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List of works by Marten Scheffer

A Changing Number of Alternative States in the Boreal Biome: Reproducibility Risks of Replacing Remote Sensing Products

scientific article published in 2015

A Theory for Cyclic Shifts between Alternative States in Shallow Lakes

scientific article published in February 2007

A global climate niche for giant trees

scientific article published on 15 April 2018

A message from magic to science: seeing how the brain can be tricked may strengthen our thinking

article

A morphological classification capturing functional variation in phytoplankton

scientific article published on 13 August 2009

A safe operating space for humanity

scientific article

A strategy to improve the contribution of complex simulation models to ecological theory

scientific article published in July 2005

Abrupt Climate Change in an Oscillating World.

scientific article published on 22 March 2018

Abrupt regime shifts in space and time along rivers and connected lake systems

scientific article published on 18 October 2010

Adaptive management of the Great Barrier Reef and the Grand Canyon world heritage areas

scientific article published in November 2007

Allowing variance may enlarge the safe operating space for exploited ecosystems

scientific article published on 5 October 2015

Alternative Stable States Driven by Density-Dependent Toxicity

scientific article published on 16 July 2010

Alternative attractors may boost uncertainty and sensitivity in ecological models

scientific article published in January 2003

Alternative attractors of shallow lakes

scientific article published on 17 July 2001

Alternative equilibria in shallow lakes ⬇️

scientific article published on August 1, 1993

Ambiguous climate impacts on competition between submerged macrophytes and phytoplankton in shallow lakes

scientific article published on 9 March 2011

An invitation for more research on transnational corporations and the biosphere

scientific article published on 01 April 2020

Anticipating critical transitions

scientific article published on October 2012

Anticipating societal collapse; Hints from the Stone Age

scientific article published on 16 September 2016

Aquatic macrophytes: restore, eradicate or is there a compromise?

scientific article published in April 2002

Assembling the pieces of Lake Victoria's many food webs: Reply to Kolding

scientific article published in April 2013

Assessing ecological quality of shallow lakes: Does knowledge of transparency suffice?

article

Belief traps: Tackling the inertia of harmful beliefs

scientific article published on 9 August 2022

Bimodal transparency as an indicator for alternative states in South American lakes

scientific article published on 10 April 2012

Can overwintering versus diapausing strategy in Daphnia determine match-mismatch events in zooplankton-algae interactions?

scientific article

Can we infer plant facilitation from remote sensing? a test across global drylands.

scientific article published on September 2015

Cascading effects of over-fishing marine systems

scientific article published on 8 September 2005

Catalogue of abrupt shifts in Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change climate models

scientific article

Catastrophic regime shifts in ecosystems: linking theory to observation

scientific article published in 2003

Catastrophic response of lakes to benthivorous fish introduction

article

Catastrophic shifts in ecosystems: spatial early warnings and management procedures (Inspired in the physics of phase transitions)

scientific article published in September 2010

Causal feedbacks in climate change

scholarly article by Egbert H. van Nes et al published 30 March 2015 in Nature Climate Change

Changing weather conditions and floating plants in temperate drainage ditches

scientific article published on 8 March 2013

Chaos in a long-term experiment with a plankton community

scientific article published in February 2008

Charisma: a spatial explicit simulation model of submerged macrophytes

scientific article published in January 2003

Climate Endgame: Exploring catastrophic climate change scenarios

scientific article published in August 2022

Climate and conservation. Creating a safe operating space for iconic ecosystems

scientific article

Climate bifurcation during the last deglaciation?

scientific article published on 9 July 2012

Climate engineering reconsidered

article

Climate models predict increasing temperature variability in poor countries.

scientific article

Climate reddening increases the chance of critical transitions

scientific article published on 30 May 2018

Climate-dependent CO2emissions from lakes

scientific article published on 8 May 2010

Climate-related differences in the dominance of submerged macrophytes in shallow lakes

scientific article published in October 2009

Climbing Escher's stairs: A way to approximate stability landscapes in multidimensional systems

scientific article published on 10 April 2020

Cloud Patterns in the Trades Have Four Interpretable Dimensions

scientific article published on 24 February 2021

Cloud patterns have four interpretable dimensions

scientific article published on 13 October 2020

Collapse and reorganization of a food web of Mwanza Gulf, Lake Victoria

scientific article published in January 2012

Complex systems. Complexity theory and financial regulation

scientific article published on 18 February 2016

Complex systems: Foreseeing tipping points

scientific article published in September 2010

Coral reefs in the Anthropocene

scientific article

Corridors of Clarity: Four Principles to Overcome Uncertainty Paralysis in the Anthropocene

scientific article published on 28 October 2020

Corrigendum: Recovery rates reflect distance to a tipping point in a living system

scientific article published in Nature

Creating a safe operating space for wetlands in a changing climate

scientific article published on 9 February 2017

Creation of a gilded trap by the high economic value of the Maine lobster fishery.

scientific article

Critical phosphorus loading of different types of shallow lakes and the consequences for management estimated with the ecosystem model PCLake

article

Critical slowing down as early warning for the onset and termination of depression

scientific article published on 09 December 2013

Deep learning for early warning signals of tipping points

scientific article published on 20 September 2021

Depression alters the circadian pattern of online activity

scientific article published on 14 October 2020

Does aquaculture add resilience to the global food system?

scientific article

Dominance of charophytes in eutrophic shallow lakes—when should we expect it to be an alternative stable state?

scientific article published in April 2002

Dual thinking for scientists

article published in 2015

Dynamical Indicators of Resilience in Postural Balance Time Series Are Related to Successful Aging in High-Functioning Older Adults

scientific article published on 01 June 2019

Dynamical Resilience Indicators in Time Series of Self-Rated Health Correspond to Frailty Levels in Older Adults

scientific article

EARLY WARNINGS FOR CATASTROPHIC SHIFTS IN ECOSYSTEMS: COMPARISON BETWEEN SPATIAL AND TEMPORAL INDICATORS

scientific article published in February 2010

Early warning of climate tipping points from critical slowing down: comparing methods to improve robustness.

scientific article published on March 2012

Early warning signals also precede non-catastrophic transitions

scientific article published on 25 September 2012

Early warning signals of ecological transitions: methods for spatial patterns

scientific article

Early-warning signals for critical transitions

scientific article

Ecosystem tipping points in an evolving world

scientific article published on 24 October 2018

Ecosystem tipping points in an evolving world

scientific article published on 18 February 2019

Effect of temperature and nutrients on the competition between free-floating Salvinia natans and submerged Elodea nuttallii in mesocosms

article

Effects of Submerged Vegetation on Water Clarity Across Climates

scientific article published on 25 September 2009

Effects of aquatic vegetation type on denitrification

Effects of interannual climate variability on tropical tree cover

scientific article published on 2 June 2013

Effects of resources and mortality on the growth and reproduction of Nile perch in Lake Victoria

scientific article published on 24 January 2013

El Niño as a Window of Opportunity for the Restoration of Degraded Arid Ecosystems

scientific article published on 25 August 2002

El Niño effects on the dynamics of terrestrial ecosystems.

scientific article

Emergent neutrality leads to multimodal species abundance distributions

scientific article published on 7 February 2012

Erratum

scientific article published in October 2007

Erratum to: Multiple feedbacks and the prevalence of alternate stable states on coral reefs

scientific article published on 3 May 2016

Estimating the critical phosphorus loading of shallow lakes with the ecosystem model PCLake: Sensitivity, calibration and uncertainty

article

Exit time as a measure of ecological resilience

scientific article published in 2021

Feedbacks between climate change and eutrophication: revisiting the allied attack concept and how to strike back

scientific article

Financial complexity: Accounting for fraud--Response.

scientific article published in April 2016

Finding the direction of lowest resilience in multivariate complex systems

scientific article published on 30 October 2019

Fire forbids fifty-fifty forest

scientific article

Five fundamental ways in which complex food webs may spiral out of control

scientific article published on 16 August 2023

Flickering as an early warning signal

scientific article published on 28 April 2013

Flickering gives early warning signals of a critical transition to a eutrophic lake state

scientific article published on 18 November 2012

Floating plant dominance as a stable state

scholarly article

Floodplains as an Achilles' heel of Amazonian forest resilience

scientific article

Foreseeing the future of mutualistic communities beyond collapse

scientific article published on 10 November 2019

Forest-rainfall cascades buffer against drought across the Amazon

scientific article published on 28 May 2018

From Scientific Speculation to Effective Adaptive Management: A case study of the role of social marketing in promoting novel restoration strategies for degraded dry lands

scientific article published on 08 February 2017

Functional redundancy increases towards the tropics in lake phytoplankton

scientific article published on 11 November 2016

Future of the human climate niche

scientific article published on 04 May 2020

General Resilience to Cope with Extreme Events

article

Generic Indicators of Ecological Resilience: Inferring the Chance of a Critical Transition

scientific article published on 4 December 2015

Global resilience of tropical forest and savanna to critical transitions

scientific article published on October 2011

Historical effects of shocks on inequality: the great leveler revisited

scientific article published on 17 March 2021

How to Break the Cycle of Low Workforce Diversity: A Model for Change

scientific article published on 28 July 2015

Hydrology-Driven Regime Shifts in a Shallow Tropical Lake

scientific article

Hysteresis in an experimental phytoplankton population

scientific article published on 13 April 2015

Impacts of agricultural phosphorus use in catchments on shallow lake water quality: About buffers, time delays and equilibria

scientific article published on 15 June 2006

Inequality in nature and society

scientific article published on 28 November 2017

Inferring causation from time series in Earth system sciences ⬇️

scientific article published on 14 June 2019

Info-disruption: pollution and the transfer of chemical information between organisms

scientific article published on 12 April 2007

Interannual variability in species composition explained as seasonally entrained chaos

scientific article published on 27 May 2009

Lake and watershed characteristics rather than climate influence nutrient limitation in shallow lakes

scientific article

Large species shifts triggered by small forces

scientific article published on 24 June 2004

Livestock Herbivory Shapes Fire Regimes and Vegetation Structure Across the Global Tropics

scientific article

Local Facilitation May Cause Tipping Points on a Landscape Level Preceded by Early-Warning Indicators

scientific article published on 11 August 2015

Local ecosystem feedbacks and critical transitions in the climate

article published in 2011

Long Transients Near the Ghost of a Stable State in Eutrophic Shallow Lakes with Fluctuating Water Levels

scientific article published in February 2007

Long-term responses to fish-stock reduction in small shallow lakes: interpretation of five-year results of four biomanipulation cases in The Netherlands and Denmark

scientific article published in February 1994

Loss of Earth system resilience during early Eocene transient global warming events

scientific article published on 7 April 2023

Loss of resilience preceded transformations of pre-Hispanic Pueblo societies

scientific article published on 28 April 2021

MEGAPLANT: a simulation model of the dynamics of submerged plants

scientific article published on 11 September 2003

Major Depression as a Complex Dynamic System

scientific article

Measurement of Dynamical Resilience Indicators Improves the Prediction of Recovery Following Hospitalization in Older Adults

scientific article published on 11 December 2019

Mechanisms for marine regime shifts: Can we use lakes as microcosms for oceans?

scientific article published in February 2004

Methods for detecting early warnings of critical transitions in time series illustrated using simulated ecological data

scientific article

Microscale vegetation-soil feedback boosts hysteresis in a regional vegetation–climate system

scientific article published in May 2008

Migraine strikes as neuronal excitability reaches a tipping point

scientific article

Monitoring Resilience in Bursts

scientific article published on 13 October 2023

Multiple feedbacks and the prevalence of alternate stable states on coral reefs

scientific article published on 16 April 2016

Multiscale regime shifts and planetary boundaries

scientific article

Navigating transformations in governance of Chilean marine coastal resources

scientific article

Neutral competition boosts cycles and chaos in simulated food webs

scientific article published on 17 June 2020

Nile perch (Lates niloticus, L.) and cichlids (Haplochromis spp.) in Lake Victoria: could prey mortality promote invasion of its predator?

article

Northern expansion is not compensating for southern declines in North American boreal forests

scientific article published on 8 June 2023

Observed trends in the magnitude and persistence of monthly temperature variability

scientific article published on 19 July 2017

Omnivory by Planktivores Stabilizes Plankton Dynamics, but May Either Promote or Reduce Algal Biomass

scientific article published in April 2010

Our future in the Anthropocene biosphere

scientific article

PISCATOR, an individual-based model to analyze the dynamics of lake fish communities

scientific article published in July 2002

Pattern formation at multiple spatial scales drives the resilience of mussel bed ecosystems

scientific article

Perpest model, a case-based reasoning approach to predict ecological risks of pesticides

scientific article

Phytoplankton community composition can be predicted best in terms of morphological groups

scientific article published on 24 December 2010

Planetary Boundaries: Exploring the Safe Operating Space for Humanity

article

Positive feedback between global warming and atmospheric CO2concentration inferred from past climate change

article

Possible mechanisms for a marine benthic regime shift in the North Sea

scientific article published on 25 January 2007

Predicting microbial nitrogen pathways from basic principles

scientific article published on 23 March 2011

Pulse-Driven Loss of Top-Down Control: The Critical-Rate Hypothesis

Quantifying resilience of humans and other animals

article published in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America

Quantifying the human cost of global warming

Scholarly article, 2023

Rare, Intense, Big fires dominate the global tropics under drier conditions

scientific article published on 30 October 2017

Recovery rates reflect distance to a tipping point in a living system

scientific article published on 25 December 2011

Reduced top–down control of phytoplankton in warmer climates can be explained by continuous fish reproduction

article

Regime Shifts in the Sahara and Sahel: Interactions between Ecological and Climatic Systems in Northern Africa

article

Regime Shifts, Resilience, and Biodiversity in Ecosystem Management

scientific article

Regime shifts in marine ecosystems: detection, prediction and management.

scientific article published on 22 May 2008

Remotely sensed canopy height reveals three pantropical ecosystem states

scientific article published in September 2016

Remotely sensed canopy height reveals three pantropical ecosystem states: reply

scientific article published on 7 November 2017

Remotely sensed resilience of tropical forests

Repeated parallel evolution reveals limiting similarity in subterranean diving beetles

scientific article published on 15 May 2013

Reply to Bhowmik et al.: Democratic climate action and studying extreme climate risks are not in tension

scientific article published on 8 November 2022

Reply to Bos and De Jonge: Between-subject data do provide first empirical support for critical slowing down in depression

scientific article published on March 2014

Reply to Burgess et al: Catastrophic climate risks are neglected, plausible, and safe to study

scientific article published on 18 October 2022

Reply to Kelman: The foundations for studying catastrophic climate risks

scientific article published on 18 October 2022

Reply to Ruhl and Craig: Assessing and governing extreme climate risks needs to be legitimate and democratic

scientific article published on 29 November 2022

Reply to Schöngart et al.: Forest resilience variation across Amazonian floodplains

scientific article published on 27 September 2017

Reply to Sun: Making sense of language change

scientific article published on 21 June 2022

Resilience Thinking: Integrating Resilience, Adaptability and Transformability

scientific article published in 2010

Resilience in Clinical Care: Getting a Grip on the Recovery Potential of Older Adults

scientific article published on 09 September 2019

Resilience indicators: prospects and limitations for early warnings of regime shifts.

scientific article

Resilience integrates concepts in aging research

scientific article published on 20 May 2022

Resilience of alternative states in spatially extended ecosystems

scientific article published on 25 February 2015

Resilience of tropical tree cover: The roles of climate, fire, and herbivory

scientific article published on 24 August 2018

Resonance of plankton communities with temperature fluctuations

scientific article published on 30 August 2011

Rethinking resource allocation in science

scientific article published in 2019

Risks of Plastic Debris: Unravelling Fact, Opinion, Perception, and Belief

scientific article published on 3 October 2017

Robustness of variance and autocorrelation as indicators of critical slowing down

scientific article published on February 2012

Safe and just Earth system boundaries

scholarly article

Seeing a global web of connected systems

scientific article

Self-organized similarity, the evolutionary emergence of groups of similar species

scholarly article

Shallow lakes theory revisited: various alternative regimes driven by climate, nutrients, depth and lake size

scientific article published in June 2007

Slow Recovery from Local Disturbances as an Indicator for Loss of Ecosystem Resilience

scientific article published on 2 June 2017

Slow recovery from perturbations as a generic indicator of a nearby catastrophic shift

scientific article published on 17 April 2007

Slowing Down of Recovery as Generic Risk Marker for Acute Severity Transitions in Chronic Diseases

scientific article published on 12 January 2016

Slowing down as an early warning signal for abrupt climate change

scientific article

Slowing down in spatially patterned ecosystems at the brink of collapse

scientific article published on June 2011

Small habitat size and isolation can promote species richness: second-order effects on biodiversity in shallow lakes and ponds

article

Social dimensions of fertility behavior and consumption patterns in the Anthropocene

scientific article published on 12 March 2020

Social norms as solutions

scientific article

Soil microbes drive the classic plant diversity-productivity pattern

scientific article

Spatial correlation as an early warning signal for transitions in ecosystems

scientific article published on 21 October 2009

Spatial correlation as leading indicator of catastrophic shifts

scientific article published on 11 November 2009

Spatial self-organized patterning in seagrasses along a depth gradient of an intertidal ecosystem

scientific article published in February 2010

Statistical indicators of Arctic sea-ice stability – prospects and limitations

scientific article

Strong facilitation in mild environments: the stress gradient hypothesis revisited

scientific article published on 31 August 2010

Superorganisms or loose collections of species? A unifying theory of community patterns along environmental gradients

scientific article published on 27 May 2019

Survival of the Systems

scientific article published on 04 January 2021

Synchronous failure: the emerging causal architecture of global crisis

scientific article published in 2015

Synergy between small- and large-scale feedbacks of vegetation on the water cycle

Temperate forest and open landscapes are distinct alternative states as reflected in canopy height and tree cover

scientific article published on 22 July 2015

The Evolution of Functionally Redundant Species; Evidence from Beetles

scientific article published in 2015

The angiosperm radiation revisited, an ecological explanation for Darwin's 'abominable mystery'

scientific article (publication date: September 2009)

The anthropocene: from global change to planetary stewardship

scientific article (publication date: November 2011)

The clumping transition in niche competition: a robust critical phenomenon

scientific article published on 7 May 2010

The determination of ecological status in shallow lakes - a tested system (ECOFRAME) for implementation of the European Water Framework Directive

article

The forgotten half of scientific thinking

scientific article

The minute-scale dynamics of online emotions reveal the effects of affect labeling

scientific article published on 17 December 2018

The mystery of missing trubs revisited: a response to McGlone et al. and Qian and Ricklefs

scientific article published on 24 November 2014

The paradox of the clumps mathematically explained

scientific article published on 27 February 2009

The potential of resilience indicators to anticipate infectious disease outbreaks, a systematic review and guide

scientific article published on 10 October 2023

The resilience and resistance of an ecosystem to a collapse of diversity

scientific article published on 27 September 2012

The sudden collapse of pollinator communities

scientific article published on 6 January 2014

The vulnerability of aging states: A survival analysis across premodern societies

scientific article published on 20 November 2023

Thresholds for boreal biome transitions

scientific article

Tipping elements in the human intestinal ecosystem

scientific article

Tipping points in tropical tree cover: linking theory to data

scientific article

Top-Down Control of Cyanobacteria: A Theoretical Analysis

scientific article published on 1 January 1999

Toward a unifying theory of biodiversity

scientific article published on 11 January 2018

Trajectories of the Earth System in the Anthropocene

article published in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America

Transdisciplinary EU science institute needs funds urgently

scientific article published in February 2010

Transnational corporations and the challenge of biosphere stewardship

scientific article published on 16 September 2019

Trophic Downgrading of Planet Earth

scientific article

Understanding migraine using dynamic network biomarkers

scientific article published on 16 September 2014

Ups and Downs in the Ocean: Effects of Biofouling on Vertical Transport of Microplastics

scientific article published on 14 June 2017

Vegetation recovery in tidal marshes reveals critical slowing down under increased inundation

scientific article

WTO must ban harmful fisheries subsidies

scientific article

Wang et al. reply

scientific article published in June 2013

Warmer climates boost cyanobacterial dominance in shallow lakes

article

Warming can boost denitrification disproportionately due to altered oxygen dynamics

scientific article

Was Lates late? A null model for the Nile perch boom in Lake Victoria

scientific article

What Do You Mean, 'Tipping Point'?

scientific article published on 25 October 2016

What if solar energy becomes really cheap? A thought experiment on environmental problem shifting

What minimal models cannot tell: a comment on "A model of phytoplankton blooms".

scientific article published on 20 May 2004

Why are forests so scarce in subtropical South America? The shaping roles of climate, fire and livestock

scientific article published in 2016

Why plankton communities have no equilibrium: solutions to the paradox

scientific article published in January 2003

Why trees and shrubs but rarely trubs?

scientific article published on 17 June 2014

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