analysis with a new set of land-cover change scenarios ⬇️

article

LPJmL4 – a dynamic global vegetation model with managed land – Part 1: Model description

article

LPJmL4 – a dynamic global vegetation model with managed land – Part 2: Model evaluation

article

LPJmL4 – a dynamic global vegetation model with managed land: Part I – Model description

article

LPJmL4 – a dynamic global vegetation model with managed land: Part II – Model evaluation

article

Large-scale impact of climate change vs. land-use change on future biome shifts in Latin America

scientific article

Leaf and stem economics spectra drive diversity of functional plant traits in a dynamic global vegetation model

scientific article

Long-term Trends in Vegetation Dynamics and Forest Fires in Brandenburg (Germany) Under a Changing Climate

article

Model-data synthesis for the next generation of forest free-air CO2 enrichment (FACE) experiments

scientific article published on 6 August 2015

Modeling vegetation and carbon dynamics of managed grasslands at the global scale with LPJmL 3.6

scientific article published in 2018

Modeling vegetation and carbon dynamics of managed grasslands at the global scale with LPJmL 3.6

Modelling carbon stock and carbon sequestration ecosystem services for policy design: a comprehensive approach using a dynamic vegetation model

scholarly article published 15 November 2018

Modelling fires in the terrestrial carbon balance by incorporating SPITFIRE into the global vegetation model ORCHIDEE – Part 1: Simulating historical global burned area and fire regime

Modelling the role of fires in the terrestrial carbon balance by incorporating SPITFIRE into the global vegetation model ORCHIDEE – Part 1: simulating historical global burned area and fire regimes

article

Modelling the role of fires in the terrestrial carbon balance by incorporating SPITFIRE into the global vegetation model ORCHIDEE – Part 2: Carbon emissions and the role of fires in the global carbon balance

scientific article published in 2015

Modelling the role of fires in the terrestrial carbon balance by incorporating SPITFIRE into the global vegetation model ORCHIDEE – Part 2: Carbon emissions and the role of fires in the global carbon balance

National indicators for observing ecosystem service change

article

Net biome production of the Amazon Basin in the 21st century

article

Patterns of land-cover transitions from satellite imagery of the Brazilian Amazon

article

Potential impacts of oil and gas development and climate change on migratory reindeer calving grounds across the Russian Arctic

scientific article published in 2014

Precipitation-driven decrease in wildfires in British Columbia

scholarly article by Andrea Meyn et al published 28 June 2012 in Regional Environmental Change

Recent extreme drought events in the Amazon rainforest: assessment of different precipitation and evapotranspiration datasets and drought indicators

scientific article published in 2022

Recent global and regional trends in burned area and their compensating environmental controls

scientific article published on 7 June 2019

Relationship between fire, climate oscillations, and drought in British Columbia, Canada, 1920-2000

article

Resilience of Amazon forests emerges from plant trait diversity

article

Rice Ecosystem Services in South-East Asia: The LEGATO Project, Its Approaches and Main Results with a Focus on Biocontrol Services

article

Rice ecosystem services in South-east Asia

article

SPITFIRE within the MPI Earth system model: Model development and evaluation

scientific article published on 08 July 2014

Sensitivity of Portuguese forest fires to climatic, human, and landscape variables: subnational differences between fire drivers in extreme fire years and decadal averages

article

Sensitivity of burned area in Europe to climate change, atmospheric CO2 levels, and demography: A comparison of two fire-vegetation models

scholarly article

Simulating fire regimes in human-dominated ecosystems: Iberian Peninsula case study

Simulating functional diversity of European natural forests along climatic gradients

scientific article published on 17 February 2020

Simulating past and future dynamics of natural ecosystems in the United States

article

Spatial variation of trends in wildfire and summer drought in British Columbia, Canada, 1920–2000

article

Supplementary material to "A novel bias correction methodology for climate impact simulations"

scientific article

Tackling unresolved questions in forest ecology: The past and future role of simulation models

scientific article

Ten new insights in climate science 2021: a horizon scan

scientific article published on 19 October 2021

The LEGATO cross-disciplinary integrated ecosystem service research framework: an example of integrating research results from the analysis of global change impacts and the social, cultural and economic system dynamics of irrigated rice production

scholarly article published 20 December 2017

The dimensionality of stability depends on disturbance type

scientific article published on 08 February 2019

The influence of vegetation, fire spread and fire behaviour on biomass burning and trace gas emissions: results from a process-based model

article

The integration of empirical, remote sensing and modelling approaches enhances insight in the role of biodiversity in climate change mitigation by tropical forests

article

The role of fire disturbance for global vegetation dynamics: coupling fire into a Dynamic Global Vegetation Model

article

Towards an Integrated Approach to Wildfire Risk Assessment: When, Where, What and How May the Landscapes Burn

scientific article published in 2023

Towards representing human behavior and decision making in Earth system models – an overview of techniques and approaches

Understanding the uncertainty in global forest carbon turnover

scientific article published on 05 August 2020

Variable tree rooting strategies are key for modelling the distribution, productivity and evapotranspiration of tropical evergreen forests

scientific article published in 2021

Variation in stem mortality rates determines patterns of above-ground biomass in Amazonian forests: implications for dynamic global vegetation models. ⬇️

scientific article

Warm Winter, Wet Spring, and an Extreme Response in Ecosystem Functioning on the Iberian Peninsula

article

List of works by Kirsten Thonicke

A Global System for Monitoring Ecosystem Service Change

A data-driven approach to identify controls on global fire activity from satellite and climate observations (SOFIA V1)

A generic pixel-to-point comparison for simulated large-scale ecosystem properties and ground-based observations: an example from the Amazon region

A generic pixel-to-point comparison for simulated large-scale ecosystem properties and ground-based observations: an example from the Amazon region ⬇️

A matrix clustering method to explore patterns of land-cover transitions in satellite-derived maps of the Brazilian Amazon

A novel bias correction methodology for climate impact simulations

A novel bias correction methodology for climate impact simulations

A probabilistic risk assessment for the vulnerability of the European carbon cycle to extreme events: the ecosystem perspective

A probabilistic risk assessment for the vulnerability of the European carbon cycle to weather extremes: the ecosystem perspective

Adaptive responses of animals to climate change are most likely insufficient

Advancing the Understanding of Adaptive Capacity of Social‐Ecological Systems to Absorb Climate Extremes

Alberta wildfire 2016: Apt contribution from anomalous planetary wave dynamics

Assessing the impacts of 1.5 °C global warming – simulation protocol of the Inter-Sectoral Impact Model Intercomparison Project (ISIMIP2b)

Biodiversity in species, traits, and structure determines carbon stocks and uptake in tropical forests

Biodiversity research: data without theory–theory without data

CM2Mc-LPJmL v1.0: biophysical coupling of a process-based dynamic vegetation model with managed land to a general circulation model

Can Intensification of Cattle Ranching Reduce Deforestation in the Amazon? Insights From an Agent-based Social-Ecological Model

Cascading Hazards in the Aftermath of Australia's 2019/2020 Black Summer Wildfires

Changes in Climate and Land Use Over the Amazon Region: Current and Future Variability and Trends

Changes in fire regimes since the Last Glacial Maximum: an assessment based on a global synthesis and analysis of charcoal data

Climate change impacts in Latin America and the Caribbean and their implications for development

Climate change increases riverine carbon outgassing while export to the ocean remains uncertain

Climate change increases riverine carbon outgassing, while export to the ocean remains uncertain

Climate change reduces winter overland travel across the Pan-Arctic even under low-end global warming scenarios

Climate extremes and the carbon cycle

Climate-induced hysteresis of the tropical forest in a fire-enabled Earth system model

Codominant water control on global interannual variability and trends in land surface phenology and greenness

Coincidences of climate extremes and anomalous vegetation responses: comparing tree ring patterns to simulated productivity

Constraining modelled global vegetation dynamics and carbon turnover using multiple satellite observations

Contrasting and interacting changes in simulated spring and summer carbon cycle extremes in European ecosystems

Corrigendum to "The influence of vegetation, fire spread and fire behaviour on biomass burning and trace gas emissions: results from a process-based model" published in Biogeosciences, 7, 1991-2011, doi:10.5194/bg-7-1991-2010, 2010

Deforestation in Amazonia impacts riverine carbon dynamics

Deforestation in Amazonia impacts riverine carbon dynamics

Development of probability density functions for future South American rainfall

Diversity enhances carbon storage in tropical forests

Earth beyond six of nine planetary boundaries

Ecosystem service supply and vulnerability to global change in Europe

Effects of climate extremes on the terrestrial carbon cycle: concepts, processes and potential future impacts

Effects of soil freezing and thawing on vegetation carbon density in Siberia: A modeling analysis with the Lund-Potsdam-Jena Dynamic Global Vegetation Model (LPJ-DGVM)

Enhanced seasonal CO2 exchange caused by amplified plant productivity in northern ecosystems

Estimating carbon emissions from African wildfires

Estimating the risk of Amazonian forest dieback

Evaluation of ecosystem dynamics, plant geography and terrestrial carbon cycling in the LPJ dynamic global vegetation model

Evapotranspiration trends and variability in southeastern South America: The roles of land‐cover change and precipitation variability

Exploring risks and benefits of overshooting a 1.5 °C carbon budget over space and time

Extreme fire events are related to previous-year surface moisture conditions in permafrost-underlain larch forests of Siberia

Fire Research: Linking Past, Present, and Future Data

Fire evolution in the radioactive forests of Ukraine and Belarus: future risks for the population and the environment

Fire may prevent future Amazon forest recovery after large-scale deforestation

Forest edge burning in the Brazilian Amazon promoted by escaping fires from managed pastures

From biota to chemistry and climate: towards a comprehensive description of trace gas exchange between the biosphere and atmosphere

Global wildland fire emissions from 1960 to 2000

How to represent human behavior and decision making in Earth system models? A guide to techniques and approaches

Identifying environmental controls on vegetation greenness phenology through model-data integration

Identifying environmental controls on vegetation greenness phenology through model–data integration

Identifying required model structures to predict global fire activity from satellite and climate data

Impact of droughts on the carbon cycle in European vegetation: a probabilistic risk analysis using six vegetation models

Impacts of future deforestation and climate change on the hydrology of the Amazon Basin: a multi-model analysis with a new set of land-cover change scenarios ⬇️

LPJmL4 – a dynamic global vegetation model with managed land – Part 1: Model description

LPJmL4 – a dynamic global vegetation model with managed land – Part 2: Model evaluation

LPJmL4 – a dynamic global vegetation model with managed land: Part I – Model description

LPJmL4 – a dynamic global vegetation model with managed land: Part II – Model evaluation

Large-scale impact of climate change vs. land-use change on future biome shifts in Latin America

Leaf and stem economics spectra drive diversity of functional plant traits in a dynamic global vegetation model

Long-term Trends in Vegetation Dynamics and Forest Fires in Brandenburg (Germany) Under a Changing Climate

Model-data synthesis for the next generation of forest free-air CO2 enrichment (FACE) experiments

Modeling vegetation and carbon dynamics of managed grasslands at the global scale with LPJmL 3.6

Modeling vegetation and carbon dynamics of managed grasslands at the global scale with LPJmL 3.6

Modelling carbon stock and carbon sequestration ecosystem services for policy design: a comprehensive approach using a dynamic vegetation model

Modelling fires in the terrestrial carbon balance by incorporating SPITFIRE into the global vegetation model ORCHIDEE – Part 1: Simulating historical global burned area and fire regime

Modelling the role of fires in the terrestrial carbon balance by incorporating SPITFIRE into the global vegetation model ORCHIDEE – Part 1: simulating historical global burned area and fire regimes

Modelling the role of fires in the terrestrial carbon balance by incorporating SPITFIRE into the global vegetation model ORCHIDEE – Part 2: Carbon emissions and the role of fires in the global carbon balance

Modelling the role of fires in the terrestrial carbon balance by incorporating SPITFIRE into the global vegetation model ORCHIDEE – Part 2: Carbon emissions and the role of fires in the global carbon balance

National indicators for observing ecosystem service change

Net biome production of the Amazon Basin in the 21st century

Patterns of land-cover transitions from satellite imagery of the Brazilian Amazon

Potential impacts of oil and gas development and climate change on migratory reindeer calving grounds across the Russian Arctic

Precipitation-driven decrease in wildfires in British Columbia

Recent extreme drought events in the Amazon rainforest: assessment of different precipitation and evapotranspiration datasets and drought indicators

Assessing the impacts of 1.5 °C global warming – simulation protocol of the Inter-Sectoral Impact Model Intercomparison Project (ISIMIP2b)